NZD/USD H4 | Potential bearish breakoutNZD/USD is falling towards a potential breakout level and could drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 0.59833 which aligns with the 38.20% Fibonacci level.
Stop loss is at 0.60013 which is a level that aligns with the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit 1 is at 0.59543 which is close to the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1 : 1.61
Take profit 2 is at 0.59337 which aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci level. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1 : 2.76
Total risk 1.24%
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Nzdusdanalysis
NZDUSD LONG 100 PIPSThe NZDUSD currency pair is currently hovering within a favorable buying zone, presenting an opportunity for traders to capitalize on potential upward movement. This zone, typically defined as a range of approximately 100 pips, is where market dynamics suggest a higher probability of price bouncing upward. Such zones often coincide with key support levels, technical indicators, or chart patterns, indicating a temporary halt or reversal of a downward trend. Traders eyeing this setup may consider entering long positions, anticipating a bullish momentum that could drive the price towards their profit targets. However, prudent risk management strategies should be employed, including setting stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses in case the market moves against the anticipated direction. Overall, understanding and effectively navigating such buy zones can enhance trading success by aligning with market dynamics and maximizing profit potential in the NZDUSD pair.
NZDUSDIn the 4-hour timeframe, NZD/USD is tracking a descending channel, prompting a short-term selling opportunity as we target the support trendline of the channel. Upon reaching this level, a bullish rejection suggests a potential long-term buying opportunity, leveraging the support trendline as a strategic entry point. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation before initiating any positions.
#NZDUSDIn time h4 and D1, it is moving in an ascending channel, which has gone through a complete ascending cycle, after which it faced a correction, which can now also have a pullback to it with the shape of the range, and at least 61.8 waves before. fix himself Therefore, you can wait for pullback and candle to confirm it for selling position.
NZDUSD BUYING ON DIPS !!!HELLO TRADERS
As i can see this pair has reached at a strong support zone and now we are buying on dips from this given support we are expecting a up side move from this tested support after this retracement now this entry is very low risk based and looking for higher rewards Friends we need that u share ur thoughts with us on NZDUSD it will help many other traders
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NZDUSD - Sell opportunity ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then rejects from bearish order block + trendline.
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NZDUSD BUY SIGNAL. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZDUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity NZDUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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nzdusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
DeGRAM | NZDUSD buy at kill zoneNZDUSD is trading in the ascending channel, and it created the bullish harmonic pattern.
On the 4H timeframe, the market is essentially in the consolidation zone.
There is a kill zone for a long opportunity at support and the 88.6% fibo level.
We expect a bullish move to 50% fibo retracement level.
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NZDUSD - Still bullish ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are still in a bullish market structure, so I am looking for a long. I expect bullish price action from here as price can reject from bullish order block + trendline. I see price to fill the imbalances higher.
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NZDUSD: On an Upward Trend, but with Some ConsiderationsGreetings, fellow traders! The past week proved to be just as volatile as the preceding one. After two weeks of trading, the bulls and bears seem to have reached a stalemate. The news from RBNZ initially caused the exchange rate to drop, but it subsequently rebounded by more than 2000 pips throughout last week.
Following the breakthrough of the downward trend's high on February 20th, there is technically an upward trend in place. However, it's important to note that the growth spurts are accompanied by deep corrections, indicating that the upward momentum may not be as strong.
While the growth seen this week is undeniably impulsive, there are a few key points to consider. Firstly, the high did not surpass the previous peak of the trend. Secondly, an unusual configuration of two consecutive market imbalances has emerged on the daily chart.
A similar scenario unfolded in early November last year and was resolved by closing these imbalances prior to the continuation of the upward trend that persisted until the end of the year:
The overbought signals generated by our trading strategy indicators are also contributing to the downward pressure.
We are currently exploring the possibility of an even deeper retracement into the 0.6050-0.6200 range. Our anticipated point of a decline's completion is around the 0.6110 level, which corresponds to the closure of the lower imbalance.
At present, we have entered two sell positions at 0.61539 and 0.61888. We are preparing to close these positions, with a tentative target date around Tuesday, March 12th.
To fill the imbalance and mitigate the order blockWe have been in a short bearish market characterised by lower lows and lower highs, which then got breached and provided us with a shift in structure. Looking for the one directional bullish movement to be corrected and for price to activate the order block for an opportunity to buy in this emerging bullish market. The initial risk is 20 pips and the target is 100 pips...
NZDUSDHello everyone,
New week ahead. Looking forward to it!
Last week we had red folder news. BTC is pumping, gold is following.
I did my TA last night for my point of interset.
If you look back at the charts, you can see why I am not putting limits.
If I see a big candle pushing in my zone of interest, I am more than happy to watch how it goes and step in after liq crap or the next demand zone.
When the entrée come, a 3RR is target, but you can also follow the price to the next interest zone.
I try to update when I am taking a position.
NZDUSD analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
How much longer can the kiwi sell off? How much longer can the kiwi sell off?
On Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand opted to maintain interest rates, coupling this decision with dovish remarks and forward guidance.
Danske Bank economists anticipate a continued decline in NZD/USD in the upcoming year, setting a 12-month target at 0.5700. They think that the RBNZ contrasts with other G10 central banks which are apparently eyeing the start of their respective rate cutting cycles (which might be news to you, considering most expectations for rate cuts from other central banks are repeatedly being pushed back).
Nevertheless, this sentiment led to a significant decline in the New Zealand dollar over the past two days, although it seems to be trying to find support.
The 100 and 200-day simple moving averages emerge as notable hurdles for bearish sentiment on the daily chart.
On the 4-hour chart, the next support level following these moving averages is at 0.6050, a critical level that previously served as resistance in October last year.
Sustaining levels above 0.6070 could help sustain a positive outlook with the next target possibly around 0.6140, supported by signals from the RSI.
nzdusd Update. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is likely to maintain its interest rate at the existing 5.50%, yet there might be a notable 25% probability of a 25-basis points hike.
Why? In part, the RBNZ provided a hawkish signal post its recent meeting.
The RBNZ's forward guidance suggests an inclination towards future hikes, with the March 2024 outlook adjusted to 5.63%, and December 2024 elevated to 5.66%.
ANZ Bank goes a step further, forecasting consecutive rate hikes until April, culminating in a 6.00% OCR. NZ Bank stands alone in predicting a rate hike, the consensus among other market economists leans heavily towards maintaining the status quo.
KiwiBank economists share the consensus view that the RBNZ will likely keep the interest rates unchanged. However, they anticipate a continuation of strong language and a “very forceful, hawkish bias,”
A Reuters survey resulted in 27 out of 28 economists foreseeing no change.
Still, these disparities in predictions highlight the uncertainty surrounding the impending decision and the potential for a significant market reaction depending on the central bank's course of action as well as the language they use to deliver the news.
The RBNZ delivers its decision on Tuesday 9:00 pm (US time, UTC -5).
NZD/USD Finds Support Amidst Economic HeadwindsNew Zealand Dollar Finds Support Amidst Economic Headwinds
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has recently discovered support at 0.6090, a critical area marked by previous support levels. This zone features two major supports, the 200-day moving average, and a dynamic trendline, potentially acting as obstacles to further declines. The presence of the 50% Fibonacci level adds an additional layer of potential resistance. Despite these technical factors, the Kiwi faces challenges, as New Zealand's Business PMI and Visitor Arrivals failed to provide the anticipated support.
The support zone at 0.6090 holds significance, with multiple key elements converging to create a formidable barrier against further downward movements. The 200-day moving average, dynamic trendline, and the 50% Fibonacci level collectively act as dynamic supports, suggesting a potential reversal in the NZD's trajectory.
Market Sentiment Influence:
Amidst the challenging economic backdrop, improved market sentiment on the last Friday provided a glimmer of support to the Kiwi. Moderate advances in most European markets and positive Wall Street futures weighed on the Safe-haven USD, indirectly bolstering the NZD.
New Zealand Economic Challenges:
However, economic data from New Zealand presented a less optimistic picture. Business activity deteriorated in December, and visitor arrivals experienced a significant decline compared to the same period last year. This unfavorable data poses challenges for the Kiwi's strength.
Upcoming Events and Outlook:
In the upcoming US calendar, market participants will closely watch the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, expected to show moderate improvement. Additionally, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly will conclude the week with her insights.
Our Outlook:
Despite the economic headwinds, our outlook for the NZD leans towards a new bullish impulse. The strong correlation with the EUR, coupled with the possibility of a decrease in US power, suggests potential upside for the Kiwi. Traders should carefully monitor economic indicators, central bank communications, and global market sentiment to make informed decisions in this evolving landscape.
Conclusion:
As the New Zealand Dollar navigates a challenging economic environment, the support at 0.6090 presents a potential turning point. While economic data reflects headwinds, the influence of market sentiment and the correlation with the EUR could contribute to a bullish resurgence for the NZD. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies to the evolving dynamics of the currency markets.
Our preference
Long positions Above 0.59500 with targets at 0.62500 & 0.63500 in extension.