NZDCAD Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of NZDCAD (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 43 - 20 Oct
M > Market is moving in a downward channel, price dropped from resistance level of the channel completing the W formation.
W > Price dropped to test monthly support, faced rejection and moved up to test weekly resistance again. Price also had support of rising trend-line.
D > We saw formation of H & S pattern, hence expected bearish movement. Price dropped out of support trend-line but moved back in to pause at daily demand zone. As expected price broke out of demand zone. We expect price to continue with drop till weekly support.
As per COT NZD saw addition of both Long and Short further increasing net positions, confirming further improved strength of ZXY for the said week. ZXY has been gaining strength slowly since June 2020. ZXY however weakened last week. CAD saw addition of major Long and closure of Short positions with Short positions further reducing to least for current year, improving net positions (still in -ve). CXY further gained strength during the said week but weakened a bit last week.
4H > Price created a new H & S pattern on 4H time frame and with good momentum continuing to drop towards our target.
Pair Correlation > NZDCAD has positive correlation with AUDCAD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD and negative correlation with GBPNZD and GBPAUD.
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section share your view or ask questions.
Thank You
AP17FX
NZDCADIDEA
NZDCAD Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of NZDCAD (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 42 - 12 Oct
M > Market is moving in a downward channel, price dropped from resistance level of the channel completing the W formation.
W > Price dropped to test monthly support, faced rejection and moved to test weekly resistance. Price also has support of rising trend-line.
D > We can see formation of H & S pattern, hence we expect bearish movement. Price had dropped out of support trend-line but moved back in and is now testing daily support now turned resistance.
As per COT NZD had closure of few Long and major Short increasing net positions, confirming strength of ZXY for the said week. Short positions have reduced to least in current year. ZXY has been gaining strength slowly since June 2020. ZXY improved its position last week. CAD saw closure of Long and more Short positions with Short positions reducing to least for current year, slighting improving net positions. N-R saw closure of Long and addition of Short, in effect reducing cumulative net positions to further -ve. However CXY gained strength for the said week and was much more strong last week.
Currently ZXY is gaining strength and so does CXY, for bearish move of NZDCAD ZXY needs to weaken and CXY needs to strengthen. Hence we have to be cautious while taking Short trade.
4H > Price has created W formation and we expect a drop to test the neck. We will monitor price action for entry from there, Short or Long. For long term we will continue to have bearish bias.
Pair Correlation > NZDCAD has positive correlation with NZDCHF, AUDCAD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD and negative correlation with EURNZD, GBPNZD and GBPAUD.
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section share your view or ask questions.
Thank You
AP17FX
NZDCAD long trade ideaPlan: wait for the price to bounce off from demand zone --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bullish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> BUY
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade as I do, please write it in the comment so we can manage the trade together.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for your support ;)
GWBFX
NZDCAD short trade ideaPlan: wait for the price to bounce off from resistance level --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bearish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> SELL
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade as I do, please write it in the comment so we can manage the trade together.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for your support ;)
GWBFX
NZDCAD - BEARISH BIASNZD - BEARISH
1️⃣ New Zealand extended its level three lockdown restrictions in Auckland until at least midnight on Sunday, reporting 7 fresh cases of the coronavirus as community transmission persists.
2️⃣ The volume of total retail sales in New Zealand declined a seasonally adjusted 14.6% in the second quarter of 2020, posting the largest drop in total volume sales since the series began in 1995.
CAD - BULLISH
1️⃣ CAD lifted by a rise in oil prices after tropical storms Marco and Laura hit the Gulf of Mexico and amid optimism about coronavirus treatments.
2️⃣ US Dollar Index (DXY) is staying on the back foot as the greenback struggles to grab investors' attention as a safe-haven.
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TECHNICAL
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- We shorting NZDCAD on pivot point level + SMA100 area + SBR level on H1 chart.
- NZDCAD in bearish zone.
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RISK TO THIS TRADE
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This trade will hit stop loss if oil prices going down and market sentiment turns to risk-off mode.
NZDCAD long trade ideaPlan: resistance level breakout --> wait for the price to bounce off from support level --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bullish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> BUY
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade as I do, please write it in a comment so we can manage the trade together.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for your support ;)
GWBFX
NZDCAD long trade ideaPlan: wait for the price to bounce off from support level --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bullish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> BUY
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade as I do, please write it in a comment so we can manage the trade together.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for your support ;)
GWBFX
NZDCAD long trade ideaPlan: wait for the price to bounce off from support level --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bullish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> BUY
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade as I do, please write it in a comment so we can manage the trade together.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for your support ;)
GWBFX
NZDCAD short trade ideaPlan: trendline and support level breakout --> wait for the price to bounce off from resistance level --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bearish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> SELL
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade as I do, please write it in a comment so we can manage the trade together.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for your support ;)
GWBFX
NZDCAD long trade ideaPlan: wait for the price to bounce off from support level --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bullish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> BUY
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade as I do, please write it in a comment so we can manage the trade together.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for your support ;)
GWBFX
NZDCAD MULTIFRAME IDEA ** JUST AN IDEA. NOT A SIGNAL **
We can clearly see momentum has been lost within the 4 hour graph.
A range has been formed, once the trade shows us a breakout we could buy or sell.
We know the volume of buyers or sellers will be strong once the range has been broken.
Interesting pair to watch.
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NZDCAD short trade ideaPlan: trendline and support level breakout --> wait for the price to bounce off from resistance level --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bearish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> SELL
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade like i do, please write it in comment so we can manage the trade together.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for your support ;)
GWBFX
NZDCAD long trade ideaPlan: resistance level breakout --> wait for the price to bounce off from support level --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bullish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> BUY
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade like i do, please write it in comment so we can manage the trade together.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for your support ;)
GWBFX