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NZDUSD

NZDUSD - 4hrs ( sell Trade Target Range 120 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name : NZD/USD Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close Scale Type : Large Scale ------ spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons We seek to spread understanding rather than make money 🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Short ) Break Out Done Type : Mid Term Swing ——————————— Bearish Break 0.60100 area Reasons - Major Turn level / M - Visible Range Hvn - Fixed range lvn - inner Pattern Break - Choch / Fibo Golden Bullish Reversal 0.58900 Area Reasons - Major Turn level - Visible Range Lvn - Pattern Target - Major Choch zone - Quarter low
Short
by GoldenEngine
1
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 0.6025 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5075. We look to Sell at 0.6060 (stop at 0.6080) Our profit targets will be 0.6010 and 0.5995 Resistance: 0.6060 / 0.6075 / 0.6100 Support: 0.6025 / 0.6000 / 0.5975 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
1
NZDUSD: New Low After Breakout 🇳🇿🇺🇸 Quick update for NZDUSD: the pair has recently violated a key daily horizontal support. After a breakout, the market nicely retested the broken structure and started to fall from that. With the yesterday's bearish movement, the price managed to set a new Lower Low. It is an important sign of strength of the sellers. I believe that the pair has a good potential to drop even lower. Next support - 0.599 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
Levels discussed on 22nd October Livestream22nd October DXY: retracing, testing 103.80 support level, needs to stay above 103.60, to continue uptrend to 104.20. NZDUSD: Sell 0.6015 SL 20 TP 40 AUDUSD: Stays below 0.67, Sell 0.6680 SL 20 TP 60 GBPUSD: Retracing, Look to test and reject trendline, Sell 1.3025 SL 20 TP 50 EURUSD: Look for reaction at 1.0780 support level or 1.0870 resistance level USDJPY: Buy 151.15 SL 40 TP 65 USDCHF: Sell 0.8630 SL 10 TP 20 USDCAD: Buy 1.3860 SL 20 TP 60 Gold: Look for retracement possibly to 2715, buy on dip, for 2750 target
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
SasanSeifi|Will 0.66800 - 0.66500 Support the Price Movement?Hey there, ✌ In the 4-hour timeframe, a downward trend is evident from the level of 0.69400. Currently, due to the breakdown of the significant support level at 0.68, the price has corrected to the liquidity zone of 0.67. If the momentum weakens in this price range and the level of 0.67 is maintained, we may witness a ranging trend with minor positive fluctuations. To better understand the continuation of the trend, attention should be given to the price's reaction at levels 0.67500, 0.67800, and 0.68. Overall, our outlook leans more towards a decline and correction towards the target of 0.66800 and the demand zone at 0.66500. It is expected that the price will be able to correct to the desired support levels. Subsequently, if the price maintains the ranges between 0.66800 and 0.66500 and confirms it, we will enter a ranging phase with positive fluctuations. The potential trends are also illustrated in the image above. ⭕The important support levels are 0.66500–0.66. 💢 This is just my personal analysis, not financial advice. If you found this helpful, feel free to like and comment – I'd love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
by SasanSeifi
2
Kiwi H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6073 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.6129 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 0.6020 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
safe-haven play :USD vs. NZDIn several of my previous analyses, I mentioned the state of the Forex market due to geopolitical tensions . As a result, we are witnessing an increase in safe-haven currencies like USD compared to riskier currencies such as AUD and NZD. Therefore, by following proper risk management principles, you can open short positions on this currency pair. Additionally, from a technical perspective, after breaking down the ascending channel, the price has formed the first wave of Elliott and, after its correction, has completed the second wave. In the most recent candle, it has entered the third impulsive wave. Target 1: 0.59750 Target 2: 0.58626 Stop Loss: 0.61010
Short
by Market-Analyzer
Bullish Shark Pattern on NZDUSD M15 ChartI love trading sideways consolidation breakout trades, but since I missed the initial move, I've been patiently waiting for a retest. Now, an even better opportunity has presented itself! What's Happening? - Bullish Shark Pattern : A Bullish Shark Pattern is forming on the M15 (15-minute) chart at 0.6046 on the NZDUSD. Why is this Exciting? - Combo Trade Management : This setup allows for a combination of strategies that can significantly reduce initial risk while increasing potential returns. How to Approach This Trade? 1. Wait for Confirmation : I'll be waiting for a Magic Candle Confirmation at the pattern completion point before entering the trade. 2. Risk Management : Include our stop-loss buffer just below the pattern completion to manage risk effectively. 3. Potential Upside : With the pattern forming and the potential retest, this setup could offer a great risk-to-reward ratio. Final Thoughts Sometimes, missing an initial trade isn't a setback but an opportunity to find an even better setup. Patience pays off! 🎯 What’s your take on this NZDUSD setup? Have you spotted similar opportunities? Share your thoughts and let's discuss! Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Long
by RaynLim
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Could Recover In Short-TermMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Could Recover In Short-Term NZD/USD could gain bullish momentum if there is a clear move above the 0.6090 resistance. Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today - NZD/USD is attempting a recovery wave above the 0.6050 resistance. - There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6075 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen. NZD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.6120 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum and traded below 0.6100 against the US Dollar. The pair even dropped below the 50-hour simple moving average and tested 0.6080. A low was formed near 0.6039 and the pair is now attempting a fresh increase. It is back above the 0.6050 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Besides, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6075. On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6119 swing high to the 0.6039 low. The next major resistance is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6119 swing high to the 0.6039 low at 0.6100. If there is a move above 0.6100, the pair could rise toward the 0.6120 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.6150 resistance zone. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near 0.6045. The next major support is near the 0.6000 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.6000, the pair could extend the decline toward the 0.5965 level. The next key support is near 0.5940. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
NZDUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6123, which is an overlap resistance and a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.6052, a multi-swing low support level. The stop loss will be at 0.6171, an overlap resistance level with 38.2% Fibo retracement High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
NZD/USD Attracts Modest Buying on Friday Amid USD WeaknessThe NZD/USD pair has attracted some buying interest for the second consecutive day on Friday, driven by a modest weakening of the US Dollar (USD). However, the upside momentum lacks strong bullish conviction as the pair continues to hover around the 0.6071 level, close to the one-month low touched earlier this week. Despite the rebound, market sentiment surrounding the pair remains cautious, with traders awaiting further cues from both global economic developments and key technical indicators. US Dollar Weakness Offers Relief The primary driver behind the modest gains in NZD/USD has been the slight pullback in the US Dollar. The greenback has recently shown signs of weakening after a strong rally in previous weeks, largely supported by robust US economic data and hawkish expectations around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The recent downtick in the USD has provided some breathing room for risk-sensitive currencies like the New Zealand Dollar, allowing for a temporary recovery in the pair. Technical Outlook: Demand Zone Holds Firm From a technical perspective, the NZD/USD pair appears to have rejected a significant demand zone, suggesting that there is support for the pair at current levels. This demand area has seen increased buying interest, particularly as retail traders remain extremely short on the pair. In contrast, smart money – typically institutional investors with deeper market insights – has started to build long positions, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. The rejection of the demand zone and the presence of long positions from smart money traders suggest that the NZD/USD pair could be poised for further gains. This technical setup aligns with the broader seasonality patterns that indicate a potential uptrend in the coming weeks. Seasonality and Market Sentiment: Bullish Signs Ahead? Seasonality data, which tracks historical patterns in currency movements, shows a potential uptrend for the NZD/USD pair. This is supported by the current market positioning, where retail traders are overwhelmingly short, creating a contrarian signal for a potential rally. Smart money's shift towards building long positions adds weight to the argument that the pair may be headed for a sustained move higher. Given these factors, we have decided to open a long position on NZD/USD, taking advantage of the technical setup, smart money movements, and favorable seasonality trends. While the overall market sentiment remains cautious, the combination of these signals offers a compelling case for a potential bullish move in the near term. Conclusion: A Cautious Bullish Outlook While the NZD/USD pair has attracted modest buying on the back of USD weakness, the bullish conviction remains limited for now. However, the rejection of a key demand area, coupled with the increasing long positions from smart money and favorable seasonality patterns, suggests that the pair could see further upside in the days ahead. As always, traders should remain cautious and monitor upcoming economic data releases and market developments that could influence the pair's direction. Nonetheless, the technical and fundamental setup currently points to a potential opportunity for upside gains, and we are positioned accordingly with a long trade. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
NZDUSD Outlook: Slight Bullish Bias on October 18, 2024Key Drivers Behind the Bullish Sentiment on the New Zealand Dollar (NZDUSD) The NZDUSD pair is showing a slight bullish bias on October 18, 2024, driven by a combination of fundamental factors and the latest market conditions. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has been gaining ground against the US Dollar (USD) in early trading, supported by improving domestic economic data and a shift in global risk sentiment. Below are the key drivers contributing to the upward momentum in NZDUSD today. 1. Improved New Zealand Economic Data One of the primary factors supporting the NZDUSD’s bullish bias is the release of stronger-than-expected New Zealand economic data. Recent GDP figures and labor market reports have indicated a healthier-than-expected recovery, particularly in sectors like agriculture and tourism, which are critical to the country’s economy. The positive data has boosted investor confidence in the New Zealand economy, leading to increased demand for the NZD. 2. Risk-On Sentiment in Global Markets A risk-on sentiment in global financial markets has also contributed to the NZD's strength. As a high-beta currency, the New Zealand Dollar tends to perform well in periods of risk appetite. Global equity markets have been relatively stable, and there has been a broad move towards riskier assets, reducing demand for safe-haven currencies like the USD. This has allowed the NZD to benefit from higher risk tolerance among investors today. 3. Weaker US Dollar (USD) The US Dollar has been under pressure today as traders reassess the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. Recent commentary from Fed officials has indicated a potential slowdown in the pace of interest rate hikes as inflation shows signs of cooling. The prospect of a more dovish Fed has weakened the USD, giving the NZDUSD pair room to rise. Additionally, a softer dollar makes NZD-denominated assets more attractive, providing further upside for the pair. 4. Commodity Prices Supporting the NZD New Zealand’s economy is heavily reliant on commodity exports, particularly dairy and agricultural products. Today, commodity prices are showing some resilience, further supporting the NZD. As a commodity-linked currency, the NZD often follows the price movements of key exports, and recent strength in these markets is bolstering demand for the currency. This is a positive factor in today’s market conditions, giving the NZDUSD pair a slight bullish edge. 5. Technical Analysis: NZDUSD Holding Above Key Support Levels From a technical perspective, NZDUSD is holding above key support levels near 0.5850, signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend. The pair has formed higher lows, and the bullish momentum is supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which indicates a slightly bullish bias. If the pair manages to stay above this support level, traders could see further gains toward the next resistance around 0.5900. Conclusion: NZDUSD Faces Slight Bullish Bias Today With stronger New Zealand economic data, global risk-on sentiment, a weaker US Dollar, and resilient commodity prices, NZDUSD is expected to maintain a slight bullish bias on October 18, 2024. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and any potential shifts in market sentiment that could alter the dynamics of the currency pair. SEO Keywords: NZDUSD, New Zealand Dollar forecast, NZDUSD outlook, NZDUSD analysis, New Zealand economic data, NZDUSD technical analysis, bullish NZDUSD, October 18 2024 NZDUSD, forex trading strategy, New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar, NZDUSD price prediction, risk-on sentiment NZDUSD, commodity-linked currencies, US Dollar weakness NZDUSD, forex market outlook.
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
4
Kiwi H1 | Heading into resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6070 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6089 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6038 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
NZD/USD Rebounds, But Caution Remains Ahead of US Economic DataThe NZD/USD pair rebounded today from a key demand area, but caution remains among traders as critical US economic data looms. The upcoming reports for USD Core Retail Sales (m/m), Retail Sales (m/m), and Unemployment Claims are expected to inject volatility into USD-correlated currency pairs, particularly affecting both EUR/USD and NZD/USD. These data points are crucial for assessing the strength of the US economy, and stronger-than-expected results could further support the US Dollar (USD), applying downward pressure on other currencies like the euro and the New Zealand Dollar (NZD). China's Economic Data in Focus for NZD In addition to US developments, market participants are likely to remain cautious ahead of key economic data from China, New Zealand’s top trading partner, scheduled for release on Friday. The upcoming GDP and Retail Sales figures will be closely monitored, especially after the recent disappointment in China’s CPI and PPI numbers. Weak results from China could have negative implications for the NZD, given New Zealand’s heavy reliance on trade with China. The New Zealand Dollar has faced additional challenges, as China's recently announced fiscal stimulus measures have failed to lift market sentiment. Investors remain uncertain about the scale and impact of the stimulus package, further weighing on the outlook for the NZD. USD Strength and Federal Reserve Outlook Meanwhile, the US Dollar has found support from strong labor and inflation data, which has tempered market expectations for aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is currently a 92.1% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in November, with little to no expectation of a larger 50-basis-point reduction. This has kept the USD resilient, further limiting the upside potential for the NZD/USD pair. Technical Outlook and Market Sentiment From a technical standpoint, while the NZD/USD has seen a rebound, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders remain bearish on the pair, whereas smart money has started increasing their positions. In addition, our forecast suggests a potential shift toward a bullish seasonality for the NZD, though market conditions remain uncertain. Given the importance of today’s US economic data, we are adopting a patient approach, waiting for the news release before considering any entries. Stronger-than-expected US figures could dampen the outlook for the NZD, while weaker data may present opportunities for the NZD to regain strength. In conclusion, while there are signs of a potential bullish trend emerging for the NZD/USD, the combination of ongoing USD strength and upcoming key economic releases from both the US and China makes it necessary to remain cautious in the near term. Patience will be key as we await further developments in the market. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1
NZDUSD ready to go up after failing to make new lows?NZD/USD has experienced a decline of 5.12% since 27 September, establishing a bearish trend line on the 4-hour chart. However, on 10 October, the pair began to break out of this bearish trend line, signalling a potential pause in the prevailing bearish momentum. On 15 October, NZD/USD retraced, forming a double bottom pattern on the 4-hour chart. Notably, the price was unable to breach the previous support level of 0.6050, suggesting stabilisation in the market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated a value of 21.06 on 24 September. By 15 October, the RSI had risen to 34.10, demonstrating higher lows in the RSI while the price made lower lows — a condition that characterises classical bullish divergence. CPI Data and Its Impact From a macroeconomic perspective, the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in lower than expected (0.6% actual versus 0.7% forecast), which tends to be negative for the NZD and that is what caused the downward movement on October 15th. However, since the price failed to break below the previous low, this shows that the selling force is currently showing signs of exhaustion. Key Elements to Consider: 1. Significant downward movement since 27 September, resulting in a depreciation of over 5% in NZD/USD. 2. RSI reading below 30 on 10 October, suggesting exhaustion of the selling momentum. 3. Breakout from the downtrend line on the 4-hour chart. 4. Formation of a double bottom pattern on the 4-hour chart. 5. Classical bullish divergence is observed on the 4-hour chart. Potential for Ascendancy Given the above elements, if NZD/USD manages to surpass the 0.6090 level, it is likely that the currency pair will ascend towards the 0.6160 region within the coming days, where it may face temporary resistance. A Bullish Turn on the Horizon? In conclusion, while recent indicators and patterns suggest a potential bullish reversal for NZD/USD, traders should remain cautious of external factors that may influence market dynamics. As always, close monitoring of price action and macroeconomic developments will be key in navigating this trading opportunity. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
1