NZDUSD, D1 | Reversal off key resistanceWe're looking at NZDUSD on the D1 timeframe today. There's a fair bit of resistance at the 0.6080 area where we're seeing an overlap resistance, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and a 100% Fibonacci projection.
It's worth noting that we're also seeing a long term bearish trend line suggesting that there's good bearish momentum pushing prices lower.
A reversal from here could see prices potentially drop all the way down to our major support at 0.5749 which also happens to be a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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NZD-USD
NZDUSD Conditions for a buyNZDUSD is trading inside a Channel Down since February 2nd and the price is now near its bottom.
There is the possibility for one last Low around 0.59450 but we have clear indicators that can call the buy entry.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the price closes over the MA50 (4H).
2. Buy when the MACD (1d) completes a Buy Cross.
Targets:
1. 0.62150 (Fibonacci 0.618) in both cases.
Tips:
1. The MACD (1d) has produced excellent Buy Signals after a Buy Cross under 0.00. It is the ideal confirmation for a lower risk entry.
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NZDUSD to turnaround?NZDUSD - 24h expiry - We look to Buy a break of 0.6100 (stop at 0.6064)
Previous support located at 0.6050.
Previous resistance located at 0.6100.
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders is forming.
A move through 0.6100 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The RSI is trending higher.
Our profit targets will be 0.6190 and 0.6215
Resistance: 0.6100 / 0.6150 / 0.6200
Support: 0.6050 / 0.6025 / 0.6000
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NZDUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.613 zone, NZDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently NZDUSD is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.61300 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Buy signal within the Channel Down confirmedThe NZDUSD pair hit our upside target (see chart below) on our last analysis more than a month ago and then started to pull-back:
That pull-back was the bearish leg of the long-term Channel Down, which has so far been the dominant pattern of 2023. Today is the 2nd straight green 1D candle since the price came close to the bottom of the Channel Down so the R/R is favorable in buying for the medium-term and targeting the top of the pattern at 0.62750.
The 1D RSI almost getting oversold is an additional buy signal, though last time it required a Double Bottom (March 09), which was a slightly Lower Low before the bottom was priced. But still the R/R is low on that trade. A closing below the Channel Down however would invalidate this trade and instead we will sell aggressively targeting Support 2 at 0.57415.
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NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60300 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently seems to be in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 0.60300 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD: Strong buy signal approaching inside the Channel DownNZDUSD is trading inside a Channel Down, currently under both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 but approaching the bottom of the pattern. The 1D timeframe is technically bearish (RSI = 35.132, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 37.676) but when the RSI hit the bottom of the five month Rectangle it has been a buy signal. Similarly with the top being a sell signal. Those RSI tops and bottoms match perfectly the Highs and Lows of the Channel Down.
We are starting to add small portions of buy now, targeting the top of the Channel Down (TP = 0.62800). If we get a 1D candle close over the Channel Down, we will enter a buy again targeting R2 (TP = 0.65400).
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✨ NEW: NZDUSD ✨ Day Trade (7m)SLO @ 87.00 (aggressive sell order)
TP3 @ 86.90 (closing ALL buy orders)
TP2 @ 86.75 (shave 25%)
TP1 @ 86.50 (shave 25%)
BLO1 @ 86.40 (aggressive buy order)
BLO2 @ 86.25 (aggressive buy order)
-SL @ 86.00 🚫
NZD News May 23, 2023 @ 19:00 PT / 22:00 ET
The Official Cash Rate (OCR) Will Affect the New Zealand Dollar (NZD)
The OCR is set by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and is used to control inflation. When inflation is high, the RBNZ will raise the OCR in an effort to slow down the economy. This can make the NZD more valuable, as it makes New Zealand a more attractive place to invest. When inflation is low, the RBNZ will lower the OCR in an effort to stimulate the economy. This can make the NZD less valuable, as it makes New Zealand a less attractive place to invest.
📈 The NZDJPY pair is currently trading at 86.61. Price Action (PA) has been in an uptrend (UT) since 05/21 @ 18:54 PT and if PA breaks mid-pivot (MP) @ 86.65, it should continue the UT until it reaches Major Resistance @ ~86.77 or ~87.04.
📉 If PA reacts to 86.77 as Major Resistance, it could continue to retrace down to the next Demand Zone (DZ) @ 86.40 or 86.25 (7m).
* Resistance 2 @ ~87.04
* Resistance 1 @ ~86.77
* Support 1 @ ~86.40
* Support 2 @ ~86.25
BANKS, BUSINESSES, CONSUMERS
—The OCR is the interest rate set by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)
—It is the rate at which banks can borrow money from the RBNZ
—When the OCR is increased, it makes it more expensive for banks to borrow money
—Which, in turn, makes it more expensive for businesses
—Which, then, makes it more expensive for consumers to borrow money
—This can lead to a slowdown in economic activity
—This puts pressure on the value of the NZD
—This pressure would cause the NZDJPY to rise
INVESTORS
— Higher OCRs tend to make the NZD more valuable
— Higher interest rates make New Zealand a more attractive place to invest
— A higher return can be earned on their money
— This increased demand for NZD pushes up its value.
⚠️ It is important to remember that the value of the NZD against the JPY can fluctuate rapidly, and it is always important to do your own research before making any trading decisions.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62700 zone, NZDUSD was trading in an uptrend and currently seems to be attempting to break it out, if we get dips below 0.62700 support we will look for a potential retrace of the trend towards more lows.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62400 zone, in above chart we have a break out of NZDUSD trend due to USD strength over commodities, currently we will be watching a potential retrace of the trend from 0.62400 resistance.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD to find buyers at current swing low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Previous support located at 0.6225.
Previous resistance located at 0.6250.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6250 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 0.6190 (stop at 0.6160)
Our profit targets will be 0.6265 and 0.6285
Resistance: 0.6250 / 0.6260 / 0.6275
Support: 0.6225 / 0.6200 / 0.6175
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NZDUSD:DXY pullbacks before further strength?Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.626 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently seems to be in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 0.626 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62100 zone, NZDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently we are waiting for a correction to see a potential retrace of the trend from 0.62100 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
HUGE Buy Opportunity NZD/USD There is a significant buying opportunity on the NZD/USD currency pair at the price level of 0.61800. Traders may view this as a favorable entry point to go long on NZD/USD, anticipating a potential upward price movement from this level. However, it is important to conduct a thorough analysis and consider other factors, such as market conditions and risk management, before making any trading decisions.
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NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62 zone, NZDUSD was trading in an uptrend and currently seems to be attempting to break it out with a current bullish DXY, if we get any dips below the support we would be looking for a potential retrace of the breakout from 0.62 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZD USD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISAn extended period of U.S. dollar depreciation is approaching.
The greenback could be relatively stable in the near term, as some additional Fed tightening combined with the potential for mildly unsettled markets could provide temporary support for the greenback. However, we expect the U.S. currency to come under pressure as aggressive Fed easing starts in Q4-2023. We forecast the trade-weighted dollar to soften 3% over the balance of 2023, and by a further 5% in 2024.
NZD USD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISAn extended period of U.S. dollar depreciation is approaching.
The greenback could be relatively stable in the near term, as some additional Fed tightening combined with the potential for mildly unsettled markets could provide temporary support for the greenback. However, we expect the U.S. currency to come under pressure as aggressive Fed easing starts in Q4-2023. We forecast the trade-weighted dollar to soften 3% over the balance of 2023, and by a further 5% in 2024.