Pfizer's Surprising Turnaround: A Resilient JourneyIn an unexpected twist, Pfizer ( NYSE:PFE ), the U.S. pharmaceutical giant, has defied market expectations by reporting a surprise quarterly profit. This surprising turnaround can be attributed to the resilient demand for COVID-related products, outperforming the company's own projections. The earnings report for the fourth quarter revealed adjusted earnings of 10 cents per share, a stark contrast to the anticipated loss of 22 cents per share by analysts.
Pandemic Fallout and Pfizer's Struggles:
Investors had been skeptical about Pfizer's ( NYSE:PFE ) prospects as pandemic concerns waned and substantial revenues from COVID vaccine and treatment sales dwindled. The company faced an additional setback with its experimental obesity drug, contributing to a further decline in its stock value. This downturn reached levels reminiscent of the pandemic sell-off in 2020, resulting in a staggering $100 billion loss in market capitalization in 2023.
Resilient COVID Product Demand:
The silver lining for Pfizer ( NYSE:PFE ) emerged from the sustained demand for its COVID products, namely the antiviral treatment Paxlovid and the widely-used COVID vaccine Comirnaty, developed in collaboration with German partner BioNTech. Despite a significant drop in revenue from $57 billion in 2022 to $12.5 billion in 2023, these products played a crucial role in Pfizer's unexpected profitability.
Strategic Initiatives for Recovery:
To counter the adverse market trends, Pfizer ( NYSE:PFE ) has embarked on a strategic journey aimed at regaining profitability. A $4 billion cost-cutting program and internal restructuring form the cornerstone of the company's recovery plan. With these measures in place, Pfizer ( NYSE:PFE ) is optimistic about driving revenue growth through its cancer treatments, particularly following the $43 billion acquisition of cancer drugmaker Seagen. Additionally, the introduction of a new RSV vaccine is poised to contribute to the company's resurgence.
Outlook and Future Projections:
Pfizer's ( NYSE:PFE ) bold move to cut costs and refocus on high-potential areas, such as cancer treatments and vaccine development, has instilled confidence among investors. The company's projections for 2023 include an expected $1 billion in Paxlovid sales and $11.5 billion in Comirnaty sales. This outlook, combined with a 1.9% rise in premarket trading, suggests that Pfizer's strategic initiatives are resonating positively with the market.
Conclusion:
Pfizer's ( NYSE:PFE ) unexpected quarterly profit signifies a notable turnaround for the pharmaceutical giant. The company's ability to adapt to changing market dynamics, capitalize on resilient product demand, and implement strategic measures for recovery underscores its resilience. As Pfizer ( NYSE:PFE ) charts a course toward profitability, investors and industry observers are keenly watching how the company's strategic initiatives will shape its future in a post-pandemic landscape.
Nyse
Starbucks to 98 Plus After Earnings !!Financial Performance: In 2023, Starbucks’s revenue was $35.98 billion, an increase of 11.55% compared to the previous year’s $32.25 billion. Earnings were $4.12 billion, an increase of 25.69%2.
Analyst Forecast: According to 21 analysts, the average rating for SBUX stock is “Buy.” The 12-month stock price forecast is $114.35, which is an increase of 23.22% from the latest price2.
Dividend Yield: Starbucks has a dividend yield of 2.4569%1, which could be attractive to income-focused investors.
Growth Estimates: The growth estimate for the next 5 years (per annum) is 16.63%3
TP 98
TESLA BACK TO 208 AFTER FOMCGAP TO FILL
Technical Analysis: Bullish traders want to see Tesla receive a positive reaction to its earnings print and for the stock to surge up and regain support at the 200-day SMA1
Market Position: Tesla’s stock bulls have reclaimed key chart territory, fueling hopes that the 2023 uptrend has resumed
Innovation: Tesla is known for its ability to overcome odds and innovate, which has led to significant gains in the past
Apple Back to 182 Consolidation AreaApple Inc.
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A Bearish Perspective on Apple Stock
Apple Inc., the tech giant known for its innovative products and services, has been a darling of Wall Street for many years. However, some analysts are turning bearish on the company’s stock. Here’s a closer look at why.
Underperformance in 2023
Despite gaining an impressive 49% in 2023, Apple’s stock was the worst-performing FAANG constituent of the year1. The company reported negative revenue growth in all four quarters of 2023, the first time since 2001 that the company’s revenues fell YoY for four straight quarters1.
Downgrades in 2024
The start of 2024 hasn’t been positive for Apple either, with three brokerages downgrading the stock within the first two weeks of the year1. Redburn, Piper Sandler, and Barclays have all downgraded the stock1. While Redburn and Piper Sandler now rate the stock as a “Hold” or equivalent, Barclays downgraded the stock to a “Sell” equivalent with a Street-low target price of $1601.
Concerns Over iPhone Sales
Some brokerages are turning bearish on Apple amid fears of an extended slowdown in iPhone sales1. Analysts are especially worried about the outlook for iPhone sales in China, which is the company’s third-biggest market behind the U.S. and Europe, and accounted for around 19% of its fiscal year 2023 revenues1. Apple is facing tough competition from domestic Chinese smartphone companies like Huawei and Xiaomi1.
Humana's Stock Plunges But shows Signs of a Reverse Trend
Humana Inc., ( NYSE:HUM ) the second-largest Medicare Advantage company in the U.S., has sent shockwaves through the health insurance sector by revising its earnings guidance for 2025 and projecting 2024 profits well below analysts' expectations. The stock plummeted as much as 15%, marking the most significant intraday drop since June. This unexpected development has ignited concerns about the profitability of private Medicare plans and their potential impact on seniors' healthcare costs.
The Medicare Advantage Dilemma:
Humana's grim outlook stems from challenges faced by private Medicare plans, which have been a significant source of growth for health insurers in recent years. Rising medical costs are forcing Humana ( NYSE:HUM ) to consider raising prices and reducing benefits to maintain profit margins. Executives revealed on a conference call that this move may trigger a broader industry repricing of plans in the upcoming year, potentially signaling the end of the Medicare Advantage boom.
Industry-Wide Ripple Effect:
Humana's forecast has not only impacted its own stock but has also led to a sector-wide sell-off. Competitors such as UnitedHealth Group Inc., Cigna Group, CVS Health Corp., and Centene Corp. experienced substantial declines in their stock prices. The reasons behind the surge in medical costs vary among insurers, adding uncertainty to the already turbulent sector.
Regulatory Changes and Emerging Trends:
Several factors contribute to the challenging landscape for health insurers. The U.S. government's proposed changes to payment rates and plans to recoup past overpayments are colliding with an increase in medical costs as patients resume deferred care from the pandemic. These changes are being phased in over the next three years, creating additional pressure on insurers.
Humana's Long-Term Prospects:
The revised earnings guidance suggests a significant setback for Humana, as the projected adjusted earnings for 2024 are expected to be around $16 per share, a level not seen since 2018. Analysts express surprise and skepticism about the company's growth plans, with some doubting the feasibility of achieving a $6 to $10 per share growth in 2025.
Market Reaction and Investor Concerns:
Humana's dismal performance has ignited concerns among investors about the broader health insurance industry. Analysts are questioning whether the company can return to its long-term multiple and express concerns about slowing demographic trends in the 65+ market, which are expected to moderate in the second half of the 2020s.
Conclusion:
Humana's unexpected downturn serves as a stark reminder of the challenges facing health insurers, particularly those heavily invested in Medicare Advantage plans. The industry is at a crossroads, navigating regulatory changes, surging medical costs, and an uncertain economic landscape. Investors will be closely watching how competitors respond to these challenges and whether the Medicare Advantage boom is indeed coming to an end.
Ginkgo Bioworks (DNA) should test Resistance line at 1.55Daily chart, the stock rebounded from the support line S, and should target the falling Resistance line R at around 2.55
Crossing resistance and trading above 2.55 for 2 days, the target will be 2.30 extending to 2.47
Technical indicator RSI is in the BUY area.
LCID analysis ⏰ let's discuss :-: Hello 👋 it's me your RAJ 🙂 professional trader ✨
This idea 💡
is completely my own analysis to explain situation _&_ market conditions of NASDAQ:LCID
How this chart valid for long term 📌 explained clearly based on technical #TA 📌 #DYOR
::-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-::
Frankly speaking 🗣️ I am full time trader in Crypto 🔮 part time in stocks to save my money 💰
Based on my friend request , i am doing 📌 analysis ⏰ based on technical analysis #TA
I don't know it's fundamental and some other things to measure this as potential or bad stock based on technical i will talk 🦜
If u have experience and good knowledge in stock market especially usstock
Pls let me know about this company NASDAQ:LCID it helps me to check price in other conditions
:-) let's go 👀
In my opinion || chart 📉📈 looking too bad // continues downfall
Best area enter is ::👉 $2.6 - $4.1 👈
Best area to exit 🎯 :: $5.3 - $10.4 - $17 - $34
Stop 🛑 when price goes below $2.5 weekend candle close below Invalid 📌 to invest
Don't use 100% liquid 💰 it's high risk , so prefer 5-10% liquid 💰 on ur portfolio
Let me know points to consider on this stock , so i work and i will submit u those
👀 I always do analysis on crypto stocks _&_ large cap // rest of things i don't know much
__________________________________________________________________________________________
🪩 disclaimer :
▶️ TQ u for supporting 💚 follow idea 💡 get updates everytime ⏰ when I updated 📌
Note 👀
👉 keeping comments , reacting with emojis , pointing us is very easy to some people
They think 💬 what they see 📌 that was knowledge 📌
We need to learn market in many ways and should get adopted with experience, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS won't help understanding market structure and understanding bull 🐂 and bear 🐻 is more important
Economical conditions
Fundamentals
Technical
News
Sentiments
Checking macro to micro having good plan and build it is very important ☺️
Some Times market easily turn suddenly bear // bull 🤣 even we need to catch 🫴 those movements is also very important ☺️ 💛
I hope i cleared my view 🙂 if any points if I miss I will add in update 📌 post
Try to understand, try to learn - try to move with flexibility with market is important
Have good day 😊
TKO Group HoldingsI'm making this just for kicks.
Fundamentals:
Netflix (NFLX) and TKO Group Holding's WWE announced new partnership early Tuesday that will bring WWE's flagship program Raw to the streaming service, beginning January 2025.
TKO's agreement with Netflix has an initial 10-year term for an aggregate rights fee in excess of $5 billion.
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson is joining the WWE & UFC parent company's board of directors.
Technicals:
I have a bullish D.B. with this asset. The weekly TF out of the four is bearish, and that can solely be due to price breaking through a key monthly high, which in turn would start the retracement, but not all the time tho!
I would like to see a deeper correction before price actually start to take off, and this current bull movement it's showing looks to be a small pullback before the bears reenter the market in order to push price further down.
We all shall see...
ITW Bull flag formationReasons for bullish bias:
- Price forming a potential bull flag
- Entry is at breakout of pole for further confirmation
- HH breakout will also add confluence
- TP till projection
Entry Level (Buy Stop): 264.22
Stop Loss Level: 249.49
Take Profit Level 1: 278.95
Take Profit Level 2: 293.68
Take Profit Level 3: 300.56
Oracle's Ambitious Expansion in the Middle East
In a strategic move to capitalize on the Middle East's digital transformation, Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) is set to expand its operations in Dubai and build additional cloud infrastructure across the region. The company's Dubai office is undergoing a significant renovation, promising customers an immersive experience in envisioning the future of their companies through cutting-edge AI and cloud technology.
Strategic Investment for a Cloud-Powered Tomorrow
Amid a rising trend channel, Oracle's ( NYSE:ORCL ) stock outlook appears promising, reflecting investor confidence in the company's growth. With plans to invest in a state-of-the-art customer experience center in Dubai, Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) aims to offer a futuristic workspace and enable clients to visualize the potential of AI and cloud technology for their businesses.
Cloud Providers Tapping into the Middle East's Potential
Oracle's expansion aligns with the broader trend of global cloud providers establishing a significant presence in the Middle East, particularly in Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Companies like Microsoft, Amazon, IBM, and Alibaba Cloud have already opened cloud and data centers in the region, recognizing the growth potential fueled by a tech-savvy population and government-led digital initiatives.
Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ), currently managing 67 cloud regions across 26 countries, underscores the Middle East's importance in its global strategy. Clay Magouyrk, Executive Vice President for Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, acknowledges the transformation of the Emirates into a global economic and technology powerhouse, driven by the widespread adoption of cloud services.
Empowering Women in Tech with sAIdaty Initiative
In a move to contribute to the UAE's digital economy goals, Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) has partnered with the Dubai Business Women Council to launch the sAIdaty initiative. This year-long program aims to enhance AI skills among women professionals and entrepreneurs. By equipping 500 council members with essential skills, the initiative not only advances women's professional journeys but also aligns with Oracle's commitment to fostering diversity and inclusivity in the tech sector.
Generative AI Integration - A Game-Changer for Enterprise Adoption
Oracle's focus on solving real-world business use cases is evident in its announcement of the general availability of the Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) Generative AI service. This fully managed service integrates large language models to address diverse business use cases, now supporting over 100 languages. The service's multilingual capabilities, improved GPU cluster management, and flexible fine-tuning options position Oracle as a leader in driving enterprise AI adoption at scale.
Conclusion: Oracle's Cloud-Powered Vision for the Middle East
As Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) expands its operations in Dubai and strengthens its cloud infrastructure across the Middle East, the company is not just responding to regional demand but actively shaping the digital future of the area. The combination of technical prowess, strategic partnerships, and a commitment to diversity positions Oracle as a key player in the region's evolving technological landscape. With the integration of generative AI, Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) is not only staying ahead of the curve but is also providing businesses with the tools they need to thrive in the era of digital transformation.
CANO While Cano Health Inc may be facing challenges, it's crucial to focus on the potential for recovery and growth. Use setbacks as stepping stones to success. The future holds opportunities for Cano Health to adapt and thrive in the ever-evolving healthcare landscape. Consider the current stock price under $3 as a potential entry point, but always conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Remember, in adversity lies the opportunity for transformation and success. Keep a positive mindset and stay informed about the company's strategic initiatives for a brighter future.
Vardhman Acrylics Ltd :-: analysis ⏰ VARDHACRLC📌 DYOR ( do your own research 🔎 ) 📍 NFA
Above yellow 🟡 close 📌 beginning of upward ⬆️ momentum
It's small cap stock with high :-: promoters / with good dividend 📌
₹92 is key resistance 📌 we see some pressure :-: above it ☑️ never visit box below yellow 🟡
🎯 ₹111
🎯 ₹144
🎯 ₹300
Below green 💚 box 📍 danger ⚡
Just save my idea 💡 follow and give boosting 🚀 and pls share 🤝
Follow upcoming updates ..... 🧵 👇
ATAI looking to bottom out
After closely monitoring psychedelic stocks for approximately six months, my attention has been drawn to ATAI. Despite enduring a challenging period over the past couple of years, the stock appears to be signaling a potential turnaround.
Volume Analysis
A notable observation is the diminishing volume during each downturn, coupled with a substantial surge in volume in November of the previous year. This pattern indicates a decisive breakout from the prevailing trend.
RSI Insights
Simultaneously, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reached its peak at 69. This represents the highest momentum level in the stock's history, signaling increasing strength. This noteworthy event marks the first instance of the weekly RSI surpassing the halfway mark, hinting at the initiation of a potential uptrend. Further supporting this indication is the presence of a bullish RSI divergence.
Anticipated Developments
My focus is straightforward, with two key criteria:
Demand Zone Confirmation ($1.05 - $1.29)
Previous High Breakout ($2.23)
The occurrence of these events could pave the way for significant upside potential in ATAI, as well as the entire psychedelic industry, with target projections reaching into the double figures.
An In-Depth Analysis of Cars.com (NYSE:CARS) Post Q3 EarningsCars.com (NYSE: NYSE:CARS ) has emerged as a digital hub connecting new and used car buyers and sellers. As we delve into the aftermath of the Q3 earnings report, it becomes clear that Cars.com is at a crossroads, navigating challenges but also seizing strategic opportunities for future growth.
Marketplace Resilience Amid Q3 Slowdown:
The broader online marketplace sector faced headwinds in Q3, with revenues beating analyst estimates by a modest 1.8%, while next quarter's revenue guidance lagged by 1.7%. However, Cars.com demonstrated resilience in the face of this trend. Despite a weaker quarter, the company's share prices rose by 4.6% on average since the previous earnings results, outperforming other cash-burning entities.
Q3 Performance and Strategic Moves:
Cars.com reported Q3 revenues of $174.3 million, a 5.9% YoY increase, in line with analyst expectations. The quarter, however, witnessed a decline in the user base and slow revenue growth. Despite these challenges, the company made strategic moves to fortify its position in the market. Notably, the launch of Cars Commerce, a new B2B brand, reflects a commitment to simplifying the car buying and selling process for all stakeholders. CEO Alex Vetter emphasized the strategic importance of this move, stating, "During the quarter, we made strong strategic moves that advanced our platform strategy and unlocked future growth."
Acquisition and Geographic Expansion:
Cars.com's acquisition of D2C Media Inc. is a noteworthy development, extending its presence in the Canadian market and unlocking new growth opportunities. This move aligns with the company's broader strategy of uniting the industry and fostering a seamless experience for consumers, dealers, OEMs, and lenders.
User Base Dynamics:
The Q3 report indicated a decline in the user base, with 18.7 thousand active buyers, down 4.44% YoY. While this is a notable setback, the company's focus on strategic initiatives and the launch of Cars Commerce could potentially reverse this trend in the coming quarters.
Future Outlook:
As the stock currently trades at $17.17, reflecting a 15.88% increase since the results, investors are cautiously optimistic. The success of Cars.com in the coming quarters will depend on its ability to capitalize on the launched initiatives, navigate challenges in the online marketplace sector, and harness the potential unlocked by the acquisition of D2C Media Inc.
Conclusion:
Cars.com ( NYSE:CARS ) stands at a pivotal juncture, having weathered the storms of a challenging Q3 while strategically positioning itself for future growth. The launch of Cars Commerce, the acquisition of D2C Media Inc., and the commitment to industry unification underscore a resilient strategy. Investors will be closely watching how Cars.com steers through the road ahead, making this digital marketplace a compelling stock to watch in the coming months.
Can Javier Milei's victory pull Argentina out of the hole?Introduction
Argentina has not been doing well for some time, holding the second-largest economy in South America, behind only Brazil. It has been suffering from poor policies that have harmed the country's macroeconomy. Not only that, but it seems that all of Latin America has fallen into the hands of progressives, enthusiasts of communist parties, and also dealing with drug trafficking in countries like Brazil, Colombia, Bolivia, and Ecuador. When Javier Milei won the elections in Argentina, this could have been significant. The neighboring country is hostage to a left-wing ideology that refuses to transact in American currency, which many consider absurd, as the foreign currency is the strongest in the world, while the local currency is considered one of the worst. The reason is high inflation, reaching around 100%, the devaluation of the internal exchange rate, which is even advocated by these politicians, but in practice has increased the cost of imports and the payment of external debt.
Here we can observe a chart of the performance of the US dollar against the national currency
And we can see that the situation is so absurd that not even the Argentinians themselves believe it, as a significant portion of the population dollarizes their capital to avoid the effects of high inflation and interest rates. In addition, there is a political crisis, low credibility of the Argentine government for a long time, low international reserves, high-interest bonds with near maturities, making it difficult to repay debt, and a high outflow of foreign investment, reducing the influx of dollars. This happens because the leaders of the Platine Republic are anti-foreign currency, proving once again how absurd this scenario is. If we stop to think for a moment, we know that the powerhouse is a global reference when it comes to having a strong economy, good numbers, and not just for that. The US dollar is a reserve currency, representing 60% of global reserves. Over 70% of the forex market is currency exchange, and the main currencies in the world are traded against the foreign currency. The US dollar is also a benchmark for other assets such as metals, commodities, oil, stocks (since the two largest stock exchanges in the world, NYSE and NASDAQ, move dollars every day), and even bitcoin itself, which has the most traded parity in the world against the US dollar. Remembering that the Argentine public machinery is very rigid.
Some advantages of dollarization are:
* Protecting the nation from exchange rate speculation, which can cause instability and devaluation of the national currency;
* Safeguarding the state's macroeconomic indicators, such as inflation, from more serious deteriorations, as foreign money tends to be more stable and reliable;
* Sharing the benefits of stability in the value of the foreign currency against the national currency, which can increase the p urchasing power of citizens and stimulate territorial economic growth;
* Reducing transaction costs for trade between countries that use the same currency, facilitating commercial and financial relations.
Some disadvantages of dollarization are:
* Losing the ability to influence its own monetary policy, i.e., losing financial autonomy. This means that the state can no longer control its interest rate, money supply, and exchange rate, becoming dependent on the economic policy of the issuer of the foreign currency;
* Making the process complex and difficult to reverse in the future, in addition to implying a high cost for its implementation.
* The territory needs to have sufficient reserves of the US dollar to ensure the conversion of the national currency and to face possible economic shocks;
* Preventing monetary authorities from acting as lenders of last resort to commercial banks in a scenario with complete replacement of money. This means that the nation can no longer bail out banks in times of crisis or insolvency, increasing the risk of the financial system's bankruptcy;
* Exposing the country to fluctuations in the foreign currency against other currencies, which can negatively affect some sectors of productive activity.
Now elected, we know that the liberal leader will face various difficulties and obstacles to make the Platine Republic recover, as not only it but all of Latin America, including Brazil, has adopted policies that do not please investors and economists. The proposal to adopt the world's strongest currency as the official currency may face significant obstacles, as the crisis-ridden economy faces many problems. However, it could help reduce inflation, which could reach 100%, also end high-interest rates, investor and international creditor confidence, and also facilitate access to and repayment of external debt, which represents 70% of the Argentine GDP, in addition to stimulating economic growth and productivity, eliminating exchange distortions and capital controls. In addition, it implies the total loss of autonomy of its central bank to regulate the money supply and interest rate according to the needs of the economy. In theory, this is concerning, but in practice, considering the amateurism of management in Latin America, it is much better to have the confidence of the Federal Reserve than to rely on political appointments, as the South American nation does not have an autonomous central bank.
Society faces various problems that concern the population and the rulers, such as the abyss, poverty, exchange rate dependence, external debt, political instability, and climate change. These problems result from a long history of economic crises that have marked Argentina since the 20th century. The neighboring country not only survives on crises because even adopting bad policies over the years, there are good companies that have overcome disastrous economic problems and have been successful and are now listed on the NYSE and NASDAQ. Let's focus on 5 companies listed on the American stock exchange based on technical and fundamental studies.
Starting with Banco Macro (NYSE):
It is a private financial institution founded in 1976 in Argentina, specializing in serving the demands of the northern provinces of the country, where it has a strong presence. The bank offers a wide range of products and services for individuals and legal entities, such as current accounts, savings, credit cards, loans, investments, insurance, and foreign trade.
The bank is part of the Macro Group, which also includes other companies such as Macro Securities, Macro Fiducia, and Sud Inversiones. It has more than 9 million customers, 8,700 employees, and 870 branches throughout Argentine territory. In addition, it has equity stakes in other financial institutions, such as Banco del Tucumán and Nuevo Banco Suquía. It is one of the leaders in the Argentine banking sector, with a market share of 8% in deposits and 9% in loans. Its net worth is $2.1 billion, and its total assets are $16.4 billion. Its growth strategy is based on geographical diversification, expanding the branch network, technological innovation, and customer loyalty.
This is a very interesting company even though it is Argentine. We can observe the good performance it has had during this period. It has an interesting price, and in this sideways movement after a large appreciation, it seemed that the stock could correct back to around 16. But this may not be true since a high volume entered, slowing the fall. This can be interesting for an entry of a flow contrary to the sale. But still, it is a representation that was quite undefined because they were waiting for the election. It seems that with the definition, there was a bullish rally causing the price to rise to around 20.94. With the triumph, the shares of Argentine companies experienced a significant increase with a gap from 20.43 to 26.05, starting a new bullish rally.
Observing the fundamental analysis of this stock as well, we can see that it has delivered good fundamentals and, combined with technical analysis, will present an optimistic behavior for hold.
Grupo Financiero Galicia (NASDAQ)
is an Argentine financial services holding company, created in 1999. The company owns several subsidiaries, such as Banco Galicia, Tarjeta Naranja, Compañía Financiera Argentina, Sudamericana Holding, and Galicia Administradora de Fondos.
Its capital is formed by 1,474.7 million shares, with 281.2 million Class A shares, with 5 votes per share, and 1,193.5 million Class B shares, with 1 vote per share. Among the companies that are part of the group, Banco Galicia stands out, the holding's main asset and one of the largest banks in the country. It has 308 branches and 6,500 employees throughout Argentine territory. In addition, the group has a minority ownership stake in Banco do Brasil S.A., the largest bank in Latin America. In the Argentine financial system, the group has a market share of 8.9% in deposits and 9.4% in loans. Its net worth is $2,063 million, and its total assets are $17,532 million, according to data from the first quarter of 2022.
The technical analysis of the group is very similar to that of Banco Macro (NYSE). If we observe these red bars in this chart, they indicate a high traded volume, having this bar color different from the traditional green, red, or white and black colors. The reason is that this coloring serves as a heat map, and the hotter it shows, the higher the volume and participation in the asset, and the colder, the less participation in the title. This plugin, together with the volume delta plugin, shows the actions of participants who made decisions to buy securities. Similarly, we also see a gray part in this red bar, which shows the presence of participants also acting against those who made decisions to buy the asset, for example. But apparently, it looks a lot like BMA, however, with a slight downward bias to the 13.48 area, possibly falling in that range. If the stock went below this zone, it could seek lower levels, such as returning to the area of least interest in the market, which is the 10 range. This would happen because of the uncertainties of Argentine politics, which now seems to have been concretized with the victory of the economist, this bias has changed to upward, starting a new uptrend channel on the daily. Here we also observe a supply test between 12.85 and 11.60, with a lower selling flow than the last buyer, after the largest absorption of purchase that happened between 10.59. Now, also with the last asset analyzed, we have an uptrend channel. Despite having a very strong selling flow, it rejected to the bottom of the candle, where it has already started to rise again, with a possible increase now with the new established management.
Now, moving on to the fundamental analysis.
The financial indicators of the company are great, despite being based in Argentina. What is very interesting is how these companies are very well managed, even in a problematic country like Argentina, which is why they are not on Nasdaq for nothing.
Mercado Libre:
Mercado Libre is an e-commerce company that operates in 18 countries in Latin America. The company has more than 16,000 employees and plans to hire another 4,000 in 2022. It also has agencies scattered throughout Brazil, which are neighborhood stores that deliver and receive packages. Thus, the company can meet a large demand from online consumers.
The platform has a diversified ownership stake, with investors such as eBay, Goldman Sachs, Tiger Global Management, and Dragoneer Investment Group. It has also acquired stakes in other entities, such as Aleph Group, a digital media organization, and Grupo 2TM, the controller of the Mercado Bitcoin broker. It is the leader in market share in the e-commerce market in Latin America, with more than 76 million active buyers and more than 12 million sellers. The platform also offers financial services, such as a payment system that allows online payments, deposits, and credits. Its net worth in 2020 was $2.6 billion, an increase of 123% compared to 2019. Its total assets in 2020 were $7.2 billion, an increase of 95% compared to 2019.
To conduct a more in-depth study of Mercado Libre, we will have to use some different charts. The first chart we will use is a weekly chart, where we can see how the company performed well in March 2020. It seems that the Nasdaq index and the Dow Jones started to work in an accumulation range, absorbing all the panic of Covid and causing the market to rise significantly. And it is no different with Mercado Libre, which also started a much higher rally than the fall it suffered at the beginning of the Covid-19 explosion. And it may seem little, but this fall from February to March caused the stock to lose 40% of its appreciation. Even more absurdly, after this major climatic event we had in 2020, the stock went from 596 to 1955, representing more than a 220% appreciation. With very good performance, also driven by the Nasdaq index, as the main technology index, during this period of 2021, technological products such as hardware, motherboards, graphics cards, and others had a high appreciation. Also, technology-focused assets, as the entity benefits greatly from technology.
In this same weekly chart, we observe that in 2021 we had a drop to the blue 50-period VWAP range. The abrupt drop, which may seem little, took it from 1955 and went to 1393, returning to 1955 again, already in August 2021.
We can also see that there are 2 blue candles in the weekly chart, and it forms a double top, which is a common reversal pattern in technical analysis. And until November, there was a lot of selling flow entering, starting the downtrend cycle. All this selling flow has a reason because these are
The abrupt fall may seem small, but it dropped from 1955 and went down to 1393, returning to 1955 again, already in August 2021.
We can also observe 2 blue candles on the weekly chart, in addition to forming a double top, which is a common reversal pattern in technical analysis. Until November, there was a significant influx of selling pressure, initiating a downtrend cycle. All this selling pressure has a reason, as it involves well-educated individuals with a lot of experience and academic background who dominate the market and know exactly what they are doing. In 2022, we experienced unusually high inflation levels, approaching those typically seen in developing countries. This was concerning, especially since the technology sector is sensitive to inflation, reflecting the overall devaluation of the free market.
We can see it starting at 600 and then reaching the range of 1098, creating a range between 1110 and 1300. It's a peculiar range, starting as bullish but showing some absorption at this price level, with several tops formed around 1307.
Also, the platform is in an uptrend channel, which initially wasn't favorable due to the stock market facing difficulties and various fluctuations, often dragged down by the technological index. However, with the triumph of the economist, Argentina's largest company benefited from this rally and seems poised for a significant increase, especially on the daily chart. From indecision, it now leans towards a bullish bias.
Let's now look at the asset's evaluation.
Currently quoted around 1000 USD, which is quite impressive for an Argentine organization, especially as it enters the Nasdaq Composite technology companies index, which speaks for itself.
However, its current situation isn't favorable, reflecting the overall state of the stock market, as its scenario mirrors that of other companies on the American exchange. In addition to technical and fundamental analysis, we must also consider macroeconomic data from the U.S., which, to some extent, impacts the market, especially interest rates, having long-term effects and depreciating major assets in the American market.
Apart from this company, there are 18 other Argentine institutions listed on both NYSE and Nasdaq. Despite the country's challenging and worrying economic situation, these companies have managed to progress amid the difficulties faced by Latin America due to various measures.
Conclusion:
Well, we don't know if the president will indeed implement all that he proposes, even though he is economically liberal. Managing a nation requires alignment in both politics and administration. Obviously, he will face challenges in politics too, given the diversity of congress members. So, the proposals he aims to implement over time will have challenges, likely generating opportunities in financial markets. We hope Argentina can overcome this crisis, as greater opportunities often lead to higher profits.