✨ NEW: NZDJPY ✨ BIG PICTURE (14D) ✨🗣 SHOUT OUT TO @Vick_NZ for recommending I re-analyze this pair.
-SL @ 94.50 🚫
SLO @ 89.33 ⏳
TP1 @ 79.75 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 71.50 (shaving 25%)
TP3 @ 65.50 (shaving 25%)
TP4 @ 56.25 (shaving 25%)
SUPPORT @ 54.00
BLO @ 48.55 ⏳
BLO2 @ 77.85 ⏳
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NZD
NZDJPY possible bounceAfter the failure of a previously established supply zone, price preceded to form liquidity at the top of market structure. It then retraced and retested an established demand zone, expanding away with momentum. This lead to a break of structure, which confirms our continuation to the upside. This has now presented a potential opportunity to enter long on demand zone that has currently formed and awaits mitigation.
AN fast up come with fast down,short until it turns
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
GBPNZD: Trend-Following Trading Setup
GBPNZD formed a classic cup & handle formation.
The market is trading in a long-term bullish trend.
The neckline of the pattern is the only obstacle for the buyers now.
Its breakout will initiate a trend-following movement to new highs.
Daily candle close above 2.075 will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then to 2.085
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NZDUSD to continue in a move lower?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Previous support located at 0.6175.
Previous resistance located at 0.6200.
Trend line support is located at 0.6150.
A lower correction is expected.
A move through 0.6175 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell a break of 0.6175 (stop at 0.6205)
Our profit targets will be 0.6100 and 0.6075
Resistance: 0.6200 / 0.6220 / 0.6240
Support: 0.6175 / 0.6150 / 0.6100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDCAD: Sell signal after the 1D Death Cross.NZDCAD completed a Death Cross yesterday on the 1D timeframe with the 1D technicals naturally bearish (RSI = 41.395, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 27.419) as the price is under the middle of the logn term Megaphone pattern.
Every Lower Low has so far been at or under the Fibonacci 1.236 extension. With the 1D RSI under an LH trendline itself, we are going short, targeting the bottom of the Megaphone (TP = 0.8000).
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NZDJPY to 0.895 obviouslyAnd yes, I said "obviously" on the title to clickbait you. Nothing more than that. Haha. Anyways.
Hey Traders! 👋
For Day 37/100 of our challenge, we will look at an update on our data-backed NZDJPY long idea we sent out two days ago
Technicals: (update to tagged idea)
- 0.97 pivot area successfully rejected
- Made an impulse move to 0.882
- Expecting long signals around current level
- Target remains 0.895
- Invalid if 0.868 is breached
That's it for today.
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NZDJPY to find buyers at current swing low?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Previous support located at 87.50.
Previous resistance located at 88.00.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Further upside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 88.00 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 87.05 (stop at 86.5)
Our profit targets will be 88.25 and 88.50
Resistance: 88.00 / 88.35 / 88.50
Support: 87.50 / 87.00 / 86.50
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD to stall at previous resistance?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Previous support located at 0.6125.
Previous resistance located at 0.6175.
Trend line support is located at 0.6100.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
We look to Sell at 0.6200 (stop at 0.6230)
Our profit targets will be 0.6125 and 0.6100
Resistance: 0.6175 / 0.6200 / 0.6225
Support: 0.6150 / 0.6125 / 0.6100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD Breakout and potential retraceHey Traders, In today's trading session, we are closely observing the NZDUSD currency pair for a potential selling opportunity around the 0.61650 zone. NZDUSD has been trading in an upward direction, but recently it broke out of that uptrend. We are now patiently waiting for a correction to occur, which could indicate a possible retracement of the overall trend leading to lower levels.
To further solidify our analysis and gain a clearer understanding of the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, we are also keeping an eye on tomorrow's Fed speech. This event will provide more insights into the intentions of the Fed regarding interest rates. By considering this information, we can enhance our understanding and confirm the bias in our trading strategy.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/NZD potential swing trade long above the April lowAUD/NZD has fallen 3% since the April high, although it looks set to build a base above the April low. A Rikshaw Man Doji formed on the daily chart above this key support level and a bullish RSI is forming on the RSI (2) to hint at a near-term inflection point.
What may help it rally from here is Bloomberg's report that the RBA considered three rate paths ahead of their February meeting, two of which saw rates climbing to 4.8%, and the other at 3.35%. Given rates are now 3.8%, it leaves room for more hikes and for the RBA OCR to close the gap with RBNZ's.
The bias remains bullish above the April low and for a counter-trend rally towards the 1.7034 high.
NZDJPY to 0.89 - or overextended?Hey Traders! 👋
For Day 34/100 of our challenge, we will look at a data-backed NZDJPY long idea
Technicals:
- Overall bullish
- Made a high at 88.50
- Expecting retracement to 87.60
- Target at 89
- If 86.80 is breached, idea is invalid
Other data:
⬆️ Seasonality is still bullish expecting 90 level
⬆️ Pattern scan is also bullish expecting 90 before deeper retracement
⬆️ Supertrend is also bullish
⬆️ Retail traders have extreme short positions which we would want to go against
🤔 What's your take?
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NZDCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, In today's trading session, we are closely observing the NZDCHF currency pair for a potential selling opportunity around the 0.55800 zone. NZDCHF is currently exhibiting a downtrend, but it is currently in a correction phase, meaning that it is undergoing a temporary upward movement within the larger downtrend. As part of this correction, NZDCHF is approaching a significant trendline at the 0.55800 level, which could act as a resistance and push the pair back down.
It is important to note that this week, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is holding a meeting, and market participants will be paying attention to any announcements or actions taken by the SNB to counteract the depreciation of the Swiss Franc (CHF). The SNB may employ measures such as interventions or changes in monetary policy to stabilize or strengthen the CHF. This event could potentially impact the NZDCHF pair and should be monitored closely.
Additionally, it is expected that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will pause the interest rate hikes in the near future. This means that the RBNZ is likely to hold off on further increasing interest rates for now. This expectation could influence market sentiment surrounding the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and potentially contribute to a weakening of the currency.
Therefore, traders and investors should keep an eye on both the SNB meeting and the RBNZ's stance on interest rates as these factors could have an impact on the NZDCHF pair in the coming days.
Trade safe, Joe.
EN pulled back for up side to come?Chart wise, check out my stream this week for more info!
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Hello there!
If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏
And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁
Thank you!
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
NZDUSD feels a need of correction before further downsidesHey Traders, In the coming week, we are closely monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around the 0.63000 zone. It is worth noting that NZDUSD is currently trading in a downtrend and is in a correction phase, gradually approaching the major trend line at the 0.63000 support and resistance zone. Additionally, it is important to consider that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has indicated a pause in rate hikes, which could further impact the currency pair's movement.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDNZD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, In today's trading session, we are paying close attention to the AUDNZD currency pair, as we believe there might be an opportunity to buy around the 1.09600 zone. From a technical standpoint, AUDNZD is currently in an uptrend but experiencing a corrective phase. It is approaching a significant support zone around 1.09600, which adds to its appeal as a potential buying opportunity.
From a fundamental perspective, it's worth noting that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is still in the process of gradually raising interest rates. This indicates their intention to tighten monetary policy in order to manage the economy. On the other hand, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has officially halted any further rate hikes, suggesting a more stable or potentially looser monetary policy approach.
Considering both the technical and fundamental factors, the current market conditions suggest that the AUDNZD pair could present an attractive buying opportunity near the 1.09600 support zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPNZD expected a strong pullbackGBPNZD is having a bounce off the downtrend trendline for the second time. This is the price action we've been waiting for. Unless a new higher high is printed, we expect a relatively strong pullback, to test the long-term downtrend trendline and 61.8% Fibonacci support.
GBPNZD: Sell signal targeting 2.0200.GBPNZD reached the top of the 5 month Rising Megaphone and straight after the 1D RSI turned overbought (RSI = 57.238, MACD = 0.009, ADX = 19.804), the price got rejected on a HH. As you can see, the same overbought level caused the April 26th rejection on the HH line. Our target is the HL trendline (TP = 2.0200).
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AUDNZD, H4 | Double Top Reversal?We're seeing price make a nice double top reversal off the 127% Fibonacci extension. A reversal from here usually brings price down to the 100% level where it broke out from.
We're zooming in a bit more into the H4 time frame and notice that price has formed a nice double top pattern. We could see price drop from the 1.0966 towards the 1.0932 which is the pullback support level and a major 23% Fibonacci retracement.
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Market Reactions to Fed’s “Hawkish Pause” Today the Federal Reserve chose not to proceed with an 11th consecutive interest rate hike, opting instead to assess the effects of the previous 10 hikes. However, the Fed announced that it anticipates implementing two additional quarter percentage point increases before the year concludes. While the pause was largely expected, the fact that policy makers see rates at 5.6% at year-end was what caught the market off-guard.
The combination of the pause with the suggestion of two more 25 basis points hikes has been dubbed the “hawkish pause”.
Following the decision, stock market closing results were mixed. The Dow Jones closed more than 230 points lower, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq experienced gains of 0.1% and 0.4% respectively. The Nasdaq Composite was primarily bolstered by the gains made in AI-adjacent stocks of Nvidia and AMD.
The day began with Bitcoin surpassing $26,000. However, it has since retraced to a 24-hour low of $25,791. Some analysts are predicting an inevitable drop to $25,000 based on recent cryptocurrency news that is dominated by discussions on regulation.
Meanwhile, gold prices initially rose to touch $1959 per ounce in the session but later trimmed gains, trading around $1945.
The dollar has weakened across the board, with the DXY down 0.32%. The NZD is the biggest mover, rising by more than one percent to a 3-week high of $0.6211. Gains in EUR and GBP were more modest, at +0.39% each.