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NZDUSD

Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 6, 2025This is an outlook for the week of Jan 6-10th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD is still strong, so no reason to sell in the near term. But price is at W supply, so there is potential for a pullback to start at any time. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6J1!
by RT_Money
1
NZDUSD Is Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.560. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.555 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
NZDUSD - The uptrend of the dollar is over?!The NZDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with appropriate risk reward. A valid break of the support area will provide us with the continuation of the downward path of this currency pair. At the beginning of 2025, the US dollar has continued its upward trajectory, solidifying its position as one of the leading global currencies. After delivering a strong performance in 2023 and 2024, the dollar has now risen by more than 1% against the euro and the British pound, outpacing other major currencies. From an economic news perspective, recent reports have had little impact on the market. While data on jobless claims, affected by holiday factors, were assessed positively, reports such as construction spending and manufacturing PMI fell short of expectations. However, these statistics failed to create significant market movement, with US Treasury yields seeing only a slight uptick. According to data published by S&P Global, the US manufacturing PMI for December 2024 stood at 49.4, a slight decline from 49.7 in November. This figure remains below the 50-point threshold, indicating contraction in manufacturing activity. Nonetheless, there has been a slight recovery from the mid-month figure of 48.3. Manufacturing output in November declined for the fourth consecutive month, hitting its lowest level in 18 months. Additionally, new orders continued to fall, though at a slower pace compared to previous months. However, export orders experienced a steeper decline, primarily driven by economic weakness in Europe and Australia. In the employment sector, there has been modest yet positive growth for the second consecutive month, reflecting manufacturers’ efforts to retain their workforce. Input cost inflation has reached its highest level since August 2024, largely due to concerns over trade tariffs and potential protectionist policies. Approximately 25% of firms attributed their increased purchases to tariff threats, highlighting concerns over the inflationary effects of such policies. Despite current challenges, manufacturers are increasingly optimistic about the future. This optimism, which has reached its highest level in two and a half years, stems from reduced uncertainties following the elections and positive expectations of stronger economic growth and supportive government policies in 2025. However, the gap between current production levels and future expectations has reached its widest point in a decade, excluding the COVID-19 pandemic period. The main driver behind the strength of the US dollar is capital inflows. While the US economy appears robust, this alone does not explain the dollar’s growth. A confluence of positive factors has made US assets attractive, with the country’s stock markets outperforming other global markets. Currently, a significant portion of global capital formation is concentrated in the US dollar and its markets. Nevertheless, risks such as rising tariffs or restrictive fiscal policies could alter the dollar’s trajectory. For now, the market shows little concern about the Republican-led Congress, and the US dollar continues to assert its dominance in global markets. Donald Trump, the US President-elect, recently tweeted that tariffs have brought immense wealth to the country and that he plans to continue these policies after assuming office on January 20. Trump also referenced border issues, calling Joe Biden the “worst president in US history.” The chief asset strategist at HSBC Bank highlighted the hawkish messages from the Federal Reserve’s December meeting as a cause for concern. January is expected to be highly volatile, but these fluctuations could present intriguing investment opportunities.
Short
by Ali_PSND
Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 0.5616 1st Support: 0.5587 1st Resistance: 0.5635 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
2
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bearish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📉 : You can enter a Bearish trade at any point. however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level. Goal 🎯: 0.55300 Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Based on the fundamental analysis 📰 🗞️ I would conclude that the NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar) pair is: Bearish Reasons: Interest rate differential: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) interest rate (2.50%) is lower than the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate (4.50%), making the NZD less attractive to investors. Economic growth: New Zealand's GDP growth (1.5%) is slower than the US GDP growth (2.1%), which could lead to a stronger USD. Trade balance: New Zealand's trade deficit (NZD 1.1 billion) is larger than the US trade deficit (USD 50 billion), which could put downward pressure on the NZD. Commodity prices: New Zealand's economy is heavily reliant on commodity exports, and a decline in commodity prices could negatively impact the NZD. However, it's essential to consider the following risks: Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China and the US, could negatively impact the USD and support the NZD. RBNZ's monetary policy: The RBNZ's dovish stance and potential interest rate cuts could support the NZD. US-China trade tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and China could lead to a decline in the USD and support the NZD. Bearish Scenario: Stronger US economic data, such as GDP growth and inflation, supports the USD Decline in commodity prices, particularly dairy and meat, supports the USD Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Short
by Thief_Trader
GOLD IN CORRECTION FOR SELLOnly weekly is in buy but it give sub choch for sell which is day sell CHOCH in day retracement also gives day sub choch for sell now gold in day sub choch retracement confirm point strgy if above 2608 it will continue to 2650-2660 which is day sub choch 50% fibo zone then if we got 4hrs revers sell point on there we can place sell order on there other wise we must wait 2717-2725 extreme sell area(day sub choch OB) then we place aggressive entry on there if market opens below 2608 our buy entry should be 2587 sl 2580 and sell analysis will be same week=BUY Day= sell and Retracement buy 4hrs-15mins-1min=buy THIS ANALYSIS MAY CHANGE AFTER MARKET OPENS
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SATHAYAM_ACADEMY
NZD/USD LONGLong NZD/USD is supported by technical analysis based on key indicators that suggest a potential reversal or bounce in the price. On the 4-hour chart, the price is showing signs of consolidation after a long downtrend, with a favorable setup for a recovery. The Alligator moving averages are still bearish, but the price is starting to consolidate near the lower level, suggesting a possible weakening of the bearish pressure. The indicator below is showing a reversal from the oversold level (-50), with a positive bias, signaling a potential resumption of buying by the market. Support and Resistance: The support level at 0.5700 has held so far, while the target area is visible near 0.5740-0.5760, indicating a reasonable profit window. The stop loss has been placed below the recent low to manage risk. These elements suggest that the price may attempt a bounce in the short term. However, it is essential to carefully monitor the confirmation of the trend through a breakout of key levels and increasing volumes.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
NZD/USD Stabilises Ahead of the HolidaysNZD/USD Stabilises Ahead of the Holidays Forex trading is slowing down as the holidays approach, offering a pause after significant movements driven by various news events, including central bank decisions. Notably, NZD/USD reached its lowest level since October 2022 at the end of last week. The decline in NZD/USD has been influenced by two main factors: 1. The dollar gained momentum following the Federal Reserve's decision to lower the interest rate by 0.25% and its forward guidance for 2025. 2. According to Reuters: → New Zealand's economy contracted much more sharply than expected in the second and third quarters. → Market participants anticipate that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may lower interest rates by 0.5% in February. Technical analysis of the NZD/USD 4-hour chart depicts a bearish outlook: - The 0.58 level, which served as support in November, turned into resistance in December. - The price is currently hovering near the lower boundary of a descending channel that has been in place since October. - The RSI indicator signals that the market is approaching oversold conditions. While bears may attempt to extend the downtrend by pushing the price below last week’s low, this could create a divergence pattern on the RSI indicator, offering hope for a potential bullish reversal. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. A Doji style candle has been posted from the base. A higher correction is expected. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. We look to Sell at 0.5704 (stop at 0.5736) Our profit targets will be 0.5623 and 0.5520 Resistance: 0.5705 / 0.5850 / 0.5960 Support: 0.5630 / 0.5520 / 0.5320 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDUSD → The price could fall another 2.5%FX:NZDUSD is forming a return to a strong support zone after testing it after a year. Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, the chances of a support breakout are growing. The downtrend, rising dollar, weak fundamental background for NZD play a key role in forming a bear market. The price is testing the key resistance and trying to enter the selling zone. At the moment the price is restrained by the descending channel support and if the price manages to break this line and consolidate below, strong selling may be formed further, as there are no obstacles below it until 0.562. Resistance levels: 0.577, 0.5817 Support levels: 0.575, 0.562 I do not exclude the possibility of correction if the buyers hold the support. But there is no chance of a trend change. Another retest of the support may lead to a breakdown and further fall to 0.562 Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
New Zealand slides after Fed rate cut, NZ GDP nextThe New Zealand dollar has declined sharply on Wednesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5685, down 1.2% on the day. The New Zealand dollar has been in freefall, plunging 11.6% since Oct. 1. New Zealand's economy is expected to contract in the third quarter by 0.4% q/q, after a 0.2% decline in Q2. If the economy  contracted for back-to-back quarters as expected, it would mean that the economy is in a technical recession.  Construction and manufacturing activity declined in the third quarter and a severe power crisis led to a decrease exports, all of which dampened GDP. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand slashed rates by 50 basis points last month, lowering the cash rate to 4.25%. The central bank has trimmed rates by 125 bp since August but the economy is clearly in need of further cuts. Inflation is back within the target of 1% to 3% and we can expect another cut at  the next meeting in February barring a surprise jump in inflation. There wasn't much excitement around today's Federal Reserve meeting, as the market had priced in a quarter-point cut at close to 100%. This is exactly what happened, as the Fed cut rates for a third time this year. The Fed signaled that it expected to cut rates only two times in 2025, lower than previous projections of four rate cuts. With the US economy in solid shape and the downswing in inflation stalled, the Fed can afford to take its time before the next rate cut. The market will hear from Fed Chair Powell shortly. Powell could reiterate that the Fed plans to cut rates "gradually", which means modest cuts of 25 basis points. NZD/USD is testing support at 0.5715. Next, there is support at 0.5665 There is resistance at 0.5801 and 0.5849
by OANDA
NZDUSD H1 Short At Market TP +100 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the H1 chart for NZDUSD today. Price contained withing sliding bear channel previously rejected multiple times from overhead resistance. 🔸Currently expecting price to clear S/R and complete the break of structure pattern near 5820 then dump to 5750 / 5700. 🔸Previously rejected from overhead resistance, sequence of lower highs in progress and expecting yet another rejection into double top and also re-action with the bear channel. 🔸Recommended strategy for NZDUSD traders: short at market now, SL 40 pips TP1 +60 pips TP2 +100 pips final exit at 5750. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
12
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Sink Further, Losses Mount Market Analysis: NZD/USD Sink Further, Losses Mount NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.57350. Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today - NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.5790 resistance zone. - There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5750 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen. NZD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.5790 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum and traded below 0.5765 against the US Dollar. The pair settled below the 0.5755 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.5735 zone and is currently consolidating losses. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5792 swing high to the 0.5736 low at 0.5750. There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5750. The next resistance is the 0.5765 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5792 swing high to the 0.5736 low. If there is a move above 0.5765, the pair could rise toward 0.5790. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.5810 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.5735 level. The next major support is near the 0.5710 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5710, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.5665 level. The next key support is near 0.5640. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
NZDUSD forming a bottom?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5750. Price action looks to be forming a bottom. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 0.5750 (stop at 0.5720) Our profit targets will be 0.5825 and 0.5850 Resistance: 0.5775 / 0.5800 / 0.5825 Support: 0.5750 / 0.5725 / 0.5700 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA