Warning: what can save us from a collapse: must read.⚠️This analysis isn’t purely chart-based, but in this macro environment, understanding the bigger picture is essential for predicting market movements. Hopefully, TradingView will allow this idea so that everyone can read it.
What Can Save Us?
Before looking for a solution, we must first acknowledge the problem—and then determine if and when a resolution is coming.
1. Trump’s Tariffs & Policies: A Market Shock
Trump’s economic strategy marks a radical departure from the policies of the past 30 years. However, previous administrations weakened U.S. global influence, shifting power in favor of China.
Since Trump's motto is "Make America Great Again", serious changes are inevitable. Until investors fully grasp these policies, uncertainty will persist.
Let’s break down the key areas of impact and Trump’s expected responses:
2.Monetary Policy & The Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve (FED) and Jerome Powell are not aligned with the White House.
Powell is sticking to his monetary policy approach, but Trump needs 0% interest rates to implement his vision.
Markets hate uncertainty, and this is fueling volatility.
🔴 Trump's Response:
Expect a bombshell move—Trump will fire Jerome Powell and replace him with a Fed chairman who supports rate cuts to 0%. This will cause short-term chaos but ultimately fuel a massive market rally as:
✔️ The housing market recovers
✔️ Liquidity surges
✔️ Stocks skyrocket
3.U.S. Dependence on China & Russia for Raw Materials
The U.S. imports essential resources from China and Russia, making it vulnerable.
The BRICS alliance is strengthening, further threatening U.S. dominance.
🔴 Trump's Response:
Trump has openly expressed interest in acquiring Greenland, citing its rich natural resources. He will take it by military force if necessary, positioning the U.S. as a raw material powerhouse on par with Russia.
4.Lost Allies: Canada, Mexico & South America
Canada is aligning with Europe
Mexico & South America are leaning towards BRICS
🔴 Trump's Response:
To counter this:
Canada will be pressured into rejoining a U.S.-led trade bloc—or face potential annexation.
South American economies will be crippled by tariffs, forcing them to reintegrate under U.S. influence.
5.Geopolitical Conflicts: Middle East & Ukraine
Iran is aligned with Russia & China
Ukraine relies on Europe (France, UK, EU), rather than the U.S.
The U.S. is not benefiting from these wars
🔴 Trump's Response:
If Zelensky continues to align with Europe, Trump may order a full-scale U.S. bombing of Ukraine, flatten Kyiv, eliminate Zelensky live on TikTok, and then split Ukraine with Russia.
This move would:
✔️ Strengthen U.S.-Russia relations
✔️ Secure a deal on Greenland
✔️ Humble Europe
6.Conclusion: A Global Power Shift
Expect a period of chaos and fear. However, what investors must understand is that Trump is 100% serious about these moves—and he will execute them regardless of global opinion.
If Trump’s strategy works:
✅ The U.S. will regain dominance
✅ Markets will rally hard
✅ Confidence in the U.S. economy will be restored
If Trump fails:
🚨 A prolonged economic downturn (15-20 years of stagflation)
🚨 U.S. & Europe suffer major losses
🚨 Best move? Relocate to Asia or the Middle East before the crash.
So, even if Trump’s policies seem insane, the best-case scenario is that he succeeds.
💡 DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Trump #MAGA #Geopolitics #StockMarket #SPX500 #Trading #Investing #Economy #FederalReserve #RateCuts
Nyse
SNOW Finds Support at 200-Day SMASnowflake has been trading within a wide range between 108 and 240 over the past three years. During this period, revenue growth has remained steady, but operating and R&D expenses have consistently increased. This is a company that prioritizes growth and invests heavily in research, expanding its product offerings and business relationships.
However, the recent downturn, driven by tariffs and the broader selloff in AI and cloud-related stocks has exposed Snowflake's vulnerabilities.
The company reports reflect this caution. Recently, SNOW has received both downgrades and buy signals, highlighting analyst and market indecision. In such an environment, the stock’s performance will likely lean heavily on broader index movement. With a beta above 1.5, SNOW is expected to react more sharply to market swings. The consensus 12 month target still shows 38% upward potential.
Currently, Snowflake is finding support at the 200-day simple moving average. If the market manages to weather the impact of the April 2 tariffs and potential countermeasures, SNOW could stage a solid rebound. On the downside, the 130–135 zone stands out as a key support area just below the moving average.
Loar Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LOAR) Set To Report Earnings TodayLoar Holdings Inc (NYSE: LOAR), a company that designs, manufactures, and markets aerospace and defense components for aircraft, and aerospace and defense systems in the United States and internationally is set to report earnings result on Monday, March 31, 2025, before market open.
Belonging to the aerospace and defence sector, Loar Holdings Inc (NYSE: LOAR) closed Friday's session down 2.61% trading within the psychological support zone formed prior a falling wedge pattern.
With the RSI at 45 a breakout above the resistant point could cement the grounds for a bullish campaign. Similarly, a breakdown below the psychological support zone could lead to a selling spree for NYSE:LOAR shares.
Analyst Forecast
According to 4 analysts, the average rating for LOAR stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $83.5, which is an increase of 26.57% from the latest price.
Comstock Resources (CRK) – Expanding U.S. Natural Gas DominanceCompany Overview:
Comstock Resources NYSE:CRK is accelerating natural gas production, reinforcing its position in the Western Haynesville play, a key U.S. gas region.
Key Catalysts:
Production Expansion & Strategic Acquisitions ⛽
Increasing drilling rigs from 5 to 7 for higher output.
Acquired 64,000 net acres in Haynesville, boosting reserves & market share.
Investment in Drilling & Midstream Infrastructure 🏗️
$1.0-$1.1 billion planned for 46 horizontal wells in 2025.
$130-$150 million allocated to midstream development, optimizing gas transport & profitability.
Market Strength & Growth Outlook 📈
Positioned to capitalize on rising U.S. natural gas demand & global LNG expansion.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on CRK above $15.50-$16.00, supported by production growth & infrastructure investment.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $30.00-$31.00, driven by expansion, operational efficiency, and market strength.
🔥 CRK – Fueling the Future of U.S. Natural Gas. #CRK #NaturalGas #EnergyStocks
KE Holdings (BEKE) – Transforming China’s Real Estate MarketCompany Overview:
KE Holdings NYSE:BEKE is revolutionizing real estate with its hybrid digital-physical platform, leveraging strategic backing from Tencent (8% voting power).
Key Catalysts:
Strong Financial & Earnings Growth 💰
Analysts project 20.9% annual earnings growth and 26.7% EPS increase.
Reinforces BEKE’s leading position in China’s real estate sector.
Expanding Services & Market Reach 🌍
Acquisition of Shengdu Home Decoration (2022) strengthens BEKE’s homeownership services.
Broadens revenue streams beyond real estate transactions.
Strategic Backing & Partnerships 🤝
Tencent’s support enhances financial stability & collaboration opportunities.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on BEKE above $20.00-$21.00, supported by rising profitability & business expansion.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $36.00-$37.00, driven by earnings growth, platform expansion, and strategic alliances.
🔥 BEKE – Shaping the Future of Homeownership in China. #BEKE #RealEstateTech #GrowthStock
Harmony Gold Mining (HMY) – Strong Growth & Rising ProfitabilityCompany Overview:
Harmony Gold Mining NYSE:HMY continues to outperform expectations, delivering higher grades, cost efficiency, and production expansion.
Key Catalysts:
High-Quality Gold Extraction ⛏️
Underground recovered grades surged to 6.4 g/t, exceeding full-year guidance.
Reinforces HMY’s ability to extract high-quality ore.
Cost Efficiency & Rising Gold Prices 📈
All-in sustaining costs at ZAR 972,000/kg, well-managed despite inflationary pressures.
Gold’s safe-haven demand surging due to geopolitical tensions, boosting HMY’s margins.
Expansion & Future Growth 🚀
New high-grade mining site announced, set to enhance future production & revenue growth.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on HMY above $10.50-$11.00, supported by cost control & rising gold prices.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $17.00-$18.00, driven by high-margin production & increasing investor interest in gold.
🔥 HMY – Unlocking Gold’s Full Potential. #HMY #GoldMining #SafeHavenAsset
Chevron (CVX) – Strong Growth & Cash Flow ExpansionCompany Overview:
Chevron NYSE:CVX continues to demonstrate strong operational efficiency, strategic expansion, and record-breaking U.S. production.
Key Catalysts:
Production Growth & Profitability 🚀
Global production up 7% in 2024.
U.S. output surged 19% to record levels.
Permian Basin nearing 1M bpd, reinforcing cash flow strength.
Strategic Expansion & Sustainability 🌍
Gulf of Mexico projects targeting a boost from 200K to 300K bpd.
Future Growth Project in Kazakhstan enhances long-term production & ESG alignment.
Navigating Venezuelan challenges while leveraging stable U.S. policies for continued growth.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on CVX above $139.00-$140.00, backed by resilient production growth & execution.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $215.00-$220.00, supported by strong cash flow & expansion initiatives.
🔥 Chevron – Powering the Future with Growth & Stability. #CVX #EnergyStocks #OilAndGas
Everyone’s scared of booze stocks… Why I’m still buyingThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research.
One of the things I find interesting is that a lot of people say “why do you like booze stocks so much Eden” and yet many of these same people are at the pub, or buying En primeur from Glengarry Wines. The short answer is — I like stocks that trade at multi-year lows with a predictable product. There is a fairly hysterical article in the FT wondering “Is alcohol the new tobacco?” To which I say, well, tobacco companies are absolute cash machines. The best performing stock in the S&P, of all time, to the best of my knowledge, is Altria.
I know investing in tobacco is not fashionable (and yet, how many people do you see on the street vaping?). I know it goes against “ESG” and the scolds at public health slap you on the hand and say “gosh that is very bad for you!”. But the truth is that tobacco does generate tremendous profits — the net income margin for British American Tobacco is 39.1%. For those in the back, that’s for every $1 you sell, you make 39.1 cents of profit. There’s very few businesses with such fantastic operating margins — Visa’s net income margin is 56%. If I owned only one stock forever, I guess it’d probably be Visa.
My point is — waving your hands about and saying “oh no! Tobacco!” belies the economics of it. The tobacco companies are doing very well, thank you very much. It will come as no surprise that cigarette smoking has been replaced by vaping. To paraphrase Oscar Wilde, news of nicotine’s demise has been greatly exaggerated.
This is not saying to invest in tobacco stocks, but my point is that human habits don’t change. They merely evolve, but the song remains the same.
To be fair — alcohol consumption is declining. But it isn’t declining at a rate that calls for any kind of alarm. Most of the companies I follow — Brown Forman, Diageo, Constellation, etc, reported largely flat sales. It’s also instructive to look to history.
In other words — alcohol consumption has largely normalised in the last few decades. There’s still cause for worry — I think wine is one area of concern, and Cognac is another — both industries need to think about how they introduce younger drinkers to their product. This is why I largely shy away from wine (and why Constellation is selling their wine portfolio). “Evergreens” like Guinness (a Diageo brand) and Jack Daniel’s (a Brown-Forman brand) are predictable.
Once again — a bunch of ratios for ya’ll:
Brown-Forman: 18x fwd earnings
Pernod: 12x fwd earnings
Constellation Brands: 13.25x fwd earnings
And so on… these stocks trade like they are discount retailers in biddlybunk Ohio. They are not. There’s the issue. There’s where value lies. Cigarettes never went away; they became vapes. In my opinion, I don’t see booze going away anytime soon either.
Breaking: KB Home (NYSE: KBH) On The Verge of a Selling SpreeShares of KB Home (NYSE: NYSE:KBH ) saw a 7% downtick early morning in Tuesday's premarket session breaking below the psychological support point of $60 enroute towards a selling spree.
Operating as a homebuilding company in the United States, the company operates through four segments: West Coast, Southwest, Central, and Southeast. It builds and sells a variety of homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, townhomes, and condominiums primarily for first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers.
Yesterday after market close KB Home report earnings results, posting lower profit and revenue in its fiscal first quarter, hurt by softer-than-expected demand.
KB Home shares have declined 10% over the past year due to affordability pressures and elevated interest rates, with Q1 results showing significant demand slowdown.
The company reported weak Q1 financials, with earnings and revenue misses, a 9% drop in deliveries, and a 17% fall in net orders.
Elevated interest rates and increased supply have pressured margins and demand, particularly affecting first-time buyers, leading to reduced revenue guidance and operating margin
Financial Performance
In 2024, KB Home's revenue was $6.93 billion, an increase of 8.10% compared to the previous year's $6.41 billion. Earnings were $650.19 million, an increase of 10.97%.
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, shares of NYSE:KBH are down 7.20% on Tuesday's premarket trading with the asset facing selling pressure, should the RSI which is currently at 48 dip to 40, a bearish campaign would be inevitable- similarly, a move above the $72 pivot could change the course for NYSE:KBH shares.
Analyst Forecast
According to 13 analysts, the average rating for KBH stock is "Hold." The 12-month stock price forecast is $75.5, which is an increase of 22.19% from the latest price.
Rocket Companies (RKT) – Fintech-Driven Mortgage GrowthCompany Overview:
Rocket Companies NYSE:RKT is a fintech leader in mortgage and real estate solutions, leveraging AI-driven efficiency to enhance profitability and market share.
Key Catalysts:
Surging Profitability & Efficiency 💰
Adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 18% in Q4 2024, up from 2% a year prior, reflecting strong financial performance.
Rocket Mortgage Growth 📊
Net rate lock volume surged 47% YoY to $23.6 billion, far outpacing industry trends.
Expanding Servicing Portfolio 📈
The $593 billion servicing portfolio (+17%) provides stable revenue and cross-selling opportunities, acting as a hedge against rate volatility.
Resilient Market Share Expansion 🏆
Despite industry headwinds, Rocket continues to grow market share, proving its competitive edge in mortgage lending.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on RKT above $11.80-$12.00, driven by profitability gains, market expansion, and portfolio strength.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $20.00-$21.00, reflecting sustained growth and operational efficiency.
🔥 Rocket Companies – Powering the Future of Mortgage & Fintech. #RKT #MortgageTech #FintechGrowth
Breaking: Rubrik, (NYSE: RBRK) Surge 18% In Premarket TradingRubrik, Inc. (NYSE: RBRK) a company providing data security solutions to individuals and businesses worldwide, offering enterprise data protection, unstructured data protection, cloud data protection, and SaaS data protection solutions; data threat analytics; data security posture; and cyber recovery solutions saw its stock surged about 18% on Friday's premarket session amidst fourth quarter and fiscal Year 2025 financial results.
Earnings Highlight
Results exceeded all guided metrics
Fourth quarter subscription ARR grew 39% year-over-year to $1,092.6 million
Fourth quarter revenue grew 47% year-over-year to $258.1 million
2,246 customers with $100K or more in Subscription ARR, up 29% year-over-year
First Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook
Rubrik is providing the following guidance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 and the full fiscal year 2026:
First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Outlook:
Revenue of $259 million to $261 million.
Non-GAAP Subscription ARR contribution margin of approximately 4.0% to 5.0%.
Non-GAAP EPS of $(0.33) to $(0.31).
Weighted-average shares outstanding of approximately 192 million.
Full Year 2026 Outlook:
Subscription ARR between $1,350 million and $1,360 million.
Revenue of $1,145 million to $1,161 million.
Non-GAAP Subscription ARR contribution margin of approximately 4.5% to 5.5%.
Non-GAAP EPS of $(1.23) to $(1.13).
Weighted-average shares outstanding of approximately 198 million.
Free cash flow of $45 million to $65 million.
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, NYSE:RBRK shares are up 18.56% on Fridays premarket session forming a gap up pattern which is a strong bullish reversal pattern. NYSE:RBRK shares closed Thursday's session with a weak momentum as highlighted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 35 but this 18% premarket surge could place NYSE:RBRK on the cusp of a bullish campaign with eyes set on the $88 pivot point.
Similarly, should NYSE:RBRK shares consolidate the 65% Fibonacci retracement point is well capable of acting as s support point before it picks momentum up.
Tencent Music (TME) – Streaming Growth & Fan Engagement Company Overview:
Tencent Music Entertainment NYSE:TME is a leading digital music streaming platform with a 35.7% stock return over the past year, signaling strong market confidence.
Key Catalysts:
Q4 2024 Earnings on March 18 📊
Analysts anticipate positive results, which could boost investor sentiment.
Bubble Service Expansion on QQ Music 🚀
The new partnership with SM Entertainment’s Dear U enhances artist-fan engagement, increasing user retention and monetization.
Diverse Platform Ecosystem 🎧
Platforms like QQ Music, Kugou, Kuwo, and WeSing provide stable revenue while reducing reliance on any single platform.
Strategic Entertainment Partnerships 🤝
Collaborations with major entertainment entities expand TME’s content library and user engagement, solidifying its industry position.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on TME above $11.00-$12.00, driven by user growth, service expansion, and industry alliances.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $19.00-$20.00, backed by earnings growth, new services, and a strong content strategy.
🔥 Tencent Music – The Future of Digital Streaming & Fan Engagement. #TME #MusicTech #StreamingStocks
Nasdaq Enters Correction Territory Do we go Deeper
Monthly analysis done on the NQ with the ambition to connect with current price activity and gauge a deeper technical understanding on if this is just the start of a bigger correction for the year ahead . Tools used in this video Standard Fib , TR Pocket , CVWAP/ PVWAP Incorporating PVWAP and CVWAP into trading strategies allows for a more nuanced understanding of market dynamics used to assess trading performance and market trends.
Date and price range and trend line .
Some research below regarding the previous correction that I reference the technicals to in the video .
In November 2021, the Nasdaq reached record highs
However, concerns over rising inflation, potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, and supply chain disruptions led to increased market volatility. These factors contributed to a correction in the Nasdaq, with the index experiencing notable declines as investors reassessed valuations, particularly in high-growth technology stocks.
VS Today
March 2025 Correction:
As of March 2025, the Nasdaq Composite has faced another significant correction. On March 10, 2025, the index plummeted by 4%, shedding 728 points, marking its third-worst point loss ever, with only earlier losses during the COVID-19 pandemic surpassing this.
This downturn has been attributed to several factors:
Economic Policies: President Trump's announcement of increased tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China has unsettled markets, raising fears of a potential recession
Inflation Concerns: Investors are closely monitoring upcoming consumer-price index (CPI) reports to gauge inflation trends, as higher-than-expected inflation could hinder the Federal Reserve's ability to lower interest rates, exacerbating stock market declines
Sector-Specific Declines: Major technology companies, including Tesla, have experienced significant stock price declines, contributing to the overall downturn in the Nasdaq
Comparison of the Two Corrections:
Catalysts: The November 2021 correction was primarily driven by concerns over rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes. In contrast, the March 2025 correction has been influenced by geopolitical factors, including new tariff announcements, and ongoing inflation concerns.
Magnitude: While both corrections were significant, the March 2025 correction has been more severe in terms of single-day point losses. The 4% drop on March 10, 2025, resulted in a loss of 728 points, marking it as one of the most substantial declines in the index's history.
Investor Sentiment: Both periods saw increased market volatility and a shift towards risk aversion. However, the recent correction has been accompanied by heightened fears of a potential recession, partly due to inconsistent government messaging regarding economic prospects.
In summary, while both corrections were driven by concerns over inflation and economic policies, the March 2025 correction has been more pronounced, with additional factors such as new tariffs and recession fears playing a significant role.
TSLA SELLING PRESSURE MAY REDUCE AS SHARE PRICE DIPS INTO SUPPORTesla’s support level between 200 and 260 may act as a buffer to hold the share price amid ongoing selling pressure. Will there be rejections on TSLA in coming week(s)?
N.B!
- TSLA price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#tsla
#nasdaq
#nyse
Short, target 60.97Following weekly chart.
I got a short signal from my power indicator, now let's check where it should go.
Following fibonacci level and support levels, I see a big opportunity between 60.92-61.62
Also we have a gap in 60.92 which supports this idea.
There might be still an uptrend, my stop loss level is above 623.23 weekly close.
Any thoughts?
Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) To Report Earnings Before the BellTarget Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:TGT ) a company that operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States is set to report earnings on Tuesday, March 4, 2025, before market open. In like of that manner, NYSE:TGT shares surge 2.27% in Tuesday's premarket trading.
With the 1-month low acting as a support point, in the case of a pullback the 1-month low seems strong enough to hold off sellers. With the RSI at 40, a bullish reversal could be feasible in the case of a favourable earnings outlook.
Financial Performance
In 2023, Target's revenue was $107.41 billion, a decrease of -1.57% compared to the previous year's $109.12 billion. Earnings were $4.14 billion, an increase of 48.85%.
Analyst Forecast
According to 31 analysts, the average rating for TGT stock is "Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $159.45, which is an increase of 32.04% from the latest price.
MMM Technical Outlook: Potential Buy SetupMMM is in a strong bullish uptrend after finding support around the 76 zone in March 2024. The stock has posted positive earnings for four consecutive quarters, meeting expectations. Trading above the daily trendline, it's likely to fill the gap formed after January earnings, setting up a new higher low.
Entry Suggestions:
Buy 1: 142.5
Buy 2: 135.5
Stop Loss (on closing basis): 124
For exits, consider a tiered approach. In the near term, aim to book profits around 154.4 and 172. Looking ahead, there's potential for further gains with targets at 182 and 215, although these may take longer to materialize. A weekly bearish divergence is forming and could influence price action around the upcoming earnings on April 29. Until then, the price seems well-positioned to hit the initial targets, making this an attractive trading opportunity.
Happy trading!