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NZDUSD

NZD/USD Weekly Bearish Trend Faces Critical Supply LevelThe NZD/USD pair is nearing a significant supply zone near 0.6070, where notable market activity is unfolding. Non-commercial traders are beginning to trim their holdings, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. Conversely, commercial traders are at their lowest net positions since August 2024 and are starting to accumulate again, creating a divergence between these two groups. This divergence, combined with the presence of a defined supply area and seasonal factors, suggests a possible reversal point in the current downtrend. On the weekly chart, the overall trend remains bearish, but the confluence of these technical and seasonal signals points toward a potential reversal pattern forming within the supply zone. Traders may consider monitoring this area for signs of a reversal, potentially setting up for a short position if a clear pattern confirms the shift in momentum. Overall, the setup indicates a cautious opportunity for a bearish trade, provided the price action confirms the anticipated reversal. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
12
Kiwi H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.6032 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 0.5985 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 0.6078 which is a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.6038 1st Support: 0.5999 1st Resistance: 0.6079 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
Kiwi climbs on risk-on flow – chart says more to come? The New Zealand dollar strengthened to around 0.6045, its highest level in over a week, supported by improved global risk sentiment following a breakthrough U.S.–Japan trade agreement. The agreement, which lowers tariffs and boosts bilateral investment, triggered a surge in Japanese markets. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index jumped more than 3%, hitting a one-year high. The breakout in NZDUSD was accompanied by a series of bullish candles with little to no upper wicks, evidence of minimal rejection from sellers. The most recent candles are consolidating just below the 0.6055 zone, which aligns with minor resistance from July 4. Rejection from this area—especially if it prints a bearish engulfing or shooting star pattern—could signal a short-term pullback. On the downside, immediate support is now at 0.6000. If broken, the next support potentially lies around 0.5980, which was the last major swing low before the breakout.
by BlackBull_Markets
NZDUSD What Next? SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the NZDUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6033 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.5987 My Stop Loss - 0.6061 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
4
NZDUSD - It is Time!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per our last NZDUSD analysis, attached on the chart, it rejected the upper bound of the blue wedge pattern and traded lower. 📈This week, NZDUSD is retesting the lower bound of the wedge. Moreover, the orange zone is a strong weekly support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower blue trendline and orange support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #NZDUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
5
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Climbs as Dollar WeakensMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Climbs as Dollar Weakens NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.6000. Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today - NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.5980 zone. - There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5980 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD. NZD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.5910 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.5940 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar. There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5980. The pair settled above 0.5980 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.6010 zone and is currently consolidating gains. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is stable above 60. On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.6010. The next major resistance is near the 0.6020 level. A clear move above the 0.6020 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6050 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6120 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support is near the 0.5990 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5941 swing low to the 0.6008 high. The first key support is near the 0.5975 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level. The next major support is near the 0.5940 level. If there is a downside break below the 0.5940 support, the pair might slide toward 0.5910. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5850. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
US Dollar Breakdown – Don’t Fight the FloodSince the start of the year, after forming a small double top around the 110 zone, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has followed only one direction: down. So far, we’re seeing a decline that’s approaching 15%, with the index breaking multiple major support levels along the way. And judging by the current structure, there’s little reason to believe this trend will reverse any time soon. ________________________________________ 🔍 Short-Term View – Flag Break, More Losses Ahead Zooming in, we can observe that the last rally was purely corrective — a typical bear flag formation. That flag is now broken to the downside, which confirms renewed bearish pressure and suggests that further losses are likely even in the short term. ________________________________________ 🎯 What’s Next? The next major support zone sits around 95, a level that should act as a magnet if the current trend continues. As long as price stays under 100 ZONE, the outlook remains bearish and the strategy should align with that bias. ________________________________________ ✅ Strategy Going Forward The safe and logical approach now is to buy dips on major USD pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD ________________________________________ 📌 Final Thought The structure is clear, momentum favors the downside, and the market is offering clean setups across multiple USD pairs. Don’t fight the trend — follow the flow. 🟢
TVC:DXYShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Could the Kiwi reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support which is an overlap support. Pivot: 0.6038 1st Support: 0.5979 1st Resistance: 0.6115 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZD/USD - Market OverviewNZD/USD saw modest gains, but upside momentum remained limited as market sentiment stayed cautious amid renewed tariff threats from Trump ahead of the February 1 deadline. On Thursday, President Trump stated he would soon decide whether to exempt Canadian and Mexican oil imports from the 25% tariffs set to take effect on Saturday. He also reiterated that additional tariffs on Chinese goods remain under consideration due to concerns over China's role in the fentanyl trade. As of (GMT 06:09), the Kiwi dollar was up 0.19%, trading at 0.5646 against the U.S. dollar. Key technical levels: Resistance: Immediate resistance is seen at 0.5673 (38.2% Fib); a break above this level could drive the pair towards 0.5720 (50% Fib). Support: The nearest support is at 0.5630 (38.2% Fib), with a break below exposing downside potential towards 0.5573 (23.6% Fib). 📉 Trade Setup: 🔹 Sell around 0.5660 🔹 Stop-loss: 0.5700 🔹 Target: 0.5550
Long
by DynamicCapital-FX
NZDUSD Is a Short-Term Rebound on the Table?NZD/USD is down nearly 0.4% in Tuesday’s European session, trading near the key support area of 0.5940 — a confluence of the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the midline of a descending channel. The pair is pressured by rising expectations that the RBNZ may cut rates in August, while the USD remains volatile amid uncertainty surrounding trade talks between the US and its key partners. 🔍 Technical Overview – Structure & Momentum ✅ Overall Trend: Bearish short-term (descending channel) ✅ Current Structure: Price is testing key technical support at 0.5940 ✅ Volume Profile: VPOC and upper supply zones remain key targets on a bounce NZD/USD continues to respect the bearish channel structure. However, the support zone at 0.5940 (Fibo 0.5 + recent demand) is showing signs of holding. If price sustains above this level, a bullish correction toward the 0.6006 and 0.6040 supply zones is a valid scenario. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🔸 Bullish Short-Term Scenario (if 0.5940 holds): Entry: Buy around 0.5940 TP1: 0.60064 (VPOC + supply zone) TP2: 0.60400 (OBS sell zone) SL: Below 0.5905 (sell-side liquidity break) 🔹 Bearish Continuation (if support breaks): A clean break below 0.5905 confirms downside continuation Look for retest and short entries targeting deeper channel lows (0.586x–0.583x) ⚠️ Macro Risk Drivers Growing expectations of an RBNZ rate cut in August Ongoing US trade negotiation uncertainty with key partners Potential USD volatility around upcoming macroeconomic releases 📌 Key Price Levels to Watch Technical Support 0.5940 Fibo 0.5 + mid-channel Sell-Side Liquidity 0.5905 Bearish confirmation if broken VPOC + Supply Zone 0.60064 First upside target OBS Sell Zone 0.60400 Final bullish target / resistance 💬 The descending channel remains in control, but 0.5940 could be the key pivot. Wait for confirmation before entering, and watch volume closely.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
2
Bearish reversal?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support, which is also a pullback support. Pivot: 0.5979 1st Support: 0.5918 1st Resistance: 0.6040 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZDUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.596. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.602 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Kiwi H4 | Swing-high resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.5978 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6010 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.5916 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
NZDUSD - Elliott Wave: High-Probability Reversal Zone Ahead!NZDUSD – Elliott Wave Roadmap 3Day Chart Every move has been unfolding with precision — true to Elliott Wave Theory. We're in the final leg of a massive A-B-C correction: - Wave A and the complex Wave B (WXY) are complete. - Wave C is now in play, targeting the highs of Wave A. We’ve just seen a clean 5-wave advance (wave 1 leading diagonal). Now expecting a classic ABC correction for wave 2, into our reversal zone (38.2–61.8% Fib). 🔍 Once price enters this zone, we’ll drop to lower timeframes and: - Look for bullish confirmations (BOS, trendline break) - Set entries with stops below corrective lows - Targets: 0.63 (500 pips) and 0.65 (700 pips) 📌 Why is the buy zone so big? It’s a higher timeframe zone. Once price enters, we zoom into lower timeframes for precise entries. The zone simply tells us when to focus, not where to blindly buy. This is the Wave 3 generation point — and that’s where the real move begins. Plan your trade. Watch for the setup. Execute with confidence. Goodluck and as always, Trade Safe! NZDUSD 12H Chart - Looking for this ABC correction for wave 2
by WicktatorFX