2Y yield - 45 degrees, break-outs and break-downs. Using 45 degree angles for 2Y yield (or inflation barometer) and stock market (faang). Pretty useful.
Bolts show where break downs of inflation are and where inflation is rising.
45 degrees show the strongest trend. You dont even need to use RSI. all must equal
NYFANG
VIX, no potential to break out?the closer Weekly BB to resistance, the better odds for VIX break out. Whilst everything is possible, I don't think it has the power or potential to break out.
TLT feels like bottoming somewhere this summer? depends on the inflation metrics. But FED itself believes inflation is coming down.
Often these one-time events are bought by the smart money. Depends if the conflict (mid east) escalates to something more? Maybe there's a broad market risk, outside the quality.
End-of-Quarter sell-off effectAccording to ChatGPT:
Yes, end-of-quarter sell-offs are a phenomenon observed in the stock market where investors may sell off their holdings toward the end of a financial quarter. There are several reasons why such sell-offs occur:
Portfolio Rebalancing: Institutional investors, such as mutual funds and pension funds, often rebalance their portfolios at the end of each quarter to maintain their desired asset allocation. If certain stocks have performed well and become overweighted in the portfolio, they may sell some of those stocks to bring the allocation back in line with their strategy.
Window Dressing: Fund managers may engage in window dressing at the end of each quarter. This involves buying or selling securities to improve the appearance of their portfolio holdings in reports to clients or shareholders.
Quarterly Earnings Reports: Companies typically release their quarterly earnings reports shortly after the end of each quarter. If these reports are disappointing or if there are concerns about future earnings growth, investors may sell off their holdings in those companies.
Tax Considerations: Individual investors may engage in tax-loss harvesting toward the end of the quarter to realize losses for tax purposes. This could lead to increased selling pressure on certain stocks.
These are just a few reasons why end-of-quarter sell-offs may occur in the stock market. However, it's important to note that not every quarter sees significant sell-offs, and market behavior can vary depending on a wide range of factors including economic conditions, geopolitical events, and investor sentiment.
NYSE FANG+ Index: wait is better⌛' The NYSE FANG+ Index is a rules-based, equal-weighted equity benchmark designed to track
the performance of 10 highly-traded growth stocks of technology and tech-enabled companies in the
technology, media & communications and consumer discretionary sectors'.
Companies included in the index:
Meta, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Microsoft, Google, Tesla, NVIDIA, Snowflake and Advanced Micro Devices.
Graphically speaking, I would expect a better definition of which way the price is going.
Looking at the Stochastic Momentum Index, I would say that opening a long position would be too risky.
Below are some possible scenarios:
Scenario 1:
Scenario 2:
Scenario 3:
Scenario 4:
Scenario 5: