Warren Buffet buying homebuilders after huge runsNot sure what NYSE:BRK.A NYSE:BRK.B is thinking, Warren Buffet.
Is he expecting a huge demand for NEW HOMES?
There was increase in demand after large drop.
Maybe thinking that the Fed reduces #interestrates after things begin to crack, more?
TVC:TNX has been pumping (10 Yr), no signs of weakness.
They've all had huge runs NYSE:DHI NYSE:NVR NYSE:LEN.B
🤷♂️
#RealEstate
NVR
Stocks at OPPORTUNITY Levels!Buenos dias! I am back from a vacation to Panama (the country, not the Redneck Riviera) where I had a refreshing time and I'm ready to hunt for opportunities and share! Many great stocks have pulled back to their 50% Retracement Levels. If you follow my ideas you know that this is my favorite technique for finding opportunities in any instrument.
I use a winner from this year, one of the best stocks of 2022, Coca-Cola NYSE:KO as a proof of concept as it is up over 7% from a second 50% Retracement retest last week. The new opportunities I am finding at these levels are:
NYSE:ACN
NASDAQ:AMAT
NYSE:NVR
NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:GOOG
Long $NVR $5,900 Price Target 2021Since my last post, I've adjusted my price target to $5,900 per share. Analysts are too conservative and wrong about $NVR and the influence of the unprecedented action from the Fed. That said, my price target has many assumptions baked in including continued low rates through all of 2021, a Trump re-election (extension of the low tax regime) and COVID resolution.
This estimate includes revenues of around ~$8B, net income of ~$1B, around ~$750M spent on repurchases, a float of ~3.4M shares for EPS of around $295 per share next year.
The company has unbelievably high ROA, ROE, ROIC all from a very balanced capital structure. Operating income and hence operating cash flow is the most important characteristic of any business in my view. It's $NVR's ability to continue to produce strong operating cash flow that enables it to repurchase so much stock and enrich existing shareholders by increasing their proportionate equity.
Uptrend on $NVR After some interesting Q1 results discosed on April the 19th, with EPS and net margin topping analysts' forecasts, the stock is now continuing in its uptrend with a trailing support netting higher and higher lows.
RSI on the 4h chart shows an overbought situation but the distance of price to the support line is currently of 16724bps, roughly a 5,7% margin.
***As usual, not a trading advice, merely my idea for informational and educational purposes***