Interesting level to watch for GbpAud and GbpNzdHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Let's see how things play out at this key daily level turned Resistance.
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NZD
FOMC Prep: Analyzing NZDUSD's Path Amidst Dovish IndicationsGreetings Traders,
As we gear up for the upcoming trading week, our attention turns to NZDUSD, where we are actively monitoring a potential buying opportunity around the 0.61900 zone. The currency pair has been trading within an established uptrend, and its current correction phase is bringing it closer to the trend at the crucial 0.61900 support and resistance area.
Incorporating a deep fundamental analysis, recent economic indicators, specifically the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) figures from the United States, play a pivotal role in shaping our perspective. The unexpectedly weak ISM data, with the index falling to 50.6 compared to the forecasted 52.5 and the preceding 52.7, suggests challenges in the U.S. manufacturing sector. This downturn in economic activity may contribute to a dovish stance in the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.
Looking ahead, the softness in manufacturing, as indicated by the ISM figures, could translate into a higher likelihood of a subdued Consumer Price Index (CPI) next week. A cautious FOMC, combined with a potentially softer CPI, may further weigh on the U.S. dollar. Traders are advised to keep a close eye on these evolving economic dynamics, as they are crucial in formulating strategies for the NZDUSD pair.
Trade safe,
Joe.
GBPNZD Buy signal on a Channel Down.The GBPNZD pair has had a strong decline since our last sell call (November 24, see chart below) breaking even below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line):
The price is currently rising after making a Lower Low but not at the bottom of the (blue) Channel Down. For that reason we consider the emergence of a Diverging Channel Down that can break above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200.
In any case the probability for a short-term rise is very high as the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross and the last such formation below 0.00 (October 11), pushed the price all the way to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result our target is now 2.05200.
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NZDJPY to form another swing high?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The trend of lower highs is located at 90.50.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 89.75 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 89.50.
We look to Sell at 90.30 (stop at 90.70)
Our profit targets will be 89.30 and 89.05
Resistance: 90.30 / 90.50 / 90.65
Support: 89.75 / 89.60 / 89.50
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURNZD intraday rallies continue to attract sellers.EURNZD - 24h expiry
Daily signals are bearish.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.7520.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 1.7518 (stop at 1.7578)
Our profit targets will be 1.7368 and 1.7338
Resistance: 1.7450 / 1.7470 / 1.7520
Support: 1.7397 / 1.7350 / 1.7300
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6225 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 0.6260 (stop at 0.6288)
Our profit targets will be 0.6190 and 0.6175
Resistance: 0.6250 / 0.6260 / 0.6275
Support: 0.6225 / 0.6200 / 0.6175
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Strategic Moves: EURNZD and the 1.76000 ResistanceGreetings Traders,
In tomorrow's trading session, our focal point is EURNZD, where we are actively assessing a potential selling opportunity around the 1.76000 zone. Marked by a persistent downtrend, EURNZD signifies an enduring downward trajectory, reflective of prevailing market sentiments. Simultaneously, the currency pair is immersed in a correction phase, steadily converging towards the trend at the pivotal 1.76000 support and resistance area. This numerical level holds significance as both a historical support point and a crucial juncture where the correction may intersect with substantial market forces.
As traders gear up for tomorrow's session, a strategic approach involves a meticulous evaluation of optimal entry points within the identified 1.76000 zone. Aligning trading decisions with the ongoing downtrend and the potential market dynamics at this critical support and resistance area is paramount. The convergence of the correction phase with historical support presents a compelling scenario for traders eyeing a potential selling opportunity.
NZDCAD Potential UpsidesGreetings Traders,
In tomorrow's trading session, our focus is on NZDCAD as we actively monitor a potential buying opportunity around the 0.83400 zone. Riding an uptrend, NZDCAD showcases a sustained upward trajectory, indicating favorable market dynamics. Simultaneously, the currency pair is navigating a correction phase, gradually converging towards the trend at the critical 0.83400 support zone. This numerical level holds significance as a historical support point, presenting an opportune moment for traders to assess potential entry points aligned with the prevailing uptrend.
As traders prepare for tomorrow's session, strategic considerations should involve a meticulous evaluation of optimal entry points within the identified 0.83400 support zone. Aligning trading decisions with the ongoing uptrend and the potential market dynamics at this critical support zone is essential. The convergence of the correction phase with historical support further enhances the appeal of NZDCAD as a buying opportunity.
Foreseeing Opportunities: NZDUSD Amidst Inflation DynamicsGreetings Traders,
As we look forward to the upcoming week, our focus turns to NZDUSD, where we are actively eyeing a potential buying opportunity around the 0.62300 zone. Engaged in an uptrend, NZDUSD is exhibiting a sustained upward trajectory. Simultaneously, the currency pair is undergoing a correction phase, steadily converging towards the trend at the pivotal 0.62300 support and resistance area. This numerical level holds importance as both a historical support point and a crucial juncture where the correction may interact with substantial market forces.
Taking a broader economic perspective, the progression of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, as shared previously, underscores a trend of easing inflation. The most recent data from October 25, 2023, reveals an actual inflation rate of 1.2%, surpassing the forecast of 1.1% and the previous 0.8%. This data suggests a gradual moderation in inflation figures over recent quarters. Such a trend can potentially influence the tone of the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, leaning towards a dovish stance. Understanding these nuances provides traders with valuable insights, hinting at a potential weakening of the US dollar in the coming weeks.
In the context of these developments, it becomes imperative for traders to keenly observe the evolving economic landscape, particularly the signals that could emerge from the FOMC meeting. As we approach the NZDUSD opportunity, a strategic approach involves aligning trading decisions with the anticipated dovish sentiments, presenting a holistic view for informed decision-making.
Trade safe,
Joe.
AUDNZD Bullish set-up.Our last analysis on the AUDNZD pair was on November 16 (see chart below) and so far has hit one of our two targets:
At the moment the price is struggling on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) Zone, where it has failed since Dec 13 and on every single candle to close it above the 1D MA50. If it does, expect the continuation of the uptrend towards the Symmetrical Resistance, in which case our Target will remain 1.9200. If it continues to fail on the 1D MA50 and gets rejected, we will buy again near Support 1 and close everything at 1.08200 (just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level as all previous Lower Highs).
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NZDJPY Pump and dump in action.The NZDJPY pair is trading within a Channel Up pattern using the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a pivot point as of late. We can see a diverging (dotted) Channel Up that has priced the recent Higher Highs as well as being supported by the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
The 1D RSI has rebounded on the 39.90 Support level, which is where the last two Higher Lows has been priced, while the 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross. This is a buy signal and our target is the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the dotted Channel Up at 91.800. We are waiting for a sell after the 1D RSI gets rejected near the 73.40 Resistance, and we will target the bottom of the longer term Channel Up at 88.900.
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GBPNZD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPNZD for a selling opportunity around 2.02000 zone, GBPNZD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2.0200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURNZD - Wait For The Bulls ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 EURNZD has been overall bearish, trading inside the falling channel in red and it is currently approaching the lower red trendline.
Moreover, the zone 1.73 is a robust support level.
🎯 Therefore , the highlighted red circle represents a significant area to consider for potential buy setups, as it marks the intersection of the blue support and lower red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As EURNZD approaches the red circle zone, I will be actively searching for bullish reversal setups to capture the next bullish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURNZD Potential DownsidesIn today's trading session, our attention is on EURNZD as we actively monitor a potential selling opportunity around the 1.76 zone. Operating within a downtrend, EURNZD exhibits a sustained downward trajectory. Concurrently, the currency pair is navigating a correction phase, gradually converging towards the trend at the critical 1.76 support and resistance area. This numerical level holds significance as both a historical support point and a pivotal juncture where the correction may interact with notable market forces.
NZDUSD: Top of the Megaphone calling for a sell.NZDUSD reached the top of the Bearish Megaphone pattern and along with the overbought 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.202, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 58.197) is on the ideal short level. The last LH was priced just under the 0.786 Fibonacci level and this is where the price is currently at. We turn bearish, targeting the 1D MA50 (TP = 0.60500).
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NZDUSD to find buyers at previous resistance?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6225 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6280.
We look to Buy at 0.6200 (stop at 0.6176)
Our profit targets will be 0.6260 and 0.6270
Resistance: 0.6250 / 0.6275 / 0.6280
Support: 0.6200 / 0.6175 / 0.6150
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.