NZDUSD has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.59686
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 0.60084
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 0.59318
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD
NZDUSD: Technical Correction and Fundamental PressAttention Traders,
Today's focus is on NZDUSD, where we're observing a potential selling opportunity around the 0.60400 zone. After trading in an uptrend, NZDUSD recently experienced a breakout and is now undergoing a correction phase, edging towards the retrace area near the 0.60400 support and resistance zone.
Expanding on our analysis, let's consider the fundamental landscape. Inflation data plays a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, and recent CPI figures highlight significant trends. Comparing recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data reveals:
Mar 12, 2024: 0.4%
Feb 13, 2024: 0.4%
Jan 11, 2024: 0.3%
Dec 12, 2023: 0.3%
Nov 14, 2023: 0.2%
Moreover, yesterday's CPI release for April 10th reported a robust year-over-year increase of 3.5% in March, exceeding expectations and driven by upticks in housing and gasoline costs. This uptick in inflation can potentially impact currency pairs like NZDUSD, as it may prompt expectations of tighter monetary policy to combat inflation, consequently exerting downward pressure on the New Zealand dollar.
As we navigate today's trading session, it's essential to integrate both technical and fundamental analysis. The potential selling opportunity in NZDUSD at 0.60400 aligns with the broader correction phase and the impact of inflation data on currency dynamics.
Trade wisely,
Joe
GbpNzd likely more downsideHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Could be looking at some pullback and rejection and looking to short GbpNzd, let's monitor it along the week.
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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NZDUSD - Wait For It ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NZDUSD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, NZDUSD is in a correction phase, approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDCHF - Already Over-Bought ↘️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NZDCHF has been overall bullish , trading within the rising channel in blue.
However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of the channel again acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance zone at 0.55 - 0.552 marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Potential bearish reversalThe NZD/USD is rising towards a resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement; it could reverse from this level to our take profit target.
Entry: 0.60459
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 0.61050
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 0.59684
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD - Keep It Simple🍰Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, NZDUSD rejected the lower bound of the channel and traded higher.
📚 Currently, NZDUSD is approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the highlighted red zone is a strong structure acting as a minor resistance.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and red structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Potential bearish dropNZD/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 0.59910
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 0.60459
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 0.59394
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?Price has broken out of the resistance level which is a pullback resistance level and we could see a bullish continuation to our take profit
Entry: 0.60437
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 0.59903
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which align with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 0.60958
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards an overlap support, could it reverse?EURNZD is falling towards a support level which is an overlap support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.78560
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.77389
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 1.79608
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Unlocking the Correlation: NZDCAD's Dance with StocksTraders,
In today's trading session, our attention is directed towards NZDCAD, where we're eyeing a potential selling opportunity around the 0.82700 zone. As NZDCAD charts a downtrend, it's currently amidst a correction phase, edging closer to the crucial support and resistance area at 0.82700.
Adding depth to our analysis, it's essential to consider the fundamental landscape. The current bearish sentiment prevailing in stocks and indices casts a shadow over NZDCAD, primarily due to their positive correlation. When stocks and indices decline, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) tends to weaken against the Canadian dollar (CAD), reflecting the risk-off sentiment that accompanies declines in equity markets.
This positive correlation between NZDCAD and stocks can be attributed to several factors:
1-Risk Appetite: The New Zealand dollar is often viewed as a risk-sensitive currency, meaning it tends to strengthen during periods of risk appetite and weaken during risk aversion. In contrast, the Canadian dollar is often considered a commodity currency, influenced by factors such as oil prices and global economic growth prospects.
2-Commodity Prices: Both New Zealand and Canada are significant exporters of commodities, and their respective currencies can be sensitive to changes in commodity prices. A decline in global commodity prices, driven by concerns about economic growth or demand, can weigh on both the NZD and CAD, contributing to their correlation.
3-Global Economic Outlook: Changes in the global economic outlook can impact both stocks and currencies. In times of economic uncertainty or slowdown, investors may seek safer assets, leading to declines in both stocks and risk-sensitive currencies like the NZD.
Therefore, with stocks and indices exhibiting a bearish bias, NZDCAD faces increased pressure, aligning with its positive correlation with equities. This correlation underscores the interconnectedness of different asset classes and the importance of considering broader market trends when analyzing currency pairs.
Trade wisely,
Joe
Rising to pullback resistance; could it reverse?NZD/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 0.60437
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop loss: 0.60958
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection
Take profit: 0.59903
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/USD: Odds for NZ rate cut? NZD/USD: Odds for NZ rate cut?
This week the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged at 5.5% Interestingly, as recently as February this year, the RBNZ was still deliberating rate hikes.
Presently, the market attributes a 4% probability to a rate cut. The earliest feasible moment for a rate cut could be in November. However, the New Zealand economy entered a technical recession in the latter half of 2023, which could potentially prompt the RBNZ to consider rate cuts if economic fragility persists.
Gareth Kiernan, the chief forecaster at Infometrics, anticipates a potentially more hawkish stance in the RBNZ's statement compared to February.
Despite New Zealand's slightly more favorable interest rate differential, the Kiwi dollar has not managed to outperform the US dollar. Kiwi bulls are currently facing potential resistance at 0.6040 and then the 200-day simple moving average. On the downside, support could lay at 0.5993 and 0.5940.
Traders might also like to closely monitor the upcoming US CPI figures. A positive surprise in the data could reignite momentum for the US dollar and push the NZD/USD pair down past its current weak trendlines.
GBPNZD Dip buy opportunity on the 1D MA50.The GBPNZD pair gave us a strong buy signal last time we called on it (January 05 2024, see chart below) and even broke above the former Channel Down pattern:
The trend transitioned into an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) and recently broke above its top. It has formed the first 1D Golden Cross in 1 year (since March 27 2023), so on the long-term we have confirmed a new bullish trend.
Right now we are looking for a short pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) followed by an aggressive expansion towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which is the typical target of the IH&S. Our target is lower on Resistance 1 at 2.15900.
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Could GBPNZD reverse from here?The price is rising towards an overlapping resistance level, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse from this level to our take-profit target.
Entry: 2.10588
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 2.11738
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 2.09467
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Must-know events for the trading week Must-know events for the trading week
The week ahead in the US will be marked by significant events, including the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and March inflation data.
Alongside the meeting minutes, investors will continue to analyze speeches from various Fed officials: Recent remarks from Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari revealed that he had anticipated two interest rate cuts this year. However, he noted that if inflation remains sluggish, no cuts may be necessary. This outcome would really surprise the market, which is mostly still expecting three cuts, starting in June.
Headline inflation is expected to rise for a second consecutive period to 3.4%, while the core rate is projected to decline to 3.7%, reaching its lowest level since April 2021.
In Europe, all eyes will be on the European Central Bank's meeting, where current interest rates are anticipated to be maintained. The likelihood of future rate cuts will be assessed by the market at the same time.
In Japan, investors will be monitoring potential intervention actions from the Bank of Japan to support the yen. Governor Kazuo Ueda will also be speaking during the week regarding the central bank's future steps.
Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 5.5%. The RBNZ's latest forecast from February suggests that the OCR will remain steady until early to mid-2025, despite expressing increased confidence based on recent data.
NZDJPY possible dropAfter price impulsed to the upside to take out previously formed trend line liquidity, it preceded to break structure to the downside to continue with its bearish trend. We see a similar impulse happening that takes out recently formed trend line liquidity. This impulse quickly reverses after tapping into an extreme supply zone that was formed during the bearish push. It then gave us a confirmed change of character on lower time frame. Zooming in, we find that price has currently formed liquidity that it could use to fuel its move further to the downside after filling in some imbalance, taking out our recently formed low and its liquidity.
NZDJPY, Bullish trend. NZDJPY / 1D
Greetings, traders! Welcome back to another market analysis.
The NZDJPY pair has been following a bullish trend, with the price indicating signs of strength in the last week. This breakout suggests the possibility of further upward movement. I intend to consider entering positions at lower prices following confirmation of the lower time frame during the next pull-back phase.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
Could NZDUSD bounce from here?NZDUSD is falling towards an overlap support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit
Entry: 0.59903
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 0.59404
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take profit: 0.60457
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish bouncePrice is falling towards an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit
Entry: 2.09335
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 2.08842
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 2.10611
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.