GBPNZD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
The recent price action on the GBPNZDpair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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NZD (New Zealand Dollar)
NZD/CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the NZD/CAD with the target of 0.818 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPNZD Targets 2.18 – Watch for Breakdown from Rising ChannelGBPNZD is showing signs of topping after testing key resistance near the 2.25 zone. A rising channel has broken to the downside, followed by a bearish consolidation structure on the daily timeframe. With the BoE divided on rate cuts and the RBNZ likely holding firm amid sticky inflation, the macro landscape favors a bearish correction. Technical targets align with prior swing zones at 2.2000, 2.1840, and 2.1540.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Chart Structure:
Multiple rising wedge and channel breakdowns
Recent failed attempt to retake 2.2510 (50% fib level)
Bearish flag forming beneath broken structure
Key Resistance:
2.2510–2.2570 zone capped price multiple times
Downside Targets:
2.2000 → Previous structure + fib confluence
2.1840–2.1810 → Key support zone (Feb–March lows)
2.1540 → Major trendline/test level and historical support
📉 Bias: Bearish
📐 Trigger: Breakdown below minor support (~2.2450) confirms continuation
🌍 Fundamental Context
🇬🇧 British Pound (GBP):
BoE split on rate cuts: Some members (Taylor) pushing for action, others cautious due to sticky inflation
UK Q1 GDP beat (+0.6%), but manufacturing data weak and inflation expectations rising
Overall: GBP momentum slowing amid policy indecision and trade risks
🇳🇿 New Zealand Dollar (NZD):
RBNZ holding firm: Inflation still above target; central bank cautious
NZD stronger on risk-on mood and China stabilization
Potential upside if AUD/NZD weakens further (cross correlation)
🎯 Trade Setup
Sell Bias below 2.2450–2.2480 zone
Target 1: 2.2000 – structural support
Target 2: 2.1840 – key March low
Target 3: 2.1540 – deeper swing support
Stop Zone: Above 2.2570 – invalidates the bearish flag thesis
This trade offers a strong R:R profile if the pair breaks and sustains below 2.2450.
✅ What to Wait For Before Shorting
A strong bearish daily candle closing below 2.2450 with momentum.
OR a clean rejection wick from 2.25 with follow-through selling.
Volume increase or rejection at resistance would add conviction.
🧭 Conclusion
GBPNZD is setting up for a deeper correction after a failed bullish continuation and clean technical rejection near the 2.25 area. With macro support fading for GBP and NZD sentiment firming slightly, sellers may take control into June. A daily close below 2.2450 confirms bearish intent, with multiple downside levels open for targeting.
Falling towards Fibonacci confluence?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with hte 161.8% and the 145% Fibonacci extension, slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection, and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5831
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 161.8% and the 145% Fibonacci extension, slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection
Stop loss: 0.5796
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.5893
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY gapped up on
The week's open and went
Further up, following other
Yen pairs, however, the upward
Move here was way less powerful
Than on the others and after the
Retest of the horizontal resistance
Of 87.2570 we are seeing significant
Weakness so we are assuming a
Correction is coming which means
We can enter a short trade with
The Take Profit of 86.399 and
The Stop Loss of 87.436
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZD/CHF BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.483 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDJPY price action trading n a weekly timeframe, the market revisited a previously tested zone. On the 1-hour chart, it broke out of this zone, and on the 15-minute chart, a backtest of the breakout level is currently occurring. Based on this setup, I’m planning to enter a trade.
Trade Plan:
Take Profit (TP): Targeting the last swing high.
Stop Loss (SL): Placing it below the last resistance level.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): Aiming for a minimum of 1:3.
This setup offers a high-probability trade with a favorable risk-reward ratio, capitalizing on the breakout and backtest confirmation.
EURNZD - The Bull of the Week!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURNZD has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in red.
However, it is retesting the lower bound of the channel acting as an over-sold area.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong demand!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURNZD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Falling towards pullback support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5888
1st Support: 0.5830
1st Resistance: 0.5977
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD to find buyers at current market price?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5950 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6025.
We look to Buy at 0.5900 (stop at 0.5850)
Our profit targets will be 0.6000 and 0.6025
Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.6000 / 0.6025
Support: 0.5900 / 0.5875 / 0.5850
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Bearish drop for the Kiwi?The price has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5938
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.5968
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 0.5853
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPNZD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GBPNZD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 2.2456 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2.2377
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/NZD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
GBP/NZD is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 2.228.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDCAD - Short Term Sell Trade Update!!!Hi Traders, on May 7th I shared this idea "NZDCAD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short Term"
I expected to see retraces and further continuation lower. You can read the full post using the link above.
Retrace and push lower happened as per the plan!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDJPY Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 85.876.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 85.270 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Falling towards pullback support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5902
1st Support: 0.5852
1st Resistance: 0.6020
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDJPY to find sellers at current resistance?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
The rally has posted a correction count on the daily chart.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 85.95.
We look to Sell at 85.95 (stop at 86.20)
Our profit targets will be 85.05 and 84.85
Resistance: 86.10 / 86.40 / 86.70
Support: 85.30 / 85.00 / 84.80
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPNZD: Support Rebound! Target 2.26 on the Horizon? The weekly chart of GBPNZD shows a consolidation phase following a strong bearish impulse. The price has reacted positively from the support area around 2.2200, forming a significant bullish candle that could indicate a rebound towards the resistance area at 2.2600. The positive momentum suggests a possible test of the intermediate resistance at 2.2500, with the RSI gradually rising from an oversold zone.
Fundamental Analysis
According to the COT data updated as of April 29, 2025, we observe an increase in long positions on GBP by institutional traders, with an increment of +10,665 contracts. On the other hand, commercial traders (hedgers) continue to maintain a significant short exposure on GBP. This imbalance may suggest a potential short-term speculative interest in a bullish GBP move.
Regarding NZD, the latest COT report shows a significant increase in commercial long positions (+3,884 contracts), indicating a strengthening of the New Zealand dollar. However, the overall market sentiment shows a prevalence of short positions on GBPNZD (59% short vs. 41% long), suggesting that retail traders might be on the wrong side of the market.
Seasonal Analysis
Historically, in May, GBP tends to show weakness (-0.0076 over the last 20 years), while NZD does not show a clear seasonal pattern. This could reduce the likelihood of a decisive GBP movement during this month.
Operational Strategy
The rebound from 2.2200 could favor the opening of long positions with the first target at 2.2500 and the second target at 2.2600. The stop loss could be placed below the key support at 2.2100. In case of a resistance breakout, an extension towards the 2.2700 area would be plausible.