Unlocking the Correlation: NZDCAD's Dance with StocksTraders,
In today's trading session, our attention is directed towards NZDCAD, where we're eyeing a potential selling opportunity around the 0.82700 zone. As NZDCAD charts a downtrend, it's currently amidst a correction phase, edging closer to the crucial support and resistance area at 0.82700.
Adding depth to our analysis, it's essential to consider the fundamental landscape. The current bearish sentiment prevailing in stocks and indices casts a shadow over NZDCAD, primarily due to their positive correlation. When stocks and indices decline, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) tends to weaken against the Canadian dollar (CAD), reflecting the risk-off sentiment that accompanies declines in equity markets.
This positive correlation between NZDCAD and stocks can be attributed to several factors:
1-Risk Appetite: The New Zealand dollar is often viewed as a risk-sensitive currency, meaning it tends to strengthen during periods of risk appetite and weaken during risk aversion. In contrast, the Canadian dollar is often considered a commodity currency, influenced by factors such as oil prices and global economic growth prospects.
2-Commodity Prices: Both New Zealand and Canada are significant exporters of commodities, and their respective currencies can be sensitive to changes in commodity prices. A decline in global commodity prices, driven by concerns about economic growth or demand, can weigh on both the NZD and CAD, contributing to their correlation.
3-Global Economic Outlook: Changes in the global economic outlook can impact both stocks and currencies. In times of economic uncertainty or slowdown, investors may seek safer assets, leading to declines in both stocks and risk-sensitive currencies like the NZD.
Therefore, with stocks and indices exhibiting a bearish bias, NZDCAD faces increased pressure, aligning with its positive correlation with equities. This correlation underscores the interconnectedness of different asset classes and the importance of considering broader market trends when analyzing currency pairs.
Trade wisely,
Joe
Nzd-cad
NZDCAD - Already OverSold ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NZDCAD has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red.
Currently, NZDCAD is approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDCAD is hovering around the circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDCAD Bearish stocks and potential downsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.82800 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.82800 support and resistance area.
We would also consider the current bearish bias on stock market and indices, due to the correlation when stocks are bearish the NZDCAD is under pressure
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD Bullish, dip buy opportunity targeting 0.85400The NZDCAD pair has hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yet again today and remains under Resistance 1 (0.84300) since July 14 2023, having multiple rejections on it. We do see however the potential for the emergence of a Channel Up, as the 1D RSI is printing the same pattern as the October 20 2023 Low, which initiated a Bullish Leg.
If the Channel Up prevails, that can be its new Bullish Leg to a Higher High. As a result we turn bullish on the pair, aiming for Resistance 2 at 0.85400.
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NZDCAD:Bearish Stocks and Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.83350 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83350 support and resistance area.
the New Zealand economy is heavily reliant on its agricultural exports, particularly dairy products, which can also experience reduced demand during periods of economic downturn. Consequently, when stock markets falter, investors tend to favor safer assets, leading to a decrease in demand for riskier currencies like the NZD compared to safe-haven currencies or those perceived as less volatile, such as the US dollar (USD) or Japanese yen (JPY). This combination of factors contributes to the bearish outlook for NZDCAD when stocks are declining.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD - Top-Down Analysis 📹 From Weekly To H1Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #NZDCAD.
NZDCAD is hovering around a weekly resistance, so we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
On H1, we are waiting for a break below the last major low to sell. Once the sell is activated, the stop loss would be above the previous high, and we will target double our stop loss size to have an edge over the market.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDCAD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.83800 zone, NZDCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.83800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Exploring the Link Between USD Strength and Bearish NZDCADHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.83050 zone. NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83050 support and resistance area.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, it's crucial to consider the impact of USD strength on global markets. A stronger USD often leads to bearish sentiment in global stocks due to its negative correlation with risk assets. As investors flock to the safety of the US dollar during times of uncertainty, riskier currencies like the New Zealand dollar (NZD) tend to weaken. Consequently, bearish sentiment in stocks can translate into downward pressure on NZDCAD as traders seek safer havens.
Trade safe,
Joe.
NZDCAD Bearish stocks and potential downsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.82150 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82150 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD - Keep It Simple 👌Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Daily: Left Chart
NZDCAD broke below a previous major low so it is now acting as a local resistance zone, thus we will be looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes.
On H1: Right Chart
📈 For the bears to take over, we need a momentum candle close below the last major low in gray.
📉 Meanwhile, until the bears take over, NZDCAD can still trade higher for an over-extended correction movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
NZDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.82300 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD Potential UpsidesGreetings Traders,
In tomorrow's trading session, our focus is on NZDCAD as we actively monitor a potential buying opportunity around the 0.83400 zone. Riding an uptrend, NZDCAD showcases a sustained upward trajectory, indicating favorable market dynamics. Simultaneously, the currency pair is navigating a correction phase, gradually converging towards the trend at the critical 0.83400 support zone. This numerical level holds significance as a historical support point, presenting an opportune moment for traders to assess potential entry points aligned with the prevailing uptrend.
As traders prepare for tomorrow's session, strategic considerations should involve a meticulous evaluation of optimal entry points within the identified 0.83400 support zone. Aligning trading decisions with the ongoing uptrend and the potential market dynamics at this critical support zone is essential. The convergence of the correction phase with historical support further enhances the appeal of NZDCAD as a buying opportunity.
NZDCAD - 4H bullishLet’s break down the NZD-CAD pair's recent movements. Back in October, we witnessed three bullish legs that propelled the index upward, following a touch on the last demand zone. Fast forward to December, the pattern repeats with another three-leg movement bringing us back down to that demand zone.
Now here's the exciting part – based on these patterns, I'm predicting another climb, targeting at least the previous high. Stay tuned to see how this plays out in the live market
NZDCAD - Catch The Next Impulse! NZDCAD has been in a correction for almost a year and we might be at the start of the next big impulse.
We're expecting NZD strength so we can assume that NZDCAD has bottomed out.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for BOS, trendline break or reversal pattern on lower timeframe
- invalidation for this bullish scenario is below 0.794 so any entries will require a stop below that level
- Targets: 0.85 (500pips), 0.88 (800pips)
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
NZDCAD possible expansionPrice is in a bullish trend as it has been breaking highs and respecting lows. It broke the previous high with momentum where it receded to consolidate and retrace gradually, forming liquidity in the process. Due to the nature of this break, price could use the latest strong low as liquidity to reach for a demand zone that was previously unmitigated before expanding upwards to take out our higher timeframe weak swing high.
NZDCAD: Descending Channel TopAs we can see from the chart this pair has been in a long-term downtrend, and we're now at the top of the falling channel.
We've seen support hold around 0.797 so my target will be just above this for a short position this week, a break above 0.8215 will invalidate, breaking both the channel and creating a HH, so this would suggest a potential reversal.
I'm looking at overall NZD performance (NZDWCU) and how it sits against the various crosses, it's had a strong few weeks but I'm expecting across the board retracement from it.
For this pair a fail to break below 0.796 will leave a double bottom / HL and again signify a potential reversal in the making.
This week short for me.
NZDCAD: Targeting the 1D MA200NZDCAD just turned bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.955, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 22.539) as it rebounded on the 1D MA50. The signs for this rally emerged after a Double Bottom Zone emerged, following a nearly 5 month RSI Bullish Divergence on HL, which indicates that we may be initiating a new long term bullish trend.
Our focus for now is on the short term though as we go long, targeting the R1 level (TP = 0.82175) and a potential touch with the 1D MA200. That will be a new LH for the Bearish Megaphone pattern.
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