NZDUSD - Top Down Analysis (ICT)Quite interesting chart on NZDUSD. I give my analysis and opinion on what is likely to transpire next. Let's see what happens today (Friday) as I'm expecting the weekly to close below certain levels if I am correct in price coming for the SSL first. However, it may not happen today as there is no high impact news offering a catalyst for a manipulative move lower. We could see a weak close lower and then more aggressive action on PPI and CPI next week. Again, this is under the assumption that my bias of price wanting to go for the SSL first is correct.
- R2F
NZDUSD
NZD Outlook: ANZ’s Forecast for Next Week NZD Outlook: ANZ’s Forecast for Next Week
ANZ anticipates that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will maintain its current interest rates at the August 14 meeting but may signal potential rate cuts before the year ends. Although ANZ estimates a small 10-15% chance that the RBNZ might shift to an easing bias during this coming meeting.
Markets are currently pricing in 89 basis points of cuts by November 2024 and 222 basis points by November 2025. However, ANZ is cautioning against expecting such drastic moves and that markets could be disappointed with this reflected in market volatility if the RBNZ doesn't deliver.
A key level to watch on the downside is April’s low which has twice served as a support level in recent weeks, rebuffing sellers.
NZD/USD is currently moving higher, nearing the 100 SMA on the daily chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that momentum remains strong, with the potential for a softer unemployment claim report from the US influencing the pair’s short-term direction.
NZDUSD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.6000 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5932
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6047
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.600.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.593 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZDUSD H4 I Bullish reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 0.5976, which is a pullback support
Our take profit will be at 0.6038, which is a pullback resistance level close to 78.6% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.5913, which is an overlap support level.
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Is there an upward trend for the NZDUSD?
Time to enter the trade is activated only when the entry zone (orange line) is broken.
5 black dotted lines represent heavy resistance to the New Zealand dollar.
If the New Zealand dollar cannot reach the orange area, the purchase transaction is canceled.
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NZDUSD: Bearish Stocks and Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60300 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60300 resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
NZDUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell NZDUSD
Entry - 0.6012
Stop - 0.6059
Take - 0.5937
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZDUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.5917 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.5953
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZ dollar surges on strong employment dataThe New Zealand dollar has soared today. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6018, up an impressive 1.1% at the time of writing.
New Zealand’s labour market has been cooling off due to elevated interest rates and the markets were braced for a soft jobs report for the second quarter. Instead, job growth rebounded and unemployment was lower than expected, sending the New Zealand dollar sharply higher.
Job growth expanded by 0.4% in the second quarter, up from -0.2% in Q1 and above the market estimate of -0.2%. The unemployment rate rose from 4.4% to 4.6%, a notch under the market estimate of 4.7%. This is the highest level since Q1 of 2021 but investors were pleased that it was lower than expected.
The positive employment report has reduced market expectations of a rate cut from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which has driven the New Zealand dollar sharply higher today. Inflation has fallen to 3.3%, its lowest level in three years and close to the upper level of the central bank’s target range between 1% and 3%. A weak employment report could have cemented a rate cut at next week’s meeting but the job data was better than expected, which will complicate the rate decision.
The final tier-1 release before the August 14 meeting is Inflation Expectations on Thursday. This indicator is closely followed by the central bank and will be a factor in the rate decision. Inflation Expectations has been on a steady downtrend and is expected to ease to 2.33% in the second quarter, compared to 2.5% in the first quarter.
NZD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6009. Above, there is resistance at 0.6061
There is support at 0.5934 and 0.5882
NZD/USD +300 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid After D Closure !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Levels discussed on livestream 7th August7th August
DXY: Expecting further upside (to retest 104), could bounce off bullish trendline, needs to stay above 102.90. Below that, 102 key support level
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6030 SL 20 TP 55
AUDUSD: Look for reaction at trendline, if broken Sell 0.6520 SL 30 TP 80
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2665 SL 20 TP 40 (then watch for reaction at support level)
EURUSD: Buy 1.0945 SL 20 TP 50 or (H&S pattern) Sell 1.0880 SL 20 TP 80
USDJPY: Buy 147.50 SL 70 TP 200
USDCHF: Buy 0.8620 SL 30 TP 60
USDCAD: Sell 1.3750 SL 30 TP 70
Gold: Consolidating, if 2385 broken, could trade down to 2365
NZD/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the NZD/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.595 level.
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Pullback resistance ahead for the Kiwi?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6039
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6097
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5981
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/USD Continues to Decline Amid Growing Global TensionsThe NZD/USD pair extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 0.5920 during the European session on Tuesday. This decline is attributed to growing tensions in the Middle East and increasing fears of an economic slowdown in the United States (US). These factors have dampened the appeal of risk-sensitive currencies like the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), contributing to its continued depreciation.
Market sentiment has been significantly affected by geopolitical uncertainties, leading investors to seek safer assets. The potential for further escalation in the Middle East is causing caution, and coupled with the prospects of slower economic growth in the US, the NZD is experiencing heightened pressure.
From a technical perspective, we are currently refraining from taking any positions. Our focus is on observing the price action as it approaches the demand area around 0.5850. This level is of particular interest as we anticipate that the price may land there soon. Should the price react favorably at this demand area, it could present a potential trading opportunity.
In summary, the NZD/USD is under strain due to global tensions and economic concerns. While we are not currently taking any positions, we are closely monitoring the market for a possible reaction near the 0.5850 demand area, which could provide insights into the pair's next movements.
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NZDUSD: Bearish Stocks And Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZD/USD low in?The NZD/USD has bounced strongly off its overnight lows, following a sharp drop below 0.5860 support where it had bounced in July. If it can post a daily close above its opening level, it will created a hammer-like candle on the daily to suggest a major has been formed. But let's wait for that confirmation and US ISM services PMI data before turning bullish on the NZD/USD.
The unwinding of carry trades continued to be the main trend overnight, leading to significant fluctuations in currencies such as the Japanese yen and Swiss franc, while stock indices and US futures declined. Once the equity markets stabilize, other currencies may start to strengthen against the dollar. Currently, only the euro has shown any notable strength, besides currencies with lower interest rates like the JPY, CHF, and CNH. The overall outlook for the US dollar is likely to become more negative as the equity markets stabilize, given the recent sharp adjustments in US interest rates.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
Sell NZD/USD Channel Breakout (Today NFP)The NZD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.5952, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.5907
2nd Support – 0.5880
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.5984. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,457.72
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,473.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2,431.07
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.