NZD/CHF Could we see a small retracement equal to 150pips?The price looks like it could easily make a retracement according to the Monthly chart of at least 150 pips
In Monthly:
The price is currently in demand zone. We could see a rejection of this demand. If we want to measure the possible retracement all we have to do is take the fibonacci from high to low of the current impulse. Doing so we can clearly see that the .5 fibonacci level is in good confluence with previous structure. We could expect a retracement at least to the .50
In weekly
The price is over extended. When price is over extended we could expect a correction. To measure the correction we have to use the fibonacci in the current impulse. The .618( golden level) is in confluence with the weekly structure as well monthly structure.
In Daily
The price have created an inverted head and shoulder which means a possible reversal of price action.
Nzdchfsignal
NzdChf- Range trading?Since March's high, NzdChf has started to trade in a range with a very clear bottom at 0.6260
I'm bullish as long as this low support is in place and, in the medium term, the pair can rise to 0.6570 resistance
Buy dips towards this support can be a good idea for a trade with great R:R
NZDCHF LONGAs we can see the pair ( NZDCHF ) is moving in a descending channel on the 4Hour and Daily Time frame, the pair has bounced from the support level and lower trendline of the descending channel , we expecting a retest of the levels shared on the chart.
Please enter the trade from the ENTRY LEVEL.
We taking this trade based on technical analysis and price action.
Please use proper risk management depending on your account size, Use lot sizes based on these calculations.
Here is a break down of your pip value in ZAR and Dollars
0, 01 = R1,43 / $0,10c
0. 05 = R 7,15 / $ 0.50
0.10 = R 14,3 / $1.00
1 Lot size = R 146,26
How to calculate Margin = (Lot Size * Contract Size)/Leverage, Lets say your broker gives you 1:500, and you open 0,2 size, How much are you exposing ? calculations : (0.2 * 10 000) / 500 = $4 (R58) also (1 Lot * 100 000) / 500 = $200 (R2 960)
So, each time I open (1 Lot size, am exposing R2960 (Down payment)
Remember, These are long term trades, It is advisable to have enough margin to handle the fluctuation of the markets.
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nzdchf sellnzdchf sell :
Reasons :
1)following my regression trend
2)at support level now,once it breaks we can go form a sell position to the next support level
3)nice pattern trend has been formed since last months
and today chf news is going to release so we hope it comes advantageous to us,
take profit : green line
stop loss : red line
entry : blue line
Ascent or descent ??Description :
As you can see, it is in a long-term uptrend channel and after hitting the roof of the channel, it has a downtrend channel in its heart, so we have a long-term uptrend line and a short-term uptrend line if the uptrend line is If the downtrend line overcomes, the downtrend line will break and we should expect a good uptrend, but if the downtrend line overcomes the uptrend trend, dynamic support will break and we should expect a downtrend.
NZDCHF - GLobal uptrend
Preconditions
- local uptrend
- global uptrend
- accumulation (blue zone)
- triangle break up
- key zone
You will learn the best place where we can trade this instrument at low risk.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZD/CHF Major Trendline BreakoutThis broke above a major trendline last week and has now retraced to test the trendline again. If this continues to drop then it will just be a false breakout but momentum seems to be with this as NZD is strong at the moment and CHF has not been great. Looking for this to turn higher from current price or slightly lower at 0.382 Fibonacci. Also need to see EMA's cut back for long before entering a trade.
Target 0.66047 although there is resistance between current price and there so there could be some hold up in that area.
NZDCHF | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIt has been a good ride since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) has price cruised 180pips in our direction and it appears we shall be looking forward to Higher Highs in the coming week(s) as the structure continues to support a Bullish run.
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Reversal pattern | Supply & Demand | Double Top | Breakout
Observation: i. I noticed that Fr0.64200 has served as either a Supply or Demand level in the last 30 days and this makes it an area to focus on in the coming week as price finally comes back after the Breakout (Retest).
ii. Since the Breakout (@Fr0.64200) that happened during the first week of February 2021, the price has been going through a corrective phase.
iii. Our duty at this juncture in the market is to seek the expiration of the correction and find a Demand level to join the rally.
iv. Last week saw price form what looks like a Double Bottom; However, I shall be patient to seek confirmation as the price might decline to find 61.8/78.6% retracement of Leg AB (@Fr0.63900) before the rally begins.
v. As we can see, we might be looking forward to the completion of a harmonic pattern (AB = CD) in the coming week(s) as Buyers gain momentum.
vi. And for the cautious traders :) - a Breakout/Retest of Neckline @ Fr0.64500 might be a good signal for you... smiles.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 130 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 5 to 12 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.