Nvidia - Launching The Final Bullrun!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can still rally another +40%:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After rejecting the channel resistance in June, July and August of 2024 and correcting about -40%, buyers immediately stepped in and pushed Nvidia much higher. There is a quite high chance, that we will see a final blow off rally, squeezing out the last remaining bears.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia_analysis
What happened? $Nvidia surged nearly 5%!!!!Reason1: Cooling of Blackwell overheating issues boosts confidence.
Concerns about overheating in Nvidia's latest high-end chip, Blackwell, had been widely discussed. However, multiple authoritative analysis firms and Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that these issues have been resolved. Industry analysts noted that such problems have been effectively mitigated, with negligible impact on chip performance and supply cadence. This clear positive signal has instilled confidence in investors regarding Blackwell’s stability and market prospects.
Reason2: Technological advancements raise expectations.
As Nvidia's most advanced chip to date, the complete resolution of design issues marks its research and production entering a mature phase. Coupled with its powerful computing capabilities and potential applications in AI and data centers, market expectations for the product's profitability have significantly increased, serving as a key driver of Nvidia's stock surge.
Reason3: Professional analysis alleviates concerns.
Semiconductor analysis firm-Semianalysis indicated that the supply chain adjustments related to the overheating issue were merely "minor modifications" with almost no effect on the chip's actual performance. This analysis helped the market move past excessive worries about Blackwell’s overheating issues, laying the groundwork for Nvidia to regain investor trust in the short term.
Reason4: Stock price retraces to strong support levels.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price moving in a bullish channel, recently retracing to an upward trend line and the 0.236 Fibonacci support level. This support has triggered a rise, indicating that previous movements were merely weak short-term corrections.
Under the combined influence of these favorable factors, Nvidia's stock jumped nearly 5% in a single day, not only boosting its own valuation but also uplifting the tech sector and the broader market. However, whether this upward trend can continue in the short term will depend on today's earnings report. For specific operational strategies, please refer to my last post : "NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 Report."
NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 ReportPre-Earnings Strategy: First things first—know the key numbers and the market expectations. But keep in mind, NVIDIA’s revenue recognition can get tricky, so don’t be surprised by unpredictable results. This is why a solid strategy, proper positioning, and downside protection are essential going into the report.
1. Core Numbers & Expectations
Where do Buy-Side Expectations Come From? NVIDIA has been beating guidance by around $2 billion each quarter and then raising guidance by another $2 billion (last quarter they raised it by $2.5 billion).
For Q3, the guidance given in Q2 was $32.5B. Based on the trend, buy-side expectation bumps that up by another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , so the real expectation for Q3 is $34.5B.
Looking ahead to Q4, buy-side is expecting GETTEX:39B (Q3 actual $34.5B + $2.5B + another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B ). To make the buy-side comfortable with this, the Q4 guide needs to come in at least at $38B (realistically, even FWB:37B could suffice).
Key Takeaway for a Big Beat: Q3 revenue needs to hit $34.5B, and Q4 guidance should be at $38B, with Blackwell contributing over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in Q4.
2. What the Analysts Think
This is a mega-cap stock, so pretty much every sell-side analyst has a report. But let’s just focus on the key voices from Goldman (Hari), UBS (Arcuri), and Morgan Stanley (Moore), aka the “HAM Trio.”
For Q3:
Moore: Bearish—expects $32.5B
Hari & Arcuri: Neutral-Bullish—expect around $34.3B
For Q4 Guidance:
Moore: Bearish—expects $35.3B
Hari: Bullish—expects $39.2B
Arcuri: Bullish—expects $38.9B
3. Q4 Blackwell Revenue Breakdown
Management previously mentioned Q4 Blackwell revenue could be “several billion.” If it’s $2-3B, that’s below expectations. $5-6B would be a strong beat.
Moore: Expects $5-6B (bullish on Blackwell)
Arcuri: Expects only SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B (more conservative)
4. Summary of Analyst Divergence
There’s a clear split among the top analysts, particularly around the Q4 guidance. This divergence sets up potential volatility.
5. Trading Strategy
1. Pre-Earnings Positioning: If the stock dips ahead of earnings, consider adding to the position. If there’s a rally, trim some to lock in profits.
2. Post-Earnings Reaction: If it tanks, be ready to add more, since Q1 of FY25 is expected to be a breakout quarter.
3. Hedging with Options: Use options to protect existing stock positions—don’t go into earnings unhedged.
Implied Move Post-Earnings:
The options market is pricing in about a 9% move, which puts the stock between $128-$153 (current price is around $141).
Options Strategies
Bullish Play (Betting on a Big Rally): Buy calls, but keep it small—treat it as a high-risk, high-reward play. If it goes to zero, it won’t hurt too much.
Lower-Cost Bullish Play: Consider a call spread (buy a lower strike call, sell a higher strike call). This caps your upside but reduces the cost.
Protecting Existing Long Stock Positions: Use covered calls. If the stock tanks, you get some downside protection from the premium. If it rallies, you still make money up to the strike price, plus the premium collected. The downside is losing the stock if it gets called away above the strike.
Want to Buy the Dip After Earnings? Sell puts. If the stock drops, you get assigned shares at a lower price and keep the premium. If it rallies, you pocket the premium.
Nvidia big Shorthello traders i think of big sohrt on nvidia begin this week and go down for while 155 is our stop loss and failure of this analysis.
NVIDIA's Price Action: The Strat Analysis & Key Levels (4-Hour)Candlestick Patterns:
The chart shows 4-hour candlestick patterns with colors corresponding to price movement:
- green fill and green outline indicates price closed above candle open price
- green fill and red outline indicates price closed below candle open price
- red fill and green outline indicates price went below previous candle low but closed above current candle open
- red fill and red outline indicates price closed below previous candle and current candle low
- yellow is the color for a consolidated candle (aka "1" or inside bar)
- blue is the color for the "3" candle that went above and below previous' candle high and low
The numbers "1," "2," and "3" likely represent The Strat methodology, a popular trading framework:
1 (Inside Bar): Price action is contained within the previous candle's range.
2 (Directional Bar): Price breaks either high or low of the previous candle.
3 (Broadening Formation): Price takes out both the high and low of the previous candle.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Multiple horizontal lines represent key support and resistance levels:
- Yellow lines indicate historical highs/lows or significant levels (e.g., "Previous All-Time High Zone").
- Red and blue lines mark specific levels like the "Open WK" or "ABR1 Upper,"
- Labels such as "High of Day," "Previous Weekly High," and "Previous Daily Low" provide context for recent price action.
Broadening Formations:
- Diagonal white lines identify broadening formations, consistent with "The Strat." These formations reflect expanding ranges, suggesting increased volatility or market indecision.
Key Dates and Events:
- Specific dates and times, such as "4hr Mon, Nov 11 @ 1:30 pm," appear next to significant price levels, helping to pinpoint areas where the stock reacted strongly.
Indicators:
- ATR (Average True Range) and DTR (Daily True Range) values are shown at the bottom right:
- ATR: 4.58 — Indicates the average price movement range over a period.
- DTR: 5.16 — Suggests the range within the day (113% implies higher-than-average volatility).
Directional Signals:
- Green and red arrows identify potential buy and sell signals based on the methodology applied, likely aligned with price action breakouts or reversals.
Analysis:
- Trend: The stock has moved from consolidation (inside bars and 2s) to a broader upward trend with several green directional bars (2-ups). However, recent candles show retracement and potential consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $148.68 ("Open WK") and $149.77 ("Previous Weekly High").
- Support: $140.08 and $137.33 ("Low of Day, Tuesday, Nov 5").
- Volatility: Broadening formations and ATR/DTR metrics suggest significant volatility in the price action.
Potential Trading Setups:
- Look for directional moves off major levels (e.g., $148.68 and $140.08).
- Monitor broadening formation boundaries for potential reversals or breakouts.
NVDA Analysis – Watching Key Levels! Hello Folks
Alright, here’s what I’m seeing on NVDA. We’re still bullish for now, but I’ve marked the level where things could shift if it breaks.
First Entry: Around $140, expecting support to hold and price to bounce.
Second Entry: If price breaks $151, I’ll look to add at $148 after a retest for continuation.
Targets :
TP1: $151.69
TP2: $162.66
Stops below $136, keeping it tight in case the CHOCH level breaks and we start heading lower.
For now, the setup looks solid. Let’s see if $140 holds, or if we dip lower before the next move.
What’s your thought, folks?
Nvidia Bearish again! [S2]----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.***
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I called the top last time, and now I call it again. Last time we hit TP1 and going towards TP2 but then the election interfered. Now lets see what will happen!
Nvidia is bearish once again, the TA remains the same. Got some bear flags showing along with bearish divergences. Also some custom indicators are pointing down as well.
Nvidia pumped and made a new high thanks to Donald J. Trump.
But I believe the FOMO in the market caused from the election is weaning down plus TA is point down too we should see a decent dump.
$146.50-$148.50
TP1: $142.93
TP2: $134.65
TP3: $131.75
Tight Stop Loss: $149.50
Good Stop Loss: $151.25
Loose Stop Loss:$154.50
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***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.***
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NVIDIA breakout to 190$After a 65$ price surge from April to June, NVIDIA was experiencing some consolidation in the range of 140S to 90$. The price broke out of this consolidation zone which formed a symmetric triangle pattern in mid October.
The next target price for NVIDIA is 65$ up from breakout point at 125$, which makes the price target of 190$. This target level coincides with Fibonacci extension level of 2.
We expect some resistance and sell off at this level, however, the company has huge potential and will probably break 190$ level after some consolidation.
Navigating the Surge: Entry Now or Await a Pullback ?Overview: NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA)
Current Price: $146.43 (as of November 7, 2024)
Sector/Industry: Technology / Semiconductors
NVIDIA has experienced a significant surge, reaching new highs. Investors are now contemplating: Is it prudent to enter at current levels, or should one wait for a potential pullback to optimize the risk/reward profile?
Key Levels and Price History
52-Week Range: $108.13 - $146.43
One-Month Range: $130.25 - $146.43
Support Level: $135.00
Resistance Level: $150.00
Upcoming Dates to Watch
Next Earnings Date: December 15, 2024
Dividend Payment Date: December 20, 2024
Ex-Dividend Date: December 5, 2024
Valuation and Metrics
P/E Ratio: 65.55 (above industry average)
Free Cash Flow:
Recent Quarter: $1.5 billion
TTM: $6 billion
Dividend Yield: 0.02%
Institutional Holdings: 70%
Short Interest: 3% of float
Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators
Weekly Trend: +5%
Monthly Trend: +10%
RSI: 68 (approaching overbought territory)
Moving Averages:
50-Day: $140.00
200-Day: $125.00
MACD: Positive divergence, indicating upward momentum
The RSI nearing overbought levels suggests caution, as a pullback may be imminent.
Comparative Valuation
P/E Ratio (NVDA): 65.55 vs. Industry Average: 30.00
P/B Ratio (NVDA): 20.00 vs. Industry Average: 8.00
EV/EBITDA (NVDA): 40.00 vs. Industry Average: 15.00
NVIDIA's premium valuation underscores its growth potential but also indicates higher risk if market sentiment shifts.
Growth & Financial Health
Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 25%
Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 20% annually
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.3 (moderate leverage)
Cash Reserves: $10 billion
Current Ratio: 2.5
Notable News & Social Sentiment
News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – NVIDIA announced a strategic partnership with a leading cloud provider, boosting investor confidence.
Social Buzz: Positive discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, with investors optimistic about NVIDIA's future prospects.
Competitive Comparison
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD): $145.07, P/E 40.00, Revenue Growth 30%
Intel Corporation (INTC): $24.95, P/E 15.00, Revenue Growth 5%
Investment Analysis: Entry Now or Wait for a Pullback?
1. Entry at $146.43 (Current Price)
Target Price (TP): $160.00
Potential Upside: $160.00 - $146.43 = $13.57
Percentage Gain: ~9.27%
Stop Loss (SL): $135.00
Potential Downside: $146.43 - $135.00 = $11.43
Percentage Loss: ~7.80%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 9.27% (reward) / 7.80% (risk) ≈ 1.19
Entering at $146.43 offers a moderate risk/reward ratio, with potential gains slightly outweighing potential losses. However, the proximity to overbought RSI levels suggests a cautious approach.
2. Entry at $135.00 (Wait for Pullback)
Target Price (TP): $160.00
Potential Upside: $160.00 - $135.00 = $25.00
Percentage Gain: ~18.52%
Stop Loss (SL): $125.00
Potential Downside: $135.00 - $125.00 = $10.00
Percentage Loss: ~7.41%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.52% (reward) / 7.41% (risk) ≈ 2.50
Waiting for a pullback to $135.00 provides a more favorable risk/reward ratio, offering greater potential gains relative to potential losses. This strategy aligns with a more conservative investment approach.
Price Forecast Scenarios
Optimistic: $160.00 (assuming continued bullish momentum)
Neutral: $150.00 (aligning with current resistance levels)
Pessimistic: $125.00 (testing lower support levels)
Conclusion
NVIDIA's recent performance reflects strong growth and positive market sentiment.
Aggressive Entry (Today's Price, $146.43): Offers potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to near overbought conditions.
Conservative Entry (Pullback to $135.00): Provides a better risk/reward balance, ideal for those seeking a more cautious approach.
Verdict: While both strategies have merit, waiting for a pullback to $135.00 offers a more balanced entry point, allowing investors to capitalize on NVIDIA's growth potential with reduced risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.
Exploring Nvidia's India Strategy: AI and LanguageNvidia, a leading technology company, has solidified its commitment to India with a series of significant announcements. The company unveiled a Hindi language model and forged strategic partnerships with major Indian corporations, underscoring its ambition to drive AI innovation and language technology in the country.
One of the most notable partnerships announced by Nvidia is with Reliance Industries, led by billionaire Mukesh Ambani. The two companies have outlined plans to build AI infrastructure in India, leveraging Nvidia's cutting-edge hardware and software solutions. This collaboration aims to accelerate AI research, development, and deployment across various sectors, including healthcare, agriculture, and education.
In addition to the partnership with Reliance, Nvidia also launched Nemotron-4-Mini-Hindi 4B, a small language model specifically designed for the Hindi language. Hindi, as the most widely spoken language in India, holds immense cultural and economic significance. The availability of a powerful Hindi language model will enable developers to create innovative applications and services tailored to the needs of Hindi-speaking users.
Nvidia's investment in India comes at a time when the country is experiencing a surge in AI adoption and development. The government's initiatives to promote digital transformation and innovation have created a favorable environment for technology companies to thrive. By partnering with leading Indian firms and investing in language technology, Nvidia is positioning itself as a key player in India's AI ecosystem.
The launch of the Hindi language model is a significant step towards bridging the language gap in AI. While English has dominated the AI landscape, there is a growing recognition of the importance of developing language models for regional languages. By investing in Hindi, Nvidia is demonstrating its commitment to making AI accessible to a wider audience and empowering local communities.
Beyond the immediate benefits of language technology, Nvidia's India strategy also has broader implications. By fostering partnerships and investing in AI infrastructure, the company is contributing to the development of a skilled workforce and promoting innovation in the country. This could have a long-term impact on India's economic growth and competitiveness on the global stage.
In conclusion, Nvidia's announcement of a Hindi language model and partnerships with major Indian companies marks a significant milestone in its India strategy. By investing in AI and language technology, the company is positioning itself as a key player in the country's digital transformation. As India continues to embrace AI, Nvidia's commitment to the region is likely to yield substantial benefits for both the company and the nation.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Rockets Higher! TP1 Hit, Eyes on More Gains!NVIDIA (NVDA) Long Trade (15m time frame)
Entry: $135.03
Current Price: $145.21 – Momentum strong as first target hit.
Key Levels:
Stop-Loss (SL): $131.88 – Below key support level to manage risk.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $138.92 – First target hit, confirming upward trend.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $145.21 – Next target likely to be reached soon.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): $151.50 – Key level for continued bullish momentum.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): $155.38 – Final target for this strong upward move.
Trade Outlook:
NVIDIA has surged after a clear entry signal at $135.03. With TP1 already achieved, bullish momentum remains intact, and we're aiming for the remaining targets as the stock pushes higher. The trend and technical setup suggest further gains are possible.
Nvidia - New All Time High Is Coming!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can rally another +50%:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After creating an expected correction of about -40%, Nvidia is now almost back to new all time highs, showing no signs of weakness despite the recent tech stock correction. If Nvidia creates a new all time high, it is quite likely that it will rally again, potentially all the way up to $400.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVDA we ended the week with an Inside Candle What this means?Nvidia NOTE: We closed the week with an "inside candle" as the last candle.
What does this mean?
Last week, we analyzed the price movement, basing it on the idea that with strong momentum and divergence, the price could continue upward. However, for it to reach the point of interest, the price needed to make its natural retracement.
And that’s exactly what happened (I can hardly believe it myself).
The objective was met, and the price reached our highest point of interest. The issue here is that Nvidia still has a long way to go before it can make that bullish push!
The week closed with an "inside candle," or what some refer to as a "pregnant candle" (don't blame me, that's what they call it).
This type of candle pattern is bearish because it's when a candle loses momentum and starts to change direction. And it's quite obvious—if you can see, my point of interest comes from none other than an institutional liquidity zone. The price may start to struggle in this area, but that doesn’t mean it will fall drastically. No! Let me explain:
NVDA has been coming with a lot of strength since last week, and upon reaching an area where the price has historically retraced, it’s clear that this zone is like a swamp. The price will face the challenge of getting out of this swamp.
So...
The price comes in strong, touches an institutional zone, pauses, and starts forming bearish candle patterns. What is the price telling you?
To wait! The price will most likely make a retracement but will create a range where it will try 1, 2, 3 times or more to break out of this swampy area.
What should we be watching for? 1. Strong volume, and 2. A ranging channel fluctuating between supply and demand, which is essentially accumulating for the next push.
In the meantime, we’ll see what movement happens next week.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
NVDA Great ROI Trade Bullish to 145+ Hi Trading Family
Here is an update for you: a potential finish of our correction down from the analysis we currently did today. Massive ROI and break up potential, if your looking for a great trade with low risk ie put your stop below the low and let it run to 145 this could be the trade your after
Hope this helps
Mindbloome Trader
Nvidia - Consolidation Before -50% Drop!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is preparing for the correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Nvidia is still creating pretty clear market structure and price action and therefore there is no reason to change direction or opinion. Following the previous cycles, a correction of roughly -55% is likely and Nvidia's recent consolidation is a first strong sign of bearish weakness.
Levels to watch: $120. $60
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bullish on NVDA: Riding the AI Wave!In trading, understanding the probabilities is crucial. By analyzing historical price movements and applying mathematical principles, I can identify high-probability setups on my charts.
This mechanical strategy allows me to make informed decisions about entering long positions on NVDA.
Why probabilities?
They help me navigate the unpredictable nature of the market, ensuring that my trades are backed by solid data rather than just intuition.
Here are some key fundamentals currently supporting a bullish bias for NVIDIA (NVDA):
- Surging Demand for AI Chips: NVIDIA is at the forefront of the AI revolution, with its chips being essential for training large language models and powering generative AI applications. The company has seen a staggering increase in demand for its GPUs, particularly the H100 chip, which has become critical for tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Meta.
- Impressive Financial Growth: NVIDIA's stock has surged over 150% this year, significantly boosting its market capitalization. Analysts expect continued strong revenue growth, with projections estimating a 75% increase in third-quarter revenue to approximately $31.69 billion. This financial momentum reflects the robust demand for its AI-related products.
- Strategic Positioning in Data Centers: As companies invest heavily in AI infrastructure, NVIDIA's GPUs are becoming indispensable for data centers. The projected global capital expenditure on data centers is expected to rise dramatically, benefiting NVIDIA as it supplies the necessary hardware.
- Innovative Developments: NVIDIA is actively developing new AI processors to comply with U.S. export regulations, ensuring it maintains a foothold in critical markets like China. This adaptability positions NVIDIA favorably against rising competition from companies like AMD and Huawei.
- Market Leadership: With its early investments in AI technology and continuous innovation, NVIDIA has established itself as a leader in the AI chip market. This dominance allows it to command premium prices and maintain high profit margins, which were reported at 79.1% in the first quarter of 2024.
These factors collectively create a strong foundation for a bullish outlook on NVIDIA as it continues to capitalize on the growing demand for artificial intelligence technologies.
Join me in this journey towards maximizing our potential gains as we ride the bullish wave!
12M:
2W:
1H:
NVIDIA | A Second Technical Entry Opportunity This Year
NVIDIA has presented two key technical entry points for investors in 2024.
The first entry came during a correction in early August around the $100 level, which was shared on my TradingView channel.
The second opportunity is now, following last week’s close at an all-time high level.
After NVIDIA's strong rally in 2024, there have been two technical opportunities to enter the stock. The first was during the correction in early August around the $100 mark , which I highlighted in my earlier TradingView post.
The second opportunity has emerged now, as last week's closing price marked the highest in history. While the stock hasn't officially hit an all-time high yet, it has broken through the critical $130 resistance level, which had been a barrier for the past four months. This breakout puts the stock in what is often called "open waters," where there is no significant resistance overhead.
It's important to note that while this presents a potential technical buy, fundamentals play a key role here. The resistance of four months is relatively short in terms of a breakout, and from a psychological perspective, buying at current highs can feel doubting. While the technicals suggest a reasonable entry, it’s crucial to have a clear thesis, a long-term holding plan, and solid fundamental research.
At this point, I would say that entering the stock now carries more risk. It’s not a good entry point for short-term gains, and I wouldn’t recommend an "all-in" approach at these levels. Only investors who are willing to add to their position during a pullback, and who have done their fundamental homework should consider buying now with a long-term perspective.
Summary
NVIDIA has presented two technical buying opportunities in 2024, with the latest one emerging after a modest breakout above $130. While there is potential for further gains, such as a move toward $150-$170, this is a riskier entry, especially for short-term traders. Investors should consider the current market environment, do their fundamental research, and only buy if they’re prepared to hold for the long term or add to their position in case of a pullback.
Regards,
Vaido
Very Bullish on NVIDIA ! Point of Interest at $140.76 but wait..NVDA: Our point of interest is 140.76, and breaking this point would confirm a change of character (CHOCH) or a break of the main structure.
But wait before that…
We have three validations, one of which is extremely important and needs to be analyzed.
The first validation is the break of the ascending channel. Whenever a candle completely exits the channel (body and wick), I consider it a 100% break. Here we have a candle that broke out with significant strength, and in the days that followed, it made a change of character or CHOCH, which is a break of the previous structure or previous swing.
The second validation is that the 8 and 21 EMA lines show strong divergence. This means that the price has enough strength to continue moving upward. However, we have not yet seen any pullback. Remember that price cycles are distinguished by 3 movements:
1. Momentum
2. Pullback
3. Impulse
We should always measure how much strength the price has by monitoring volume and the divergence of these two important EMAs.
My third validation is that we are approaching their earnings report, which could create buying pressure for NVDA before the report, as previous reports have favored the stock and driven the price upward.
BUT WAIT ! HOLD YOUR HORSES BEFORE THAT!!!
We cannot ignore the order block I have around $134. Be cautious there, as it’s a zone where the price previously had significant liquidity. My prediction is that we may see a retracement before a strong push to our point of interest.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
Best regards,
NVIDIA 4 Hour -30 Minute Wave Counting Where are We Going ? Morning Traders
We are looking at if this market has finished making a wave 4 correction or are we in for a treat with either a small correction down before we punch up to the 137-138 target we have in our wave counting and projections.
The question is always be aware of the worst case scenario here and the best case scenario, take caution
Happy Trading
MB Trader
Nvidia Stock Analysis: Demand for AI Chips Fuel Bullish MomentumNvidia’s meteoric rise in 2024 has been nothing short of remarkable, fueled by the surging demand for its AI chips. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang described this demand as "insane" during an interview with CNBC, sparking even more excitement around the chipmaker’s stock. As of Thursday's premarket trading, Nvidia shares are up 1.91%, and all eyes are on the company’s continued growth potential.
Insane Demand and Strategic Partnerships
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) has emerged as a global leader in AI infrastructure, with its next-generation Blackwell AI chips driving much of the growth. Huang's comments highlight the unprecedented demand for these AI chips as companies across various industries race to build out their AI capabilities. Nvidia’s strategic partnership with IT consulting firm Accenture is another critical factor driving growth. The collaboration aims to help businesses implement AI-powered solutions using Nvidia’s cutting-edge technology, further extending Nvidia’s reach into the enterprise AI market.
This partnership underscores Nvidia’s ability to build an ecosystem of AI-driven businesses, drawing comparisons to tech giants like Microsoft and Oracle. By expanding its AI infrastructure, Nvidia is ensuring its long-term dominance in the AI space, and investors are responding in kind. Nvidia’s stock has surged 140% year-to-date, far outpacing expectations.
Strong Financial Performance
Nvidia’s financials remain impressive. The company has consistently outperformed Wall Street’s projections, driving a rally in its stock price and contributing significantly to the broader market rally in the S&P 500. The expanded partnership with Accenture further solidifies Nvidia’s position as a dominant force in the AI landscape. Additionally, demand for AI chips from companies and governments alike continues to rise, making Nvidia the go-to choice for building AI infrastructure.
Nvidia’s massive year-to-date gains have been driven by demand across various sectors for AI solutions, cementing its place at the center of the AI revolution. This success is only expected to continue as Nvidia rolls out more advanced chips and expands its partnerships.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, Nvidia’s stock is showing signs of even further upside potential. After peaking in June, NASDAQ:NVDA has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern—a classic chart formation that suggests a period of consolidation followed by a significant move in the direction of the prevailing trend.
This pattern is a bullish signal, especially given Nvidia’s already strong uptrend in 2024. If Nvidia’s stock breaks above the triangle's resistance level, the technicals point to further upside. Key price targets to watch are $128 and $139
### **Support Levels: Key Breakdown Area to Watch**
Despite Nvidia’s strong bullish momentum, it’s important to consider potential downside risks, particularly in light of the stock’s history of price fluctuations. The key support levels to watch are $110 and $97, which aligns with a trendline linking the March peaks and the 200-day moving average. This area could provide a safety net if Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) faces short-term selling pressure.
Conclusion
Nvidia paints a compelling picture for long-term investors. The ongoing surge in demand for AI chips, coupled with Nvidia’s strategic expansion into enterprise AI through partnerships like the one with Accenture, sets the stage for continued success.
With Nvidia’s stock forming a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern and key price targets pointing to significant upside, now may be the time for investors to ride the wave of this AI-powered growth story. However, investors should also be mindful of potential support areas in the event of short-term volatility. All in all, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is primed for continued dominance in the AI chip market, and the stock's technicals suggest there's more room to run.
NVDA - Weekly Fall PotentialNASDAQ:NVDA ’s stock has been on a meteoric rise, fueled by the growing demand for AI technology and high-performance computing solutions. However, recent market behavior and technical analysis suggest that a significant pullback may be imminent. The company’s recent 10-for-1 stock split has made shares more accessible to retail investors, but it has also introduced increased volatility. The market has responded positively to the split, but the momentum might be slowing down.
Looking at the NVIDIA chart in a logarithmic scale, we observe three major bullish legs, each with gains exceeding 1000%. The current, third leg appears to be reaching its peak. This trend is further supported by the stock’s position within a rising channel, currently touching the upper boundary, indicating potential resistance. Additionally, lower time frame charts reveal a reversal pattern, suggesting a potential downturn.
Technical indicators show that NVIDIA’s price is at a critical juncture. The stock has demonstrated a reversal pattern in the lower time frames, which is often a precursor to a decline. Moreover, the price is at the top of a rising channel, which typically acts as a resistance level. Given these factors, a pullback seems likely, especially considering the stock’s impressive run-up without significant corrections.
In conclusion, while the broader market sentiment remains optimistic with expectations of new highs for NVIDIA, the technical indicators and recent stock behavior suggest a different story. Investors should be cautious and consider the possibility of a pullback. It is crucial to monitor the stock closely and be prepared for potential profit-taking, especially in the context of the recent stock split and the overall market dynamics.
Again? NVIDA will experience another surge?
Nvidia is forming another symmetrical triangle pattern.
My answer for the topic is yes!
First of all, it is moving in a bullish market overall speaking, so it probably will have a rally if it could break above the symmetrical triangle pattern. it indicates the end of this medium term pullback, and bulls will control the market next.
of course, there are still some important resistance levels above the current price, so we will Continuously follow up, and see what gonna happen!
Nvidia Has Strong Fundamentals but is that Enough?One Of the Biggest Success stories of 2023... NASDAQ:NVDA Truly Gained traction under the insane Artificial Intelligence Growth and alongside the hype train that skyrocketed most Semiconductor Stocks. The Balance sheet is a undeniable strength with more then 3 assets to 1 Liability, with good cash able to cover debt based on the balance sheet. Nvidia has very strong Fundamentals is that enough to justify the PE Ratio being at 55.94x ? and a Price to Sales Ratio of 30.3 ? and its price to books ratio at 50.2 , using these valuation methods Nvidia comes up as a expensive based on its current price to me personally. The RSI Is also pretty high at 53 . I am definitely interested in seeing how Nvidia plays out in the long-term. Share price has been aided by very high revenue growth beating all forecasts by analysts in recent Quarters. Nvidia Benefits from high profit margins, however is that enough to justify the high share price? as for management and there use of the cash we can see that Net margins are 55.0%, ROE of 91.1%, ROA of 60.9%, ROCE of 83.6%.
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Business Revenue Sources:
84.8% of the revenue is derived from "Compute & Networking"
15.2% of the revenue is derived from "Graphics"
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Balance Sheet:
Cash: US34.80b
DEBT: US8.46b
Equity: US58.16b
Total Liabilities: US27.07b
Total Assets: US85.23b
14.5% -> Debt to Equity Ratio
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Nvidia) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this or any idea. Please be careful!
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