NVDA Analysis — Stuck in Island AloneGreetings dear comminity!
In the vast sea of stock prices, NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shines distinctively.
💜 If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜
Presently priced at $408, it finds itself ensnared in an intriguing Island Pattern formation. This pattern implies an imminent pullback, with a likely destination being the gap level at $318.
For astute investors eyeing long-term positions, this impending dip could offer an enticing entry point. However, a word of caution hangs in the air – tread carefully. While potential gains loom, the risk is equally palpable.
Risk Management is Key:
Avoiding excessive risk is non-negotiable. Prudent investors should keenly observe the price action as it unfolds towards the $318 mark. Analyze each movement, gauge market sentiment, and only then consider making your move.
In the volatile realm of stocks, knowledge is power, and careful strategy is your shield. As NASDAQ:NVDA navigates this intriguing pattern, wise investors stand vigilant, ready to capitalize on opportunities while safeguarding their investments.
Happy investing!
Nvidia_analysis
NVIDIA Short sell ideaNASDAQ:NVDA is looking weak as per my analysis as the price shows a potential bearish H&S pattern with multiple confirmations. Weekly candles is heavily rejected from the 50 moving average and Daily EMAs have finally closed below all 50, 100 and 200 DMA. On top of this RSI shows momentum weakness which solidifies my short trade idea for $NASDAQ:NVDA. Would like to initiate shorts below ~$405 and target of ~$378 and ~$323 in the upcoming quarter
ANALYSIS ON NVDADear Investors and Traders,
I'm sharing with you this analysis on NVDA to let you know that the price will come down after the squeeze it made in October, if you're holding as an investor close your position and take your profits, and if you're trading there's no point of taking long trades on NVDA currently.
For further questions, don't hesitate to ask!
Foxconn and Nvidia are building 'AI factories'Nvidia and Foxconn are working together to build so-called "AI factories," a new class of data centers that promise to provide supercomputing powers to accelerate the development of self-driving cars, autonomous machines and industrial robots.
Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang and Foxconn chairman and CEO Young Liu announced the collaboration at Hon Hai Tech Day in Taiwan on Tuesday. The AI factory is based off an Nvidia GPU computing infrastructure that will be built to process, refine and transform vast amounts of data into valuable AI models and information.
"We're building this entire end-to-end system where on the one hand, you're building this advanced EV car...with an AI brain inside that allows it to interact with drivers and interact with passengers, as well as autonomously drive, complemented by an AI factory that develops a software for this car," said Huang onstage at the event. "This car will go through life experience and collect more data. The data will go to the AI factory, where the AI factory will improve the software and update the entire AI fleet."
The AI factory tie-up builds off a partnership between Nvidia and Foxconn announced in January to develop autonomous vehicle platforms. That agreement involved Foxconn becoming a primary supplier of electronic control units (ECUs) for automakers, which will be built with Nvidia's Drive Orin system-on-a-chip (SoC), a supercomputing AI platform that supports autonomous driving functions. On Tuesday, Foxconn also committed to manufacturing ECUs with Drive Thor, Nvidia's next-gen SoC, after production starts in 2025.
As part of that partnership, Foxconn -- which has been steadily unveiling off-the-shelf EV platforms for automakers to purchase -- said the vehicles it makes as a contract manufacturer will be built with Nvidia's Drive Hyperion 9 platform, which includes not only Drive Thor, but also a suite of sensors like cameras, radar, lidar and ultrasonic that are necessary for self-driving capabilities.
Foxconn is already contracted to build EVs for Fisker, even as it gets sued by its erstwhile partner Lordstown Motors. The automaker will need scale in order to make its AI factories viable, especially if it's going to compete with Tesla.
[EN] Shooting star Nvidia. Target: 195$ // GaliortiTrading NASDAQ:NVDA has its very mature uptrend in an exhausted five-wave cycle on 3-month candles . It is currently developing a shooting star at all-time highs .
It is highly likely to develop a corrective pattern in its long-term uptrend. Probably in a wave A, B, C pattern. The top of the previously broken bullish channel , its accelerated trendline and the level of 61.8% of Fibonnaci constitute the target of this correction ($195).
Large bearish divergence with RSI indicator
Nvidia (NVDA) -> Path Ahead Is ClearMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Nvidia.
After Nvidia - just a couple of months ago - perfectly retested the bottom support trendline of the rising channel at the $120 level Nvidia stock pumped more than 300% towards the upside.
We do have next resistance coming in at the $600 level and although Nvidia looks quite overextended, I do expect more bullish continuation to retest the upper channel trendline.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Nvidia’s earnings, will the ‘AI hype’ keep driving momentumOn 23 August, we saw another set of incredible results from Nvidia.
The company’s data centre business grew revenues more than three times in six months, hitting $10.323 billion and a figure of more than 171% growth year-over-year. Guidance for the current quarter is now $16 billion, while consensus was in the range of $12.6 billion .
We see Nvidia’s year-to-date return alongside Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), SK Hynix, and the Nasdaq 100 Index.
It’s clear that the train of artificial intelligence (AI) adoption is leaving the station, but it’s possible that the journey itself is still in the early stages.
As investors consider Nvidia’s valuation in the autumn of 2023, it is rational to think of two primary factors. One is whether this forecast, that the total market size for AI-accelerating semiconductors in 2027 will be around $150 billion, will prove true (it might be too high…or too low). The other regards how much market share Nvidia itself will be able to maintain.
From what we can see today, the biggest risk to Nvidia’s continued domination of AI computational resources would be the ‘Big 3’ cloud providers 1) designing their own chips and 2) incentivising their customers to use them for their AI workloads. We say this because it is difficult to picture either AMD or Intel, on their own, making a significant dent.
While Nvidia might be perceived as being at the centre of the AI megatrend, exemplifying the hopes and predictions of many with regard to the topic, Nvidia graphics processing units (GPUs) do not operate in isolation. Nvidia doesn’t even fabricate the physical chips.
TSMC fabricates the actual H100 chips that firms are presently racing to buy. TSMC is the most significant fabricator of semiconductors in the world. With all the attention on AI, one would assume that TSMC would be on fire (like Nvidia), but that has not been the case.
Even if AI-related semiconductors are dominating the headlines, they do not yet dominate the full global market for semiconductors.
Consider this question: in 2023, are people or companies racing to buy new smartphones or personal computers?
These are two important areas to monitor when thinking about the totality of the semiconductor market and, while they had been hot in recent years, in the ongoing cyclical trend, 2023 is one of the colder years for this type of demand.
Some might be surprised to learn that AI-chips are only responsible for about 6% of TSMC’s total revenue. This is one of the signals that tells us that we are still early in our AI adoption journey. However, TMSC has also stated that this figure should compound at roughly 50% per year for the next five years and, in 2027 AI-related chips, should be roughly 13% of TSMC’s total revenue .
Another consideration regards the relative sizing of TSMCs customers, as it helps in understanding the revenue picture that much better. With all the Nvidia attention, we might be tempted to assume that it is TSMC’s biggest customer, but that honor actually goes to Apple. In fact, if we add up the estimated share coming from Qualcomm, AMD and Nvidia together, it would be very similar to Apple’s estimated revenue contribution .
TSMC does get some attention by virtue of being in Taiwan amidst the ‘US vs China’ geopolitical tensions, but Nvidia’s H100 also needs high bandwidth memory to function. SK Hynix is the primary provider. Its next generation chips can process the equivalent of 230 high definition, full-length movies in a second. The dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) market that relates to AI is about 16% of revenue today but should grow to roughly 41% of the total by 2025 .
How might performance of the AI-theme evolve from here?
As we approach the latter part of 2023, we know that AI has been a catalyst for some of the world’s largest tech companies to drive US equity markets higher for the better part of the year so far. After a rough 2022, the change in performance from negative to positive was welcome. However, we know that investors overestimate the short term and underestimate the long term, so there is a chance that the AI journey will take longer and we’ll have some ups and downs performance-wise. The funny thing is that we’re already seeing a diverse performance experience across the space.
Conclusion: riding the multi-year trend in AI
AI research and advancement is occurring all the time. In a year like 2022 it was nearly impossible to talk about it due to poor market performance and a rough macro backdrop. Now, in 2023, it’s nearly impossible not to talk about it and people are reaching for exposure in myriad ways. We can think about it like this:
1) Nvidia has moved a lot and may continue to move, but in H2 2023 it is difficult to rationalise chasing Nvidia as a single stock too much further in the near term. We have seen a lot of interest in strategies focused on semiconductors, but there is really only one Nvidia.
2) The Nasdaq 100 Index is extremely top-heavy in terms of putting lots of weight in a narrow set of very large tech companies. Many of these companies have developed or are developing large language models to push AI forward. It’s possible that AI is the catalyst that keeps growth in favour within US equities in the coming decade and leads to these companies continuing in the veritable equity driver’s seat.
3) Software is an interesting area for consideration. As the first part of 2023 was transpiring, many were thinking about a potential recession later in the year. Spending on software was not necessarily in an upward trend. In H2 2023, while the idea of a recession is fading away, the idea of ‘spending on software’ has shifted more towards ‘spending on AI.’ One of the areas we continue to look at is cybersecurity: any time customers are expanding access to new technologies, it needs to be accompanied by increased focus on security.
Source:
1 Moore et al. “NVDA reports another exceptional quarter as AI spending surges.” Morgan Stanley Research. August 24, 2023.
2 Chan et al. “Correction: AI Semi Demand Outshines; keep OW.” Morgan Stanley Research. July 20, 2023.
3 Chan, 2023.
4 Sohn, Jiyoung and Yang Jie. “This Company is Nvidia’s AI Chip Partner—and Its Stock is Soaring.” Wall Street Journal. August 27, 2023.
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Nvidia -> 100% New All Time Highs!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nvidia 💪
A couple of months ago Nvidia perfectly retested the lower support trendline of the major monthly rising channel and the next resistance towards the upside is roughly at the $750level.
You can see that Nvidia still looks a little bit overextended on the weekly timeframe but therefore I do expect the bullish momentum to continue for the next couple of weeks.
With the recent break and retest of the $470 daily structure zone, market structure on Nvidia is now back to bullish and it will just be a matter of days until Nvidia creates a new all time high.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
NVIDIA - 200 DSMA and OBV Analysis An analysis of how the 200 DSMA and On Balance Volume can help us frame potential set ups for a Nvidia and what it might do next.
Bullish Case and Invalidation Level
Price is above the 200 DSMA at present and because we are breaking above a recent high on the OBV, this could signal higher highs for price similar to June 2020.
Invalidation Level: This bullish scenario can be invalidated if the OBV breaks below the lower resistance line, in which case we can then expect a revisit of 200 SMA.
Bearish Case subject to change of current trend
If we fall below the 200 DSMA or/and get rejected from the overhead OBV resistance line this would indicate a trend change to the downside and this would look similar to the Oct 2018 signal.
We could arguably be at a similar level to February 2020 (pre crash territory) which resulted in the orange handle price action in the prior cup and handle. A similar move would see use correct down to the 200 DSMA.
In terms of trading, the OBV would be your lead indicator here, if it breaks its trend to the down side breaching the lower resistance line I would exit the trade. Similarly if it holds and reaches higher towards the upper OBV resistance line I would sit on the trade until we reach the line, at which point you could reduce your position and take some profit, or wait for a confirmation of rejection from the overhead line, then de-risk. The point is, these OBV levels should be able to help you make your decision on the trade, it is ultimately your decision.
The chart is fascinating as current price action draws similarities to the Oct 2018 period, the Feb 2020 period and the June 2020 period, all of which were critical market moments. NVIDIA may be turning into a macro asset that can help us determine the overall market trend and direction.
Hope this helps
PUKA
NVDA Falls Flat Today Following Big Market BeatAs we navigate these uncertain times, we must remain cautious and closely monitor the developments in NVDA and the broader stock market.
Unfortunately, NVDA witnessed a lackluster performance today, failing to maintain its momentum after the recent market rally. This decline may raise concerns and prompt us to reevaluate our trading strategies. While noting that a single day's performance does not determine the long-term trajectory is essential, it warrants closer observation.
Considering the current state of the general stock market, keeping a watchful eye on NVDA becomes even more imperative. As we witness increased volatility and potential market fluctuations, staying informed and making well-informed decisions is vital. By closely monitoring NVDA's performance, we can gain valuable insights into the market sentiment and potential trends.
Therefore, I encourage you to include NVDA in your watchlist and diligently track its movements. Keep an eye on the key indicators such as volume, price action, and any significant news or events that might impact the stock. Doing so, we can better navigate the volatile market conditions and make informed trading decisions.
Remember, caution is vital during uncertain times. While the market may present opportunities, it is crucial to approach them with a measured perspective. By staying informed about NVDA's performance and its correlation to the broader market, we can position ourselves to capitalize on potential opportunities or protect our portfolios from potential downturns.
In conclusion, I urge you to closely watch NVDA as it responds to the general stock market fluctuations. Take advantage of the tools and resources available to stay updated on the latest news, market trends, and expert opinions. We can navigate these challenging times more effectively by maintaining a cautious approach and being proactive in our analysis.
Nvidia's stock has been suppressed by the 4.618 on gold splitNvidia's stock has been suppressed by the 4.618 on gold split
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Nvidia's stock in the past year. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section of October 2022. As shown in the figure, the recent high point of Nvidia's stock has been suppressed by the 4.618 position on the gold split at the bottom of the figure! Due to NVIDIA's recent release of its second quarter financial report, its actual revenue was $13.51 billion, a year-on-year increase of 101%; Under non US GAAP, the net profit was $6.74 billion, a year-on-year increase of 422%, directly leading its stock to soar! However, it is not ruled out that there is a possibility of a bullish turn into a bearish turn. In the future, the 4.618 position on the bottom of the graph above the golden section can be used as the dividing line between bullish and bearish positions for Nvidia stocks!
Nvidia -> Earnings ObliterationHello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nvidia 💪
A couple of months ago Nvidia perfectly retested the lower support trendline of the major monthly rising channel and the next resistance towards the upside is roughly at the $800 level.
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Nvidia is not slowing down at all and with today's massive +10% after hour earnings gap Nvidia just created new all-time-highs.
Since the weekly and the monthly timeframe are both back to bullish now, I am simply waiting for a retest of the previous resistance at the $470 level which is then acting as strong support.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
NVDA's Earnings Report: Strategic Positions to Consider Introduction:
It's time to rejoice as we dive into the exciting world of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) and explore the potential positions to consider after their recent earnings report. With the stock prices rising, let's embrace the positive vibes and strategize our moves to make the most of this profitable opportunity!
1. Riding the Momentum:
NVDA's earnings report has sent shockwaves through the market, propelling the stock prices to new heights. As traders, we can ride this momentum and capitalize on the upward trend. We can join the celebration by positioning ourselves to benefit from the stock's bullish run and potentially reap impressive profits.
1. Long-Term Growth Perspective:
NVDA has consistently proven its ability to innovate and adapt to the ever-evolving tech industry. With a strong focus on artificial intelligence (AI), gaming, and data centers, the company has positioned itself as a global leader. As the demand for these sectors continues to grow, NVDA's long-term growth prospects remain promising. Traders with a more patient approach may consider holding onto their positions, allowing them to enjoy the potential benefits of sustained growth.
2. Options Trading for Enhanced Gains:
For traders seeking a more dynamic approach, options trading can offer exciting opportunities. With NVDA's stock prices on the rise, options strategies such as buying calls or employing bullish spreads can help magnify potential gains. By leveraging these strategies, traders can amplify their profits while managing risk effectively.
3. Diversification for Stability:
While NVDA's recent earnings report has been impressive, it's always wise to maintain a diversified portfolio. By spreading our investments across different sectors, we can mitigate potential risks associated with any single stock. Consider exploring other promising companies in the tech industry or even different sectors, ensuring a well-rounded portfolio that can withstand market fluctuations.
4. Staying Informed:
As traders, staying informed is crucial for making sound investment decisions. Monitoring NVDA's news, industry trends, and quarterly reports will provide valuable insights into the company's performance. Additionally, monitoring the broader market sentiment and potential catalysts can help guide our positioning strategies effectively.
Conclusion:
With NVDA's earnings report driving its stock prices to new heights, it's an exciting time to be a trader. By capitalizing on the momentum, adopting a long-term growth perspective, exploring options trading, diversifying our portfolio, and staying informed, we can position ourselves for success and potentially reap significant profits.
Remember, trading is both an art and a science, and embracing a positive mindset while making informed decisions is the key to thriving in the market. So, let's celebrate NVDA's success and embark on this profitable journey together!
AlertNVDA stock just breaks out of a bullish flagThis week, Wall Street will focus on Nvidia's quarterly report as investors search for potential catalysts to rekindle the U.S. stock market recovery.
In addition to a 6% gain last week, the chipmaker's shares are up 6.66% so far on Monday ahead of Nvidia's quarterly report on Wednesday.
NVDA stock just broke out of a local bullish flag. Traders expect it reaches $500 in the short term.
The technical target of the pattern is just below $600!
NDVA Surges After JPMorgan's 'Massive Shift' in AII couldn't contain my excitement when I heard about the recent development that has sent shockwaves through the industry. Brace yourselves, as this news might be the golden opportunity we've been waiting for!
Just yesterday, JPMorgan, one of the world's leading financial institutions, made a groundbreaking announcement about a "massive shift" in its approach to artificial intelligence (AI). And guess whose stock soared to new heights as a result? You guessed it right! NVIDIA Corporation (NDVA)!
This remarkable turn of events has created a buzz in the market, and it's not hard to see why. JPMorgan's decision to embrace AI technology on such a grand scale indicates this sector's immense potential and profitability. With NDVA already being a key player in AI, it's no wonder their stock shot up like a rocket!
Now, you might wonder, "What's the next move, and how can I benefit from this exciting development?" Well, my friends, I firmly believe it's time to go long on NDVA! With JPMorgan's endorsement and the growing demand for AI solutions, we are looking at a potential goldmine here.
So, without further ado, let's seize this opportunity and take advantage of the momentum surrounding NDVA. By going long on this stock, we position ourselves to ride the wave of success that lies ahead. It's time to trust our instincts and make a move that could yield substantial returns.
As always, conducting thorough research and exercising sound judgment is crucial before making any investment decisions. However, given the recent news and the positive market sentiment, it's hard not to feel a surge of excitement about the prospects of NDVA.
So, my fellow traders, let's embark on this thrilling journey together and capitalize on the exciting developments in the AI sector. Please consider going long on NDVA and join me in embracing this opportunity.
Nvidia -> Is This The Top Formation?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nvidia 💪
Looking at the monthly timeframe you can see that after Nvidia retested previous support and the 0.786 fibonacci retracement at the $110 level, there was a solid rally towards the upside.
Looking at the weekly timeframe you can see that Nvidia is still a little bit overextended and we could certainly see a weekly retest of the 0.382 fibonacci level which is perfectly lining up with previous structure.
After Nvidia broke down of the rising channel a couple of days ago there was not a lot of bearish follow-through and also daily market structure is not bearish yet - I am simply waiting for a better situation on Nvidia to then look for a new trading opportunity.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
UPDATE: Nvidia on track to its target of $562.33As mentioned before, there was a large Cup and Handle that formed on the price chart.
We then had the price break up and out of the brim level, showing intense demand and buying.
We also have 7>21>200 MA - Bullish and RSI>50 (Bull zone).
The first anticipated target we set was a medium term one to $562.33
Nvidia continues to make higher highs and all time highs. And this will continue as long as people are feeling bullish and confident with the current AI, Machine learning, deep learning
and quantum computing developments on the rise.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Founding:
Nvidia Corporation was founded in 1993 by Jensen Huang, Chris Malachowsky, and Curtis Priem.
Headquarters:
The company is headquartered in Santa Clara, California, USA, in the heart of Silicon Valley.
GPU Pioneer:
Nvidia is credited with inventing the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) in 1999, revolutionizing the gaming industry by allowing for more complex visuals and 3
Industries:
While Nvidia is best known for its impact on video games, its GPUs are also used in areas like artificial intelligence, high performance computing, data centers, automotive technology, and more.
GeForce:
One of Nvidia's most well-known product lines is the GeForce series, which are GPUs designed for consumers, primarily for gaming and video editing.
Tegra Processors:
Nvidia also produces Tegra mobile processors for smartphones and tablets, as well as vehicle navigation and entertainment systems.
AI & Deep Learning:
Nvidia has made significant contributions to the fields of AI and deep learning, with their GPU architectures being used to accelerate these tasks.
Nvidia -> Slowing Down And Now?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nvidia 💪
Looking at the monthly timeframe you can see that after Nvidia retested previous support and the 0.786 fibonacci retracement at the $110 level, there was a solid rally towards the upside.
Also on the weekly timeframe you can see that we had a juicy inverted head and shoulders reversal pattern and I pointed out all the reasons why I do expect the upcoming pump of roughly 120% towards the upside.
Looking at the daily timeframe now you can see that Nvidia is a little bit overextended is also slowing down with momentum so there might be the possibility that we will see a short term correction after Nvidia actually breaks the current uptrend line.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
NVDA - MyMI Option Plays - PUTsJust purchased some NVDA PUTs after it lose movement from this mornings push upward. I was seeing if it would cross that $430 Fib Retracement Level but it didn't even make it that far before showing signs of moment loss (for the moment).
So in that moment, I will be looking to snatch some profits going backward for a bit, potentially back to the $400s.
50% Retracement would show $390 but I'm being gracious with the $400 target for now.
Nvidia will be necessary to step out of the relatively high triaNvidia will be necessary to step out of the relatively high triangle
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Nvidia shares over the past year. The graph overlays the high and low points of November 2021 and October 2022, along with the corresponding golden section. As shown in the figure, the high points of Nvidia shares last week and this week were suppressed by 1.382 of the golden section in the figure! Nvidia's stock has accelerated since the middle of May 2023, and obviously the bull momentum has been released! In the future, it will be necessary to step out of the relatively high triangle and organize it before continuing to exert upward force!
NVDA - MyMI Option Plays - PUTsNVDA hit resistance yet again at $394.97 so we closed our Calls this morning and captured some decent profits.
We have purchased some PUTs to carry us over the weekend for a cool-off period before the markets continue pushing forward if they even push much further than here.
We believe volume has leveled out across different stocks now after all the profit taken and NVDA and other Tech carrying the Markets higher.
Nvidia's runaway gap could keep it king of the NasdaqWhilst Meta platforms has closed the gap with Nvidia in terms of YTD performance on the Nasdaq 100, Nvidia remains king of the crop having climbed over 170% from its 2022 low.
Prices blew past their previous record high set in 2022, and since consolidated around the current cycle highs. An initial inspection of the higher timeframes suggests it could be 'overbought' - at least over the near-term. But to expect a solid reversal of gains would likely require the combination of a broader market downturn alongside loss of confidence in AI (with the latter feeling unlikely at present). Therefor, a broader market downturn could simply provide the catalyst for a pullback and for AI-bulls to load up at more favourable levels. And if a downturn does not occur? We could be looking at a breakout from its current consolidation.
Assuming the recent swing lows hold and prices break higher, it could trigger another bout of technical buying from those who identified the 'runaway gap'. Such gaps tend to appear around the midway point of a strong trend, and mark another round of strong buying as those who missed the first move cannot sit on their hands any longer. And with the AI frenzy unlikely to peter out for some time, perhaps a bullish breakout isn't so crazy (even if the charts suggest it could be overbought by some measures).