Crude is retesting the broken up trend lineCrude broke a year long up trend line earlier this month. It has now tested the bottom of the up trend line several times and looks ripe for drop.
Take your loss on a daily candle close back above the trend line .
Target the three indicated levels. You can even hold a portion of the trade for the June 2017 low.
Follow your stops as the trade moves in your direction.
Be sure to size your trade according to your risk parameters. NEVER BET THE FARM!
No trade is guaranteed 100% to work. You NEVER know what the market will do.
Your first job is to protect your trading account.
Nymex
Crude Oil Future APR2018 (NYMEX)Trading Signal
Short Position (EP) : 62.80
Stop Loss (SL) : 62.85
Take Profit (TP) : 62.35
Description
CL1! formed Double Repo Sell at 1h time frame. Trade setup with sell limit at 0.618 level of FR (62.80) and place stop loss after 0.382 level of FR (62.85). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (62.35)
Money Management
Money in portfolio : $50,000
Risk Management (2%) : $1,000
Position Sizing
1 Tick value = +-$1000
Commission fee = -$30/contract
EP to SL = 0.05 Tick value = -$50/contract
Contract size to open = 12 contracts
EP to TP = 0.45 tick value = +$450
Expected Result
Loss = -$960
Gain = +$5,040
Risk/Reward Ratio = 5.25
Crude Oil APR2018 (NYMEX)Trading Signal
Short Position (EP) : 63.05
Stop Loss (SL) : 63.75
Take Profit (TP) : 62.00
Description
CL1! have reached day resistance zone and about to go down for correction. Turtle Soup was formed during 4h time frame. Set up sell stop at 63.05 and place take profit (Buy limit) before 0.382 of FR (62.00) Wait for the market price hit entry point then, place stop loss (Buy stop) at high of the candle stick (63.75)
Money Management
Money in portfolio : $50,000
Risk Management (2%) : $1,000
Position Sizing
1 Tick value = +-$1000
Commission fee = -$30/contract
EP to SL = 0.70 Tick value = -$700/contract
Contract size to open = 1 contracts
EP to TP = 1.05 tick value = +$1,050
Expected Result
Loss = -$730
Gain = +$1,020
Risk/Reward Ratio = 1.38
CRUDE OIL (NYMEX)B&B Pattern. Trade setup with Stop Buy position (EP) at 63.50, Stop Loss (SL) at 62.50 and Take Profit (TP) at 64.30
Money Management
I have 17,000 USD in my portfolio. I can lose 10% of the port which is 1700 USD.
Position Sizing
1 Tick = $1000
1 Contract size need IM = $2,310 (I can open not more than $17,000 / $2,310 = 7.35 Cons)
It is 1 Tick from EP to SL, with 1 Con, I will lose 1 * $1000 = $1,000
To lose 1,700 USD I need to open 1,700 / 1,000 = 1.7 Con
Then I will put 1 Contract
#Boeing - Release of new 737MAX 9 gives positive climb rateHi guys! Not a technical analysis, more of airplane lovers analysis. I'm forecasting Boeing price climb upto 192 as there are more and more interest in their new 737 family aircrafts. They did a lot in terms of fuel efficiency and introduced longer fuselage. New CFM engines, new signlets look amazing and they decrease fuel consumption by manipulating aerodynamics.
Crude long idea- CLBounce-a-thon
You can wait for the 50.13 resistance to break to go long
or go long now and have a stop at 47.52.
However, there seems to be a better risk/reward if you go
long after 50.13.
Be patient with this kind of setup since it's a daily chart.
Also, I'm new so please trade accordingly.
Signs of weakness despite output cutsWTI failed to break new highs despite efforts to cut output from the Saudis. Iran and Russia has yet to fully comply with output cuts meanwhile US oil production gradually increasing week on week on the back of reports suggesting that shale production cost are becoming cheaper.
US Dollar remain strong in an uptrend after breaking out from its trading range, this will probably push oil prices lower.
Short with SL 55.5 Target below 45This is bit of a contra call since fundamental news points to oil moving higher in near term.
EW count is self explanatory; also note the RSI divergence. Crude is moving in an expanding wedge and has lacked upside momentum despite positive news flows. If the EW count is correct Crude could move to new lows in 2017 .
SL should be breakout from the expanding wedge (currently at ~ 55 and offers lucrative RR); 43 should offer medium term support.
Oil: Resumption of monthly downtrend?Oil is approaching an interesting juncture, after breaking the recent swing low, creating a reaction to the upside.
I have shorted oil from between 42 and 41, and added on the way down, but recently covered when approaching the low volume support zone in light blue.
I have added a quarterly speed line, connecting 2015's Q2's high with 2016's Q1 low, which has acted as resistance before, rejecting price at the recent top, as well as speed lines for the recent up and down swing in the daily chart.
If we look closely, we can detect that April 4th's bar, offers a nice resistance level to short against, which matches the speed line analysis I've conduced, and also, is favored by time at mode trend analysis.
We're trading below the uptrend mode, and despite finding bulls at a low volume support zone, it could very well be a short squeeze rally, and probably short lived.
If price enters my sell zone (the red box from March 31st to April 14th), we could enter short (or add to shorts in the money) with a stop loss above the 38 handle, or more conservatively, above 41.5. Target is 21.70 but monitor the support levels below.
Good luck if taking this trade.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
CL 12-14 ForecastCL 12-14: Light Sweet Crude Oil
CL is forming strong bullish move during November 2014 off the weekly bottom being formed this week. Aggressive traders can go long on any pullback move to the critical black lines.
If weekly bar closes above 81.16-20 zone, this will be great confirmation of starting uptrend at least during first two weeks of November before the expected price capitulation at the end of next month (November). I will keep watching this instrument because it is my favorite one and will update you with re-entries.
WTI Crude Oil - SHORTYesterday WTI Crude Oil (/CLM4) completed an MACD divergence crossover on the DAILY chart. This signals a start of an intermediate downtrend (Less than 1 Month) for the Oil Futures.
Trade Idea: SHORT /CLM4 at current prices and add more up to $103.45. Stop Loss is at a break of new highs at $104.20. Profit Target is $98 to $96.
If you like trading Options, consider buying 100 Puts and Selling 105 Calls to offset the Put purchase (of course some margin will be used up).