EURAUD Bounced Off Support, Potential For A Further RiseEURAUD bounced nicely off its support at 1.5522 (100% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 1.5614 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance). Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is bounced off its support at 3.03% where a corresponding rise could occur.
Nzd-jpy
EURUSD still finding Wave ii termination? Could be 1.1280The EURUSD dropped lower than what was expected as a potential wave ii termination point, around 1.1320 levels. It trades close to 1.1290 at this point in writing and is expected to find support around 1.1275/80 levels as fibonacci 0.786 support passes through. Looking into the wave structure, wave i and ii counts still remain valid as presented on the daily chart here. A higher degree wave (C), could be unfolding as an expanded flat or a triangle and prices could push through 1.1800 or at least 1.1650 levels respectively. It remains to be seen where EURUSD would terminate its wave ii. For the above scenario to remain valid, prices should hold above 1.1213 levels going forward. Overall, medium term outlook remains bullish .
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
NZDJPY approaching resistance, potential drop! NZDJPY is approaching our first resistance at 77.36 (horizontal swing high resistance, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, descending channel resistance, where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 76.83 (100% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and seeing a bearish divergence where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
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Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
EURUSD terminates wave ii at 1.1305 ?EURUSD print a lower low at 1.1305 levels today before pulling back, and is at 1.1320/25 levels at this point in writing. We discussed probability of EURUSD dropping to 1.1312 levels before resuming rally and if this is the case, it could be safe to assume that the lower degree wave ii (highlighted on the chart presented here), terminated at 1.1305 levels. Looking at the short term counts again, EURUSD could be ready with waves i and ii (at 1.1473 and 1.1305 levels respectively) and wave iii could be on its way. Please note a higher degree wave C could be unfolding into 5 waves with potential targets at 1.1650 and 1.1820 levels respectively. Overall, the bullish momentum could stay, until prices stay above 1.1213 levels, going forward.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
NZDJPY Short idea again, fib stoch usedMy idea is that the NZDJPY pair will retrace back down to previous low(s) with the 61.8% retracement level being below previous support and higher time frame charts showing a strong downward movement. I welcome input from other trader's of various experience whether or not you agree with my idea.
AUDCHF Approaching Support, Potential BounceAUDCHF is approaching its support at 0.71975 (61.8% & 100% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 0.7221 (50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance). Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 3.4% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
EURUSD could push towards 1.1650 levelsThe EURUSD daily chart remains more or less unchanged from what was discussed last week. It is quite possible that a higher low was formed on Friday at 1.1327 levels, or it could drop towards 1.1315/20 levels before the rally could resume. Looking at the short term wave counts, a lower degree waves i and ii could be in place as labelled here, and wave iii could resume any moment towards 1.1650 levels. The larger wave structure still favors a potential expanded flat or a triangle to unfold in the next several trading sessions. If the above structure holds, we could witness EURUSD rally up to 1.1800/20 levels going forward. Overall, EURUSD remains bullish until prices stay above 1.1213 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Long NZDJPY After my colossal mis-read of the risk sentiment I managed to get out of GBPJPY at breakeven. I now expect the Kiwi to be bid as a more risk on sentiment and recent bounce in economic data should support the antipodean currency. Given the risk on tone and the combination of strong Asia equities close and Kuroda's comments pouring water on any plans to scale back BOJ QE. There should be safe haven out flow weighing on the JPY.
I have an order Long NZDJPY from the 38.2 pullback the mornings rally. Stops behind 61.8 and targets at the 1.13 extension.
NZDJPY approaching support, potential bounce!NZDJPY is approaching our first support at 76.35 (horizontal swing low support, 100%, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong bounce might occur pushing price up to our major resistance at 77.21 (horizontal swing high resistance, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
EURCHF Approaching Support, Potential BounceEURCHF is approaching its support at 1.1357 (100% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 1.1394 (50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance). Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 4.7% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
NZDJPY approaching resistance, potential drop! NZDJPY is approaching our first resistance at 77.76 (horizontal swing high resistance, 100% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 76.48 (horizontal swing low support, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance and seeing a bearish divergence and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
NZDJPY approaching resistance, potential drop! NZDJPY is approaching our first resistance at 77.76 (horizontal swing high resistance, 100% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 75.71 (horizontal pullback support, 100% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance and seeing a bearish divergence and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
NZDJPY approaching resistance, potential drop! NZDJPY is approaching our first resistance at 77.83 (Horizontal swing high resistance, 61.8% and 50% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension and a decreasing channel resistance) and a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 75.44 (Horizontal pullback support, 61.8% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and also showing bearish divergence. Hence, we might see a corresponding drop in price should it reverse off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.