Get started

NZDJPY

NZD/JPY Bearish Opportunity – Resistance Rejection & Weak NZ Eco🔹 Current Price: 86.46 ✅ TP1: 85.84 – First Support Level ✅ TP2: 85.22 – Intermediate Support ✅ TP3: 84.12 – Major Support Zone 🔻 Stop Loss: 87.57 (Above Resistance) 🔥 Why Are We Bearish? 1️⃣ Strong Resistance Rejection & Bearish Indicators Price is rejecting a strong resistance zone (87.00-87.57), where sellers have stepped in before. MACD Bearish Crossover confirms downside momentum. RSI Reversal from Overbought suggests a cooling-off period for buyers. 2️⃣ Weakening New Zealand Economy Consumer confidence dropped to 89.2 (previously 97.5) in Q1 2025, signaling economic slowdown. New Zealand GDP expected to contract by 0.8% in 2025, adding bearish pressure. The RBNZ remains cautious about interest rate hikes, reducing NZD's strength. 3️⃣ Technical Setup Aligns with the Short Trade Key Resistance Holding: 87.00-87.57 area has historically rejected price. Bearish MACD & RSI Divergence indicate momentum is fading. Potential Breakdown to 84.12 if support levels fail. 📌 Conclusion NZD/JPY is rejecting a strong resistance level, with bearish technical indicators and weak fundamentals in New Zealand’s economy supporting further downside. This setup offers a high-probability short trade for both swing traders and short-term setups.
Short
by ValchevFinance
NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (85.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low or high level Using the 4H timeframe (83.800) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 87.000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future Trend Move: NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors. ⭐☀🌟Fundamental Analysis⭐☀🌟 Fundamental analysis focuses on economic and political factors influencing NZD (New Zealand Dollar) and JPY (Japanese Yen). New Zealand (NZD): Interest Rates: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) sets the Official Cash Rate (OCR). As of early 2025, assume the OCR is around 4.5% (based on prior tightening cycles). Higher rates typically support NZD, but if inflation is cooling (e.g., below 3%), rate cuts could loom, pressuring NZD downward. Economic Data: Key drivers include dairy prices (a major export), GDP growth (projected ~2% in 2025), and employment (assume ~4% unemployment). Weak dairy prices or slowing growth could weaken NZD. Trade Balance: NZ relies heavily on exports to China. If China’s economy slows in 2025, NZD may face headwinds. Political Stability: New Zealand is stable, so no major political risk unless unexpected elections or policy shifts occur. Japan (JPY): Interest Rates: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has historically kept rates near zero (e.g., 0.1% in 2024). If 2025 sees a shift to 0.5% due to inflation pressures (e.g., above 2%), JPY could strengthen, but gradualism is likely. Economic Data: Japan’s GDP growth is slow (~1%), with deflation risks fading. Strong export data (e.g., machinery, autos) supports JPY. Safe-Haven Status: JPY gains in risk-off scenarios (e.g., geopolitical tensions or equity sell-offs). Yen Carry Trade: Low rates make JPY a funding currency. If global risk appetite rises, JPY weakens as traders borrow yen to buy higher-yielding assets like NZD. NZD/JPY Impact: Higher NZD yields vs. JPY favor bullishness, but JPY strength could emerge if global risk aversion spikes or BOJ tightens unexpectedly. ⭐☀🌟Macro Economics⭐☀🌟 Macro factors extend beyond fundamentals to broader economic cycles: Global Growth: Assume 2025 global GDP growth is ~3%. Strong growth favors NZD (commodity currency), while slowdowns boost JPY (safe haven). Inflation Trends: NZ inflation cooling (e.g., 2.5%) vs. Japan’s rising (e.g., 2%) could narrow the yield gap, pressuring NZD/JPY lower. Monetary Policy Divergence: RBNZ pausing or cutting vs. BOJ tightening could shift NZD/JPY bearish. Commodity Prices: NZD benefits from rising dairy, meat, and lumber prices. A commodity rally supports bullish NZD/JPY. Currency Intervention: Japan may intervene if JPY weakens past 150 vs. USD (NZD/JPY less directly affected but still relevant). ⭐☀🌟Global Market Analysis⭐☀🌟 Equity Markets: Bullish global stocks (e.g., S&P 500 up 5% YTD) favor NZD (risk-on) over JPY (risk-off). Bond Yields: Rising NZ 10-year yields (e.g., 4.8%) vs. Japan’s (e.g., 1%) support NZD/JPY upside. Forex Trends: If USD/JPY is climbing (e.g., 148), JPY weakness could lift NZD/JPY. Conversely, USD/NZD strength signals NZD weakness. Geopolitical Risks: Tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade war escalation) boost JPY, capping NZD/JPY gains. ⭐☀🌟COT Data (Commitment of Traders)⭐☀🌟 COT reports from the CFTC show speculative positioning: NZD Futures: If net long positions are rising (e.g., +10,000 contracts), bulls dominate. Net short (-5,000) signals bearish pressure. JPY Futures: Heavy net short positions (e.g., -50,000) indicate JPY weakness (carry trade unwind risk). Net long suggests safe-haven buying. NZD/JPY Inference: Bullish if NZD longs increase and JPY shorts persist; bearish if reversed. Note: Exact COT data requires real-time access (e.g., CFTC release March 7, 2025). Check the latest report for precision. ⭐☀🌟Intermarket Analysis⭐☀🌟 NZD Correlations: Positive with AUD (0.8 correlation) and commodity indices (e.g., CRB). AUD/NZD strength or commodity rallies lift NZD/JPY. JPY Correlations: Negative with equities (-0.7 vs. Nikkei). Equity declines strengthen JPY, pressuring NZD/JPY. Gold: Rising gold prices signal risk-off, favoring JPY over NZD. ⭐☀🌟Quantitative Analysis⭐☀🌟 Technical Levels: Support: 83.50 (50-day SMA), 82.00 (200-day SMA). Resistance: 85.00 (psychological), 86.50 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement from prior high). RSI: At 55 (neutral), no overbought/oversold signal. Bollinger Bands: Price near upper band (e.g., 84.80) suggests potential pullback. Volatility: Implied volatility (e.g., 10% annualized) indicates moderate moves ahead. Probability: 60% chance of testing 85.50 if bullish, 55% chance of 83.00 if bearish (based on historical ranges). ⭐☀🌟Market Sentiment Analysis⭐☀🌟 Retail Sentiment: If 70% of retail traders are long NZD/JPY (contrarian signal), a reversal may loom. News Sentiment: Positive NZ economic releases vs. Japan’s cautious BOJ tone could tilt sentiment bullish. ⭐☀🌟Positioning (Next Trend Move)⭐☀🌟 Short-Term (1-4 weeks): Bullish Target: 85.50 (break above 85.00 resistance). Bearish Target: 83.50 (support test). Medium-Term (1-3 months): Bullish Target: 86.50 (if risk-on persists). Bearish Target: 82.00 (200-day SMA breach). Long-Term (6-12 months): Bullish Target: 88.00 (multi-year resistance). Bearish Target: 80.00 (if global recession hits). Trend Direction: Mildly bullish short-term unless risk-off spikes. ⭐☀🌟Overall Summary Outlook⭐☀🌟 Current Price: 84.500. Bias: Mildly bullish short-term due to NZD yield advantage and risk-on sentiment, but JPY strength could cap gains if global risks rise. Key Drivers: RBNZ vs. BOJ policy, commodity prices, global risk appetite. Prediction: Bullish to 85.50 short-term (70% probability) if equities hold; bearish to 83.00 (60% probability) if JPY safe-haven flows dominate. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Potential bullish rise?NZD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 85.54 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 85.10 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that tis slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 86.65 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
NZDJPY - Shifting Trends Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉NZDJPY has been overall bearish , trading within the falling channel marked in red. However, it is currently retesting the lower bound of the channel which lines up perfectly with the support zone marked in blue. 📈As per my trading style , as long as the support zone holds, I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
Bullish bounce?NZD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance level. Pivot: 85.10 1st Support: 84.01 1st Resistance: 86.85 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop?NZD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 86.85 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 87.63 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 85.71 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
by VantageMarkets
NZDJPY at Key Support Level - Rebound Towards 87.300?OANDA:NZDJPY has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 87.300 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market dynamics. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
20
NZD/JPY: Potential Reversal After Resistance TestThe NZD/JPY pair has been in a bullish trend for the past two weeks but has now encountered resistance, leading to sideways movement around this level. On the daily timeframe, a rejection candle has formed, though the price has yet to retest the February high, where liquidity remains. There is a possibility that the price may attempt to capture this liquidity before turning lower, potentially forming a bearish divergence. If a rejection occurs at the 87.500 resistance level, the market could initiate a corrective move downward. The next key target is the support zone around 85.800
Short
by RTED_Investing
NZD/JPY Trendline Breakout (19.3.2025)The NZD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 85.83 2nd Support – 85.10 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
NZDJPY forming a top?NZDJPY - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bearish. Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high. Bespoke resistance is located at 87.00. We look to Sell at 87.00 (stop at 87.40) Our profit targets will be 85.40 and 85.10 Resistance: 87.30 / 87.70 / 88.00 Support: 86.30 / 85.50 / 85.00 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZD/JPY struggles to reverse the downtrendNZD/JPY is attempting to break free from its downward trajectory by pushing through channel resistance. With the U.S. dollar showing localized strength, this pair is in a prime position for a potential bullish breakout. Buyers are gaining momentum, gradually supporting the market as higher local lows emerge. This buildup of strength is setting the stage for a decisive break above channel resistance. In this scenario, the key trigger lies at 85.240, a crucial level that divides the market into two distinct zones. If the bulls successfully establish control above 85.240, an upward impulse toward 86.13 is likely, with the potential to extend further to 86.88 in the short term. Support: 84.500, 84.00 Resistance: 85.240, 86.13 The initial breakout test may face a brief pullback as liquidity accumulates above. This retracement could revisit the previously broken channel resistance before resuming its climb. However, the primary focus remains on price stability above 85.240, as this will be a pivotal factor in determining whether buyers can sustain control and drive the next bullish wave.
Long
by KevinSterling
Bearish reversal?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 87.25 1st Support: 85.57 1st Resistance: 88.39 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
WHY NZDJPY IS BULLISH??? DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading at 85.900, forming a descending channel pattern, signaling a potential breakout. This pattern often leads to bullish reversals, and once the price breaks above the resistance zone, we could see strong upside momentum toward the 90.000 target. A successful breakout with increased volume will confirm the bullish wave, leading to an anticipated gain of 300+ pips. From a technical perspective, the pair is testing key resistance levels within the descending channel, and a breakout will align with major trend continuation signals. If buyers maintain control, we could see the price rally towards 87.500 first, followed by a push toward 90.000 psychological resistance. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as strong bullish candles, RSI divergence, and volume spikes to validate the breakout. On the fundamental side, market sentiment and risk appetite are favoring jpy pairs, with the New Zealand dollar benefiting from commodity price stability and global risk-on sentiment. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's cautious stance on monetary tightening keeps jpy under pressure, further supporting upside potential for nzdjpy. If risk sentiment remains positive, the pair could maintain its bullish outlook, making the 90.000 target highly achievable.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
4
NZDJPY Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, NZDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 85.384 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 84.692 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1