NZDJPY Huge long-term bullish signal emerged.The NZDJPY pair gave us an excellent sell signal last time (July 10, see chart below) and not only hit our 95.580 Target but broke below and invalidated the medium-term Channel Up:
The long-term Channel Up however, is still intact and it is evident on the 1W time-frame where the July-August sell-off found support and stopped exactly on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
This alone is the first long-term buy signal. The second is a double one and will be given if the price closes above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has already rejected the uptrend twice since August and the 1W MACD forms a Bullish Cross. As you can see on this chart, every time the 1W MACD Bullish Cross coincided with a price closing above the 1W MA50, it was the strongest buy confirmation since 2020.
So if that confirmation is achieved, we will turn bullish with our Target being 102.000 (+18.31%, the minimum Bullish Leg rise within the Channel Up).
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Nzdjpysignals
NZDJPY Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.The NZDJPY has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the March 24 2023 bottom and today just made contact with its top (Higher Highs trend-line). We expect a strong rejection, similar to July 05 2023 that pulled-back all the way to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
As a result, we treat today's rejection as a strong sell opportunity. Our Target is 95.580 (Fib 0.382).
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NZDJPY Approaching the top of 3.5 years Channel Up. Strong sell.The NZDJPY pair is trading on the 4th straight green 1W candle and is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern that started on November 2020. Even though it may extend to a +9.30% rise (the smallest long-term it had within the pattern), selling now offers excellent Risk/ Reward conditions. Our target is 92.000 (Higher Lows trend-line).
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NZDJPY Channel Up Buy SignalThe NZDJPY pair is on a Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Up, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the long-term support. In fact the latter has been holding since June 02 2023.
The minimum Bearish Leg decline within this pattern has been -3.77% so having almost completed this fall during the current pull-back, we now turn bullish on this pair, targeting 94.500 (+5.44% rise, which has been the minimum % increase of Bullish Legs within this pattern).
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NZDJPY M30 / Long Trade Idea Intraday✅ Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to NZDJPY M30. I expect to see a bullish move until the price of 91.600. The JPY Basket is still bearish and I consider this argument an opportunity to look for a long entry on NZDJPY. Mos probable the price will hit the OB level.
Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives.
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NZDJPY Pump and dump in action.The NZDJPY pair is trading within a Channel Up pattern using the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a pivot point as of late. We can see a diverging (dotted) Channel Up that has priced the recent Higher Highs as well as being supported by the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
The 1D RSI has rebounded on the 39.90 Support level, which is where the last two Higher Lows has been priced, while the 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross. This is a buy signal and our target is the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the dotted Channel Up at 91.800. We are waiting for a sell after the 1D RSI gets rejected near the 73.40 Resistance, and we will target the bottom of the longer term Channel Up at 88.900.
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NZDJPY Short-term buyThe NZDJPY is trading within a Channel Up pattern and is currently on the latest bullish leg towards a new Higher High. All previous waves have been at least +6.12%, so that gives us still an opportunity to buy and target 92.150. If the RSI hits 73.40 before the target, close the buy regardless, as the 73.40 Resistance has formed the September 29 High.
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NZDJPY Bullish after successful rebound.It has been a month exactly since we made this break-out signal on the NZDJPY pair:
The price has made a successful rebound at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Bullish Megaphone pattern. As mentioned our buy break-out signal was when the pair closed a 1D candle above the Lower Highs trend-line. That coincided with a closing above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since August 02.
Our first target remains 89.700 but we now set a second target as the peak of this run on the Fibonacci 2.0 extension at 91.350.
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NZDJPY Those are its buy and sell break-out signals.The NZDJPY pair has been trading within a Bullish Megaphone pattern since the March 24 Low. It has been though on its longest correction in the last 1.5 months and on Monday hit the bottom of the Bullish Megaphone. For as long as it holds, this is a potential early buy signal as the price also made contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is the level that held and initiated the rebounds of July 28 and June 01.
The first buy confirmation will be a 1D MACD Bullish Cross (last one recorded on June 12) and the second a bullish break-out above the Lower Highs trend-line and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). In that case, we will buy and target 89.700 (Resistance 1).
If however we get a 1D candle closing below the Megaphone's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and the 1D MA100, we doubt Support 1 will hold and will take the buy's loss, opening a sell position instead, targeting 83.540 (Support 2).
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NZDJPY Support break-outs determine our tradesNZDJPY gave us last time (May 05) a very accurate buy signal that hit the target (see chart below) and even broke the 1 year Resistance Zone:
The pattern that emerged is a Bullish Megaphone, whose latest Higher Low leg is supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), having closed all candles above it. As long as it holds, we remain buyers and target Resistance 1 (89.700). If the price breaks below Support 1 (86.230) we will sell and target the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Bullish Megaphone at 85.330, near the 1D MA200. A 1D candle close below that, will be a bearish break-out signal for us and we will sell again, targeting Support 2 (83.540).
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NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS
By now MARKET RISK is ON. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY. NZD CPI DATA is also very high. LABOR DATA is also very POSITIVE for NZD. JPY may be somewhat WEAK in the next few days.
However, NZDJPY should be slightly BUY with upcoming JPY WEAKNESS.
Anyway, if the PRICE falls back on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT LINE, you can BUY if the MARKET RISK ON continues. And 87.00 LEVEL can be BUY temporarily. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF.
Anyway, after that, you can definitely SELL at the 80.00 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK.
NZDJPY Buy opportunity with its invalidation.The NZDJPY pair has been on a strong rebound ever since the April 26 hit on the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which has been the major long-term Support. Even though it got rejected on the 85.265 Resistance, as long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, we will be bullish targeting the bottom of the Resistance Zone at 86.500. The 1W RSI is printing a pattern similar to October 2021 - February 2022, supporting this bullish scenario, as the price has also broken above the top's Lower Highs trend-line.
On the other hand, if we close a 1D candle below the 1D MA50, the bullish case will be invalidated and we will sell targeting the 80.600 Support.
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NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
By now MARKET RISK is ON. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY. NZD CPI DATA is also very high. LABOR DATA is also very POSITIVE for NZD. JPY may be somewhat WEAK in the next few days.
However, NZDJPY should be slightly BUY with upcoming JPY WEAKNESS.
Anyway, if the PRICE falls back on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT LINE, you can BUY if the MARKET RISK ON continues. And 81.16 LEVEL can be SELL temporarily. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF.
Anyway, after that, you can definitely BUY at 87.00 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK.
NZDJPY Next MovePair : NZDJPY ( New Zealand Dollar / Japanese Yen )
Description :
Rising Wedge Pattern in Long Time Frame as an Correction and Breakout the LTL and Completed the Retracement
Divergence
Break of Structure
Rejection from Fibonacci Level ( 61.80% / 78.60% )
Exp FIAT in Short Time
Consolidation
TRADE IDEA FOR NZDJPY FOR NEXT WEEK FX:NZDJPY
As seen on the chart on the 4hr time frame we can see former support turn to new resistance as price is retesting that area again and we could anticipate that price could continue to push back up and we could find our entries and continue to trade with the trend.
but if price breaks below 84.083 then we can say that price is now bearish
What do you think?
NZDJPY Clear break-out levels to trade.The NZDJPY pair has been trading below (closing 1D candles) the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for nearly a month (since December 20), being supported at the same time by a (dotted) Higher Lows trend-line that started on the May 12 Low. A 1D Death Cross may be potentially formed as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is closing in on the 1D MA200, which adds more weight to the bearish side but we think it is best to trade this based on the clear break-out levels that this pattern (which we've been using with great results since last year) gives.
We are willing to buy for the short-term only upon a 1D candle close above the 1D MA200 and target the bottom of the Resistance Zone. Further break above the top of the Resistance Zone is a buy opportunity on the long-term and we will update upon potential targets then. Similarly, we are willing to sell only if a 1D candle closes below the 80.600 Support and target the top of the Higher Lows Zone (started on August 19 2021).
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NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
By now MARKET RISK is ON. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY. NZD CPI DATA is also very high. LABOR DATA is also very POSITIVE for NZD. JPY may be somewhat WEAK in the next few days.
However, NZDJPY should be slightly BUY with upcoming JPY WEAKNESS.
Anyway, if the PRICE falls back on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT LINE, you can BUY if the MARKET RISK ON continues. And 82.90 LEVEL can be SELL temporarily. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF.
Anyway, after that, you can definitely BUY at 88.10 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK.
NZDJPY Pull-back first, 88.000 - 90.000 later.The NZDJPY pair followed very closely the trading plan we presented on our last September 22 analysis:
As you see after a drop to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, the price rebounded aggressively back to the Resistance Zone. What helped us make this accurate projection were the striking similarities that presented early on with the June - September 2021 fractal. It appears that we are inside the blue oval pull-back which was completed just below the 0.786 Fibonacci level and then bounced for a new High on the -0.5 Fib extension.
See how similar their RSI patterns are as well. As a result, once this pull-back is completed, we expect a rise first to the 87.900 Resistance (top) and the -0.5 Fib above 90.000.
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NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
By now MARKET RISK is ON. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY. NZD CPI DATA is also very high.
Either way, NZDJPY should be slightly BUY with JPY WEAKNESS.
Anyway, the PRICE can SELL again on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT, if the MARKET RISK OFF continues, to the 84.26 LEVEL. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF. After that, you can definitely BUY at 87.71 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK. Besides, the USD should be WEAK. If the MAIN STRUCTURE is BREAK, you can SELL at 80.69 LEVEL. nzdjpy
NZDJPY Rebound on the 1D MA200 or break to pre-March levels?The NZDJPY pair has had a massive rejection today on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as the forex market is attempting to digest yesterday's Fed Rate Hike by 0.75 bp for the 3rd straight meeting. The sell-off almost hit and is so far holding the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been holding since March 02. A break below can test the 1D MA300 (red trend-line) or under conditions, the Higher Lows Zone that started back in July 20 2021.
Before we consider those levels however, as long as the 82.160 Support holds, the long-term action remains to buy the dips, with the obvious target being the 86.830 - 87.910 Resistance Zone. Not only that, but the 1D RSI is close to the oversold 30.000 level which since November 2021 it caused medium to long-term rebounds. The price action since June 15 has strong similarities with that of March - July 2021. As you see then, when the Support broke, the price gradually reached the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which on the current sequence is 80.800. A break below that, can test the July 2021 Higher Lows zone we discussed about above.
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NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
NZDJPY should be slightly SELL because the MARKET RISK is off now. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY.
Either way, NZDJPY should be LONG TERM DOWN.
Anyway, the PRICE can go UP again on the NZDJPY MAIN RESISTANCE, if the MARKET RISK is ON, to the 88.59 LEVEL. Earlier NZDJPY was BUY because of strong weakness in JPY. After that, you can definitely SELL at 81.46 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be OFF. STOCK DOWN, VIX UP, JPY STRONG.
NZDJPY Sell opportunityThe NZDJPY pair has been trading sideways within a Resistance and Support Zone since the June 08 High, using the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as the pivot. The longer it does though, the more the MACD on the 1W time-frame is losing momentum and we may see a strong move downwards.
In fact this pattern resembles the March - June 2021 sequence that eventually broke down to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) initially and the 1D MA300 (red trend-line) eventually. There is still a Support level at 79.500 but we will be targeting 82.000 and 81.000 in extension on the medium-term.
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