NZD/JPY Daily setupThe NZD/JPY pair has fallen by 920 pips over the past 15 days. Such a significant and sustained decline is unlikely to continue indefinitely without a corrective pullback. Currently, the price has halted its downward momentum and is beginning to reverse near my key area of interest.
Key Confluences:
The pair is rebounding off a descending trend line that has been in place since November 2023.
It is also bouncing off an ascending trend line that has been in place since August 2023.
The price is reacting to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
It is rejecting the significant psychological level of 90.000.
Market Structure
The JPY basket has reached a resistance level and is starting to decline.
These factors suggest a potential reversal or correction in the NZD/JPY pair.
NZD/JPY 4hr TF
Has currently closed on the 4 hour TF nicely I expect NZD/JPY to start having an healthy pull back.
JPY Basket weekly TF
Is currently reacting off my area of interest I expect price to start moving lower.
JPY Basket Daily TF
JPY Basket 4hr TF
Nzdjpytechnicalanalysis
NZDJPY I Strong bearish divergence indicating potential shortWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NZDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS
By now MARKET RISK is ON. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY. NZD CPI DATA is also very high. LABOR DATA is also very POSITIVE for NZD. JPY may be somewhat WEAK in the next few days.
However, NZDJPY should be slightly BUY with upcoming JPY WEAKNESS.
Anyway, if the PRICE falls back on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT LINE, you can BUY if the MARKET RISK ON continues. And 87.00 LEVEL can be BUY temporarily. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF.
Anyway, after that, you can definitely SELL at the 80.00 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK.
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
By now MARKET RISK is ON. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY. NZD CPI DATA is also very high. LABOR DATA is also very POSITIVE for NZD. JPY may be somewhat WEAK in the next few days.
However, NZDJPY should be slightly BUY with upcoming JPY WEAKNESS.
Anyway, if the PRICE falls back on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT LINE, it is possible to BUY if the MARKET RISK ON continues. And 81.79 LEVEL can be SELL temporarily. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF.
Anyway, after that, you can definitely BUY at 88.10 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
By now MARKET RISK is ON. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY. NZD CPI DATA is also very high.
Either way, NZDJPY should be slightly BUY with JPY WEAKNESS.
Anyway, the PRICE can SELL again on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT, if the MARKET RISK ON continues, to the 88.50 LEVEL. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF. After that, you can definitely buy at the 88.50 level. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK. Besides, the USD should be WEAK. If the MAIN STRUCTURE is broken, it can be SELL at 79.56 LEVEL.
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
NZDJPY should be slightly SELL because the MARKET RISK is off now. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY.
Either way, NZDJPY should be LONG TERM DOWN.
Anyway, the PRICE can go down again on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT, if the MARKET RISK OFF continues, to the 83.58 LEVEL. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF. After that, you can definitely BUY at 88.59 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK. Besides, the USD should be WEAK. nzdjpy
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
NZDJPY was slightly UP due to MARKET RISK ON the previous day. But now we see that MARKET RISK is ON. We expect further NZDJPY UP.
Anyway, NZDJPY BREAKED THE DOWNSIDE TRENDLINE and moved up. That PRICE can fall back on that TREND LINE. Maybe the PRICE will go down to the 86.20 LEVEL again and that PRICE LEVEL can become SUPPORT. After that, if MARKET RISK continues to be ON, you can definitely BUY at 87.61 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON.
To BUY NZDJPY, VIX must be DOWN and SNP500 must be UP. And COMMODITIES should definitely be UP. We are waiting for the change in the above mentioned MARKETS.
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
NZDJPY was slightly DOWN due to MARKET RISK OFF the previous day. But now we see that MARKET RISK is ON. We expect NZDJPY to go UP again.
Anyway, the NZDJPY DOWNSIDE TRENDLINE is BREAKING UP again. That PRICE can fall back on that TREND LINE. After that, if MARKET RISK continues to be ON, you can definitely BUY at 86.88 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON.
To BUY NZDJPY, VIX must be DOWN and SNP500 must be UP. And COMMODITIES should definitely be UP. We are waiting for the change in the above mentioned MARKETS.
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS Currently the NZDJPY is going down a bit due to the MARKET RISK OFF. We expect NZDJPY to be UP again.
Somehow that PRICE can fall back on the NZDJPY MAIN TRENDLINE. Then if you BREAK the DOWNSIDE TREND LINE you can definitely buy BUY for 86.88 LEVEL. It must be MARKET RISK ON.
But we can sell NZDJPY up to 81.51 according to STRUCTURE. The reason for this is the idea that the existing MARKET SENTIMENT in the OVERALL MARKET will be RISK OFF in the coming days. We must pay attention to the MARKET SENTIMENT.
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS- NZD FEATURE The NZD FEATURE currently stands at 0.6348 LEVEL. JPY FEATURE is a bit UP now compared to the previous days. The JPY FEATURE has become a bit STRONG with RISK OFF in the previous days. It could be further JPY UP. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting a bit UP at the moment. NZDJPY prices are moving below DYNAMIC LEVELS. Also created an ALT.BAT PATTERN in NZDJPY.
- NZDJPY Price may be slightly lower before UP up to 86.88 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be DOWN. It may be up to 81.51 LEVEL. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS- NZD FEATURE The NZD FEATURE currently stands at 0.6431 LEVEL. JPY FEATURE is getting a bit UPA now compared to yesterday. The JPY FEATURE has become a bit STRONG with RISK OFF in the previous days. It could be further JPY UP. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting a bit UP at the moment. NZDJPY prices are moving higher than DYNAMIC LEVELS. Also an ALT.BAT PATTERN is being created in NZDJPY.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently RED showing a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES show a DOWN SIDE BIAS today. Currently the MARKET has a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be slightly lower compared to JPY CHF and USD currencies.
- NZDJPY price may be slightly UP before DOWN to 89.79 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be DOWN. It may be down to 78.51 LEVEL. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS- NZD FEATURE The NZD FEATURE currently stands at 0.6452 LEVEL. JPY FEATURE is down a bit now compared to yesterday. JPY FEATURE was a bit DOWN with RISK ON in the previous days. There will be more JPY DOWN. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting a bit DOWN. NZDJPY prices are moving higher than DYNAMIC LEVELS. Also an ALT.BAT PATTERN is being created in NZDJPY.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently RED showing a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES show a MIXED BIAS today. Currently the MARKET has a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be slightly lower compared to JPY CHF and USD currencies.
- NZDJPY price may be slightly higher before DOWN to 86.88 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be DOWN. It may be down to 82.49 LEVEL. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS- NZD FEATURE The NZD FEATURE currently stands at 0.6497 LEVEL. JPY FEATURE is down a bit now compared to yesterday. JPY FEATURE was a bit DOWN with RISK ON in the previous days. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting a bit DOWN. NZDJPY prices are moving higher than DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently RED showing a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES show a MIXED BIAS today. Currently the MARKET has a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be slightly lower compared to JPY CHF and USD currencies.
- NZDJPY price may be slightly UP before DOWN to 86.46 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be DOWN. It may be down to 78.51 LEVEL. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.
NZDJPY - Will BE MARKET RISK ON?
- NZD FEATURE The NZD FEATURE currently stands at 0.6547 LEVEL. JPY FEATURE is getting a bit DOWN right now. JPY FEATURE was a bit DOWN with RISK ON in the previous days. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting somewhat DOWN. The NZDJPY price is ready to move higher than the DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK ON. STOCKS is currently GREEN showing a RISK ON SENTIMENT. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES show a UP SIDE BIAS today. Currently the market has a RISK ON SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be UP compared to JPY CHF currencies.
- NZDJPY price may be slightly UP before DOWN to 86.46 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be DOWN. It may be down to 78.51 LEVEL. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.
NZDJPY - Is the WAR SENTIMENT OVER? - NZD FEATURE The NZD FEATURE currently stands at 0.6351 LEVEL. The JPY FEATURE was heavily DOWN before. But is now up. The JPY FEATURE is a bit UP with the RISK OFF of the previous days. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting somewhat DOWN. NZDJPY Price is ready to go down below DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing a NEUTRAL BIAS. STOCKS is currently showing a MIXED RISK SENTIMENT. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently the market has a NEUTRAL BIAS. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be UP or DOWN relative to JPY CHF currencies.
- NZDJPY price may be slightly lower before UP up to 80.04 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be UP. It's probably up to 85.02 LEVEL. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.
NZDJPY - Will BE MARKET RISK ON? ⛔️ NZD FEATURE is currently DOWN. The main reason for that is because MARKET RISK OFF. Again it should be UP. Because it has been reported that RNZD will perform a RATE HIKE again. Therefore, it is likely to be a SENTIMENT PRICE in the future. However, the DOWN TREND is still declining due to the current market situation. The NZD FEATURE stands at 0.6250 LEVEL. The JPY FEATURE was heavily DOWN before. JPY FEATURE is a bit UP with the RISK OFF of the previous days. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting a bit DOWN. NZDJPY prices are moving below DYNAMIC LEVELS.
⛔️ The OVERALL MARKET is currently RISK ON on Friday. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES show a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON TONE in the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
⛔️ NZDJPY Price may be slightly lower before UP up to 78.51 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be UP. It's probably up to 84.457 LEVEL. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.
NZDJPY - Will BE MARKET RISK ON? ⛔️ NZD FEATURE is currently DOWN. The main reason for that is because MARKET RISK OFF. It will be UP again. But according to the current situation in the market, the DOWN TREND is still going down. The NZD FEATURE stands at 0.6319 LEVEL. The JPY FEATURE has been heavily DOWN before. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting somewhat DOWN. The NZDJPY price is moving lower than the DYNAMIC LEVELS.
⛔️ Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON TONE in the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
⛔️ NZDJPY Price may be slightly lower before UP up to 80.749 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be UP. It's probably up to 86.88 LEVEL. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.
NZDJPY - Will BE MARKET RISK ON? FORMING BAT PATTERN NOW.. - No high impact news for the New Zealand dollar today. Also, there is no high impact news for JPY. But somehow, New Zealand's employment report data was released on Wednesday. But I did not see any such change or development. So the NZD was slightly RANGE. Most likely NZDJPY will FOLLOW the MARKET SENTIMENT this week. So pay attention to VIX, MARKET SENTIMENT.
- NZD FEATURE is currently DOWN. The main reason for that is because MARKET RISK OFF. It will be UP again. But according to the current situation in the market, the DOWN TREND is still going down. The NZD FEATURE stands at 0.6506 LEVEL. The JPY FEATURE has been heavily DOWN before. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting somewhat DOWN. The NZDJPY price is moving lower than the DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. But American STOCKS are going down a bit. And VOLATILITY is DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON BIAS on the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- NZDJPY price may be slightly lower before UP up to 83.47 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be UP. It's probably up to 86.88 LEVEL. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.
NZDJPY - LABOUR DATA IN THIS WEEK - No high impact news for the New Zealand dollar today. Also, there is no high impact news for JPY. But New Zealand's employment data is due out on Wednesday. Most likely NZDJPY will FOLLOW the MARKET SENTIMENT this week. So pay attention to VIX, MARKET SENTIMENT.
- NZD FEATURE is currently DOWN. The main reason for that is because MARKET RISK OFF. It will be UP again. But according to the current situation in the market, the DOWN TREND is still going down. The NZD FEATURE stands at 0.6438 LEVEL. The JPY FEATURE has been heavily DOWN before. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting somewhat DOWN. The NZDJPY price is moving lower than the DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- OVERALL MARKET is currently NEUTRAL. Last Friday also a NEUTRAL TONE was played in the NEWYORK SESSION on the MARKET. US STOCKS are currently showing a GREEN SIDE BIAS. And VOLATILITY is becoming UP. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. There is a NEUTRAL BIAS currently on the market. It's a bit more than the DOWN SIDE BIAS. Because it is VIX UP and EQUITIES NEUTRAL. We can not say for sure whether the MARKET SENTIMENT is UP or DOWN. But according to the data available so far we can say that MARKETS RISK is OFF.
- NZDJPY Price may be slightly DOW at 82.10 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be UP. It's probably up to 86.45 LEVEL. For that to happen, the TREND LINE must be BREAKED. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.
NZDJPY - TECNICAL WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS- There are some very important EVENT this week for NZDJPY. The most important of these is the Central Bank Meeting of Japan. Also the NZD TRADE BALANCE will be a very important one. Although not so much VOLATILITY NEWS for NZDJPY this week, you can FOLLOW the NZDJPY MARKET SENTIMENT in the coming days.
- NZD FEATURE is currently DOWN. The main reason for that is because MARKET RISK OFF. It will be UP again. But according to the current situation in the market, the DOWN TREND is still going down. The NZD FEATURE stands at 0.6593 LEVEL. The JPY FEATURE has been heavily DOWN before. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting somewhat DOWN. NZDJPY prices are moving higher than DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is NEGATIVE. Last week a RISK OFF TONE was PLAY. STOCKS Slightly shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS right now. And VOLATILITY is becoming UP. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one DOWN SIDE BIAS in the market. So be careful when trading. We can not say for sure that the MARKET SENTIMENT will continue to be a DOWN SIDE CONTINUE. But according to the data available so far we can say that MARKETS RISK is OFF.
- NZDJPY Price may be slightly higher at 85.66 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be DROP. It may fall to 82.10 LEVEL by breaking the SUPPORT LINE. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.
NZDJPY - Is the WAR SENTIMENT OVER? Will BE MARKET RISK ON? - The NZD CPI DATA, one of the most important EVENTs for the NZD, is due out this week. It is set to release tomorrow. FLASH MANUFACTURING DATA for JPY is set to release on Friday. LOW IMPACT NEWS Even though it will be very important.
- NZD FEATURE is currently down a bit. The main reason for that is because MARKET RISK OFF. Again it will be UP. Today there is a slight market risk on the situation. The NZD FEATURE stands at 0.6760 LEVEL. The JPY FEATURE has been heavily DOWN before. Stay tuned for the VIX INDEX. Currently VIX is getting somewhat DOWN. NZDJPY prices are moving higher than DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is being POSITIVE. Yesterday a RISK ON TONE was PLAY. STOCKS Somewhat showing a NEUTRAL BIAS at the moment. And VOLATILITY is DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. There is a NEUTRAL BIAS currently on the market. It's a bit more than the UP SIDE BIAS. We can not say for sure whether the MARKET SENTIMENT is UP or DOWN. But according to the data we have received so far we can say that MARKETS RISK is turning ON.
- NZDJPY Price may be slightly higher at 89.50 LEVEL according to MARKET STRUCTURE. Then the NZDJPY price can be DROP. It may fall to LEVEL 82.09 by breaking the TREND LINE. So look at the REACTION of STOCKS MARKETS, VIX, SNP500 MARKETS.