NZDJPY Ready to Turn After Completing Zig-Zag Structure?Hello Traders,
In this short-term analysis, we will have a look at NZDJPY.
NZDJPY has ended the cycle from 04/13/18 peak (79.63) at the low of 05/29/18 (74.57) in red wave W.
Up, from that low it ended a 5 waves impulse structure in black wave ((a)) at 05/30/18 peak (76.29). From that peak, it ended the correction to that cycle in black wave ((b)) at 05/31/18 low (75.64).
From that low, it ended again 5 waves impulse structure in black wave ((c)) at 77.37-77.78 equal legs extreme area from 05/29/18 lows as a part of a ZigZag structure in black wave ((a))-((b))-((c)).
As long as it stays below 77.76 peak, we are calling the correction completed in red wave X. The right side remains to the downside due to its bearish sequence. Therefore, we like selling it in 3-7-11 swings against 78.459 invalidation level.
Nzdjpysell
Potential NZDJPY Moves on Weekly - Very TextbookThe NZDJPY has been making textbook moves for the past 5 or so months and nows the perfect time to see some changes. We had a wedge pattern forming, as well as a bat pattern within the wedge as a little reassurance to buy. Following the leg formed by the bat pattern, we turned around at the .618 giving us a very nice 2618 formation. Going on, theres now a couple of scenarios we could have here;
1. Long position continuing on with wedge pattern.
- Look for a reversal around the NZDJPY 75.80 area.
- Stop loss - just make sure you don't get a lower low lower close candle. If you do then close the trade and take the loss.
- Take profit @ 78.04. Would recommend either trailing your stops as price goes up, or closing half your position @ 77.07
The other alternative;
2. Short position due to breakout. In this case;
-When price gets to that 75.8 area, look for a lower low lower close candle (L3C). The magnified areas in the photo explain this.
- You must wait for the close. Use the Daily chart to find the L3C candle.
- Confirm the close on the weekly. There may be a retest of structure following the L3C so beware of a slight retracement.
NZDJPY has made a bullish exit, potential for strong rally!NZDJPY has made a bullish exit of our descending channel and could rally strongly from here. A strong rally could occur above major support at 77.66 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, breakout level) towards 79.24 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
RSI (89) has made a similar bullish exit signaling a change in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY approaching major support, prepare for a potential bounceNZDJPY is approaching major support at 76.08 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support, Elliott wave structure) and a potential bounce could occur at this level to drive price up to 77.66 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, Fibonacci extension).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major support at 1.7% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY right above major support, prepare for a potential bounce
NZDJPY is approaching major support and a potential bounce could occur at 79.45 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, Elliott wave structure) to push price up towards 80.51 (Fibonacci retracement, Elliott wave structure, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing major support above 1.7% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY approaching major support, prepare for a bounce!
NZDJPY is approaching major support and a potential bounce could occur at 79.45 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, Elliott wave structure) to push price up towards 80.51 (Fibonacci retracement, Elliott wave structure, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing major support above 1.7% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY broken major channel, potential bearish reversalNZDJPY has broken our major ascending channel support triggering a potential bearish exit. Our major resistance level is at 80.40 (Fibonacci retracement, pullback resistance) and a strong reversal could occur from here to push price down towards 80.02 (swing low support, Fibonacci retracement) before 79.50 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY continues its rise
NZDJPY has continued to bounce up perfectly as expected as it remains in our ascending channel. Major support remains at 80.57 (Fibonacci retracement, bullish channel support) with the next major level of resistance at 81.26 (ABC Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance).
RSI (34) sees multiple bullish exits signaling that bullish momentum is still strong in this currency pair.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY remains in a strong ascending channel
NZDJPY remains in a strong ascending support channel stretching back to the beginning of December 2017. Our first major support is at 80.26 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, channel support) and a bounce could occur at this level to push price up towards 81.25 resistance (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance).
RSI (55) sees major support at 44% which corresponds to the bullish ascending channel we have. Only a break of this major support line would trigger a bearish exit in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Short on NZD JPY should be profitableHere I have analyzed an opportunity to go short on the NZD JPY currency pair price has hit resistance at the 76.700 area. I am anticipating a strong bearish decline to the 76.000 level or potentially much lower. My stop loss, and take profit is indicated here on the charts.
Enjoy and happy trading
NZD JPY is Yearning to touch that SupportIf I could draw your attention to what price did in my circled area Oct 20-Nov 1. We can see that Price was missing its support after the drastic fall and that there was enough Short sentiment to make sure that it got there before taking off again. I believe that we are in the same situation once again. It may retrace up and find its inner resistance first, or it may not. The NZD can fall faster than most as some in history have made millions off of shorting NZD. I would expect sideways/upper movement for the next 24 H (1 Day), until it touches that resistance line, at which time I would recommend short selling with a limit at the weekly (April) Support 75.65 a bouts. Judging from the (circle price action) I would say it would be within 6 days from now to reach your limit.
PS. I don't think its wise to try to call out when this big guy is going to turn North, go with the trend in my opinion, until it betrays you.
PSS. This is my first post. So I'm sorry if its not well done, but I wanted to give you guys the overall picture of how I see it playing out.
If you sell now:
Risk Return 24:90 Pips (1:3)