NZD
Sell NZDJPY Triangle BreakoutChina economic data: China is due to release its Q4 GDP data on January 17, 2024. Strong data could boost risk appetite and support the NZD. However, weak data could lead to further risk aversion and put downward pressure on the NZD/JPY.
Sell NZDJPY Triangle Breakout
NZD/JPY - M30 Chart - Price Breaks the pattern now.
its good chance to sell now.
Thank you.
SELL EURNZD
Consider selling EURNZD based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
NZDUSD to find sellers at previous support?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Afternoon gains were sold into and follow through bearish momentum resulted in the market moving lower.
Further downside is expected.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6175 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 0.6225 (stop at 0.6255)
Our profit targets will be 0.6150 and 0.6125
Resistance: 0.6200 / 0.6225 / 0.6250
Support: 0.6175 / 0.6150 / 0.6125
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDNZD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDNZD for a buying opportunity around 1.06500 zone, AUDNZD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.06500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62500 zone, NZDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.62500 support and resistance zone.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, the recently shared Consumer Price Index (CPI) data could significantly impact the US dollar. The stronger-than-expected CPI figures, with a forecast of 0.3% and the actual reading of 0.5%, suggest an increase in inflationary pressures. This could potentially lead to a stronger US dollar as the market interprets the data, affecting the currency's value against other major counterparts.
Traders should consider the implications of this fundamental data on NZDUSD, aligning their strategies with the broader market sentiment and the potential impact of a stronger dollar on the pair. As always, trade safe and stay informed about the evolving market conditions.
EURNZD remains in a slight uptrend.EURNZD - Intraday
Risk/reward is ample to call a buy trade.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Our short term bias remains positive.
Mixed but positive price action has resulted in consecutive, narrow-ranged, sideways trading days.
Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 1.7560 found buyers.
20 4hour EMA is at 1.7570.
We look to Buy at 1.7560 (stop at 1.7504)
Our profit targets will be 1.7700 and 1.7735
Resistance: 1.7600 / 1.7646 / 1.7662
Support: 1.7560 / 1.7545 / 1.7517
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Potential swing trade long for NZD/USDWe've seen a nice pullback on NZD/USD into a prior volume cluster, false break of 0.62 with a doji and a bullish divergence with the RSI (2).
Assuming US CPI doesn't surprise to the upside, this looks like a decent swing trade long setup. Although a risk-on vibe and broad USD weakness is required to make it work.
Take note that 1-day implied volatility is 2.5x its 20-day average, which is the highest among FX majors. The NZ-US CESI spread is also diminishing to show economic data from New Zealand is faring better than the US on a relative basis.
A break beneath the doji low invalidates the bullish bias.
NZDCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.52800 zone, NZDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.52800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPNZD Downtrend and NZD potential StrengthHey Traders, In today's trading session, our attention is directed towards potential selling opportunities in GBPNZD around the 2.05800 zone. The currency pair is currently navigating a correction phase within its downtrend, steadily approaching the crucial 2.05800 support and resistance area. As we analyze this market, it is crucial to consider the broader market dynamics and the interconnected relationships between various currency pairs and financial instruments.
A notable factor to keep in mind is the potential strength in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), driven by the bullish bias observed in major indices like Nasdaq. The positive correlation between stocks and the NZD suggests a possible influence on currency movements. Traders should remain attentive to evolving market sentiments and global economic factors that might impact the GBPNZD pair. A holistic approach, considering both technical and fundamental aspects, will be essential for making well-informed trading decisions in this dynamic market environment.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPNZD - Follow The Bears 🐻Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 GBPNZD has been overall bearish , trading inside the falling channel in red and it is currently approaching the upper red trendline.
Moreover, the zone 2.055 is a robust supply zone.
🎯 Therefore, the highlighted red circle represents a significant area to consider for potential sell setups , as it marks the intersection of the blue supply and upper red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As GBPNZD approaches the red circle zone, I will be actively searching for bearish reversal setups to capture the next bearish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Interesting level to watch for GbpAud and GbpNzdHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Let's see how things play out at this key daily level turned Resistance.
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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FOMC Prep: Analyzing NZDUSD's Path Amidst Dovish IndicationsGreetings Traders,
As we gear up for the upcoming trading week, our attention turns to NZDUSD, where we are actively monitoring a potential buying opportunity around the 0.61900 zone. The currency pair has been trading within an established uptrend, and its current correction phase is bringing it closer to the trend at the crucial 0.61900 support and resistance area.
Incorporating a deep fundamental analysis, recent economic indicators, specifically the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) figures from the United States, play a pivotal role in shaping our perspective. The unexpectedly weak ISM data, with the index falling to 50.6 compared to the forecasted 52.5 and the preceding 52.7, suggests challenges in the U.S. manufacturing sector. This downturn in economic activity may contribute to a dovish stance in the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.
Looking ahead, the softness in manufacturing, as indicated by the ISM figures, could translate into a higher likelihood of a subdued Consumer Price Index (CPI) next week. A cautious FOMC, combined with a potentially softer CPI, may further weigh on the U.S. dollar. Traders are advised to keep a close eye on these evolving economic dynamics, as they are crucial in formulating strategies for the NZDUSD pair.
Trade safe,
Joe.
GBPNZD Buy signal on a Channel Down.The GBPNZD pair has had a strong decline since our last sell call (November 24, see chart below) breaking even below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line):
The price is currently rising after making a Lower Low but not at the bottom of the (blue) Channel Down. For that reason we consider the emergence of a Diverging Channel Down that can break above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200.
In any case the probability for a short-term rise is very high as the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross and the last such formation below 0.00 (October 11), pushed the price all the way to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result our target is now 2.05200.
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NZDJPY to form another swing high?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The trend of lower highs is located at 90.50.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 89.75 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 89.50.
We look to Sell at 90.30 (stop at 90.70)
Our profit targets will be 89.30 and 89.05
Resistance: 90.30 / 90.50 / 90.65
Support: 89.75 / 89.60 / 89.50
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURNZD intraday rallies continue to attract sellers.EURNZD - 24h expiry
Daily signals are bearish.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.7520.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 1.7518 (stop at 1.7578)
Our profit targets will be 1.7368 and 1.7338
Resistance: 1.7450 / 1.7470 / 1.7520
Support: 1.7397 / 1.7350 / 1.7300
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6225 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 0.6260 (stop at 0.6288)
Our profit targets will be 0.6190 and 0.6175
Resistance: 0.6250 / 0.6260 / 0.6275
Support: 0.6225 / 0.6200 / 0.6175
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Strategic Moves: EURNZD and the 1.76000 ResistanceGreetings Traders,
In tomorrow's trading session, our focal point is EURNZD, where we are actively assessing a potential selling opportunity around the 1.76000 zone. Marked by a persistent downtrend, EURNZD signifies an enduring downward trajectory, reflective of prevailing market sentiments. Simultaneously, the currency pair is immersed in a correction phase, steadily converging towards the trend at the pivotal 1.76000 support and resistance area. This numerical level holds significance as both a historical support point and a crucial juncture where the correction may intersect with substantial market forces.
As traders gear up for tomorrow's session, a strategic approach involves a meticulous evaluation of optimal entry points within the identified 1.76000 zone. Aligning trading decisions with the ongoing downtrend and the potential market dynamics at this critical support and resistance area is paramount. The convergence of the correction phase with historical support presents a compelling scenario for traders eyeing a potential selling opportunity.
NZDCAD Potential UpsidesGreetings Traders,
In tomorrow's trading session, our focus is on NZDCAD as we actively monitor a potential buying opportunity around the 0.83400 zone. Riding an uptrend, NZDCAD showcases a sustained upward trajectory, indicating favorable market dynamics. Simultaneously, the currency pair is navigating a correction phase, gradually converging towards the trend at the critical 0.83400 support zone. This numerical level holds significance as a historical support point, presenting an opportune moment for traders to assess potential entry points aligned with the prevailing uptrend.
As traders prepare for tomorrow's session, strategic considerations should involve a meticulous evaluation of optimal entry points within the identified 0.83400 support zone. Aligning trading decisions with the ongoing uptrend and the potential market dynamics at this critical support zone is essential. The convergence of the correction phase with historical support further enhances the appeal of NZDCAD as a buying opportunity.
Foreseeing Opportunities: NZDUSD Amidst Inflation DynamicsGreetings Traders,
As we look forward to the upcoming week, our focus turns to NZDUSD, where we are actively eyeing a potential buying opportunity around the 0.62300 zone. Engaged in an uptrend, NZDUSD is exhibiting a sustained upward trajectory. Simultaneously, the currency pair is undergoing a correction phase, steadily converging towards the trend at the pivotal 0.62300 support and resistance area. This numerical level holds importance as both a historical support point and a crucial juncture where the correction may interact with substantial market forces.
Taking a broader economic perspective, the progression of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, as shared previously, underscores a trend of easing inflation. The most recent data from October 25, 2023, reveals an actual inflation rate of 1.2%, surpassing the forecast of 1.1% and the previous 0.8%. This data suggests a gradual moderation in inflation figures over recent quarters. Such a trend can potentially influence the tone of the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, leaning towards a dovish stance. Understanding these nuances provides traders with valuable insights, hinting at a potential weakening of the US dollar in the coming weeks.
In the context of these developments, it becomes imperative for traders to keenly observe the evolving economic landscape, particularly the signals that could emerge from the FOMC meeting. As we approach the NZDUSD opportunity, a strategic approach involves aligning trading decisions with the anticipated dovish sentiments, presenting a holistic view for informed decision-making.
Trade safe,
Joe.
AUDNZD Bullish set-up.Our last analysis on the AUDNZD pair was on November 16 (see chart below) and so far has hit one of our two targets:
At the moment the price is struggling on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) Zone, where it has failed since Dec 13 and on every single candle to close it above the 1D MA50. If it does, expect the continuation of the uptrend towards the Symmetrical Resistance, in which case our Target will remain 1.9200. If it continues to fail on the 1D MA50 and gets rejected, we will buy again near Support 1 and close everything at 1.08200 (just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level as all previous Lower Highs).
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