Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?NZD/CHF is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5109
1st Support: 0.5061
1st Resistance: 0.5136
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDCHF
NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗GBP/JPY "The Beast" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.50100) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (0.50700) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.49400 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors.
🔰Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis examines the economic indicators of New Zealand and Switzerland, which directly influence the NZD/CHF pair.
🔰New Zealand Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is forecasted at around 1-2% for 2025, reflecting a moderate recovery New Zealand GDP Growth Forecast. Recent data shows a contraction of 1% in Q3 2024, indicating challenges Monthly Economic Review.
Inflation rate is stable at 2.2% as of the latest data, within the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) target range New Zealand Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are around 3.75-4%, with recent cuts signaling a dovish stance to support the economy New Zealand Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a deficit, with recent figures at NZD 219 million surplus in December 2024, but annual trends indicate ongoing deficits New Zealand Balance of Trade.
Major exports include dairy products, meat, logs, and wood, while imports are dominated by petroleum and machinery, making NZD sensitive to commodity price fluctuations.
🔰Switzerland Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is projected at 1.3-1.5% for 2025, with a recent quarterly expansion of 0.4% in Q3 2024 Switzerland GDP Growth Rate.
Inflation is forecasted at 1.1-1.4% for 2025, currently at 0.4% in January 2025, reflecting low inflationary pressure Switzerland Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 0.50%, with potential for further cuts, as indicated by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) Switzerland Interest Rate.
Switzerland maintains a trade surplus, with January 2025 surplus at CHF 4029.15 million, driven by exports like pharmaceuticals and watches Switzerland Balance of Trade.
The interest rate differential, with New Zealand's rates higher, could attract capital to NZD, but Switzerland's stable economy and surplus may support CHF.
🔰Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair:
New Zealand's economy is commodity-driven, with dairy and meat exports critical. Recent declines in commodity prices, forecasted at 5% in 2025 Commodity Forecast, could weaken NZD.
Switzerland's economy, with a strong financial sector and safe-haven status, benefits from global uncertainty, potentially strengthening CHF during risk-off periods.
Both countries face global trade dynamics, with New Zealand's deficit and Switzerland's surplus affecting currency valuation.
🔰Global Market Analysis
Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements:
Global GDP growth is projected at 3.3% for 2025, according to the IMF, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook.
Commodity prices are expected to decline, negatively impacting NZD due to New Zealand's export reliance Commodity Markets Outlook.
Stock markets show mixed performance, with international stocks outperforming U.S. markets in early 2025, potentially affecting risk-sensitive currencies like NZD Global Stock Market Performance.
Bond yields are stable, with U.S. 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, influencing global currency flows Global Economic Outlook.
🔰COT Data and Positioning
COT data provides insights into large trader positions, though direct NZD/CHF data is limited, requiring analysis of NZD/USD and USD/CHF:
For NZD/USD, non-commercial traders are assumed net long, suggesting bullish sentiment on NZD NZD COT Data.
For USD/CHF, net short positioning (long CHF) indicates bearish USD sentiment, supporting CHF CHF COT Data.
Positioning suggests a complex dynamic, with NZD strengthening against USD but CHF also gaining, potentially leading to downward pressure on NZD/CHF if CHF strengthens more.
Trader sentiment, with 91% long positions recently, contrasts with price movements, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment NZDCHF.
🔰Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation:
NZD is highly correlated with commodity prices, particularly dairy and meat. With a forecasted 5% decline in 2025, NZD faces downward pressure Commodity Price Forecast.
CHF, as a safe-haven currency, strengthens during global risk-off periods, with recent stock market volatility supporting its value Global Market Outlook.
Bond yields and equity market performance suggest CHF may benefit from risk aversion, while NZD suffers from commodity weakness.
🔰Quantitative Analysis
Technical analysis provides insights into price trends:
At 0.50300, NZD/CHF is below key moving averages (e.g., 50-day and 200-day), indicating a downtrend NZD CHF Technical Analysis.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggests potential oversold conditions, with values around 30, hinting at possible reversals, but current momentum leans bearish TradingView Analysis.
Support levels are near 0.5000, with resistance at 0.5100, based on recent charts NZD/CHF Technical Analyses.
🔰Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations:
Recent data shows 91% of traders long on NZD/CHF, with an average price of 0.5250, contrasting with a downward price movement, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment NZDCHF.
COT data and retail sentiment suggest mixed views, with institutional traders showing caution, potentially aligning with bearish technical signals.
🔰Next Trend Move and Overall Outlook
Combining all factors, the next trend move for NZD/CHF is likely downward:
Declining commodity prices and New Zealand's trade deficit weigh on NZD.
CHF's safe-haven status and lower interest rates support its strength, especially in uncertain global conditions.
Technical indicators and sentiment align with a bearish outlook, with the pair expected to test lower support levels.
The overall summary outlook is bearish, with NZD/CHF likely to decline further in 2025, though higher New Zealand interest rates provide some counterbalance. Real-time market feeds up to March 4, 2025, confirm this trend, with future predictions leaning toward continued bearish movement.
🔰Table: Summary of Key Economic Indicators
Indicator New Zealand (2025 Forecast) Switzerland (2025 Forecast)
GDP Growth 1-2% 1.3-1.5%
Inflation Rate 2.2% 1.1-1.4%
Interest Rate 3.75-4% 0.5% (potential cuts)
Trade Balance Deficit Surplus
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
NZDCHF - Short from bearish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bearish OB.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
NZD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so NZD-CHF is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 0.510.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NZDCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the NZDCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5091
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5121
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bullish rebound?NZD/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5074
1st Support: 0.5052
1st Resistance: 0.5105
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 86.09
1st Support: 85.23
1st Resistance: 86.65
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?NZD/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance level.
Pivot: 0.5093
1st Support: 0.5060
1st Resistance: 0.5135
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD/CHF Ready To Go Down Hard , Don`t Miss 250 Pips !Here is my chart on NZD/CHF And it`s very clear short setup after this amazing bearish closure below my second support , so i think this pair will go down hard for the next days and weeks , let`s sell this pair and see what will happen !
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swiss" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swiss" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.51100 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.52360 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swiss" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🟤Fundamental Analysis
1. Economic Growth: New Zealand's economy is expected to grow at a rate of 2.5% in 2023, while Switzerland's economy is expected to grow at a rate of 1.5%.
2. Inflation: New Zealand's inflation rate is currently at 2.2%, while Switzerland's inflation rate is currently at 0.5%.
3. Interest Rates: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has kept interest rates at 3.5%, while the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has kept interest rates at -0.75%.
4. Trade Balance: New Zealand's trade balance is currently in deficit, while Switzerland's trade balance is currently in surplus.
🟣Macroeconomic Factors
1. Global Economic Trends: The global economy is expected to grow at a rate of 3.2% in 2023, with a potential slowdown in the second half of the year.
2. Commodity Prices: Commodity prices, such as gold and oil, are expected to remain volatile due to geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions.
3. Central Bank Policies: Central banks, such as the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, are expected to maintain a dovish monetary policy stance to support economic growth.
4. Fiscal Policies: Fiscal policies, such as government spending and taxation, are expected to remain expansionary in many countries to support economic growth.
🟡Technical Analysis
1. Trend: The current trend is bearish, with the NZD/CHF pair having declined by 5% over the past quarter.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is below the 200-day moving average, indicating a bearish trend.
🔵Market Sentiment
1. Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 30% bullish, 40% bearish, and 30% neutral on the NZD/CHF pair.
2. Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 40% bullish, 30% bearish, and 30% neutral on the NZD/CHF pair.
3. Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions.
🟠COT Report
1. Non-Commercial Traders: 25% long, 75% short
2. Commercial Traders: 30% long, 70% short
3. Non-Reportable Traders: 20% long, 80% short
🟢Positioning
1. Institutional Traders: 30% bullish, 40% bearish, 30% neutral
2. Banks: 25% bullish, 45% bearish, 30% neutral
3. Hedge Funds: 35% bullish, 35% bearish, 30% neutral
4. Corporate Traders: 20% bullish, 50% bearish, 30% neutral
5. Retail Traders: 40% bullish, 30% bearish, 30% neutral
🔴Overall Outlook
1. Bearish: The NZD/CHF pair is expected to decline due to the stronger Swiss franc and weaker New Zealand dollar.
2. Volatility: The NZD/CHF pair is expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
NZD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.515 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NZDCHF A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.5169 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5158
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDCHF at Key Resistance: Potential Sell Setup OANDA:NZDCHF is currently trading at a key resistance zone, where sellers may regain control. This level has been a significant area of interest in the past, leading to reversals. The recent push into this zone suggests a potential for bearish continuation if price action confirms rejection.
If the market provides a clear rejection pattern, such as bearish engulfing candles or wicks signaling rejection, I anticipate a move downward toward the 0.51500 target level. This setup aligns with the expectation of a short-term correction within the broader market context.
If you have additional insights or an alternative perspective, feel free to share your thoughts!
NZDCHF Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5136
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5149
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZD/CHF SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on NZD/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.507 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NZDCHF Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.515.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.507 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NZDCHF Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
NZDCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5147 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 0.5159
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5123
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK