Buy GBP/NZD BreakoutThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2.1480
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2.1600
2nd Resistance – 2.1675
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2.1385. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
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NZD (New Zealand Dollar)
Bearish drop?NZD/CAD is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.83803
1st Support: 0.8121
1st Resistance: 0.84314
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD/USD Rebounds, But Caution Remains Ahead of US Economic DataThe NZD/USD pair rebounded today from a key demand area, but caution remains among traders as critical US economic data looms. The upcoming reports for USD Core Retail Sales (m/m), Retail Sales (m/m), and Unemployment Claims are expected to inject volatility into USD-correlated currency pairs, particularly affecting both EUR/USD and NZD/USD. These data points are crucial for assessing the strength of the US economy, and stronger-than-expected results could further support the US Dollar (USD), applying downward pressure on other currencies like the euro and the New Zealand Dollar (NZD).
China's Economic Data in Focus for NZD
In addition to US developments, market participants are likely to remain cautious ahead of key economic data from China, New Zealand’s top trading partner, scheduled for release on Friday. The upcoming GDP and Retail Sales figures will be closely monitored, especially after the recent disappointment in China’s CPI and PPI numbers. Weak results from China could have negative implications for the NZD, given New Zealand’s heavy reliance on trade with China.
The New Zealand Dollar has faced additional challenges, as China's recently announced fiscal stimulus measures have failed to lift market sentiment. Investors remain uncertain about the scale and impact of the stimulus package, further weighing on the outlook for the NZD.
USD Strength and Federal Reserve Outlook
Meanwhile, the US Dollar has found support from strong labor and inflation data, which has tempered market expectations for aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is currently a 92.1% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in November, with little to no expectation of a larger 50-basis-point reduction. This has kept the USD resilient, further limiting the upside potential for the NZD/USD pair.
Technical Outlook and Market Sentiment
From a technical standpoint, while the NZD/USD has seen a rebound, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders remain bearish on the pair, whereas smart money has started increasing their positions. In addition, our forecast suggests a potential shift toward a bullish seasonality for the NZD, though market conditions remain uncertain.
Given the importance of today’s US economic data, we are adopting a patient approach, waiting for the news release before considering any entries. Stronger-than-expected US figures could dampen the outlook for the NZD, while weaker data may present opportunities for the NZD to regain strength.
In conclusion, while there are signs of a potential bullish trend emerging for the NZD/USD, the combination of ongoing USD strength and upcoming key economic releases from both the US and China makes it necessary to remain cautious in the near term. Patience will be key as we await further developments in the market.
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NZD/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceNZD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 90.23 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 89.70 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 91.27 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Bearish drop?NZD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could fall from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 90.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 91.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 90.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPNZD - Long from bullish OB !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is price to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish OB + level 2.14000.
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Potential bullish reversal?NZD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance level which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 90.25
1st Support: 89.88
1st Resistance: 90.61
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Traders could veer towards the yen with risk events loomingIt is no coincidence that VIX futures have been creeping higher in recent weeks despite Wall Street hitting record highs, as traders are presumably hedging downside risk as we approach the US election. And that means it may not take much to spook traders out of bullish bets with markets at frothy levels, and that could see the yen strengthen as a safety play. Matt Simpson takes a technical look at yen pairs of interest.
GBPNZD H2 XABCD advanced buy/hold trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the 2 hour chart for GBPNZD.
Speculative XABCD in progress, with PRZ/D set at 2.1100,
so expecting more losses in GBPNZD before reversal from PRZ/D
🔸XABCD structure is defined by point X at 1155, point A at 1330, point B
at 1200, point C at 1360, point D/PRZ at 1100, currently most points validated, point D/PRZ still pending, so traders should wait until we hit D before buying.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPNZD traders: wait for pullback/correction
to complete at point D near 1100, buy/hold, SL 80 pips, TP1 +175 pips TP2
+250 pips. BUY/HOLD at point D/PRZ at 1100. swing trade setup. good luck!
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NZDCHF - Long active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. We have here hidden divergence and rejection from level 0.52000. As well on H4 we have confirmation of regular divergence.
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GBPNZD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2.138.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2.142 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently rising on the 3H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.519 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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GBP/NZD LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on GBP/NZD, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 2.144.
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gbpnzd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Pullback resistance ahead?NZD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6127
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6172
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6053
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/USD Sellers Will Push for a Major Breakdown !The NZD/USD pair shows signs of potential bearish continuation after a recent pullback from the 0.61179 level. This zone acted as a resistance point where buyers temporarily pushed the price upward but failed to maintain the momentum.
The price is now stalling just below 0.61094, indicating that bearish pressure is starting to outweigh buying interest. If this level holds as a resistance, the pair could break below the key support at 0.61006, triggering a larger move downwards.
The projected bearish path suggests that once the support is broken, the next target would be 0.60861, followed by a further move towards 0.60543, a strong area of support from previous price action. This setup favors sellers in the short-to-medium term, especially if a clear rejection from current levels is confirmed.
Traders should watch for a confirmed break below 0.61006 to initiate short positions, while a sustained move above 0.61179 would invalidate the bearish bias and open room for upside gains.
GBP-NZD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD is making a
A local correction but
The pair is trading in an
Uptrend so after the retest
Of the horizontal support of 2.1330
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
Buy!
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