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2025 forecast NYA Wave B top nearing 20% decline plusThe chart posted is that of the NYA .12/8 /2024 Major wave B top forming target 20,190 alt 22130 . Cycles are bearish into 2025 and well into oct 2026 Depression Like decline . into oct 2026 . First big decline should take us down into the spiral turn date 3/10 2025 week . in what should be an 11.8 to 16.6 % decline we should then see a rally into Mid July to Sept 2nd Then cycles begin next bear cycle phase . Down hard in most of 2026 The market in this decline should take us down about another 26 to 35% in wave 3 , The final low if the big picture is correct should see a major low oct 10/20 2026 the total decline should be 38% to 44 % Gold should see 1050 to 1489 . Bonds should form a rally but will fail over n over . BMV:US should see 119 to 121 handle in 2025 by mid oct 2025 . . Tariffs and the trade war are the main reason . But the markets since 2009 have been Liquidity driven with zero rates forced money flows into Assets 2025 will see a Deleveraging of inflation assets as we decline in housing markets based on the 18.8 year cycle in housing . Unemployment will see a sharp rise into 5.5 -6.1% into oct 2025 . based on downsizing of the federal workers Bitcoin will see a drop min 42/35 and a final low is 18500 to 22100 peak to low . . In dec 2021 Forecast called for a 20 plus decline into oct 10 to the 20th 2022 into 3510 to 3490 in the sp 500 .Dec 2022 forecast was calling for a rally to new highs in all indexes . In dec 2023 forecast called for the sp to reach 5636 to 5818 and the year of a vix of 29 or better we saw 60 . What next is at most I have said is a target in the sp of 6183/6235 We may or may not reach that But if is going to it will be jan 2 to the 20th 2025 . The last of the money flow . Best of trades WAVETIMER
TVC:NYA
by wavetimer
MAJOR MULTI YEAR TOP FORMING NYA The chart posted is that of the NYA index .I have Not changed my Labeling or the Spirals . The Math is and has been rather Clear over the last 10 years and in fact going into the target low of 2009 march 9th . We have now entered the MIN target for wave C up or wave 3 of 5 of 5 at 19564 The targets call for this wave to peak 19564 to 20178 if wave 1 from covid low is to peak at .786 of wave 1 Jan 2 top 2022 .And wave C or 3 up at the same targets 19564/20178 The TURN due 10/10 to 19th saw the peak of 19901 and can be counted as 5 wave up .YET I can and have counted the rally as a abc x abc up which would mean we have One more rally above 19901 with it being at 20178 plus or minus 100 . .What if we had a blowoff ?? based on the Fractal of 2018 . That would mean a target of 22196 and wave 1 and 3 would be Equal. But in Diagonal waves tend to be .786 or .887 of the preceding wave Most of which have been .786 .This give me reason the believe we have a LAST GASP of EUPHORIA In the market just after the election into the 19th of the month ! .If we break the NYA 18,036 which is .786 market I would then confirm SUPER CYCLE TOP of wave 3 or Wave B Both are DARK Times Just ahead I ask you to see Gold chart and ask yourself IF things are so stable then Why would anyone be in Gold??? BEST OF TRADES THE WAVETIMER !! GOD BLESS THIS GREAT NATION !!!!
TVC:NYA
by wavetimer
1
SEVEN SPIRALS JAN !)to JAN 18 A MAJOR TURN EVENTThe chart posted is the NYSE and I have not alt one wave within the count and We have 7 golden ratio spirals in time pointing to a FOCUS Point the week of JAN 10 to the 18th 2024 I am LOOKING FOR A WORLD WIDE EVENT If you look at each one of the points The Markets had HUGE MOVES that started. We are now also above the monthly Bollinger bands in the dji Everytime we broke above the band back to 1902 by 1.4 to 3.45 % btw we only had once 4.4% in 121 years The DOW had a sharp move to the downside 10 % or more and most were the FINAL PEAKS we are now 1.25 % above . BEST of TRADES WAVETIMER
TVC:NYA
by wavetimer
3
NDQ | Hidden in plain sight...This is a period of recession, a period when hands change. Last becomes first and first becomes last. Curiously, if you mix and match the main indices, you will get bored of the same shape appearing over and over again. They all appear in the same period. This stuff is hidden in plain sight... NDQ vs DJI SPX vs NYA NDQ vs RUI RUI vs NYA RUA vs DJI This one is full of small HnS. A little rough but okay. And an extra speculation: DJI vs SPX Question: Where do all these HnS lead to? Who is the final recipient? Since all these charts are comparative to one another. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
TVC:NDQ
by akikostas
6
TROW Follow the Real MONEY wave e of B ending The chart posted is and has been a chart to which I have felt the real underlying market moves are true!! We are now fast approaching the final move up in wave E to end the B wave that started in SUPER CYCLE decline from My forecast 12/8 2021 the BULL MARKET ENDED from 1974 and maybe 1932 . So what next well the golden ratio spirals and cycles oct 10th to 20th focus on the 10th dec turn on the 24th and march 10/23 turns have been working well or should I say I been trusting my judgement of the cycles . What is a head we are now coming into the May 9th +or - 1 date then then the GRANDDADDY june 10 to the 23 this is the BIG one it is 6.5 to 7 spirals infact the peak sept 1929 and aug 25th 1987 as well as the other 5 all that week.
NASDAQ:TROWShort
by wavetimer
GS WAVE C CRASH EARLY STAGEThe chart posted is my top wave count based on ew and cycles I do not in anyway see the Fed coming to the rescue the cycles I stated in dec 2021 are clear the deflation of ALL assets min downside is and will be at or about the march 23 low 2020. . I have been every clear based on 121 years of data the 20 month avg turned down and had 90 days to overcome the 4250 area in the sp 500 we have now passed it 3 days ago we are only mid point in the Bear Market and the worst has yet to come . The fed will reduce the balance sheet over the next 24/30 months and based on the Mandate of 1913 to keep INFLATION under control .I stated in dec 2021 the we ended a super cycle bull market dated back to 1974 and most likey to 1932 under both views my target of 3511/3490 was going to be the first leg down . We ended the abc rally into aug 16th as the forecast called for then dropped into the time cycle due oct 4th to the 20th focus oct 10th we have rallied into alt date for wave 2 into feb top the only way to view this drop at BEST is a wave B . I have moved all my funds into us T BILLS . the wave C CRASH based on all the data back to 1902 has min date is OCT 2023 and No New BULL MARKET till OCT 2024 The DEPRESSION LOW . BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER . I ALWAYS SAID I WOULD BE HONEST AND STRAIGHT FORWARD
NYSE:GS
by wavetimer
DATA 1902 TO PRESENT 20 MONTH MOVING AVG TURNS DOWN SIGNALTHE CHART POSTED is that of the Long Term back to 1902 pre FED and Post FED . in each point posted the markets when the 20 month moving avg turned down . The markets confirmed True Bear markets and that the corrections in time were at a Minimum declining of 11 more months And saw the market drop back to the 100 month avg in each time . in the SP 500 THAT IS 2975 ! . Always trust ALL the DATA not cherry picking time !! BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER
TVC:DJIShort
by wavetimer
2
updated nyse chart target for panic lows oct 2022Final low is in DEC at 8909/9223 I am working on the spirals still from past I will have that within this week . The chart posted is that of the NYSE I use this over all to give me a much clearer view as it is ALL the data . in 1987 panic the market dropped to a near perfect .382 from peak to low oct 1932 . and then again in 2009 the drop from 2000 to 2002 times 1.618 gave us the low .Then again in march 23/2020 from the peak in 2020 to the 1974 low a perfect .382 drop to the low . . I am of the view we will return to the level of the 4TH wave which is the march 23 low 2020 soon . Best of trades WAVETIMER ! I am 75 % net short see posts and aug 16/25 turn . or you should be in 100 % cash and should remain until US $ reaches 128 area . Most of you just want to H>O>P>E> that we will be off to the races after this low. I can tell you based on the debt cycle and after a 40 year bull market in expansion of debt that just started a long term BEAR MARKET . I have stated for the record we will see a P/E of lower that 14 and unemployment to see well above 6.3 % I stated by year end if I am off it will be by march 2023
TVC:NYAShort
by wavetimer
2
DJI | Solid landNow we are in a thick moving sand. We need to drop much further to find solid land. A way of looking at the clouds is as if they are mud. We are dropping as if we are very big, heavy and slow. I have drawn some possible support levels. The upper 3 are taken from the DJI/M2SL ratio, and the bottom one is taken after we scale appropriately the GFC. We need to mind the speed, the size and the scale of this recession, to compare it with past ones. All 3 areas taken from this chart, are in important fib retracements. The retracements are drawn with the magnet tool and are very accurate. We are moving very fast downwards, so we could very easily collapse to 2008 levels. Also take a good look at the DJI/M2SL chart. It clearly shows that: For the past 20 years we haven't grown. Right now we are in a level which is in the middle of the GFC. And it feels like we are worse than in 2007. The M2SL comparison, transforms what we see (DJI price) to what we feel (DJI/M2SL). If you take a look at the charts I made regarding the true cost of energy, you will get a similar understanding of the tough spot we are in. PS. You must pray. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
DJ:DJI
by akikostas
1
NDQ/NDX/IXIC | Exactly the same (except the blow-off top)Please read to the end, for a probable explanation that falsifies this one. We are living the precise events that led up to the 2000 .com bubble burst and the subsequent 2001 recession. Now however, there was no blow-off-top event to make the two events identical. Back in 1998, there was a "black swan" event, which was more apparent in DJI/SPX. This was caused by a crisis in Russia's economy. In 2019, a world-wide crisis caused the well-known crash. The progress after it is completely identical. This can be further validated if you compare fundamentals. And also analyze DJI/SPX/NYA. Much of the damage may have already occurred. But much more pain remains, perhaps immense. Germany is about to collapse (or already collapsed). Also war, food/water crisis, inflation, a destroyed production chain, are not ingredients for growth. I am also adding this chart, which shows that probably the worst is coming, since it looks like we are barely falling. PS. And now follows a conspiracy story: Let there be a very rich man, who wants to be even richer. Since he is so wealthy, he could cause an earthquake. He would shake the box of economy, up and down at the time he pleases. And he confused the people, because the box of economy has taken a shape we all have seen before. In the era of information, who can't possibly see what is in front of him? Who on earth could not have possibly remembered the shape in front of them? And as a different story said, everyone but a child could see the kings clothes (the king was nude). And everyone feared, and sold everything they had to save themselves. And the rich man shook the box again and again, until it looked like we landed. And everyone thought that they were safe because it looked like it, and they bought again. And everything went up again. And the king was happy, because everyone saw his clothes, everyone followed him, and everyone bought when he wished... And at the right time, he cracked the box and took your money. What an anticlimatic end to a story! Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
TVC:IXIC
by akikostas