NZD-USD
NZDUSD:Hawkish RBNZ and Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.60750 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60750 support and resistance area.
Last night the RBNZ did consider raising rates which should give a boost to the kiwi meanwhile on the other hand the macro environment of the dollar is soft after the current progression of CPI in the US.
Trade safe, Joe.
Potential bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?NZD/USD is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5074
1st Support: 0.6038
1st Resistance: 0.6138
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD to find buyers at market price?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6125 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6175.
We look to Buy at 0.6100 (stop at 0.6075)
Our profit targets will be 0.6160 and 0.6175
Resistance: 0.61250 / 0.6150 / 0.6175
Support: 0.6100 / 0.6075 / 0.6050
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD is approaching the uptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.60400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Still bullish but be aware of the sell opportunity above.The rebound we expected on NZDUSD came a little later than we expected two months ago (March 22, see chart below) but nonetheless it is being delivered now and the price is now very close to our medium-term target:
Since we observe though a shift on the Lower Highs trend-line of the long-term Channel Down, we decide to push the Target higher to 0.62600, which now represents the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and would be almost a +7.14% rise, similar to the July 14 2023 (Lower) High.
A 1D RSI Double Top would be a perfect sell entry signal like December 27 2023.
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Heading into overlap resistance, could it reverse from here?NZD/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6046
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6083
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.5980
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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NZDUSD to see a temporary move higher?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action has stalled at good resistance levels and currently trades just below here (0.6050).
Price action looks to be forming a top.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6025 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 0.6050 (stop at 0.6070)
Our profit targets will be 0.6000 and 0.5990
Resistance: 0.6040 / 0.6050 / 0.6075
Support: 0.6025 / 0.6000 / 0.5990
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Heading into overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6084
1st Support: 0.5984
1st Resistance: 0.6082
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD forming a top?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly higher and has stalled at the previous resistance near 0.6040.
Short term RSI has turned negative.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6000 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5980.
We look to Sell at 0.6040 (stop at 0.6065)
Our profit targets will be 0.5980 and 0.5970
Resistance: 0.6020 / 0.6040 / 0.6050
Support: 0.6000 / 0.5990 / 0.5980
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD Is approaching a significant resistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD is approaching an important resistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD - Short Trade Idea (ICT)Hello hello everyone,
I see a potentially nice trade forming on NZDUSD. A possible 500+ pips to be had as a swing position.
As you can see, my bias is bearish. I believe we will target the Relative Equal Lows below. I would have to see price start to move lower in the general vicinity of the illustrated path lines. If I don't get an entry in that area, then I would be keen to take one at the Bisi 2W R2F gap should we get a 2W close below it and then a retracement back into it.
Let's see how it goes!
- R2F
NZDUSD to turnaround?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5875.
A move through 0.5925 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6000.
The RSI is trending higher.
We look to Buy at 0.5925 (stop at 0.5895)
Our profit targets will be 0.5995 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.5980 / 0.6000
Support: 0.5925 / 0.5900 / 0.5880
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59200 zone, NZDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.59200 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Daily signals are bearish.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our outlook is bearish.
We look for a temporary move higher.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.5932.
The lack of interest is a concern for bulls.
We look to Sell at 0.5930 (stop at 0.5956)
Our profit targets will be 0.5865 and 0.5850
Resistance: 0.5896 / 0.5920 / 0.5935
Support: 0.5974 / 0.5960 / 0.5940
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD: Technical Correction and Fundamental PressAttention Traders,
Today's focus is on NZDUSD, where we're observing a potential selling opportunity around the 0.60400 zone. After trading in an uptrend, NZDUSD recently experienced a breakout and is now undergoing a correction phase, edging towards the retrace area near the 0.60400 support and resistance zone.
Expanding on our analysis, let's consider the fundamental landscape. Inflation data plays a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, and recent CPI figures highlight significant trends. Comparing recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data reveals:
Mar 12, 2024: 0.4%
Feb 13, 2024: 0.4%
Jan 11, 2024: 0.3%
Dec 12, 2023: 0.3%
Nov 14, 2023: 0.2%
Moreover, yesterday's CPI release for April 10th reported a robust year-over-year increase of 3.5% in March, exceeding expectations and driven by upticks in housing and gasoline costs. This uptick in inflation can potentially impact currency pairs like NZDUSD, as it may prompt expectations of tighter monetary policy to combat inflation, consequently exerting downward pressure on the New Zealand dollar.
As we navigate today's trading session, it's essential to integrate both technical and fundamental analysis. The potential selling opportunity in NZDUSD at 0.60400 aligns with the broader correction phase and the impact of inflation data on currency dynamics.
Trade wisely,
Joe
NZDUSD - Wait For It ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NZDUSD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, NZDUSD is in a correction phase, approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDUSD - Keep It Simple🍰Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, NZDUSD rejected the lower bound of the channel and traded higher.
📚 Currently, NZDUSD is approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the highlighted red zone is a strong structure acting as a minor resistance.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and red structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZD/USD: Odds for NZ rate cut? NZD/USD: Odds for NZ rate cut?
This week the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged at 5.5% Interestingly, as recently as February this year, the RBNZ was still deliberating rate hikes.
Presently, the market attributes a 4% probability to a rate cut. The earliest feasible moment for a rate cut could be in November. However, the New Zealand economy entered a technical recession in the latter half of 2023, which could potentially prompt the RBNZ to consider rate cuts if economic fragility persists.
Gareth Kiernan, the chief forecaster at Infometrics, anticipates a potentially more hawkish stance in the RBNZ's statement compared to February.
Despite New Zealand's slightly more favorable interest rate differential, the Kiwi dollar has not managed to outperform the US dollar. Kiwi bulls are currently facing potential resistance at 0.6040 and then the 200-day simple moving average. On the downside, support could lay at 0.5993 and 0.5940.
Traders might also like to closely monitor the upcoming US CPI figures. A positive surprise in the data could reignite momentum for the US dollar and push the NZD/USD pair down past its current weak trendlines.
Must-know events for the trading week Must-know events for the trading week
The week ahead in the US will be marked by significant events, including the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and March inflation data.
Alongside the meeting minutes, investors will continue to analyze speeches from various Fed officials: Recent remarks from Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari revealed that he had anticipated two interest rate cuts this year. However, he noted that if inflation remains sluggish, no cuts may be necessary. This outcome would really surprise the market, which is mostly still expecting three cuts, starting in June.
Headline inflation is expected to rise for a second consecutive period to 3.4%, while the core rate is projected to decline to 3.7%, reaching its lowest level since April 2021.
In Europe, all eyes will be on the European Central Bank's meeting, where current interest rates are anticipated to be maintained. The likelihood of future rate cuts will be assessed by the market at the same time.
In Japan, investors will be monitoring potential intervention actions from the Bank of Japan to support the yen. Governor Kazuo Ueda will also be speaking during the week regarding the central bank's future steps.
Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 5.5%. The RBNZ's latest forecast from February suggests that the OCR will remain steady until early to mid-2025, despite expressing increased confidence based on recent data.