NZD/USD: Traders Eye Short Setup After Key ReboundThe NZD/USD pair saw a strong recovery from its intraday low of 0.6170 during Wednesday’s New York session. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) regained some ground as the US Dollar (USD) struggled to maintain its upward momentum, having recently corrected from a fresh two-week high. Investors are now eagerly awaiting the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, the highlight of a data-heavy week for the US economy.
From a technical standpoint, the price had already rebounded from a key Supply area, and after today's short recovery, traders may find an opportunity for a potential short setup. This pullback could be seen as a chance to enter the market by setting a Sell Limit order or entering directly to take advantage of the correction. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders are increasingly aggressive on the long side, while Smart Money appears to be reducing its positions, signaling a possible bearish trend.
Additionally, seasonality data further hints at the potential for a bearish move in the near future. With several factors aligning, traders may be preparing for a potential downside in the NZD/USD pair, making this pullback an attractive opportunity for short positions.
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NZDUSD
NZDUSDNZDUSD is in correction range at 0.61989 level. If price fails to break through, price will rebound to test resistance at 0.62553-0.62836. If price fails to break through 0.62836 level, it is expected that price will go down. Consider selling red zone.
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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 2-6 : USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast for SEPT 2-6th.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
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NZD/USD sets stage for next up moveThe US dollar continues to fall across the board, especially against haven currencies like the Japanese yen. But it is also weaker against the more high beta currencies too, despite the ongoing struggles in the stock markets. The NZD/USD stands ready to benefit from the weakening US dollar, especially in the event we see calm return to stocks.
The NZD/USD has been in consolidation mode for the past few days, declining inside what looks like a falling wedge continuation pattern.
The kiwi surged last month after a false break reversal pattern was formed around the 0.5860 level (see chart).
After hitting a high of just under 0.6300, it has dropped a bit to test - and so far hold - prior resistance at 0.6170 (see red arrows on the chart). This level has now turned into support. If we can now take out the pivotal 0.6218/20 level, then more gains could be on the way, initially targeting the liquidity now resting above the most recent high at 0.6300 area.
So far this week, we have had two disappointing employment indicators from the US, namely JOLTS job openings and now ADP private sector payrolls (rising by just 99K instead of 144K expected and prior number was revised lower too). From here, a substantial further decline in the US dollar would require further bearish US economic data this week. Friday's payrolls report is key in this regard. But any data-driven upside should be limited given the Fed’s clear signal that it will cut rates.
Put simply, weakness in US data is needed to keep the pressure on the US dollar, while the upside for the greenback should be limited on any data surprises because of the Fed’s strong indications that rate cuts are starting this month. This makes me bearish on the dollar and therefore bullish on major currency pairs like the NZD/USD.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
NZDUSD Strong sell opportunity.The NZDUSD pair gave us last time (June 26, see chart below) a solid sell signal, even though the Target just fell short of being hit:
The price is giving yet again a sell signal as not only it fulfilled the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and got rejected but also the 1D RSI hit and got rejected exactly on the 70.00 overbought barrier, which is where all tops since late 2022 have been priced.
As a result, we expect the pair to initially hit at least 0.6000 towards the end of this month.
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NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.62400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZD/USD "KIWI" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist NZD/USD "KIWI" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 1H timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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NZDUSD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.6188 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6238
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD is trending up which is clear from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 0.627.
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nzdusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Levels discussed on Livestream 3rd September3rd September
DXY: Still in consolidation. Watch the resistance at 102 round number. Looking for downside, needs to break 101.50 (23.6%), could trade down to 101.15
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6205 SL 20 TP 60
AUDUSD: Retracing, could retest 0.68 resistance level
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3170 SL 40 TP 90
EURUSD: Look for reaction at 1.10 round number support level
USDJPY: Sell 145.70 SL 250 TP 80
USDCHF: Could trade higher, look for reaction at resistance level
USDCAD: Could trade lower, look for reaction at support 1.3440
Gold: Choppy price action, until 2508, beyond that, could trade up to 2520
Happy Labour Day!2nd September
DXY: Within the bullish channel, (upside) could trade up to 102 resistance, needs to break 101.80. Downside only if price breaks below 101.50 (23.6%)
NZDUSD: look for reaction at 0.6220, Sell 0.62 SL 25 TP 60
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6810 SL 20 TP 40
GBPUSD: Sell 1.31 SL 40 TP 65
EURUSD: Look for reaction at 1.10 round number support level
USDJPY: Look for reaction at 147 resistance level
USDCHF: Sell 0.8460 SL 20 TP 55
USDCAD: Buy 1.3525 SL 20 TP 70
Gold: Break above 2500 to trade up to 2515 and 2530, needs to stay above 2480
NZDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
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NZD-USD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is making
A bearish correction but will soon
Retest a horizontal support
Of 0.6203 from where
We will be expecting a
Further move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
NZD Approaches Key Supply Zone: A Potential Short OpportunityThe New Zealand dollar is approaching a critical supply area that has captured our attention, signaling a potential opportunity to set up a short position. This zone is key, and we are closely monitoring for a possible test of this area to confirm our bearish setup. However, it's important to note that the price may reverse before reaching this point of interest, as other correlated currencies against the U.S. Dollar (DXY) have already begun to show signs of reversal.
This correlation between the New Zealand dollar and other currencies in relation to the U.S. Dollar strengthens the likelihood of a potential downturn before our targeted area is tested. As the DXY starts to gain momentum, the pressure on the New Zealand dollar could increase, leading to an earlier-than-expected reversal.
Given these market dynamics, we are prepared to act quickly should the price show signs of turning before reaching our anticipated level. This situation highlights the importance of flexibility and vigilance in our trading strategy, as the interplay between correlated currencies can often signal shifts in market direction.
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NZD/USD powering higher as business confidence, milk prices surg- NZD/USD hits highs not seen since early January
- Latest leg higher fueled by big improvement in New Zealand business confidence
- Kiwi likely to outperform as long as traders continue to see a soft US economic landing
About the only thing rising as fast as dairy prices is New Zealand business confidence right now, and both are beneficial for NZD/USD which has surged to seven-month highs. Who said Kiwis can’t fly?
Kiwi flying on dairy strength, soaring business confidence
As covered in a separate note last week, NZD/USD has been a major benefactor of recent US dollar weakness, not only enjoying tailwinds from narrowing interest rate differentials but also soaring dairy prices. You can now add bullish New Zealand business confidence to the growing list of Kiwi tailwinds.
The confidence measure in the ANZ Bank New Zealand Business Outlook survey surged to a decade-high in August, surging 23 points to +51. Expectations for own activity also bounced, hitting fresh seven-year highs.
The bounce in optimism followed the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) first interest rate cut of the cycle earlier in the month, with the bank signalling a further 100 basis points of easing by the middle of next year.
“Things are definitely looking up, albeit from a pretty dark place for many firms,” ANZ’s economics team wrote. “It wasn’t the Reserve Bank’s cut to the Official Cash Rate (OCR) that kicked off the lift – we saw an increase across much of the survey already in July, and the further large jump in August was already evident when the survey first opened at the very beginning of the month.
The table below from ANZ details just how impressive the improvement in the surveys internal components was during the month.
NZD/USD remains a buy-on-dips play
Having chopped back and forth through former resistance at .6218 earlier this week, the data has seen the Kiwi rocket higher in Asian trade on Thursday, hitting levels not seen since early January, breaking through another layer of resistance at .6277 in the process. The question now is whether it can hold there?
RSI (14) and MACD continue to provide bullish signals on the daily timeframe, although the former is now bordering on overbought territory. Even so, the inclination remains to buy dips rather than sell rallies in the near-term.
With nothing else on the New Zealand calendar this week, the biggest threat to the bullish trend arguably comes from incoming US labour market data which has been highly influential on Fed interest rate pricing over recent months, placing emphasis on initial jobless claims that will be released later in the session.
For a cyclical currency like the Kiwi, mild weakness screens as bullish. So too mild strength as both would allow the Fed to begin cutting rates without sparking fears of an impending recession. But if the data were to weaken dramatically, that would be problematic given the Kiwi comes across as a high beta play on the global economy.
If the US were to fall into recession, narrowing interest rate differentials would be more than overridden by fears of weaker demand, hammering risker cyclical plays as a consequence. However, such an outcome screens as unlikely on this occasion, potentially opening the door for the Kiwi to keep rising.
My preference would be to see how the data prints before entering positions. If the price pushes above .6277, you could buy with a stop below the level for protection. .63695 is one potential target. Alternatively, if it can’t hold .6277, you could sell with a stop above the level for protection targeting a pullback to either .6218 or .6150.
-- Written by David Scutt
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Regain StrengthMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Regain Strength
NZD/USD is showing positive signs and might attempt a fresh increase above 0.6275.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is correcting gains from the 0.6300 zone.
- There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6255 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.6140 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.6200 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 0.6235 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.6300 zone and is currently correcting gains. The pair corrected lower below the 0.6275 level. The pair also traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.6194 swing low to the 0.6298 high.
The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now below 50. On the downside, there is major support forming near 0.6255 and a trend line.
The next major support is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.6194 swing low to the 0.6298 high at 0.6235.
If there is a downside break below the 0.6235 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.6195 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.6160.
On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.6275. The next major resistance is near the 0.6300 level. A clear move above the 0.6300 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6340 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6400 resistance zone in the coming days.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZDUSD M30 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6272, which is a pullback resistance and a 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6250, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 0.6299, a swing high resistance level.
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NZD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the NZD/USD with the target of 0.620 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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