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NZD-USD

NZD/USD: Odds for NZ rate cut? NZD/USD: Odds for NZ rate cut? This week the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged at 5.5% Interestingly, as recently as February this year, the RBNZ was still deliberating rate hikes. Presently, the market attributes a 4% probability to a rate cut. The earliest feasible moment for a rate cut could be in November. However, the New Zealand economy entered a technical recession in the latter half of 2023, which could potentially prompt the RBNZ to consider rate cuts if economic fragility persists. Gareth Kiernan, the chief forecaster at Infometrics, anticipates a potentially more hawkish stance in the RBNZ's statement compared to February. Despite New Zealand's slightly more favorable interest rate differential, the Kiwi dollar has not managed to outperform the US dollar. Kiwi bulls are currently facing potential resistance at 0.6040 and then the 200-day simple moving average. On the downside, support could lay at 0.5993 and 0.5940. Traders might also like to closely monitor the upcoming US CPI figures. A positive surprise in the data could reignite momentum for the US dollar and push the NZD/USD pair down past its current weak trendlines.
by BlackBull_Markets
Must-know events for the trading week Must-know events for the trading week The week ahead in the US will be marked by significant events, including the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and March inflation data. Alongside the meeting minutes, investors will continue to analyze speeches from various Fed officials: Recent remarks from Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari revealed that he had anticipated two interest rate cuts this year. However, he noted that if inflation remains sluggish, no cuts may be necessary. This outcome would really surprise the market, which is mostly still expecting three cuts, starting in June. Headline inflation is expected to rise for a second consecutive period to 3.4%, while the core rate is projected to decline to 3.7%, reaching its lowest level since April 2021. In Europe, all eyes will be on the European Central Bank's meeting, where current interest rates are anticipated to be maintained. The likelihood of future rate cuts will be assessed by the market at the same time. In Japan, investors will be monitoring potential intervention actions from the Bank of Japan to support the yen. Governor Kazuo Ueda will also be speaking during the week regarding the central bank's future steps. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 5.5%. The RBNZ's latest forecast from February suggests that the OCR will remain steady until early to mid-2025, despite expressing increased confidence based on recent data.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
2
NZDUSD to turnaround from the downtrend?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. Further upside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6050 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6100. We look to Buy at 0.6020 (stop at 0.5992) Our profit targets will be 0.6090 and 0.6105 Resistance: 0.6050 / 0.6090 / 0.6100 Support: 0.6025 / 0.6020 / 0.6000 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
1
NZDUSD: Short term buy opportunityNZDUSD has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.582, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 53.918) as up until two days ago it was on the 2nd Bearish Wave of the 2024 Channel Down. This wave appears to have ended as the price hit and rebounded on the S1 level, posting so far two very strong green 1D candles. The pair may make one more Lower Low as on February 5th but shouldn't be much lower than the S1 level. We are aiming at a similar +2.48% rise to the LH (TP = 0.60850). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
2
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Further downside is expected. Short term RSI has turned negative. A move through 0.5925 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5890. We look to Sell at 0.5960 (stop at 0.5984) Our profit targets will be 0.5900 and 0.5890 Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.5965 / 0.5990 Support: 0.5925 / 0.5900 / 0.5890 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDUSD to turnaround?NZDUSD - 24h expiry We are trading at oversold extremes. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6010 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6035. We look to Buy at 0.5990 (stop at 0.5968) Our profit targets will be 0.6045 and 0.6060 Resistance: 0.6010 / 0.6030 / 0.6035 Support: 0.6000 / 0.5990 / 0.5975 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
NZDUSD Strong medium-term buy opportunity.The NZDUSD pair easily broke above the former Channel Down on our last buy signal (October 27 2023, see chart below) and then went on a slow long-term retrace: The restructured pattern is close to forming a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, which would be the first since July 06 2023, a formation that turned out to be a buy signal. As the 1D RSI broke below its former Higher Lows trend-line and went below 35.00, a bullish pattern arises. As you can see such RSI pattern priced the Lows of October 26 2023 and May 31 2023, which where bottom buy opportunities that targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous High of the Channel Down. Assuming the price soon hits its Lower Lows trend-line, a projected 0.786 Fib is around 0.6280 but we are targeting marginally lower at the top of the Channel Down at 0.62350, as until it breaks, it remains the dominant pattern. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
NZDUSD: 1D MA50 rejection. Clear sell signal.NZDUSD is on a bearish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.566, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 31.358) as not only is the long term pattern a Bearish Megaphone but even this week got rejected on the 1D MA50 and maintains the LH sequence. We are bearish on this pair aiming for a -4.18% decline from this week's LH (TP = 0.59600), which is the lowest decline of a 1D MA50 correction there's been inside this pattern. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Sell NZDUSD Triangle BreakoutThe NZD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a downward breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern. Key Points: Triangle Breakout: The price has been trading within a triangle pattern, characterized by converging upper and lower trendlines. This pattern can indicate a period of consolidation before a breakout in either direction. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6187, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels 0.6150 and 0.6130. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the triangle, ideally around 0.6215. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
6
CPI Impact: Evaluating NZDUSD for Potential Short PositionHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.61550 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.61550 support and resistance area.The recent release of CPI data in the United States has significantly influenced the forex market dynamics, particularly impacting the NZDUSD pair. With the USD displaying strength following the higher-than-expected CPI figures, market sentiment has shifted towards a stronger dollar. This upward pressure on the USD, driven by the inflationary data, is likely to exert downward pressure on currency pairs like NZDUSD. As traders assess the implications of the CPI data on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, heightened volatility in the forex market is anticipated. Consequently, considering the fundamental backdrop of USD strength stemming from the CPI data, we're closely monitoring NZDUSD for potential selling opportunities around the 0.61550 zone. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
NZD/USD will go under 0.600 soonHello Traders It seems NZD/USD is going to make a diagonal correction. it is possible, since we are bullish on USD. so we are expecting the price will reach 0.60 and 0.595 levels eventually. Our technical view has been shown in the chart. If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing. Thanks For Reading Team Fortuna -RC (Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Short
by FortunaInvestments
NZDUSD remains volatile in a trading range.NZDUSD - 24h expiry Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the daily chart. Pivot resistance is at 0.6140. We expect a reversal in this move. A move through 0.6100 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6050. We look to Sell at 0.6140 (stop at 0.6166) Our profit targets will be 0.6075 and 0.6060 Resistance: 0.6120 / 0.6140 / 0.6150 Support: 0.6075 / 0.6065 / 0.6050 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA