Possible trend shift in NZDUSD – going longThe Tidal Shift Strategy has just bought NZDUSD at 0.70012. The system recommends entering this trade at any price between 0.69882 and 0.70142. The signal was issued because our Speculative Sentiment Index has hit its most extreme negative level for the past 145 trading hours at -1.41414, which suggests that the NZDUSD could be trending upwards.The 14-period Average True Range on a daily chart is 0.00104, so the stop loss has been set at 0.6949. This stop loss order is a trailing stop that will move up as the market moves up. There is no profit target for this strategy. We expect to be closed by the stop loss.Tidal Shift is a trend trading strategy that aims to catch shifts in trend using trader sentiment as an indicator. The strategy looks to buy when the Speculative Sentiment Index reaches its lowest value for the past 145 trading hours, and looks to short when it reaches its highest value for the past 145 trading hours.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZD-USD
NZDUSD facing bearish pressure, potential for further downsidePrices are facing bearish pressure and is facing resistance from horizontal pullback resistance in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension . Prices might push down towards 161.8% Fibonacci extension Fibonacci confluence . If prices continue to push up, prices might face resistance from horizontal pullback resistance in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension . EMA is also above prices, showing a bearish pressure for prices.
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in NZDUSDTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (0.7004).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDUSD is in a range bound, and the beginning of a downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 33.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6967
TP2= @ 0.6945
TP3= @ 0.6921
TP4= @ 0.6896
SL: Break Above R2
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💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in NZDUSDTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (0.7004).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDUSD is in a range bound, and the beginning of a downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 33.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6967
TP2= @ 0.6945
TP3= @ 0.6921
TP4= @ 0.6896
SL: Break Above R2
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NZDUSD Short after trendline break - BB BearishNZDUSD is trending to the downside today prior to the USD Housing Price Index, which shows the growth in the US housing market. Technically price has broken an ascending trendline, and is below the 50 hour moving average. We anticipate continued downside into the 0.6977 level.
NZDUSD a continuation of the downtrend 🦐NZDUSD on the 4h chart approached the daily support.
The market is moving in a descending channel and we can expect a continuation for a lower lowe.
According to Plancton's strategy if the price will break below we will set a nice short order.
––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
NZDUSD - 2021-2022 FX Forecasts from investment Bank BarclaysThe Bank expects that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will be quicker to tighten policy and expects limited New Zealand dollar gains.
“NZD valuations remain unsupportive but are less likely to be an issue given improving terms of trade and reduced uncertainty.”
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in NZDUSDTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (0.7063).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDUSD is in a downtrend, and the continuation of the downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 38.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.7032
TP2= @ 0.6999
TP3= @ 0.6962
TP4= @ 0.6922
TP5= @ 0.6883
SL: Break Above R2
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💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in NZDUSDTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (0.7063).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDUSD is in a downtrend, and the continuation of the downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 38.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.7032
TP2= @ 0.6999
TP3= @ 0.6962
TP4= @ 0.6922
TP5= @ 0.6883
SL: Break Above R2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
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Now, It's your turn !
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Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
NZDUSD facing bullish pressure | 28th June 2021NZDUSD is facing bullish pressure as it continues to hold above the ascending trendline and moving average supports. We could see further upside above the Buy Entry level, in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, and horizontal swing low support, towards Take Profit level, in line with 78.6% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing high resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDUSD approaching 1st support, potential for bounce!Price is approaching 1st support, in line with 38.2%, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing low support, where we could see a bounce and further rise towards 1st resistance, in line with 78.6% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing high resistance. Price is holding above both the ascending trendline and Ichimoku cloud supports, showing signs of bullish pressure.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZD: Good momentum may lingerFundamental bias: Mildly bullish
*The Kiwi dollar was the best performing currency for most of this past week, leading the recovery in commodity FX and significantly trimming the post-FOMC losses. Indeed, fundamentals continue to make NZD a very attractive buy-the-dip opportunity, thanks to one of the most hawkish central banks in G10 and now also a much more balanced positioning.
*Market expectations for the RBNZ have continued to move on the hawkish side, with the OIS market now pricing in a the first hike already in early 2022 (the RBNZ signalled no change until 2H22), starting to set the bar quite high for another hawkish surprise at the 15 July RBNZ meeting. One variable we continue to see as central for monetary policy (although not explicitly mentioned by the RBNZ) is the housing market, and a first look at June’s house prices next week will tell us whether the RBNZ will continue to feel the pressure to normalize policy earlier than expected for curbing the housing bubble. So far, it appears that the Government’s measures to stop the rise in house prices have not had a material impact. There are no other domestic drivers to highlight in the week ahead, but NZD’s attractive rate profile may clear the way for a bit more strength in NZD should the global environment continue to allow it.
NZDUSD facing bullish pressure | 24th June 2021NZDUSD is facing bullish pressure as it continues to hold above the ascending trendline and moving average supports. We could see further upside above the Buy Entry level, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension, towards Take Profit level, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing high resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDUSD facing bullish pressure | 24th June 2021NZDUSD is facing bullish pressure as it continues to hold above the ascending trendline and moving average supports. We could see further upside above the Buy Entry level, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension, towards Take Profit level, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing high resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDUSD facing bullish pressure, potential for further upside!Price is facing bullish pressure as it continues to hold above the ascending trendline and moving average support, which is in line with our bullish bias. We could see a bounce at 1st support, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 100% Fibonacci extension and horizontal pullback support, and further upside towards 1st resistance, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing high resistance.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZD: Near-term downside but recovery over the summerFundamental bias: Mildly bullish
While domestic fundamentals continue to point to strength in the New Zealand dollar (i.e. the 1Q GDP released this week was strong, meaningfully surpassing the consensus expectations: 1.6% quarter-on-quarter vs the consensus at 0.5%), the external environment matters more. The hawkish Fed and the rebound in USD are clear near-term risks for NZD/USD and suggest caution for next week. Yet, with the earlier Fed tapering now expected and more than two months to Jackson Hole, we expect the fundamentally sound NZD to recover over the summer. Interestingly, despite the meaningfully larger long speculative positioning in NZD vs AUD (where speculative positioning is modestly short), NZD did not underperform AUD – underscoring the solid domestic NZ story.
On the data front, it will be a quite week. 2Q consumer confidence (Monday) and May trade balance data (Thursday) should not affect NZD much next week. NZD/USD will be largely about the dollar and the upcoming communication from various FOMC members scheduled for next week.