Heading into overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6084
1st Support: 0.5984
1st Resistance: 0.6082
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD-USD
NZDUSD forming a top?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly higher and has stalled at the previous resistance near 0.6040.
Short term RSI has turned negative.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6000 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5980.
We look to Sell at 0.6040 (stop at 0.6065)
Our profit targets will be 0.5980 and 0.5970
Resistance: 0.6020 / 0.6040 / 0.6050
Support: 0.6000 / 0.5990 / 0.5980
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD Is approaching a significant resistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD is approaching an important resistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD - Short Trade Idea (ICT)Hello hello everyone,
I see a potentially nice trade forming on NZDUSD. A possible 500+ pips to be had as a swing position.
As you can see, my bias is bearish. I believe we will target the Relative Equal Lows below. I would have to see price start to move lower in the general vicinity of the illustrated path lines. If I don't get an entry in that area, then I would be keen to take one at the Bisi 2W R2F gap should we get a 2W close below it and then a retracement back into it.
Let's see how it goes!
- R2F
NZDUSD to turnaround?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5875.
A move through 0.5925 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6000.
The RSI is trending higher.
We look to Buy at 0.5925 (stop at 0.5895)
Our profit targets will be 0.5995 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.5980 / 0.6000
Support: 0.5925 / 0.5900 / 0.5880
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59200 zone, NZDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.59200 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Daily signals are bearish.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our outlook is bearish.
We look for a temporary move higher.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.5932.
The lack of interest is a concern for bulls.
We look to Sell at 0.5930 (stop at 0.5956)
Our profit targets will be 0.5865 and 0.5850
Resistance: 0.5896 / 0.5920 / 0.5935
Support: 0.5974 / 0.5960 / 0.5940
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD: Technical Correction and Fundamental PressAttention Traders,
Today's focus is on NZDUSD, where we're observing a potential selling opportunity around the 0.60400 zone. After trading in an uptrend, NZDUSD recently experienced a breakout and is now undergoing a correction phase, edging towards the retrace area near the 0.60400 support and resistance zone.
Expanding on our analysis, let's consider the fundamental landscape. Inflation data plays a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, and recent CPI figures highlight significant trends. Comparing recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data reveals:
Mar 12, 2024: 0.4%
Feb 13, 2024: 0.4%
Jan 11, 2024: 0.3%
Dec 12, 2023: 0.3%
Nov 14, 2023: 0.2%
Moreover, yesterday's CPI release for April 10th reported a robust year-over-year increase of 3.5% in March, exceeding expectations and driven by upticks in housing and gasoline costs. This uptick in inflation can potentially impact currency pairs like NZDUSD, as it may prompt expectations of tighter monetary policy to combat inflation, consequently exerting downward pressure on the New Zealand dollar.
As we navigate today's trading session, it's essential to integrate both technical and fundamental analysis. The potential selling opportunity in NZDUSD at 0.60400 aligns with the broader correction phase and the impact of inflation data on currency dynamics.
Trade wisely,
Joe
NZDUSD - Wait For It ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NZDUSD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, NZDUSD is in a correction phase, approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDUSD - Keep It Simple🍰Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, NZDUSD rejected the lower bound of the channel and traded higher.
📚 Currently, NZDUSD is approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the highlighted red zone is a strong structure acting as a minor resistance.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and red structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZD/USD: Odds for NZ rate cut? NZD/USD: Odds for NZ rate cut?
This week the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged at 5.5% Interestingly, as recently as February this year, the RBNZ was still deliberating rate hikes.
Presently, the market attributes a 4% probability to a rate cut. The earliest feasible moment for a rate cut could be in November. However, the New Zealand economy entered a technical recession in the latter half of 2023, which could potentially prompt the RBNZ to consider rate cuts if economic fragility persists.
Gareth Kiernan, the chief forecaster at Infometrics, anticipates a potentially more hawkish stance in the RBNZ's statement compared to February.
Despite New Zealand's slightly more favorable interest rate differential, the Kiwi dollar has not managed to outperform the US dollar. Kiwi bulls are currently facing potential resistance at 0.6040 and then the 200-day simple moving average. On the downside, support could lay at 0.5993 and 0.5940.
Traders might also like to closely monitor the upcoming US CPI figures. A positive surprise in the data could reignite momentum for the US dollar and push the NZD/USD pair down past its current weak trendlines.
Must-know events for the trading week Must-know events for the trading week
The week ahead in the US will be marked by significant events, including the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and March inflation data.
Alongside the meeting minutes, investors will continue to analyze speeches from various Fed officials: Recent remarks from Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari revealed that he had anticipated two interest rate cuts this year. However, he noted that if inflation remains sluggish, no cuts may be necessary. This outcome would really surprise the market, which is mostly still expecting three cuts, starting in June.
Headline inflation is expected to rise for a second consecutive period to 3.4%, while the core rate is projected to decline to 3.7%, reaching its lowest level since April 2021.
In Europe, all eyes will be on the European Central Bank's meeting, where current interest rates are anticipated to be maintained. The likelihood of future rate cuts will be assessed by the market at the same time.
In Japan, investors will be monitoring potential intervention actions from the Bank of Japan to support the yen. Governor Kazuo Ueda will also be speaking during the week regarding the central bank's future steps.
Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 5.5%. The RBNZ's latest forecast from February suggests that the OCR will remain steady until early to mid-2025, despite expressing increased confidence based on recent data.
NZDUSD to turnaround from the downtrend?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Further upside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6050 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6100.
We look to Buy at 0.6020 (stop at 0.5992)
Our profit targets will be 0.6090 and 0.6105
Resistance: 0.6050 / 0.6090 / 0.6100
Support: 0.6025 / 0.6020 / 0.6000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD: Short term buy opportunityNZDUSD has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.582, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 53.918) as up until two days ago it was on the 2nd Bearish Wave of the 2024 Channel Down. This wave appears to have ended as the price hit and rebounded on the S1 level, posting so far two very strong green 1D candles. The pair may make one more Lower Low as on February 5th but shouldn't be much lower than the S1 level. We are aiming at a similar +2.48% rise to the LH (TP = 0.60850).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59800 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Further downside is expected.
Short term RSI has turned negative.
A move through 0.5925 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5890.
We look to Sell at 0.5960 (stop at 0.5984)
Our profit targets will be 0.5900 and 0.5890
Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.5965 / 0.5990
Support: 0.5925 / 0.5900 / 0.5890
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD is approaching a significant zoneHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60200 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD to turnaround?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
We are trading at oversold extremes.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6010 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6035.
We look to Buy at 0.5990 (stop at 0.5968)
Our profit targets will be 0.6045 and 0.6060
Resistance: 0.6010 / 0.6030 / 0.6035
Support: 0.6000 / 0.5990 / 0.5975
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD Strong medium-term buy opportunity.The NZDUSD pair easily broke above the former Channel Down on our last buy signal (October 27 2023, see chart below) and then went on a slow long-term retrace:
The restructured pattern is close to forming a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, which would be the first since July 06 2023, a formation that turned out to be a buy signal. As the 1D RSI broke below its former Higher Lows trend-line and went below 35.00, a bullish pattern arises. As you can see such RSI pattern priced the Lows of October 26 2023 and May 31 2023, which where bottom buy opportunities that targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous High of the Channel Down.
Assuming the price soon hits its Lower Lows trend-line, a projected 0.786 Fib is around 0.6280 but we are targeting marginally lower at the top of the Channel Down at 0.62350, as until it breaks, it remains the dominant pattern.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇