AUDNZD Weekly w/ Updates The explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
NZD
AUDNZD Monthly w/ Updates OngoingThe explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
The following timeframes will be linked and updated as well:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
GBPNZD: Bullish Breakout? Key News Impacts!Greetings Traders!
GBPNZD is poised at a critical juncture, with NZD's "Employment Change" and "Unemployment Rate" news on the horizon. Awaiting the news' outcome could be strategic before we commit. If we see a negative impact, there could be a prime opportunity to go long.
Yet, on the flip side, positive news may trigger a steep decline, threatening to hit stop-loss levels.
Recent events favor the bulls - a rectangle break hints at an extension of the bull run, and the market momentum broadly resonates with bullish sentiments.
However, let's remember that GBPNZD is currently experiencing heightened volatility. Therefore, I urge you to manage your risk, await the news, and then carefully consider entering this trade.
GBPNZD: Supported on the 1D MA50. Trade these levels.GBPNZD has turned sideways basically for a whole month (since June 28th) as it is restrained under R1 (2.092225) while being supported by the 1D MA50. This has turned the 1D timeframe neutral (RSI = 53.387, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 22.546), which is an expected technical outcome.
We will trade this setup on a breakout basis. A crossing over R1 is a buy signal targeting an aproximate +4.95% rise (TP = 2.15000). A crossing under the 1D MA100 and naturally the HL of the Rising Megaphone, is a sell signal targeting S1 and the 1D MA200 (TP = 1.98500).
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AUDNZD 1 Hour w/ Updates Ongoing *Not Advice*We have posted a Monthly outlook with weekly, daily 4 hour,1 hour, and 15 min charts on their respective pages so be sure to check those publishes in the related ideas section. I wanted to add a 1 hour so we can all practice multiple timeframe analysis. I'm no pro but I want to use this pair to journal trades not to show off. I's better to journal here vs my own sources due to how nice the platform is.
Now, as far as the 1 hour, there's not much difference in our outlook compared to others. I was hesitant about the 4 hour markup due to price being in an oversold position and price being near our green demand zone on that timeframe. However, other timeframes show that price may not be done testing the previous low of the daily-monthly timeframes even if a pullback to test recent 4 hour could work out as well before a reassessment of our short trade. On this 1 hour timeframe we see we are in an overbought scenario with no newer highs and a lower low formed this morning. I don't have a specific price target for this timeframe as of now but we do want to see the previous low be tested or broke before further outlook. I'll update as I go depending on associated timeframe.
short it : NZDUSD Hello, traders. The support and resistance level of 0.620 may soon be reached by the New Zealand dollar, which is currently going through a correction phase. The trend is downward at the moment. Throughout this trading week and the one after it, we'll keep an eye on NZDUSD in case a selling opportunity appears at the 0.620 zone. We've launched a short position to meet with money and risk management standards, and we'll add more in the zone.
Daily chart
Weekly Chart
AUDNZD Montly w/ Ongoing Updates *Not Advice*Weekly Economic Analysis: 7/30/23
Pair: AUDNZD
GDP (Down: Weaker Currency Up: Stronger Currency)
- Aud down NZD up
Employment (Down: Weaker Currency / Up: Stronger Currency)
- Both up
Inflation (Down: Weaker Currency Up: Stronger Currency)
- Both Down
Interest Rate (Down: Weaker Currency / Up; Stronger Currency)
- AUD news week. Both stalemate
Balance of Trade (Down: Weaker Currency / Up: Stronger Currency)
- AUD down NZD up
PMI (Down: Weaker Currency / Up: Stronger Currency)
- Services: Both are down
- Manufacturing: AUD up NZD down
Bias: NZD Stronger
Monthly Technical Analysis
- Price could be in a range with our bias to the demand zone around 1.03758.
🔥 NEW: NZDUSD 🔥 SWING 🔥BSO @ 0.6145
BLO1 @ 0.6115
BLO2 @ 0.6075
PA has kissed a Major Support Level without satisfying the Demand Zone.
However, being the the BIG PICTURE trend is up, it is possible that PA is creating a Higher Low @ 0.6145 to reflect a continuation of the UT.
1 Shaving 50% of my position @ TP1 thru TP3
2 Add-Ons are 50% Buy Stop Order positions
3 Closing ALL Buy Orders @ TP4
NZDUSD (pip movement per strategy):
STRATEGY PIP MOVEMENT
Scalping 10-20 pips
Intraday 20-40 pips
Swing 40-80 pips
Position 80-120 pips
TIME FRAME AVERAGE ATR
1 day 20 pips
4 hours 10 pips
1 hour 05 pips
15 minutes 03 pips
5 minutes 02 pips
⚠️ TREND
— Momentum: Big Picture Uptrend
— Price Action: Ranging with an Uptrend Bias
— CounterTrend: NO (moderate risk trade)
NZD/JPYFast intraday search through my watchlist.
You can follow the price with candle confirmation or whatever strategy you have.
None of these are 100 %, complete confident analyses.. this market is all about probability .. so try to work on your risk management and self-control.. all the traders in the world can tell for sure what's going to happen or where the price is going in the next 1 hour.
Ps. Leave your comment and thoughts.
AUDNZD Sell signal on the Symmetrical ResistanceThe AUDNZD pair is consolidating on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for 4 straight 1D candles, having formed a 1D Golden Cross last week. Even though that is a technically bullish formation, as long as it doesn't break above the 1.093250 Symmetrical Resistance, a rejection seems more probable. As long as it holds, we will sell and target the Higher Lows trend-line at 1.06200.
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AUD/NZD to benefit from yield differentials? A strong 2-day rally this week suggests AUD/NZD has printed its swing low at 1.07266. Whilst NZ inflation data was stronger than expected in Q2 and saw AUD/ZD pull back to 1.0800, we suspect it is still lower from the prior reads to allow the RBNZ to hold rates steady with an economy already in a recession.
We therefore see today's retracement lower to 1.080 as a potential gift for bulls, and for a move to 1.0900 or even 1.1000 over the coming weeks. The RBA may still have to hike once or more and that could see expectations of a lower RBNZ-RBA cash rate and support AUD/NZD.
A break beneath this week's low invalidates the bullish bias.
NZDJPY Support break-outs determine our tradesNZDJPY gave us last time (May 05) a very accurate buy signal that hit the target (see chart below) and even broke the 1 year Resistance Zone:
The pattern that emerged is a Bullish Megaphone, whose latest Higher Low leg is supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), having closed all candles above it. As long as it holds, we remain buyers and target Resistance 1 (89.700). If the price breaks below Support 1 (86.230) we will sell and target the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Bullish Megaphone at 85.330, near the 1D MA200. A 1D candle close below that, will be a bearish break-out signal for us and we will sell again, targeting Support 2 (83.540).
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🔥 NEW: GBPNZD 🔥 COUNTERTREND 🔥⚠️ A countertrend trade is a trade that is made against the prevailing trend. This means that the trader is betting that the trend will reverse and that the price will move in the opposite direction of the trend identified by P2P INDi Curve Analysis. countertrend trading can be a very profitable strategy, but it is also more risky than trend following.
-SL @ 2.0930 🚫
SLO @ 2.0845 ⏳
SSO @ 2.0725 ⏳
TP1 @ 2.0525 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 2.0350 (shaving 25%)
TP3 @ 2.0215 (shaving 25%)
TP4 @ 2.0000 (closing ALL Sell Orders)
Let's try this AGAIN, now that momentum is indicating price action is in overbought territory. That's great news for shorting this pair.
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NZDUSD forming a bottom?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6225 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6275.
We look to Buy at 0.6180 (stop at 0.6145)
Our profit targets will be 0.6255 and 0.6275
Resistance: 0.6225 / 0.6255 / 0.6275
Support: 0.6200 / 0.6180 / 0.6175
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a short term selling opportunity around 0.62300 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently seems to be in a consolidation phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.62300 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.