AUDNZD Waiting patiently for that sellThe AUDNZD pair gave us the ultimate sell signal last time (July 11, see chart below) on the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level and easily hit our long-term 1.08000 Target:
The recent 3-week rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is giving us another chance to open another low risk sell on the 0.618 Fibonacci level, similar to all previous Arc tops. Our Target will be the 0.236 Fib at 1.07900, which has been the most usual Support since 2023.
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NZD (New Zealand Dollar)
NZDJPY Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 90.996.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 90.447 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Potential bullish bounce?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6235
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6183
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Kiwibank Lowers Kiwi ForecastThe New Zealand dollar (NZD/USD) has slipped below its 25-day exponential moving average (EMA) and could potentially test the 50-day EMA next. But, can sellers maintain the momentum and push further into bearish territory?
Kiwibank is betting on more downside due to faster and deeper rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). However, their initial bearish outlook has softened somewhat.
"In our previous FX Tactical, we anticipated the Kiwi heading towards the 0.5700 mark. But given its reluctance to trade down to that level, we've adjusted our expectations. While we still believe the Kiwi should be lower, it's clear the 0.5700 target is less likely. At this point, 0.5900 seems a more reasonable level," the bank stated.
Further complicating the outlook is China’s influence. Like the Australian dollar, the Kiwi can find support from economic developments in China. Talks of a potential stimulus package from Beijing had initially buoyed market sentiment, but UBS remains unimpressed. The investment bank noted that the scale of China's recent measures falls short of previous stimulus efforts, which historically triggered strong market rallies. Economists cited by The Wall Street Journal share this view, pointing out that borrowing costs are already low, yet demand for credit remains sluggish. Consumer confidence, dragged down by concerns over jobs and the ongoing property market meltdown, remains near historic lows.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?NZD/CAD is reacting off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8368
1st Support: 0.8368
1st Resistance: 0.8488
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD catching a falling knife at market price?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
The trend of higher lows is located at 0.6120.
A lower correction is expected.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6300 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 0.6260 (stop at 0.6220)
Our profit targets will be 0.6340 and 0.6350
Resistance: 0.6300 / 0.6325 / 0.6350
Support: 0.6275 / 0.6260 / 0.6250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Update idea
NZDCAD is in the Bearish direction From Solid ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart nzdcad HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NZDCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZDJPY Huge long-term bullish signal emerged.The NZDJPY pair gave us an excellent sell signal last time (July 10, see chart below) and not only hit our 95.580 Target but broke below and invalidated the medium-term Channel Up:
The long-term Channel Up however, is still intact and it is evident on the 1W time-frame where the July-August sell-off found support and stopped exactly on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
This alone is the first long-term buy signal. The second is a double one and will be given if the price closes above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has already rejected the uptrend twice since August and the 1W MACD forms a Bullish Cross. As you can see on this chart, every time the 1W MACD Bullish Cross coincided with a price closing above the 1W MA50, it was the strongest buy confirmation since 2020.
So if that confirmation is achieved, we will turn bullish with our Target being 102.000 (+18.31%, the minimum Bullish Leg rise within the Channel Up).
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#GBPNZD 4HGBPNZD (British Pound / New Zealand Dollar)
Timeframe: 4-Hour (4H)
Pattern: Expanding Pattern
An expanding pattern, also known as a broadening formation, has been identified on the 4-hour chart of the GBPNZD pair. This formation signals increasing volatility and market indecision, often leading to a strong breakout in either direction after completion.
In this case, the pattern appears to be forming higher highs and lower lows, indicating widening price movements.
Forecast: Buy
The current analysis suggests a potential buying opportunity within the pattern. The pair may continue moving upwards from the lower bound of the pattern, likely targeting the upper resistance area formed by the expanding structure.
Technical Outlook:
Support Zone: The lower boundary of the expanding formation, acting as a dynamic support.
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the pattern, serving as dynamic resistance.
*Key Levels to Watch: The breakout or bounce near these key zones.
A break above the upper boundary would confirm a bullish continuation, with momentum favoring more upside potential.
Make sure to watch for confirmation signals like volume increase or momentum indicators to validate the entry.
Bearish move correctionAfter hitting 1:5 target and securing 150 pips from the one directional bearish movement, price started to consolidate indicating loss of bearish momentum before mitigating the 4h order block. From this order block we have cleared the swing high for displacement, now we are looking for bullish opportunities because price is expected to hike in order to correct the one directional bearish movement. Anticipating a minor pullback slightly below the imbalance for a bullish entry. The ideal entry level is at 2.11400 because a sweep is expected, risking 30 pips with stop loss at 2.11100 which is below the low at 2.11204 and targeting 150 pips at price 2.12900 which resonates order block that lies between levels 2.12800 and 2.13000...
Bearish reversal?NZD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 91.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 92.98
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 89.59
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
#NZDCHF 1DAYNZD/CHF (1D) Buy Opportunity:
The NZD/CHF pair is showing bullish potential on the daily chart. The price has bounced off a key support level and is forming higher lows, signaling upward momentum. A bullish crossover in the moving averages and a strong RSI above 50 add further confirmation. Fundamental factors, including New Zealand's economic strength and weakening Swiss Franc due to global risk sentiment, support this view.
Trade Idea: Consider buying near the support level with a stop loss below it. Target recent resistance levels for take-profit.
GBPNZD Double top on the resistanceGBPNZD has dropped below the 2.1300 resistance zone. Recent daily candles show rejection bars with long wicks, hinting at growing bearish pressure. Additionally, a double top pattern has formed, indicating that bullish attempts have been rejected twice, strengthening the selling sentiment. Given this setup, the price may continue to decline, potentially breaking below the upward channel that seems to be a corrective pullback against the prevailing bearish trend. A break below this channel would likely signal further downside movement. The target is the support level at 2.11800
NZDJPY - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 300 PIP ) 🟢Pair Name : NZD/JPY
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
🟢Key Technical / Direction ( Long )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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✅Bullish Break
90.250 Area
Reasons
✅- Major Turn level
✅- Visible range Poc
✅- Triangle Break Out
✅- FIxed Range Poc
✅- Quarter low Break
✅Bearish Reversal
93.500 area
NZDCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 0.846.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 0.844 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bearish drop?NZD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6293
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.6346
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6212
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the kiwi reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot point which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.6293
1st Support: 0.61901
1st Resistance: 0.6350
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.