EURNZD Forecast: Assessing Uptrend Correction near 1.76600 SuppoIn tomorrow's trading session, our focus is on EURNZD as we observe a potential buying opportunity around the 1.76600 zone. EURNZD is currently in an uptrend, and amidst a correction phase, the price is approaching the crucial support and resistance area at 1.76600.
Traders should consider this as a potential entry point for long positions, given the prevailing uptrend in EURNZD. The correction phase provides an opportunity to enter the market at a favorable price level near the 1.76600 support area.
Trade safe,
Joe.
NZD
NZDUSD Breakout and potential retraceHey Traders, in the coning week we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.60600 zone, NZDUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.60600 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Sell NZDJPY Triangle BreakoutA bearish triangle pattern has emerged on the NZD/JPY 30-minute chart, signaling a potential decline in the pair's value.
Key Points:
1. Triangle Breakout Pattern:
The pair has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates indecision before a decisive move.
2. Sell Entry Opportunity:
A break below the lower support line of the triangle, around 90.10, could signal a bearish breakout and offer a potential sell entry.
3. Bearish Targets:
If the breakout materializes, initial bearish targets could be found at the support levels of 89.56 and 89.20.
4. Resistance Level:
The resistance level at 90.40 may act as a barrier to further upward movement, reinforcing the potential for a downside breakout.
5. Risk Management:
A stop-loss order could be placed above the upper resistance line of the triangle to manage risk in case the breakout fails.
Fundamental Updates :
Weaker New Zealand Trade Data: New Zealand's trade deficit widened in December, potentially weakening the Kiwi Dollar against the Yen.
Risk Aversion: Recent geopolitical tensions and concerns about global economic growth could trigger risk aversion, pushing investors towards safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen.
Thank you
NZDCAD - Keep It Simple 👌Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Daily: Left Chart
NZDCAD broke below a previous major low so it is now acting as a local resistance zone, thus we will be looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes.
On H1: Right Chart
📈 For the bears to take over, we need a momentum candle close below the last major low in gray.
📉 Meanwhile, until the bears take over, NZDCAD can still trade higher for an over-extended correction movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
NZDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.82300 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD to find sellers at market?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6075 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6025.
We look to Sell at 0.6100 (stop at 0.6130)
Our profit targets will be 0.6025 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.6100 / 0.6115 / 0.6130
Support: 0.6075 / 0.6050 / 0.6025
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Inflation Symphony: Harmonizing AUDNZD's Dance with RBNZIn today's trading session, our attention is on AUDNZD, with a keen interest in a buying opportunity around the 1.07900 zone. Having broken out of a downtrend, the pair is currently in a correction phase, edging closer to the retrace area at 1.07800 support and resistance. A potential target could be the monthly resistance at 1.08700.
Now, delving into the fundamental landscape, we turn to the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) on January 23rd. Let's examine the recent CPI data to gauge potential implications. In the previous releases, we observe a trend of declining inflation:
Oct 16, 2023: 1.8%
Jul 18, 2023: 1.1%
Apr 19, 2023: 1.2%
Jan 24, 2023: 1.4%
Oct 17, 2022: 2.2%
Comparing these figures, there is a consistent downward trajectory in inflation. The expected CPI on January 23rd is 0.5%, indicating a potential continuation of subdued inflation.
These numbers suggest a dovish outlook for the RBNZ, as persistently low inflation may prompt policymakers to maintain or adopt an accommodative stance. This, in turn, could impact the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), potentially weakening it.
As traders evaluate this AUDNZD opportunity, it's essential to consider both technical and fundamental aspects for a comprehensive perspective.
Trade safe, Joe.
Decoding GBPNZD: CPI Trends Point to Potential NZD WeaknessIn today's trading session, our focus is on GBPNZD, where we are eyeing a buying opportunity around the 2.08000 zone. GBPNZD is currently traversing an ascending channel and is in a correction phase, approaching the channel support at 2.08000.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicates a trend of softening inflation in New Zealand. Looking at the previous CPI figures, we observe a declining pattern from 2.2% in October 2022 to 1.8% in October 2023. The expected CPI on January 23rd is 0.5%, signaling a potential continuation of subdued inflationary pressures.
This soft print in CPI may impact the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), as a lower-than-expected inflation rate could prompt concerns about economic growth and lead to a dovish stance by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Traders should factor in the possibility of NZD weakness in their decision-making process.
Turning to technicals, GBPNZD's ascending channel provides a clear structure, with the correction approaching the channel support at 2.08000. Considering the channel's historical behavior, a potential target could be the channel resistance at 2.10.
As traders navigate this opportunity, a comprehensive analysis that combines both technical and fundamental factors is crucial. This dual perspective enables a more informed approach to trading decisions.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/USD, NZD/USD hint at a round of risk-offIf commodity FX is anything to go by, we could be in for a bout of risk-off. The yen and US dollar were the strongest majors, which saw AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY pull back from cycle highs and form bearish outside days alongside AUD/USD and NZD/USD.
The fact that AUD/USD reversed at its 200-day average and closed beneath the 200-day EMA makes it likely the 2-day bounce from support we anticipated has run its course. And with NZD/USD hitting new cycle lows with a bearish engulfing day and closed beneath its 100/200-day EMAs likely brings 60c into mind for bears, and 65c for AUD/USD bears.
Will NZDUSD continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Mixed but negative price action has resulted in consecutive, narrow-ranged, sideways trading days.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6100 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6050.
We look to Sell at 0.6125 (stop at 0.6149)
Our profit targets will be 0.6065 and 0.6050
Resistance: 0.6125 / 0.6135 / 0.6150
Support: 0.6100 / 0.6075 / 0.6050
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Market Watch: GBPNZD's Support and Resistance DynamicsIn today's trading session, our attention turns to GBPNZD, where we are observing a potential buying opportunity around the 2.06900 zone. GBPNZD, currently in an uptrend, is navigating a correction phase, drawing closer to the trend at the 2.06900 support and resistance area.
From a technical standpoint, the uptrend in GBPNZD suggests a positive bias in the market. Traders eyeing this pair should pay attention to key support and resistance levels, using them as potential entry and exit points. The 2.06900 zone serves as a critical area where market participants may reassess their positions, leading to potential trading opportunities.
Monitoring price action, trendlines, and key technical indicators can provide valuable insights for traders considering engagement with GBPNZD. As always, it's crucial to implement risk management strategies to navigate market fluctuations.
Sell NZDJPY Triangle BreakoutChina economic data: China is due to release its Q4 GDP data on January 17, 2024. Strong data could boost risk appetite and support the NZD. However, weak data could lead to further risk aversion and put downward pressure on the NZD/JPY.
Sell NZDJPY Triangle Breakout
NZD/JPY - M30 Chart - Price Breaks the pattern now.
its good chance to sell now.
Thank you.
SELL EURNZD
Consider selling EURNZD based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
NZDUSD to find sellers at previous support?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Afternoon gains were sold into and follow through bearish momentum resulted in the market moving lower.
Further downside is expected.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6175 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 0.6225 (stop at 0.6255)
Our profit targets will be 0.6150 and 0.6125
Resistance: 0.6200 / 0.6225 / 0.6250
Support: 0.6175 / 0.6150 / 0.6125
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDNZD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDNZD for a buying opportunity around 1.06500 zone, AUDNZD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.06500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62500 zone, NZDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.62500 support and resistance zone.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, the recently shared Consumer Price Index (CPI) data could significantly impact the US dollar. The stronger-than-expected CPI figures, with a forecast of 0.3% and the actual reading of 0.5%, suggest an increase in inflationary pressures. This could potentially lead to a stronger US dollar as the market interprets the data, affecting the currency's value against other major counterparts.
Traders should consider the implications of this fundamental data on NZDUSD, aligning their strategies with the broader market sentiment and the potential impact of a stronger dollar on the pair. As always, trade safe and stay informed about the evolving market conditions.
EURNZD remains in a slight uptrend.EURNZD - Intraday
Risk/reward is ample to call a buy trade.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Our short term bias remains positive.
Mixed but positive price action has resulted in consecutive, narrow-ranged, sideways trading days.
Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 1.7560 found buyers.
20 4hour EMA is at 1.7570.
We look to Buy at 1.7560 (stop at 1.7504)
Our profit targets will be 1.7700 and 1.7735
Resistance: 1.7600 / 1.7646 / 1.7662
Support: 1.7560 / 1.7545 / 1.7517
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Potential swing trade long for NZD/USDWe've seen a nice pullback on NZD/USD into a prior volume cluster, false break of 0.62 with a doji and a bullish divergence with the RSI (2).
Assuming US CPI doesn't surprise to the upside, this looks like a decent swing trade long setup. Although a risk-on vibe and broad USD weakness is required to make it work.
Take note that 1-day implied volatility is 2.5x its 20-day average, which is the highest among FX majors. The NZ-US CESI spread is also diminishing to show economic data from New Zealand is faring better than the US on a relative basis.
A break beneath the doji low invalidates the bullish bias.
NZDCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.52800 zone, NZDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.52800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPNZD Downtrend and NZD potential StrengthHey Traders, In today's trading session, our attention is directed towards potential selling opportunities in GBPNZD around the 2.05800 zone. The currency pair is currently navigating a correction phase within its downtrend, steadily approaching the crucial 2.05800 support and resistance area. As we analyze this market, it is crucial to consider the broader market dynamics and the interconnected relationships between various currency pairs and financial instruments.
A notable factor to keep in mind is the potential strength in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), driven by the bullish bias observed in major indices like Nasdaq. The positive correlation between stocks and the NZD suggests a possible influence on currency movements. Traders should remain attentive to evolving market sentiments and global economic factors that might impact the GBPNZD pair. A holistic approach, considering both technical and fundamental aspects, will be essential for making well-informed trading decisions in this dynamic market environment.
Trade safe, Joe.