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Nvidia_analysis

Navigating the Surge: Entry Now or Await a Pullback ?Overview: NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) Current Price: $146.43 (as of November 7, 2024) Sector/Industry: Technology / Semiconductors NVIDIA has experienced a significant surge, reaching new highs. Investors are now contemplating: Is it prudent to enter at current levels, or should one wait for a potential pullback to optimize the risk/reward profile? Key Levels and Price History 52-Week Range: $108.13 - $146.43 One-Month Range: $130.25 - $146.43 Support Level: $135.00 Resistance Level: $150.00 Upcoming Dates to Watch Next Earnings Date: December 15, 2024 Dividend Payment Date: December 20, 2024 Ex-Dividend Date: December 5, 2024 Valuation and Metrics P/E Ratio: 65.55 (above industry average) Free Cash Flow: Recent Quarter: $1.5 billion TTM: $6 billion Dividend Yield: 0.02% Institutional Holdings: 70% Short Interest: 3% of float Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators Weekly Trend: +5% Monthly Trend: +10% RSI: 68 (approaching overbought territory) Moving Averages: 50-Day: $140.00 200-Day: $125.00 MACD: Positive divergence, indicating upward momentum The RSI nearing overbought levels suggests caution, as a pullback may be imminent. Comparative Valuation P/E Ratio (NVDA): 65.55 vs. Industry Average: 30.00 P/B Ratio (NVDA): 20.00 vs. Industry Average: 8.00 EV/EBITDA (NVDA): 40.00 vs. Industry Average: 15.00 NVIDIA's premium valuation underscores its growth potential but also indicates higher risk if market sentiment shifts. Growth & Financial Health Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 25% Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 20% annually Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.3 (moderate leverage) Cash Reserves: $10 billion Current Ratio: 2.5 Notable News & Social Sentiment News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – NVIDIA announced a strategic partnership with a leading cloud provider, boosting investor confidence. Social Buzz: Positive discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, with investors optimistic about NVIDIA's future prospects. Competitive Comparison Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD): $145.07, P/E 40.00, Revenue Growth 30% Intel Corporation (INTC): $24.95, P/E 15.00, Revenue Growth 5% Investment Analysis: Entry Now or Wait for a Pullback? 1. Entry at $146.43 (Current Price) Target Price (TP): $160.00 Potential Upside: $160.00 - $146.43 = $13.57 Percentage Gain: ~9.27% Stop Loss (SL): $135.00 Potential Downside: $146.43 - $135.00 = $11.43 Percentage Loss: ~7.80% Risk/Reward Ratio: 9.27% (reward) / 7.80% (risk) ≈ 1.19 Entering at $146.43 offers a moderate risk/reward ratio, with potential gains slightly outweighing potential losses. However, the proximity to overbought RSI levels suggests a cautious approach. 2. Entry at $135.00 (Wait for Pullback) Target Price (TP): $160.00 Potential Upside: $160.00 - $135.00 = $25.00 Percentage Gain: ~18.52% Stop Loss (SL): $125.00 Potential Downside: $135.00 - $125.00 = $10.00 Percentage Loss: ~7.41% Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.52% (reward) / 7.41% (risk) ≈ 2.50 Waiting for a pullback to $135.00 provides a more favorable risk/reward ratio, offering greater potential gains relative to potential losses. This strategy aligns with a more conservative investment approach. Price Forecast Scenarios Optimistic: $160.00 (assuming continued bullish momentum) Neutral: $150.00 (aligning with current resistance levels) Pessimistic: $125.00 (testing lower support levels) Conclusion NVIDIA's recent performance reflects strong growth and positive market sentiment. Aggressive Entry (Today's Price, $146.43): Offers potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to near overbought conditions. Conservative Entry (Pullback to $135.00): Provides a better risk/reward balance, ideal for those seeking a more cautious approach. Verdict: While both strategies have merit, waiting for a pullback to $135.00 offers a more balanced entry point, allowing investors to capitalize on NVIDIA's growth potential with reduced risk. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by exlux
Exploring Nvidia's India Strategy: AI and LanguageNvidia, a leading technology company, has solidified its commitment to India with a series of significant announcements. The company unveiled a Hindi language model and forged strategic partnerships with major Indian corporations, underscoring its ambition to drive AI innovation and language technology in the country. One of the most notable partnerships announced by Nvidia is with Reliance Industries, led by billionaire Mukesh Ambani. The two companies have outlined plans to build AI infrastructure in India, leveraging Nvidia's cutting-edge hardware and software solutions. This collaboration aims to accelerate AI research, development, and deployment across various sectors, including healthcare, agriculture, and education. In addition to the partnership with Reliance, Nvidia also launched Nemotron-4-Mini-Hindi 4B, a small language model specifically designed for the Hindi language. Hindi, as the most widely spoken language in India, holds immense cultural and economic significance. The availability of a powerful Hindi language model will enable developers to create innovative applications and services tailored to the needs of Hindi-speaking users. Nvidia's investment in India comes at a time when the country is experiencing a surge in AI adoption and development. The government's initiatives to promote digital transformation and innovation have created a favorable environment for technology companies to thrive. By partnering with leading Indian firms and investing in language technology, Nvidia is positioning itself as a key player in India's AI ecosystem. The launch of the Hindi language model is a significant step towards bridging the language gap in AI. While English has dominated the AI landscape, there is a growing recognition of the importance of developing language models for regional languages. By investing in Hindi, Nvidia is demonstrating its commitment to making AI accessible to a wider audience and empowering local communities. Beyond the immediate benefits of language technology, Nvidia's India strategy also has broader implications. By fostering partnerships and investing in AI infrastructure, the company is contributing to the development of a skilled workforce and promoting innovation in the country. This could have a long-term impact on India's economic growth and competitiveness on the global stage. In conclusion, Nvidia's announcement of a Hindi language model and partnerships with major Indian companies marks a significant milestone in its India strategy. By investing in AI and language technology, the company is positioning itself as a key player in the country's digital transformation. As India continues to embrace AI, Nvidia's commitment to the region is likely to yield substantial benefits for both the company and the nation.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by bryandowningqln
NVIDIA (NVDA) Rockets Higher! TP1 Hit, Eyes on More Gains!NVIDIA (NVDA) Long Trade (15m time frame) Entry: $135.03 Current Price: $145.21 – Momentum strong as first target hit. Key Levels: Stop-Loss (SL): $131.88 – Below key support level to manage risk. Take Profit 1 (TP1): $138.92 – First target hit, confirming upward trend. Take Profit 2 (TP2): $145.21 – Next target likely to be reached soon. Take Profit 3 (TP3): $151.50 – Key level for continued bullish momentum. Take Profit 4 (TP4): $155.38 – Final target for this strong upward move. Trade Outlook: NVIDIA has surged after a clear entry signal at $135.03. With TP1 already achieved, bullish momentum remains intact, and we're aiming for the remaining targets as the stock pushes higher. The trend and technical setup suggest further gains are possible.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ProfitsNinja
Nvidia - New All Time High Is Coming!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can rally another +50%: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After creating an expected correction of about -40%, Nvidia is now almost back to new all time highs, showing no signs of weakness despite the recent tech stock correction. If Nvidia creates a new all time high, it is quite likely that it will rally again, potentially all the way up to $400. Levels to watch: $200 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
10
NVDA we ended the week with an Inside Candle What this means?Nvidia NOTE: We closed the week with an "inside candle" as the last candle. What does this mean? Last week, we analyzed the price movement, basing it on the idea that with strong momentum and divergence, the price could continue upward. However, for it to reach the point of interest, the price needed to make its natural retracement. And that’s exactly what happened (I can hardly believe it myself). The objective was met, and the price reached our highest point of interest. The issue here is that Nvidia still has a long way to go before it can make that bullish push! The week closed with an "inside candle," or what some refer to as a "pregnant candle" (don't blame me, that's what they call it). This type of candle pattern is bearish because it's when a candle loses momentum and starts to change direction. And it's quite obvious—if you can see, my point of interest comes from none other than an institutional liquidity zone. The price may start to struggle in this area, but that doesn’t mean it will fall drastically. No! Let me explain: NVDA has been coming with a lot of strength since last week, and upon reaching an area where the price has historically retraced, it’s clear that this zone is like a swamp. The price will face the challenge of getting out of this swamp. So... The price comes in strong, touches an institutional zone, pauses, and starts forming bearish candle patterns. What is the price telling you? To wait! The price will most likely make a retracement but will create a range where it will try 1, 2, 3 times or more to break out of this swampy area. What should we be watching for? 1. Strong volume, and 2. A ranging channel fluctuating between supply and demand, which is essentially accumulating for the next push. In the meantime, we’ll see what movement happens next week. Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RocketMike111
2
Nvidia - Consolidation Before -50% Drop!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is preparing for the correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Nvidia is still creating pretty clear market structure and price action and therefore there is no reason to change direction or opinion. Following the previous cycles, a correction of roughly -55% is likely and Nvidia's recent consolidation is a first strong sign of bearish weakness. Levels to watch: $120. $60 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
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NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
48
Bullish on NVDA: Riding the AI Wave!In trading, understanding the probabilities is crucial. By analyzing historical price movements and applying mathematical principles, I can identify high-probability setups on my charts. This mechanical strategy allows me to make informed decisions about entering long positions on NVDA. Why probabilities? They help me navigate the unpredictable nature of the market, ensuring that my trades are backed by solid data rather than just intuition. Here are some key fundamentals currently supporting a bullish bias for NVIDIA (NVDA): - Surging Demand for AI Chips: NVIDIA is at the forefront of the AI revolution, with its chips being essential for training large language models and powering generative AI applications. The company has seen a staggering increase in demand for its GPUs, particularly the H100 chip, which has become critical for tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Meta. - Impressive Financial Growth: NVIDIA's stock has surged over 150% this year, significantly boosting its market capitalization. Analysts expect continued strong revenue growth, with projections estimating a 75% increase in third-quarter revenue to approximately $31.69 billion. This financial momentum reflects the robust demand for its AI-related products. - Strategic Positioning in Data Centers: As companies invest heavily in AI infrastructure, NVIDIA's GPUs are becoming indispensable for data centers. The projected global capital expenditure on data centers is expected to rise dramatically, benefiting NVIDIA as it supplies the necessary hardware. - Innovative Developments: NVIDIA is actively developing new AI processors to comply with U.S. export regulations, ensuring it maintains a foothold in critical markets like China. This adaptability positions NVIDIA favorably against rising competition from companies like AMD and Huawei. - Market Leadership: With its early investments in AI technology and continuous innovation, NVIDIA has established itself as a leader in the AI chip market. This dominance allows it to command premium prices and maintain high profit margins, which were reported at 79.1% in the first quarter of 2024. These factors collectively create a strong foundation for a bullish outlook on NVIDIA as it continues to capitalize on the growing demand for artificial intelligence technologies. Join me in this journey towards maximizing our potential gains as we ride the bullish wave! 12M: 2W: 1H:
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Jasminex1x2
NVIDIA | A Second Technical Entry Opportunity This Year NVIDIA has presented two key technical entry points for investors in 2024. The first entry came during a correction in early August around the $100 level, which was shared on my TradingView channel. The second opportunity is now, following last week’s close at an all-time high level. After NVIDIA's strong rally in 2024, there have been two technical opportunities to enter the stock. The first was during the correction in early August around the $100 mark , which I highlighted in my earlier TradingView post. The second opportunity has emerged now, as last week's closing price marked the highest in history. While the stock hasn't officially hit an all-time high yet, it has broken through the critical $130 resistance level, which had been a barrier for the past four months. This breakout puts the stock in what is often called "open waters," where there is no significant resistance overhead. It's important to note that while this presents a potential technical buy, fundamentals play a key role here. The resistance of four months is relatively short in terms of a breakout, and from a psychological perspective, buying at current highs can feel doubting. While the technicals suggest a reasonable entry, it’s crucial to have a clear thesis, a long-term holding plan, and solid fundamental research. At this point, I would say that entering the stock now carries more risk. It’s not a good entry point for short-term gains, and I wouldn’t recommend an "all-in" approach at these levels. Only investors who are willing to add to their position during a pullback, and who have done their fundamental homework should consider buying now with a long-term perspective. Summary NVIDIA has presented two technical buying opportunities in 2024, with the latest one emerging after a modest breakout above $130. While there is potential for further gains, such as a move toward $150-$170, this is a riskier entry, especially for short-term traders. Investors should consider the current market environment, do their fundamental research, and only buy if they’re prepared to hold for the long term or add to their position in case of a pullback. Regards, Vaido
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VaidoVeek
Very Bullish on NVIDIA ! Point of Interest at $140.76 but wait..NVDA: Our point of interest is 140.76, and breaking this point would confirm a change of character (CHOCH) or a break of the main structure. But wait before that… We have three validations, one of which is extremely important and needs to be analyzed. The first validation is the break of the ascending channel. Whenever a candle completely exits the channel (body and wick), I consider it a 100% break. Here we have a candle that broke out with significant strength, and in the days that followed, it made a change of character or CHOCH, which is a break of the previous structure or previous swing. The second validation is that the 8 and 21 EMA lines show strong divergence. This means that the price has enough strength to continue moving upward. However, we have not yet seen any pullback. Remember that price cycles are distinguished by 3 movements: 1. Momentum 2. Pullback 3. Impulse We should always measure how much strength the price has by monitoring volume and the divergence of these two important EMAs. My third validation is that we are approaching their earnings report, which could create buying pressure for NVDA before the report, as previous reports have favored the stock and driven the price upward. BUT WAIT ! HOLD YOUR HORSES BEFORE THAT!!! We cannot ignore the order block I have around $134. Be cautious there, as it’s a zone where the price previously had significant liquidity. My prediction is that we may see a retracement before a strong push to our point of interest. Thank you for supporting my analysis. Best regards,
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by RocketMike111
Nvidia Stock Analysis: Demand for AI Chips Fuel Bullish MomentumNvidia’s meteoric rise in 2024 has been nothing short of remarkable, fueled by the surging demand for its AI chips. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang described this demand as "insane" during an interview with CNBC, sparking even more excitement around the chipmaker’s stock. As of Thursday's premarket trading, Nvidia shares are up 1.91%, and all eyes are on the company’s continued growth potential. Insane Demand and Strategic Partnerships Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) has emerged as a global leader in AI infrastructure, with its next-generation Blackwell AI chips driving much of the growth. Huang's comments highlight the unprecedented demand for these AI chips as companies across various industries race to build out their AI capabilities. Nvidia’s strategic partnership with IT consulting firm Accenture is another critical factor driving growth. The collaboration aims to help businesses implement AI-powered solutions using Nvidia’s cutting-edge technology, further extending Nvidia’s reach into the enterprise AI market. This partnership underscores Nvidia’s ability to build an ecosystem of AI-driven businesses, drawing comparisons to tech giants like Microsoft and Oracle. By expanding its AI infrastructure, Nvidia is ensuring its long-term dominance in the AI space, and investors are responding in kind. Nvidia’s stock has surged 140% year-to-date, far outpacing expectations. Strong Financial Performance Nvidia’s financials remain impressive. The company has consistently outperformed Wall Street’s projections, driving a rally in its stock price and contributing significantly to the broader market rally in the S&P 500. The expanded partnership with Accenture further solidifies Nvidia’s position as a dominant force in the AI landscape. Additionally, demand for AI chips from companies and governments alike continues to rise, making Nvidia the go-to choice for building AI infrastructure. Nvidia’s massive year-to-date gains have been driven by demand across various sectors for AI solutions, cementing its place at the center of the AI revolution. This success is only expected to continue as Nvidia rolls out more advanced chips and expands its partnerships. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, Nvidia’s stock is showing signs of even further upside potential. After peaking in June, NASDAQ:NVDA has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern—a classic chart formation that suggests a period of consolidation followed by a significant move in the direction of the prevailing trend. This pattern is a bullish signal, especially given Nvidia’s already strong uptrend in 2024. If Nvidia’s stock breaks above the triangle's resistance level, the technicals point to further upside. Key price targets to watch are $128 and $139 ### **Support Levels: Key Breakdown Area to Watch** Despite Nvidia’s strong bullish momentum, it’s important to consider potential downside risks, particularly in light of the stock’s history of price fluctuations. The key support levels to watch are $110 and $97, which aligns with a trendline linking the March peaks and the 200-day moving average. This area could provide a safety net if Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) faces short-term selling pressure. Conclusion Nvidia paints a compelling picture for long-term investors. The ongoing surge in demand for AI chips, coupled with Nvidia’s strategic expansion into enterprise AI through partnerships like the one with Accenture, sets the stage for continued success. With Nvidia’s stock forming a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern and key price targets pointing to significant upside, now may be the time for investors to ride the wave of this AI-powered growth story. However, investors should also be mindful of potential support areas in the event of short-term volatility. All in all, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is primed for continued dominance in the AI chip market, and the stock's technicals suggest there's more room to run.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
NVDA - Weekly Fall PotentialNASDAQ:NVDA ’s stock has been on a meteoric rise, fueled by the growing demand for AI technology and high-performance computing solutions. However, recent market behavior and technical analysis suggest that a significant pullback may be imminent. The company’s recent 10-for-1 stock split has made shares more accessible to retail investors, but it has also introduced increased volatility. The market has responded positively to the split, but the momentum might be slowing down. Looking at the NVIDIA chart in a logarithmic scale, we observe three major bullish legs, each with gains exceeding 1000%. The current, third leg appears to be reaching its peak. This trend is further supported by the stock’s position within a rising channel, currently touching the upper boundary, indicating potential resistance. Additionally, lower time frame charts reveal a reversal pattern, suggesting a potential downturn. Technical indicators show that NVIDIA’s price is at a critical juncture. The stock has demonstrated a reversal pattern in the lower time frames, which is often a precursor to a decline. Moreover, the price is at the top of a rising channel, which typically acts as a resistance level. Given these factors, a pullback seems likely, especially considering the stock’s impressive run-up without significant corrections. In conclusion, while the broader market sentiment remains optimistic with expectations of new highs for NVIDIA, the technical indicators and recent stock behavior suggest a different story. Investors should be cautious and consider the possibility of a pullback. It is crucial to monitor the stock closely and be prepared for potential profit-taking, especially in the context of the recent stock split and the overall market dynamics.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Sober_Trading
7
Again? NVIDA will experience another surge? Nvidia is forming another symmetrical triangle pattern. My answer for the topic is yes! First of all, it is moving in a bullish market overall speaking, so it probably will have a rally if it could break above the symmetrical triangle pattern. it indicates the end of this medium term pullback, and bulls will control the market next. of course, there are still some important resistance levels above the current price, so we will Continuously follow up, and see what gonna happen!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by xugina78
1
Nvidia Has Strong Fundamentals but is that Enough?One Of the Biggest Success stories of 2023... NASDAQ:NVDA Truly Gained traction under the insane Artificial Intelligence Growth and alongside the hype train that skyrocketed most Semiconductor Stocks. The Balance sheet is a undeniable strength with more then 3 assets to 1 Liability, with good cash able to cover debt based on the balance sheet. Nvidia has very strong Fundamentals is that enough to justify the PE Ratio being at 55.94x ? and a Price to Sales Ratio of 30.3 ? and its price to books ratio at 50.2 , using these valuation methods Nvidia comes up as a expensive based on its current price to me personally. The RSI Is also pretty high at 53 . I am definitely interested in seeing how Nvidia plays out in the long-term. Share price has been aided by very high revenue growth beating all forecasts by analysts in recent Quarters. Nvidia Benefits from high profit margins, however is that enough to justify the high share price? as for management and there use of the cash we can see that Net margins are 55.0%, ROE of 91.1%, ROA of 60.9%, ROCE of 83.6%. --------------------------------------------------------------- Business Revenue Sources: 84.8% of the revenue is derived from "Compute & Networking" 15.2% of the revenue is derived from "Graphics" --------------------------------------------------------------- Balance Sheet: Cash: US34.80b DEBT: US8.46b Equity: US58.16b Total Liabilities: US27.07b Total Assets: US85.23b 14.5% -> Debt to Equity Ratio --------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Nvidia) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this or any idea. Please be careful! --------------------------------------------------------------- Idea:
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by BullishCanadianInvestor
Are we headed to an incremental new high?With Nvidia breaking tp the upside of the target box for circle-b, that means if we continue to follow through in the Minor B wave, as I am forecasting, we stand an excellent chance to making new all-time highs on a very marginal basis . Nonetheless, this will still be part of the overall primary degree correction that Nvidia is involved in. Read my last post of Nvidia to see the previous target box Larger Timeframe Analysis Showing Primary Degree Correction
NASDAQ:NVDA
by maikisch
Nvidia - A Correction Of -50% Is Starting!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is reversing at a strong resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Last month Nvidia already corrected about -35% but managed to close with an indecision doji candle. However, previous cycles, the recent rally of +1.000% and the fact that Nvidia is retesting a strong resistance trendline all suggest that Nvidia will still move much lower soon. Levels to watch: $100, $55 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
27
Nvidia - The -60% correction is starting!NASDAQ:NVDA is showing us multiple confluences which will lead to a massive move lower. Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy. But on Nvidia we cannot be fearful yet - so far, the smaller timeframes are still bullish. Everything makes me believe though that we will see a significant move lower soon: Nvidia is retesting massive channel resistance, repeated the previous bullish cycles and is preparing for the next correction cycle! Levels to watch: $120, $50 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
51
Nvidia is Going to ZERO. AI Will Not Change the World.Hello Everyone, Anybody buying NVDA at these levels will suffer the same fate as the Intel (INTC) buyers during the Dotcom bubble. Chances are Jun 20, 2024 was the top and so far we have been making lower highs and lower lows. Weekly timeframe shows a bearish engulfing, however we will need a confirmation dump candle with another follow through candle to confirm further dumping as shown in the chart above. Massive bearish divergence on weekly and the RSI might be confirming a lower high for the third divergence. This bearish engulfing candle can be cancelled if we can't close below the candle next week. Whether we still trade around these levels for a little bit longer or dump now, eventually NVDA will be headed towards $5-$10 during this upcoming recession. The NVDA hype will die during this recession and everybody is going to forget about it and will have many competitors in the future. We may never see NVDA this high again in our lifetime.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by justaturboman44
4
NVIDIA to $180Overview It's a good mindset to be skeptical about a bull market that doesn't seem like it should exist. The GDP (Gross Domestic Product) has declined for a second consecutive quarter to a 24 month low and the Civilian Unemployment Rate is the highest it's been since Nov 2021. This leads me to believe that the current rally is being mostly fueled by two factors surrounding artificial intelligence: hype and revenue. NASDAQ:NVDA is the leading A.I. developer and hasn't experienced a decrease in quarterly revenue since November 2022. When faced with the unknown -- which in this case would be the direction of the stock market -- people cling to what they know. I believe this will present itself in more clearly defined trading patterns and price-swing predictability. Technicals NVDA is setting up a pattern that resembles the 5 Elliott Impulse Waves with each wave taking between 3-4 months to develop. If accurate, the trough of the 4th wave could find the share price in the proximity of $100-115. I utilized Fibonacci levels against the low of the 2nd wave to the high of the 3rd wave. In addition to helping find a support level for the 4th wave, the uptrend Fibonacci tool also provided a projected price target near $180. I compared the 1.618 (161.8%) micro-Fibonacci retracement to the 1.618 macro-Fibonacci retracement, which consumes the entirety of the already existing patterns. I took the difference of $18.19 between the projected 1.618 Fib levels then created a low and high range where I believe the 5th wave will peak. I ended my projection at this point, however, it is worth noting that impulse waves are followed by correction waves which serve in the opposite trending direction.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Shepherd_Investor
6
Nvidia Stock Soars On Blowout GuidanceSoaring demand for the chips needed to train the latest wave of generative artificial intelligence systems such as ChatGPT led Nvidia to issue a revenue forecast far ahead of Wall Street expectations, prompting a surge in its stock price in after market trading. The US chipmaker on Wednesday said it expected sales to reach 11bn dollar in the three months to the end of July, more than 50 per cent ahead of the 7.2bn dollar analysts had been expecting and confirming its position as the biggest short-term beneficiary of the AI race that has broken out in the technology industry. The forecast fuelled a 27 per cent leap in Nvidia’s shares, which had already more than doubled since the start of the year, and lifted its stock market value to a record 960 bn dollar. Jensen Huang, chief executive, said the company was “significantly increasing our supply to meet surging demand” for its entire family of data centre chips, including the H100, a product launched this year that was designed to handle the demands of so-called large language models such as OpenAI’s GPT4. The race in the tech industry to develop larger AI models has led some customers to worry privately about a shortage of H100 chips, which only went on sale earlier this year. However, Nvidia’s $4.28bn in sales to data centre customers in its latest quarter topped even the most optimistic analysts’ forecasts, and the company said there had been strong sales of both the H100 and its A100 chips, based on its previous chip architecture. Nvidia’s forecast noted a potential doubling of sales to data centre customers in three months, even though data centre sales were running at an annualised rate of $17bn in the opening quarter of this year. Growth is coming from customers across the board, Kress said, with consumer internet companies, cloud computing providers and enterprise customers all rushing to apply the generative AI to their businesses. The bullish forecast came as Nvidia reported revenue and earnings in its latest quarter, to the end of April, had also topped forecasts, thanks to a jump in sales to data centre customers as demand for AI took off. Revenue reached $7.19bn, up 19 per cent from the preceding three months but down 13 per cent from the year before, as sales of chips for gaming systems dropped. Earnings per share rose 22 per cent from a year before to 82 cents, or $1.09 on the pro forma basis Wall Street judges the company. The consensus view on Wall Street had been for revenue of $6.52bn and pro forma earnings of 92 cents a share. now let's delve into the numbers. Nvidia's different business units did not all perform equally well during the quarter - which can be expected, of course. Nvidia's data center business grossed revenues of $4.3 billion during the first quarter, which represents a new record high. Data center demand is not very cyclical, and companies kept investing in new equipment despite a potential recession being on the horizon. This can be explained by the fact that data centers are mission critical for many companies, so they don't really have a lot of choice when it comes to allocating capital to this space. Strong data center sales also have been seen in the results of other chip companies such as Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). Both Nvidia and AMD also were able to benefit from the weak performance of their competitor Intel (INTC), as Intel has been losing market share in the data center space in recent quarters due to self-inflicted problems and an unconvincing product line-up. Nvidia is a major graphic chip or GPU player and is thus heavily impacted by the performance of related end markets. This includes both cryptocurrency mining and gaming. While some cryptocurrencies can't be mined with GPUs economically, such as Bitcoin, others, such as Ethereum, can be mined with GPUs. Ethereum moved from a proof-of-work model to a proof-of-stake model in the fall of 2022, but some miners still use GPUs for Ethereum mining. Not surprisingly, Nvidia's sales to this end market depend on the price for cryptocurrencies - when cryptocurrencies are expensive, miners are more eager to acquire additional GPUs and they may also be willing to pay high prices for them. During times when cryptocurrencies are less expensive, mining is less profitable, and GPU demand from cryptocurrency miners wanes. This has had an impact on Nvidia's sales in the past and likely played a role in Nvidia's Q1 sales as well. GPU sales have been under pressure in recent quarters due to lower demand by gamers as well. Many that like to play video games upgraded their hardware during the lockdown phase of the pandemic when staying at home meant that consumers had more time for video games. With many gamers having relatively new equipment, demand has declined in the recent past. At the same time, inflation pressures consumers' ability to spend on discretionary goods. On top of that, some consumers prefer to spend their money on experiences over things now as there are no lockdowns or travel restrictions in place any longer. All in all, this has resulted in a difficult macro environment for Nvidia's gaming business. Combined, the headwinds for the gaming market and the cryptocurrency market explain why Nvidia's sales and profits kept declining during the most recent quarter, relative to the results the company was able to generate one year earlier. The strong performance in the data center space was not enough to offset the headwinds Nvidia experienced in other areas. I personally going to take huge profit right now and wait for 250 $ levels
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moonypto
5
Nvidia's Stellar Rise Amidst the AI Gold Rush Nvidia, the tech giant renowned for its high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs), has been riding a wave of unprecedented success. As the world dives deeper into the realm of artificial intelligence (AI), Nvidia's GPUs have become the indispensable hardware powering the most advanced AI models. This surge in demand has propelled Nvidia's stock to new heights, solidifying its position as a leader in the semiconductor industry. The AI Revolution Drives Demand The rapid advancements in AI technology have created a voracious appetite for computing power. Nvidia's GPUs, originally designed for rendering complex graphics, have proven to be remarkably efficient at handling the intensive calculations required for training and running AI models. Their parallel processing architecture allows them to perform multiple tasks simultaneously, making them ideal for the demanding workloads associated with AI. As AI applications continue to expand across various industries, from healthcare and finance to autonomous vehicles and customer service, the demand for high-performance GPUs has skyrocketed. Companies like OpenAI, Meta, and Google are investing heavily in AI research and development, and Nvidia's GPUs have become a critical component of their infrastructure. Nvidia's Strategic Moves Nvidia has been proactive in capitalizing on the AI boom. The company has made significant investments in research and development to enhance its GPU technology and expand its product offerings. In addition to its traditional gaming GPUs, Nvidia has introduced specialized AI accelerators, such as the A100 and H100, which are optimized for AI workloads. Furthermore, Nvidia has been expanding its ecosystem through partnerships and acquisitions. The company has collaborated with major cloud providers like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform to offer AI services based on its GPUs. This has made it easier for developers and businesses to access and utilize AI capabilities. Challenges and Opportunities While Nvidia's prospects appear bright, the company faces certain challenges. The semiconductor industry is cyclical, and there is a risk of a slowdown in demand for GPUs if the AI market experiences a correction. Additionally, competition from other chip manufacturers, such as AMD and Intel, is intensifying. However, the long-term outlook for AI remains positive, and Nvidia's strong market position and technological leadership give it a significant advantage. As AI continues to penetrate various sectors, the demand for high-performance computing power is likely to grow, providing ample opportunities for Nvidia to expand its business. Conclusion Nvidia's success story is a testament to the transformative power of AI. The company's ability to leverage its GPU technology to meet the demands of the AI revolution has propelled it to the forefront of the semiconductor industry. As AI continues to evolve and reshape the world, Nvidia is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing market and maintain its leadership position.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by bryandowningqln