NZDUSD
NZDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Unlock 12 Money-Making Trades in Just 15 Minutes 2-6Sepa Day! Join me live at 10:30 PM (SGT) for a 30-minute session revealing 12 hot trading opportunities across 12 currency pairs. Discover how busy professionals like you can earn extra income by dedicating just 15 minutes a day. Learn how to set smart alerts and only take action when needed—no more endless screen time! 🔔 Don't forget to hit the Follow button so you don't miss out!
- Hit the follow button and turn on the notification bell so you don’t miss any future trading opportunities!
-If you're finding these insights helpful, give this video a like and share it with someone who needs to know how to earn extra income with 15mins a day!
NZD-USD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is making
A bearish correction but will soon
Retest a horizontal support
Of 0.6203 from where
We will be expecting a
Further move up
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
NZD Approaches Key Supply Zone: A Potential Short OpportunityThe New Zealand dollar is approaching a critical supply area that has captured our attention, signaling a potential opportunity to set up a short position. This zone is key, and we are closely monitoring for a possible test of this area to confirm our bearish setup. However, it's important to note that the price may reverse before reaching this point of interest, as other correlated currencies against the U.S. Dollar (DXY) have already begun to show signs of reversal.
This correlation between the New Zealand dollar and other currencies in relation to the U.S. Dollar strengthens the likelihood of a potential downturn before our targeted area is tested. As the DXY starts to gain momentum, the pressure on the New Zealand dollar could increase, leading to an earlier-than-expected reversal.
Given these market dynamics, we are prepared to act quickly should the price show signs of turning before reaching our anticipated level. This situation highlights the importance of flexibility and vigilance in our trading strategy, as the interplay between correlated currencies can often signal shifts in market direction.
✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
NZD/USD powering higher as business confidence, milk prices surg- NZD/USD hits highs not seen since early January
- Latest leg higher fueled by big improvement in New Zealand business confidence
- Kiwi likely to outperform as long as traders continue to see a soft US economic landing
About the only thing rising as fast as dairy prices is New Zealand business confidence right now, and both are beneficial for NZD/USD which has surged to seven-month highs. Who said Kiwis can’t fly?
Kiwi flying on dairy strength, soaring business confidence
As covered in a separate note last week, NZD/USD has been a major benefactor of recent US dollar weakness, not only enjoying tailwinds from narrowing interest rate differentials but also soaring dairy prices. You can now add bullish New Zealand business confidence to the growing list of Kiwi tailwinds.
The confidence measure in the ANZ Bank New Zealand Business Outlook survey surged to a decade-high in August, surging 23 points to +51. Expectations for own activity also bounced, hitting fresh seven-year highs.
The bounce in optimism followed the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) first interest rate cut of the cycle earlier in the month, with the bank signalling a further 100 basis points of easing by the middle of next year.
“Things are definitely looking up, albeit from a pretty dark place for many firms,” ANZ’s economics team wrote. “It wasn’t the Reserve Bank’s cut to the Official Cash Rate (OCR) that kicked off the lift – we saw an increase across much of the survey already in July, and the further large jump in August was already evident when the survey first opened at the very beginning of the month.
The table below from ANZ details just how impressive the improvement in the surveys internal components was during the month.
NZD/USD remains a buy-on-dips play
Having chopped back and forth through former resistance at .6218 earlier this week, the data has seen the Kiwi rocket higher in Asian trade on Thursday, hitting levels not seen since early January, breaking through another layer of resistance at .6277 in the process. The question now is whether it can hold there?
RSI (14) and MACD continue to provide bullish signals on the daily timeframe, although the former is now bordering on overbought territory. Even so, the inclination remains to buy dips rather than sell rallies in the near-term.
With nothing else on the New Zealand calendar this week, the biggest threat to the bullish trend arguably comes from incoming US labour market data which has been highly influential on Fed interest rate pricing over recent months, placing emphasis on initial jobless claims that will be released later in the session.
For a cyclical currency like the Kiwi, mild weakness screens as bullish. So too mild strength as both would allow the Fed to begin cutting rates without sparking fears of an impending recession. But if the data were to weaken dramatically, that would be problematic given the Kiwi comes across as a high beta play on the global economy.
If the US were to fall into recession, narrowing interest rate differentials would be more than overridden by fears of weaker demand, hammering risker cyclical plays as a consequence. However, such an outcome screens as unlikely on this occasion, potentially opening the door for the Kiwi to keep rising.
My preference would be to see how the data prints before entering positions. If the price pushes above .6277, you could buy with a stop below the level for protection. .63695 is one potential target. Alternatively, if it can’t hold .6277, you could sell with a stop above the level for protection targeting a pullback to either .6218 or .6150.
-- Written by David Scutt
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Regain StrengthMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Regain Strength
NZD/USD is showing positive signs and might attempt a fresh increase above 0.6275.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is correcting gains from the 0.6300 zone.
- There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6255 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.6140 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.6200 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 0.6235 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.6300 zone and is currently correcting gains. The pair corrected lower below the 0.6275 level. The pair also traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.6194 swing low to the 0.6298 high.
The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now below 50. On the downside, there is major support forming near 0.6255 and a trend line.
The next major support is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.6194 swing low to the 0.6298 high at 0.6235.
If there is a downside break below the 0.6235 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.6195 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.6160.
On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.6275. The next major resistance is near the 0.6300 level. A clear move above the 0.6300 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6340 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6400 resistance zone in the coming days.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZDUSD M30 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6272, which is a pullback resistance and a 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6250, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 0.6299, a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NZD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the NZD/USD with the target of 0.620 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Levels discussed on Livestream 29 August29th August
DXY: Could trade higher, needs to break above 101.20 (61.8%) to retest of 101.60
NZDUSD: Retracing down, look for reaction at 0.6220, Buy 0.6235 SL 25 TP 60
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6815 SL 20 TP 40
GBPUSD: Could trade up to 1.33, look for reaction at the strong resistance level.
EURUSD: Sell 1.1085 SL 40 TP 85
USDJPY: Sell 144.80 SL 40 TP 140
USDCHF: Buy 0.8445 SL 20 TP 40
USDCAD: Sell 1.3435 SL 20 TP 70
Gold: Could trade slightly higher, look for retest of 2500 to buy the bounce
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6235 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6275.
We look to Buy at 0.6220 (stop at 0.6200)
Our profit targets will be 0.6270 and 0.6275
Resistance: 0.6250 / 0.6270 / 0.6275
Support: 0.6225 / 0.6220 / 0.6210
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSDNZDUSD have some potential for upside with target at 0.63.
All setup on chart.
Traders should not use my plans as signals; they are meant to share my market perspective based on price reactions to key levels. Relying on others' signals limits your learning and causes insecurity. Instead, use my plans to enhance your strategy. Perform your own analysis and risk management first, then consult my plans to identify the best trading zones, the best levels to buy or to sell. Learning from others is important, but copying them won't make you a professional. Developing your own strategy and critical analysis skills is crucial for long-term success. Always trust your judgment and focus on continuous learning to improve your skills.
Your trading is your responsibility. Choose a good risk management.
$NZDUSD | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
Price action is in Overbought conditions for Daily and Weekly Timeframe
Price bounced off the 38% Fibo retracement
Price is also rejecting the Resistance trendline
Price action also reversed away from an Interest Zone
Fundamental Confluences:
With all other Central Banks in the DM space wanting to cut rates, it negates off the yield premium that NZD would be getting against USD
Market is consolidating after all the USD sell-off and profit-taking mood is here now
-----
Took a short position here targeting the 38% Fibo extension level while will look to cut above the Interest Zone. Risk/Reward ratio is at 2.41.
Price should not break above the Resistance trendline to affirm the recent price has topped out.
-----
Levels discussed on Livestream 28th August 28th August
DXY: Trading along 100.80, could trade lower to 100.55. If support level not broken, could range between 100.55 and 100.90
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6290 SL 20 T 70
AUDUSD: Looking for a break of resistance, Buy 0.6810 SL 20 TP 40
GBPUSD: Could trade up to 1.33, look for reaction at the strong resistance level.
EURUSD: Could range between 1.1160 and 1.12
USDJPY: Sell 144.25 SL 30 TP 75
USDCHF: Sell 0.8420 SL 30 TP 70
USDCAD: Sell 1.3445 SL 25 TP 80 (Hesitation at 1.34)
Gold: Above 2512 could trade up to 2525
NZD/USD POTENTIAL UP ?
Hello everyone, I'm here to share my views on NZD/USD. Please note that this is purely my personal opinion.
As observed from last week's candlestick data, NZD/USD managed to rise from a low of 0.60464 to a high of around 0.62365.
From last week's close, NZD/USD has dropped to 0.61942. It is now around 0.62253 and has the potential UP TO 0.62619 - 0.63034
Feel free to share your thoughts on my view, and I apologize if my English isn't perfect as I used a translation tool.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST Aug 26-30: USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast for AUG 26-30th.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Levels discussed on 27th August Livestream27th August
DXY: consolidating along 100.80, needs to stay below 101.10 to maintain bearish sentiment, breaking 100.80 could trade down to 100.55
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6230 SL 20 TP 45
AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.68 (CPI Pending) Sell 0.6740 SL 25 TP 45 (Tomorrow)
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3225 SL 35 TP 70
EURUSD: Buy 1.1180 SL 25 TP 70
USDJPY: Wait for retracement to complete, before looking for selling potential. could retest 146
USDCHF: Nothing for now, look for reaction at 0.8445
USDCAD: Sell 1.3450 SL 20 TP 40
Gold: Could retest 2500, look for bounce to 2515
NZDUSD: Very Bullish Pattern 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD formed a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame
after a recent strong bullish movement.
The breakout of the resistance of the flag is a strong bullish signal.
It signifies a highly probable bullish trend continuation.
The price may reach 0.6235 / 0.6245 levels soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Levels discussed on Livestream 26th August26th August
DXY: If IHS forms and break 100.80, could trade up to 101 and 101.10. If 100.80 holds as resistance, could trade down to 100 (if 100.50 is broken)
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6225 SL 20 TP 50
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6810 SL 20 TP 75 (Hesitation at 0.6850)
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3190 SL 40 TP 100
EURUSD: Buy 1.1175 SL 20 TP 75
USDJPY: Sell 143.25 SL 30 TP 100
USDCHF: Nothing for now, look for reaction at 0.8445
USDCAD: Could consolidate along 1.35 for now
Gold: Currently 2521 could trade up to 2530
NZD/USD: Bearish Reversal Signal with Key ConfluencesThe NZD/USD pair is currently exhibiting signs of a potential bearish reversal, highlighted by the formation of a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern . This pattern, when combined with the key technical confluences identified, supports a strong bearish outlook for the pair in the short to medium term.
Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern:
The Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern has formed near a critical resistance zone, suggesting a potential price reversal. The confluence of this pattern with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level on the weekly chart further reinforces the bearish sentiment. The harmonic pattern's completion at this juncture is a significant indication that the upside momentum may be waning.
Key Resistance and Trendline Confluence:
Price has recently tested and rejected a key resistance level, which aligns with both the descending trendline and the 78.6% Fibonacci level on the weekly chart. This rejection adds credibility to the bearish bias, as it suggests that sellers are stepping in to defend this area.
RSI Divergence on 4-hour time frame:
An additional layer of confluence is provided by the RSI divergence observed on the 4-hour timeframe. The RSI has shown a bearish divergence, indicating weakening bullish momentum. This divergence often precedes a trend reversal, further supporting our bearish outlook for NZD/USD.
Trade Plan:
Given the confluence of these technical factors, the following trade setup is recommended:
Entry: 0.61970
Stop Loss: 0.62400
Take Profit Targets
TP-1: 0.61540
TP-2: 0.61110
TP-3: 0.60680
Risk Management:
This trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with tight risk management in place. The stop loss is placed just above the key resistance level to protect against potential false breakouts.
Conclusion:
The combination of the Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern, key resistance rejection, trendline confluence, and RSI divergence points to a strong bearish case for NZD/USD. Traders should consider entering the trade at the specified levels, with a clear focus on the risk management strategy outlined above.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NZDUSD → Attempt to change the trend amid falling dollarFX:NZDUSD is strengthening from the opening session amid the dollar's return to southward movement. Traders are intensifying USD sell-offs amid expectations of interest rate cuts...
Despite the New Zealand Central Bank's interest rate cut, the USD sell-off is more active on the currency pair. The dollar is forming a retest of support, which increases the chances of further decline in the price amid strong sell-offs.
The currency pair is testing the resistance at 0.6083, but at the moment there is a high probability of correction to the imbalance zone. The reason is that we approached the zone too quickly, we need to accumulate the pre-breakout potential. But, if the bulls manage to consolidate above the resistance, then the market will move to the realization phase after the trend line breakout.
Resistance levels: 0.60828, 0.61475
Support levels: 0.6036
Fundamentally, the environment points to the continuation of growth. Technically, the bulls will have to pass through the trigger at 0.60828 to start the realization phase.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!