NZDUSD
NZDUSD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.588.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.591 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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✅ Daily Market Analysis - 01 MAY 2024Economic events:
USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Apr)
USA - S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
USA - ISM Manufacturing Prices (Apr)
USA - JOLTs Job Openings (Mar)
USA - Crude Oil Inventories
USA - FOMC Statement
USA - Fed Interest Rate Decision
USA - FOMC Press Conference
On Tuesday, the S&P 500 underwent a decline, terminating its five-month streak of consecutive gains. This downturn was propelled by apprehensions surrounding inflation, ignited by data highlighting wage pressure. Concurrently, this development aligns with the commencement of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average witnessed a decline of 570 points, equating to a 1.1% decrease, while the S&P 500 experienced a 1.5% drop, and the NASDAQ Composite saw a 2% downturn. Particularly noteworthy is the S&P 500's recording of a 3% loss for the month.
NDX, SPX, and DJI indices daily chart
The escalation in US labor costs throughout the first quarter exceeded expectations, primarily propelled by rising wages and benefits. This development has revived apprehensions regarding inflation, particularly amid a diminishing investor confidence in potential Federal Reserve rate reductions.
As per the Employment Cost Index, labor expenses surged by 1.2% in the preceding quarter, following an unrevised 0.9% uptick in the quarter prior. On a year-over-year basis, labor costs climbed by 4.2%.
This report emerges following recent data indicating a buildup of price pressures in the initial quarter, amplifying concerns surrounding inflation.
The downtrend of EUR/USD persists for the second consecutive day, with the pair hovering around the 1.0650 level during Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Amid European market closures in observance of Labour Day, market participants eagerly anticipate the Federal Reserve's forthcoming policy decision.
EUR/USD daily chart
Despite the release of robust Eurozone data on Tuesday, the Euro encountered challenges in sustaining its upward trajectory. Notably, Eurozone GDP surpassed expectations, expanding by 0.3% in the first quarter. Moreover, the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) exhibited stable year-over-year growth, meeting anticipated levels. However, the core HICP, excluding food and energy prices, exhibited a softening trend, albeit still surpassing estimates.
Investor sentiment remains optimistic regarding the possibility of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank in June, as a majority of ECB policymakers have signaled their endorsement for such measures.
On Tuesday, the Japanese Yen incurred notable losses against its American counterpart, reversing a significant portion of the gains witnessed the previous day, driven by the potential intervention by Japanese authorities. The primary contributor to the JPY's weakness is the substantial interest rate differential between Japan and the United States, a trend expected to persist in the foreseeable future. This, combined with heightened demand for the US Dollar, propelled the USD/JPY pair higher during intraday trading.
USD/JPY daily chart
Following the publication of the AiG Industry Index on Wednesday, indicating a continued contraction in Australia's private business activity for March, the Australian Dollar remains subdued. Despite this, market sentiment suggests that the Reserve Bank of Australia will maintain its current interest rates of 4.35% in the upcoming meeting scheduled for next week.
The Australian Dollar faced additional downward pressure following the release of disappointing Aussie Retail Sales data on Tuesday, raising speculation about its potential impact on the RBA's interest rate stance. However, optimism stemming from higher-than-anticipated domestic inflation figures from the previous week has led to speculation that the central bank might delay any decisions regarding interest rate cuts.
AUD/USD daily chart
During the early Asian session on Wednesday, the NZD/USD pair faces selling pressure around the 0.5880 level. The New Zealand Dollar depreciates in response to worse-than-expected employment data from New Zealand.
NZD/USD daily chart
In the first quarter of this year, New Zealand faced a notable increase in its unemployment rate amidst a prolonged recession compounded by high-interest rate conditions. According to Statistics New Zealand's report on Wednesday, the nation's Unemployment Rate rose to 4.3% in Q1 from 4.0% in Q4, surpassing market expectations of 4.2%. Simultaneously, Employment Change figures recorded a decrease of 0.2% in Q1, contrasting with the previous reading's 0.4% rise and falling short of the projected 0.3% increase.
The upsurge in the unemployment rate may prompt the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to uphold its elevated rate for an extended duration to counter inflationary pressures. Market sentiment suggests that the RBNZ is inclined to maintain a restrictive Official Cash Rate, with any potential for rate cuts unlikely until 2025.
As the Federal Reserve initiates its two-day policy-setting meeting, market consensus leans towards the central bank maintaining its benchmark interest rate within the current range of 5.25%-5.50%, a level sustained since July.
Investors are particularly attentive to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's subsequent remarks following the monetary policy statement. These remarks are expected to carry substantial significance, with investors keen to glean insights into Powell's alignment with the market's less dovish perspective on the rate outlook.
NZDUSD → Correction to MA-200. The fall may continue FX:NZDUSD bounces and strengthens towards MA-200 and resistance of the current trend on H1 against the backdrop of the dollar index correction.
On D1 the medium-term outlook is clear. There are no prerequisites for the change of the global trend and most likely the fall after the resistance retest may continue. The dollar also at the moment does not give signs of reversal and fall, respectively, the bearish medium-term outlook for the currency pair NZDUSD is still relevant.
Resistance levels: MA-200, Channel Resistance, 0.6000.
Support levels: 0.5940, 0.5875
The global trend coincides with the local trend and has a bearish direction. On H1 a correction is forming, which may be over soon, after which we should wait for a decline to 0.5875.
Regards R. Linda!
🚨AUDUSD will Fall by H&S Pattern🚨🏃 AUDUSD is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($0.598-$0.593) 🔴 and managed to break the Support lines .
📈From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that AUDUSD has succeeded in forming a Head and Shoulders Pattern .
🔔I expect AUDUSD to fall at least to the 🎯 Target 🎯 I have specified on the chart.
New Zealand Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( NZDUSD ), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZD/USD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello,Friends!
NZD/USD is making a bearish pullback on the 2H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 0.595 level.
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Rising into pullback resistance, could it reverse from here?NZD/USD is rising toward a resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.60067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.60455
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.59308
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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NZDUSD Full Detailed Analysis + Possible Trade Very Soonthe current trend is a down trendline and the price is moving in nice decent waves. if we do a back test you would see that the price will soon hit a strong area of resistance. we should be ready with a sell trade around this area that happens to be the 61% fib level.
Why has the US dollar sunk in the lead up to the FOMC decision? Why has the US dollar sunk in the lead up to the FOMC decision?
Bloomberg Economics says “We expect Powell to make a hawkish pivot” regarding the FOMC’s decision this Wednesday. Expectations for rate reductions have been pushed further into 2024.
So, why is the US dollar underperforming to start this week? And does this open up an even more attractive entry point to a long dollar position?
One reason dragging the USD down could be the possible Japanese government intervention as Japanese banks have been reportedly dumping US dollars. The Japanese yen rebounded about 1.4% to 156.000 per greenback after weakening to as low as 160.000 earlier in the session
Another reason could be the prevailing optimism surrounding peace negotiations between Israel and Hamas in Cairo, which has invigorated appetite for riskier assets, like the NZD/USD which is up 0.70% as of writing.
In Australia, robust inflation figures have surpassed expectations, fueling speculation that the Reserve Bank of Australia may defer any interest rate cuts in the near term. The AUD/USD is up 0.55% as of writing.
Across the Atlantic, the United Kingdom's Chief Economist Huw Pill has pointed to recent economic data that might bring the prospect of a rate cut closer, although he remains guarded in his assessment, suggesting that such a move may still be some distance away.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could potentially stall around this region before reversing to drop towards the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5974
1st Support: 0.5870
1st Resistance: 0.6059
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Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci retracement support?NZD/USD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.59220
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.59022
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take profit: 0.59675
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Shorting on Gbpusd or Nzdusd if USD is still to strongerHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
If usd came out stronger this coming week, i will be focusing on both Gbpusd and Nzdusd for shorts.Let's see!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
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EURUSD LONG TERM IDEA TO 1.0850FX:EURUSD LONG TERM LONG IDEA 1.0850 TP
As we navigate through the complexities of the forex market, the EUR/USD pair has been a focal point for traders worldwide. With the current exchange rate hovering around 1.07 USD for 1.00 EUR1, the question on everyone’s mind is whether the Euro can strengthen to reach the 1.0850 mark against the US Dollar in the upcoming month.
Recent trends have shown the Euro attempting to find its footing, with analysts noting a mix of hesitation and positive momentum23. The currency pair has been working against significant downward pressure but remains within a consolidation area, suggesting a potential for upward movement.
The financial world is abuzz with speculation, as some experts hint at the possibility of the EUR/USD pair falling to parity4, while others see a glimmer of hope for the Euro to rally. Support levels are currently set around 1.05164, with resistance levels at 1.08848, indicating that the 1.0850 price point is within reach, should the market conditions favor the Euro5.
Investors and traders are advised to keep a close eye on the upcoming economic data releases and policy decisions from both the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). These events could significantly influence the direction of the EUR/USD exchange rate.
As we approach the next month, the anticipation builds. Will the Euro rise to meet the 1.0850 challenge, or will the US Dollar maintain its dominance? Only time will tell, but one thing is certain—the forex market remains an exciting arena for those with the acumen to navigate its waves.
NZDUSD in the first half of 2024A glimpse of the NZDUSD in the first half of 2024
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NZDUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the NZDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.5925
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.5937
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here price respected my last analysis and filled the imbalance, now we can see a rejection from bearish order block + FIBO 0.5 level. I expect price to continue bearish move to take liquidity below equal lows.
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