NZD/CHF - bearish momentum pushing price lowerNZD/CHF price has been within a respected descending weekly trend channel since 2017. Price did break out of this channel back in March as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, however, re-entered forming an ascending daily trend channel. Price did not retest the upper boundary of the weekly channel as price ran into resistance before that at 0.62 (the lows from September 2019), at which point price formed a lower high on the weekly time frame.
After running into resistance from September 2019 lows and also the 50 DAY EMA, the daily trend channel was broken to the downside in Late-July. As a result, price has been on a bearish spiral ever since. After breaking strong support at 0.59693 we are expecting price to continue further to the downside as a result of the bearish momentum in the market, with an initial price target of 0.5890.
A longer term target would be a retest of the lower boundary of the weekly channel at possibly 0.5750.
Nzdchfshort
NZDCHF - Lovely PairWe came to test the key structure at level 0.62250 and rejected it multiple times, we are now seeing signs of a sell off from this region. The previous bearish engulfing daily closure suggests to me that this pair is pointing more for a sell than a buy. I have marked the target levels I am interested in as well as the level that I would consider buys from if broken.
41.4% of commercial players are short according to our COT Data source (This is my only concern)
Do you trade over the long term? NZDCHF needs your attention!!Ichimoku is not an indicator, it is a complete trading system that provides entry location, stop and gives some options regarding exit too. I am still learning it but here is a trade idea to short NZFCHF.
Price just broke below the cloud (D1), the future cloud is turning bearish too. The Chinkou Span is below price.
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AS always, please use sound money and risk management in all your trades.
NZDCHF - Interesting IdeaInitially I thought we would see immediate rejection from the key daily supportive level marked but we didn't. I personally believe most retail traders would have been buying at the area using a tight stop loss. Now that banks have come in and driven the price down to SL hunt, they may have now gathered enough liquidity to drive prices higher. I will be waiting for a break and retest of this small resistance marked before considering a long position. If this set-up completes it could provide us with a great risk to reward trade.
NZDCHF TRADING PLAN|SCENARIO BREAKDOWN
NZDCHF is trading on the edge of the key support area, while being pressed to the level, by the diagonal resistance.
Thus, there are two tradable scenarios:
1-Breakout downwards, pullback>>short.
SL above the support, TP on the chart.
2-Breakout of the diagonal resistance upwards, pullback>>long
SL below the support, TP on the chart.
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NZDCHF CAN GO BOTH SIDES.**ENG**
- Price just reached our reversal area, we had an initial bias of a bullish position from this area, however price is currently very impulsive and can easily break.
- If price starts to consolidate around this area, we would look for a bullish signal and enter long.
- If price breaks this level, we would wait for the retest of the zone, and then enter short.
**PT**
- Preço a atingir a nossa zona de reversão, inicialmente tínhamos uma opinião bullish, no entanto devido ao quão impulsivo o preço se encontra, há uma enorme possibilidade de quebra.
- Se o preço consolidar por volta desta zona, o melhor será aguardar por um sinal de subida e entrar em compra.
- Se o preço quebrar esta zona de suporte, o melhor será aguardar pelo retest e entrar em venda.
NZD/CHF SELL SIGNAL Hey tradomaniacs,
welcome to a new free trading-setup.
NOTICE: This is meant to be a preparation for you. As always we need to wait for a confirmation!
Sell-Limit: 0,61570
Stop-Loss: 0,62020
Take-Profit: 0,60680
Stop-Loss: 45 pips
Risk: 1%
Risk-Reward: 2,0
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Peace and good trades
Irasor
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NZDCHF short trade ideaPlan: support level breakout --> wait for the price to bounce off from resistance level --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bearish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> SELL
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade as I do, please write it in a comment so we can manage the trade together.
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GWBFX