NZDCAD - FOREX - 21. JUNE. 2021Welcome to our weekly trade setup ( NZDCAD )!
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1 HOUR
Bullish price action after closing above main sr level.
4 HOUR
Overall bullish market structure.
DAILY
Expecting further bullish price action.
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FOREX SETUP
BUY NZDCAD
ENTRY LEVEL @ 0.86430
SL @ 0.86050
TP @ 0.87030
Max Risk: 0.5% - 1%!
(Remember to add a few pips to all levels - different Brokers!)
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Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
Nzd-cad
NZDCAD bullish breakout | 21st June 2021NZDCAD has shown a bullish breakout from the descending trendline resistance-turned-support and is now holding above the moving average support. We could see a bounce at Buy Entry level, in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback support and moving average support, and further upside towards Take Profit level, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing high resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZD/CAD Preparing for a new Rally?Good morning traders! Today we will analyze NZD/CAD as we detect a potential bullish trade. This situation is not ready since we are analyzing a high timeframe, but we want to be ready when the situation arises.
It is ALWAYS advisable to anticipate the price and state what we are looking for to plan the trade correctly and manage it in the best possible way. This makes us eliminate most of our emotions during the trade since we will have all the possible scenarios contemplated and assumed.
🔸Now we go to the technical aspect:
- In the weekly chart (posted on the idea), we see that the price broke a bearish channel that was active for approximately 5 years. Then, on the rise, it faced the resistance zone and from there began a corrective process.
- It is facing a strong support zone, formed by the broken trend line + a strong demand zone.
- Although it is an interesting level, we should wait for some confirmations for the situation to develop.
🔸We will expect the following:
- This is the daily chart, here we see the Descending Trendline of the current structure. What we are waiting for is a breakout + correction pattern. If this happens, we will pose a bullish trade after the correction breakout and look for a target towards the next resistance zone. In this way, we maximize the R/R ratio.
NZDCAD testing 1st resistance, potential for reversal!Price is testing the 1st resistance, in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement, 127.2% Fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance and descending trendline resistance. We could see a reversal here and further downside towards 1st support, in line with 100%, 127.2% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing low support. Price is also holding below the descending trendline and moving average resistances, showing signs of bearish pressure in line with our analysis.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDCAD - FORECASTHere is a FOREX trade for all you currency traders. If you're into holding foreign currency for long term this chart might interest you.
NZDCAD is in the buy zone after a nice move up showing some bullish sentiment. I'm looking to long here, lower or if you just need further confirmation get in as it breaks out of the green line. Worth the risk at the price IMO. Stoploss below white line, take profits at colored lines above. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, DO NOT BLINDLY FOLLOW THIS TRACE.
NZDCAD testing descending trendline resistance, drop incoming!Price is testing the descending trendline resistance and holding below 1st resistance, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 161.8% Fibonacci extension and horizontal pullback resistance. We could see a reversal here and further downside towards 1st support, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing low support. Stochastics is also testing the 94.05 resistance where it has reversed from before, showing signs of bearish pressure in line with our analysis.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDCAD BULLISH WEEK?looking on the weekly we have a beautiful retest of the broken trendline and now has hit the support on weekly looks like a double bottom
zoom into the daily and we see that we already see another double bottom happening followed by a almost a engulfing bull
on the 4h i see price is rejecting the current down trend it is in and ready to shoot back down probably to form another double bottom on 4h with the correct price action rejection etc i will enter and if if price makes another HH on 4h i will wait for retest for another position
NZDCAD facing bearish pressure, potential for further downside!Prices are facing bearish pressure from 50% Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci extension Fibonacci confluence zone. Prices might push down towards 127.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension fibonacci confluence zone. If price pushes up further, prices might face resistance from horizontal swing high resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Ichimoku cloud is also above prices, showing a bearish pressure for prices.
NZDCAD facing bearish pressure | 3rd June 2021ZDCAD is approaching Sell Entry level, in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement , 78.6% Fibonacci extension and horizontal pullback resistance, where we could see a reversal and further downside towards 1st Support, in line with 78.6% Fibonacci extension , 88% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal pullback support. Price is also holding below moving average resistance as well.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed here.
NZDCAD up up and up againMy Marketmiracle advisor provided an input signal on the NZDCAD cross forex
at the price 0,883250
with target 0,914329
for a possible profit of 3.52% which on forex is a lot
Analyzing the graph we realize how we are actually at the point of possible rupture in a head shoulders upside down so at the rupture of this the price could start quickly towards the target.
Actually, the LONG interest on NZDCAD is increasing a lot ( see Mmiracle Viewer indicator)
The scenario is possible in my opinion so I decided to take positions on the cross in this regard.
NZDCAD was already climbing and the previous analysis had provided a perfect signal as per related idea
This idea is based on a signal generated by the advisor Marketmiracle, down on this page you will find the link to the page of signals of the advisor that you can see for free without any cost or registration
Below are also the results of the backtest of Miraclemarket on this cross
BUY ON NZDCADHello, my fellow traders hope you all are making some profits. We are here with our new analysis so that we can increase those profits for you. Let’s get into it.
As we can see, the price broke from its TRENDLINE RESISTANCE and did a RETEST.
Let us know your views on this in the comment section. Thank you all.
There is good news for our followers. We will be analyzing on-demand.
So let us know which pair you want our analysis on, and we will get it for you. Do like and follow us.
COT CURRENCY REPORTAUD, NZD & CAD:
No surprise for the CAD to see the biggest net long positioning change once again among the majors after the BOC’s recent hawkish tilt. The recent comments from the BOC about the CAD’s strength are a reason for us to pay attention to current levels in USDCAD.
Arguably a lot of the positives for the CAD is already reflected in the price, and the market will want to see more and more positive surprises to justify further moves lower so keep that in mind.
For the AUD, the focus in the week ahead will remain on commodities, more specifically Iron Ore. China has become uncomfortable about the rise in commodity prices and is stepping in to try and curb the rise. After solid moves in recent months for Iron Ore some pullback is to be expected, but will be an important negative consideration for the AUD.
For the NZD, this week we do have the upcoming RBNZ policy meeting. Going into the meeting, markets are expecting an upgrade to the economic outlook from the bank, but most are of the opinion that it’s too soon for the bank to change policy direction, at least verbally (bond purchases has been slowing recently).
If the bank does bring forward rate hike expectations like that of the BOC, which is a slim possibility, that could of course create some upside volatility for the NZD.
JPY, CHF & USD:
US 10-Year Yields and US Real Yields remain the biggest focus for the USD and the JPY. As the growth and inflation outlook remains positive for the US, the path of least resistance for yields remains titled higher which should keep the JPY lower apart from possible short-term risk off flows of course.
For the USD, as we explained last week, the focus isn’t just on nominal bond yields but also on real yields, which has continued to remain very close to cycle lows as nominal yields have moved largely rangebound while inflation expectations have trended higher.
Any change in real yields will be a very important consideration for the Dollar, as well as any further comments from FED members regarding tapering deliberations.
GBP:
The bullish bias for Sterling remains intact. The economic data last week (Jobs, CPI, Retail Sales and PMI’s) once again confirmed the market’s expectations of a faster and better-than-expected economic rebound in the UK.
The wild card to track in the week ahead is the virus situation as new cases of the Indian variant has been a concern. PM Johnson has warned that the variant could pose a challenge to their reopening plans.
For now, everything seems under control, but this is a development to keep close track of.
EUR:
Still the biggest net-long position among the majors. There are still issues surrounding the fundamental outlook for the single currency, but despite that the EUR has remained very well supported over the past few weeks as the Dollar has continued to lose favour and as market participants look towards a fast economic rebound once the vaccination efforts allow the EU to lift lockdown restrictions.
If the EU can reach some of the targets it has set itself then we could well see a faster recovery playing out in the EU. However, when we compare that potential recovery in terms of growth or inflation differentials or compare the policy response between the US and UK or compare policy normalization expectations it seems the EU is still lagging behind the US and the UK.
For that reason, we are staying patient with our med-term bearish view on the EUR for now and will wait for more information on the vaccine and data front before we change our mind.
NZDCAD long from hereMy advisor MarketMiracle generates a LONG input signal for the NZDCAD cross at a price of 0.87016 with a target of 0.89 for a profit of 1.73%.
The chart is compatible with the signal in fact the price is oscillating within a triangle and considering the marketSentiment that has passed from positive to negative and a constant upward pressure from large investors ( yellow wave ) You can expect a spill from the top resulting in retest of the previously touched levels.
The idea is also compatible with others that provide an appreciation of NZD and a depreciation of CAD
This idea is based on a signal generated by the advisor Marketmiracle, down on this page you will find the link to the page of signals of the advisor that you can see for free without any cost or registration
COT CURRENCY REPORTAUD, NZD & CAD:
No surprise for the CAD to see the biggest net long positioning change among the majors, moving into second place below the EUR. The fundamental outlook for the CAD remains intact after the BOC’s recent hawkish tilt.
However, it seems like the BOC has taken notice of the rapid CAD appreciation and have fired a warning shot last week and given the markets an indication that USDCAD is approaching levels that could impact export competitiveness. Even though this doesn’t change the bullish outlook, it does pose a risk in the med-term.
For the AUD, the focus in the week ahead will turn to jobs data but also the Iron Ore prices. After a stellar run to the upside, it seems that China has finally stepped in to try and cool down the meteoric rise by banning steelmakers in Tangshan City (14% of China’s steel production) from fabricating or spreading price-hike information.
The move worked as Iron Ore prices took a tumble, but it’s worth noting that both Iron Ore and Copper saw some profit taking and overdue mean reversion earlier last week as well. With strong trends like these, seeing some pullback is to be expected, and as such they will be sensitive to potential bigger price reactions on news like this.
For now, the med-term bias for the AUD remains intact, but this is something to keep in mind as a substantial correction in Iron Ore is expected to weigh on the Antipodean currency.
JPY, CHF & USD:
US 10-Year Yields and US Real Yields remain the biggest focus for the USD and the JPY. After the big beat in US CPI, we saw US10Y resume its med-term uptrend, and saw USDJPY push higher as well.
As long as US10Y remains firm, we would expect that to put more upside downward pressure on JPY. As for the USD, a key focus point right now is real yields. A move higher in nominal 10-year yields will not be a lot of help for the reflation-battered Dollar if real yields continue to stay suppressed.
GBP:
The bullish bias for Sterling remains intact. Recent data has made it clear that the economic recovery is well underway, and markets are looking towards this week’s economic data to confirm that view.
The wild card to track in the week ahead is the virus situation as new cases of the Indian variant has been a concern. PM Johnson warned on Friday that the variant could pose a challenge to their reopening plans.
For now, everything seems under control, but this is a development to keep close track of.
EUR:
Still the biggest net-long position among the majors. There are still issues surrounding the fundamental outlook for the single currency, but despite that the EUR has remained very well supported over the past few weeks as the Dollar has continued to lose favour and as market participants look towards a fast economic rebound once the vaccination efforts allow the EU to lift lockdown restrictions.
If the EU can reach some of the targets it has set itself then we could well see a faster recovery playing out in the EU. However, when we compare that potential recovery in terms of growth or inflation differentials or compare the policy response between the US and UK or compare policy normalization expectations it seems the EU is still lagging behind the US and the UK.
For that reason, we are staying patient with our med-term bearish view on the EUR for now and will wait for more information on the vaccine and data front before we change our mind.
*This report reflects the COT data updated until 11 May 2021.
NZDCAD approaching 1st resistance, potential for a reversal!Price is approaching 1st resistance, which is in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal swing high resistance. We could potentially see a reversal at this level and further downside towards 1st support, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 127.2% Fibonacci extension and horizontal pullback support. Price is holding below both descending trendline and moving average resistance, showing signs of bearish pressure in line with our bearish bias.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.