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Markets next move awaits Fed speeches this week Markets next move awaits Fed speeches this week In April, the US economy saw a modest increase of 175,000 jobs, marking its slowest growth in six months, notably below market projections of 243,000 and a considerable drop from the robust 315,000 jobs added in March. So, now we know the NFP data from last Friday, has this changed investors' outlook for fed rate cuts, and subsequently limit the recent strength in the USD? After the NFP, the USD was weakest against the NZD, falling by a little more than 0.75%. The market might want to see a few more similar NFPs before they really get their hopes up again though. Consequently, the prevailing sentiment might still be tilted in favor of the NZD/USD sellers. Any bullish sentiment that lingers may need to await the pair's crossing of the 50 and 200-day SMA in the upcoming trading sessions. The upcoming week is marked by significant speeches from Fed officials, events that could potentially quash the NZD's upward momentum. This limitation on the NZD's upside potential might be reflected across all major currencies. Import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts direct to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance.
by BlackBull_Markets
25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues? The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is likely to maintain its interest rate at the existing 5.50%, yet there might be a notable 25% probability of a 25-basis points hike. Why? In part, the RBNZ provided a hawkish signal post its recent meeting. The RBNZ's forward guidance suggests an inclination towards future hikes, with the March 2024 outlook adjusted to 5.63%, and December 2024 elevated to 5.66%. ANZ Bank goes a step further, forecasting consecutive rate hikes until April, culminating in a 6.00% OCR. NZ Bank stands alone in predicting a rate hike, the consensus among other market economists leans heavily towards maintaining the status quo. KiwiBank economists share the consensus view that the RBNZ will likely keep the interest rates unchanged. However, they anticipate a continuation of strong language and a “very forceful, hawkish bias,” A Reuters survey resulted in 27 out of 28 economists foreseeing no change. Still, these disparities in predictions highlight the uncertainty surrounding the impending decision and the potential for a significant market reaction depending on the central bank's course of action as well as the language they use to deliver the news. The RBNZ delivers its decision on Tuesday 9:00 pm (US time, UTC -5).
by BlackBull_Markets
RBNZ Rate Hike Hint vs US Cut Outlook: A 330-Pip OpportunityFrom a fundamental perspective, this pair has aggressively recovered upward. This is attributed to the downward trend shift of the dollar and projections for the NZD, which include talks of a potential interest rate hike in the first quarter of the upcoming year. However, the U.S. economy is showing signs of cooling down, leading to projections of rate cuts starting next year. These two economic factors - weakness versus strength - are likely to continue bolstering this pair's strength. The take profit idea of the set up(330pips) is base on monthly ATR which is 330.
Long
by Wiiso
2
#NZDUSD: 600 PIPS BUYING OPPORTUNITY Hey everyone, NZDUSD is approaching a perfect buying zone, price recently dropped heavily and will continue dropping for another few days. We need to wait for a daily candle to close in a strong bullish behavior once it does, we can enter accordingly. Like our work? Then Like and comment, most importantly follow our page so you never miss out of any big trade setup/ideas. Thanks as always for showing incredible support towards us ;)
Long
by Setupsfx_
48