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Nzd-cad

InvestMate|NZD/CAD Nearest resistance zone🍁🍁NZD/CAD Nearest resistance zone. 🍁In the current analysis I decided to try to find where the current upward impulse which started with the breakout of the bottom on 10 October, followed by a huge upward wave until now, might end. 🍁 To define a possible good place for a correction, I decided to use the external fibo measure which I led from the current peak to the low we made today. 🍁The nearest possible level is around the price level of 0.8397 where the external fibo measure of 1.272 is located. 🍁It is worth noting that we have again moved out of the uptrend channel, breaking out of it at the upside. 🍁The support zone I decided to determine based on the 0.236 level and you can also see that it was previously very respected. 🍁The scenario I am playing out is to squeeze the price to the resistance level on a wave of optimism. But I am aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account for this pair, If the outlook would change I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully. 🍁*Please do not suggest the path I have drawn with the lines this is only a hypothetical scenario. 🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
Long
by InvestMate
21
NZDCAD - Trend-Following Sell Setup!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. NZDCAD is overall bearish from a long-term perspective trading inside the brown falling broadening wedge pattern, and it is currently retesting the upper brown trendline. Moreover, the zone 0.827 - 0.835 is a strong resistance zone . So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance zone and upper brown trendline. (acting as non-horizontal resistance) As per my trading style: Since NZDCAD is approaching the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
6
NZDCAD DAILY cHARTHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. As per my last NZDCAD idea (attached on the chart), we where looking for buy setups around the blue support. NZDCAD rejected the support and traded higher. NOW WHAT? on DAILY: Left Chart NZDCAD is approaching a resistance zone in green so we will be looking for sell setups. Knowing that NZDCAD can still trade higher inside the zone before going down. That's why we don't sell blindly, we always zoom in to lower timeframes and wait for the bears to take over. on H4: Right Chart NZDCAD formed a trendline in red but it is not ready to go yet. Trigger => waiting for a momentum candle close below the last low in gray to sell. Meanwhile, until the sell is activated, NZDCAD can still trade higher. Which scenario do you think is more probable and why? Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by talhashaheen
2
NZDCAD - Potential Bearish Reversal!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. As per my last NZDCAD idea (attached on the chart), we where looking for buy setups around the blue support. NZDCAD rejected the support and traded higher. NOW WHAT? on DAILY: Left Chart NZDCAD is approaching a resistance zone in green so we will be looking for sell setups. Knowing that NZDCAD can still trade higher inside the zone before going down. That's why we don't sell blindly, we always zoom in to lower timeframes and wait for the bears to take over. on H4: Right Chart NZDCAD formed a trendline in red but it is not ready to go yet. Trigger => waiting for a momentum candle close below the last low in gray to sell. Meanwhile, until the sell is activated, NZDCAD can still trade higher. Which scenario do you think is more probable and why? Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Short
by TheSignalyst
1
NZD CAD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSNZD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE The NZD remains a tricky currency to pin down. Fundamentals that should have provided support over recent months haven’t, and the country’s lower terms of trade has made it the biggest loser among the high betas during recent weeks. The RBNZ stuck to the same script in their meeting this past week, disappointing some who were expecting some caution regarding the longevity of the bank’s current hiking cycle. This was initially supportive for the NZD, but as we’ve seen time and time again the NZD was not able to trade convincingly in line with what its fundamentals suggest. As always risk sensitivity needs to be kept in mind for the NZD, and that means US Q3 earnings season is one to be kept on the radar this incoming week. Any surprise positive or negative announcements from the National Congress of the CCP will be important to watch as well. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES Positive Covid developments in China (easing restrictions, more fiscal or monetary stimulus, or letting go of the covidzero policy) could trigger bullish reactions in the NZD. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the NZD. Catalyst that triggers recovery in key export commodities (China stimulus, lifting covid restrictions, new infrastructure projects in China) should be supportive for the NZD. Data showing China’s growth outlook is improving or surprise announcement at the CCP congress that Covid-zero will end could provide upside for the NZD. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES Negative Covid developments in China (increasing restrictions or adding additional ones) could trigger bearish reactions in the NZD. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the NZD. Catalyst that triggers further weakness in key export commodities (additional China restrictions, demand destruction) could be negative for the NZD. Data showing China’s growth outlook is deteriorating or strong affirmation that the covid-zero policy is here to stay could add additional pressure on the NZD. BIGGER PICTURE The bigger picture outlook for the NZD is neutral for now, but that is largely dependent on what happens to China as the New Zealand economy is also very dependent on trade with China and Australia, and also dependent on whether the RNBZ sticks to their hawkish tone or pivots more dovish in the meetings ahead. Given the currency’s inability to trade in line with any clear fundamental drivers, we’re opting to stay patient with the NZD until further notice. CAD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE Recent economic data has shown some deterioration for the growth outlook with three consecutive months of contraction in jobs, falling house prices, and a deceleration in both core and headline CPI. The previous jobs data gave the CAD a decent lift with it’s first jobs gain in four weeks, but at 21K jobs added, the job market is still down 92K jobs in the last four months. Just like the week before, Governor Macklem gave no intention that the bank is getting close to the end of their hiking cycle. Even though he didn’t specifically say that the market’s expectations for the terminal rate is too low, his concerns about inflation saw STIR markets price in close to 88% probability for another 50bsp later this month. That makes the CPI data this upcoming week all the more interesting. Even though inflation is still high, both core and headline 3M annualized CPI saw continued moves lower with the AUG print. Another bigger-than-expected miss will be an interesting one for markets to navigate and could provide some short-term opportunities. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES Catalysts that see upside in Oil (deteriorating supply outlook, ease in demand fears, OPEC developments) could trigger bullish CAD reactions. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the CAD. After the bank’s frontloading, there is a very high bar to surprise on the hawkish side for the BoC, but if the bank were to say they think STIR market pricing for the terminal rate is too low that can provide upside for the CAD. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES Catalysts that trigger downside in oil (deteriorating demand outlook, ease in supply shortage, less supply constraints, OPEC developments) could be a negative catalyst for the CAD as well. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the CAD. With the bank 100bsp away from terminal rate expectations, and after recent hawkish comments, it won’t take much to surprise dovish, and any signals or comments from the BoC that they’ll pause hikes should be a negative for the CAD. BIGGER PICTURE The bigger picture outlook for the CAD remains neutral for now. Given the clear risks to the growth outlook (recent negative econ data and fall in oil prices) we remain cautious on the currency. Furthermore, with lots of good news priced, and with the BoC close to terminal rate expectations, our preferred way of trading the CAD is lower on clear short-term negative catalysts. Biggest focus for the CAD in the week ahead will be the SEP CPI print where a further sign of strong deceleration will be an interesting one to watch, especially after the very recent hawkish BoC comments. Monday’s Business Outlook Survey is also one to watch as the release can cause strong directional flows as well. Apart from that, from a risk sentiment perspective we also need to watch the US Q3 earnings season ramping up this week.
by thunderpips
4
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Fading NZDCADTrade Idea: Selling NZDCAD Reasoning: Fading NZDCAD Entry Level: 0.7747 Take Profit Level: 0.7625 Stop Loss: 0.7767 Risk/Reward: 5.82:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Short
by Signal_Centre
4