NZDUSD Potential for Bearish Momentum | 23rd September 2022On the H4, with the price moving within the descending channel, below ichimoku cloud, If the price can break the sell entry at 0.57984, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection, 161.8% fibonacci extension, 127.2% fibonacci extensions successfully, we can expect the price drop to the take profit at 0.56546, which is in line with the 200% fibonacci extension and 161.8% fibonacci extension. Alternatively, the price may pull back to the stop loss at 0.58932, where the 23.6% fibonacci retracement is.
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NZD-USD
NZDUSD Potential for Bearish Momentum | 22nd September 2022On the H4, with the price moving within the descending channel, below ichimoku cloud, RSI is showing a descending trendline. If the price can break the sell entry at 0.57984, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection, 161.8% fibonacci extension, 127.2% fibonacci extensions successfully, we can expect the price drop to the take profit at 0.56546, which is in line with the 200% fibonacci extension and 161.8% fibonacci extension. Alternatively, the price may pull back to the stop loss at 0.58967, where the 23.6% fibonacci retracement is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDUSD Potential for Bearish Continuation| 15th September 2022On the H4, with the price moving within the descending channel and below ichimoku cloud, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 0.60361, which is in line with the pullback resistance and 38.2% fibonacci retracement to the take profit at 0.59624, where the 78.6% fibonacci projection and 127.2% fibonacci extension are. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 0.60771, which is in line with the overlap resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement.
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NZDUSD Close to the long-term Support. Buy opportunity.The NZDUSD pair had previously completed its bullish leg above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before starting the new correction on the August 12 High, as we illustrated on our previous analysis:
Right now the price is again the closest its been since July 12 to the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 1 year Bearish Megaphone pattern. This makes the odds of a buying stronger, even though the 1D RSI isn't yet oversold. Probably that will happen within the current level and 0.5900. In any case this is a good medium-term buy opportunity, initially targeting the 1D MA50 and Inner Lower Highs (1) trend-line on a potential +5% rise (minimum of rises inside the Megaphone) and in extension the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the Inner Lower Highs (2) trend-line on a +7.50% rise (maximum inside the Megaphone).
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NZDUSD Potential for Bearish Continuation| 14th September 2022On the H4, with the price moving within the descending channel and below ichimoku cloud, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 0.59960, which is in line with the swing low and 61.8% fibonacci projection to the take profit at 0.59062, where the 100% fibonacci projection is. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 0.60071, which is in line with the 50% fibonacci retracement and previous swing low support.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Dollar reigns supremeNZDUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.6100 (stop at 0.6150)
Previous support located at 0.6000. Previous resistance located at 0.6050. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Further downside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 0.5975 and 0.5950
Resistance: 0.6050 / 0.6100 / 0.6150
Support: 0.6000 / 0.5975 / 0.5950
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NZDUSD Potential for Bearish Continuation| 7th September 2022
On the H4, with price moving within the descending channel, below ichimoku indicators and MACD showing a death cross, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 0.59967, which is in line with the 61.8% fibonacci projection. If the price can break the sell entry, the take profit could be at 0.59497, where the 127.2% fibonacci extension is. Alternatively, the price may pull back from the 1sell entry and rise to the stop loss at 0.60569, where the previous swing lows are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZD/USD Outlook (7 September 2022) The NZDUSD heads into unchartered territory!
As the price breaks below the 0.6060 support level, the NZDUSD is heading into price levels last seen in 2020, during the pandemic.
With the price currently at 0.6040, look for the NZDUSD to trade lower towards the round number level of 0.60. However, the key support level is at 0.5930.
While there could be a significant downside, the price action as the NZDUSD trades lower could see significant volatility and choppy movements.
NZDUSD M30: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 0.6150On the M30 time frame, prices are approaching resistance at 0.6150, in line with the Fibonacci confluence levels where a pullback to this zone could present an opportunity to play the drop to our next support target at 0.6080. Stochastic is approaching resistance as well supporting the bearish bias.
NZD/USD Possible Upward MoveHello Traders
Last week, NFP and unemployment news did mixed signals. NFP got bullish but so weak. in the other side, unemployment did a bearish signal.
We believe all USD pairs are going to make correction moves until FED's interest rate decision.
So here is why we are bullish on NZD/USD:
1- RSI and Stochastic made a RD+.
2- Possible Double bottom formation.
3- in macro TF Price is moving inside of Triangle.
4- Price is struggling with downward trendline.
5- an engulfing bullish candle(4hr TF) has been made on support.
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-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
NonFarmPayroll Prep (NZDUSD)NFP analysis for the first Friday of the month! The expectation is for an increase of 295K with last month released at 528K (The previous month's forecast was 250K). And relatively unchanged in terms of the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings. If the data is released better than expected, the USD should strengthen.
The NZDUSD has a strong descending trend line that applies downward pressure on price. But, the NZDUSD currently trades just above the 0.6060 support level. If the price breaks lower, there is little support until the 0.5930 price level (which was last reached in may 2020).
Consider the possibility that the NZDUSD could find a significant upside move in the event of a surprise/bad data release from the US.
If the price breaks above 0.61 and the diagonal trendline, the NZDUSD could climb towards 0.6158 and even 0.6250.
NZD/USD Next MoveTechnical Analysis Chart Update
NZD / USD ( New Zealand Dollar / U.S Dollar )
Time Frame - H1
FALLING WEDGE Pattern in Short Time Frame #STF and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
Strong #SUPPORT Level
It is also Following #ELLIOT_WAVES in Short time Frame and it has completed the Impulsive waves will follow the Corrective Waves now
Strong Buying #Divergence in #RSI
DOUBLE BOTTOM Pattern in Long Time Frame #LTF
NZDUSD M30: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 0.6188On the M30 time frame prices are approaching resistance at 0.61880 where we could see a reversal below this level. The 0.6188 resistance zone lines up with the graphical support-turned-resistance zone and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A pullback to this zone presents an opportunity to play the drop to the next support target at 0.6100.
NZD/USD Outlook (30 August 2022) The upside of the NZDUSD halted at the price level of 0.6220, resisted by the downward trendline and the significant move lower driven by hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve.
The NZDUSD found the 0.61 support level before retracing higher towards the 0.6160 price level. Look for the price to reject the resistance level and the diagonal trend line to signal further downside. However, the NZDUSD could have limited downside potential with 0.6060 a key support level, last tested in 2020.
The NZDUSD moves in a similar fashion to the AUDUSD.