Nzdusdforecast
NZDUSD WEEKLY UPDATEHello trader here is an update on NZDUSD as you can see the price has been bullish as was predicted in my setup weeks ago and now the price has reached a level of resistance so now I will wait for the price to break this level of resistance and turn it into support then I will add another buy trades. NB I am still holding my buys.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
NZD/USD - Bearish Harmonic Pattern Signals Downtrend TrendThe NZD/USD currency pair is currently exhibiting strong bearish signals. A Bearish Harmonic Pattern has formed at a key resistance area, indicating a potential reversal. Additionally, a Bearish RSI Divergence on the 4-hour chart further supports our bearish bias.
_________________Technical Indicators_____________________
Bearish Harmonic Pattern:
The Bearish Harmonic Pattern detected at the key resistance level suggests a potential downward movement. This pattern is known for its high probability of signaling trend reversals, reinforcing our expectation of a bearish trend.
Bearish RSI Divergence:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart shows a bearish divergence, adding another layer of confirmation to our bearish outlook. The divergence indicates weakening momentum, suggesting that the recent upward movement is losing strength.
___________________Trade Setup_______________________________
Entry and Stop Loss
Entry Point: 0.61345
Stop Loss: 0.61535
The entry point is strategically placed below the resistance area to capture the expected downward movement. The stop loss is set slightly above the resistance to protect against potential breakouts.
Take Profit Levels:
To maximize potential profits, we have set three take profit levels:
TP-1: 0.61155
TP-2: 0.60965
TP-3: 0.60775
These levels are based on historical support zones and Fibonacci retracement levels, ensuring logical and technically sound exit points.
Conclusion:
The confluence of a Bearish Harmonic Pattern and a Bearish RSI Divergence at a critical resistance area strongly indicates a potential bearish trend for the NZD/USD pair. By following the outlined trade setup, traders can effectively capitalize on this anticipated market movement. Always ensure to manage risk appropriately and adjust stop losses and take profits as the market evolves.
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NZDUSD: Has bears given up? Possible Swing BuyingOANDA:NZDUSD
We have possible buying opportunity on NZDUSD, on two day time frame price had rejected on ' discounted price zone' indicated a proper bullish reversal and the second confirmation is that price created strong lows and failed to break previous strong lows. In our view, price is likely to fall under our entry/demand zone and rebound strongly which will lead to our target zone eventually. This is a swing trade, so it will take days or months to be completed,; however, you can close the trade at your own decision. Good luck and trade safe. Like,comment and follow for more❤️
Markets next move awaits Fed speeches this week Markets next move awaits Fed speeches this week
In April, the US economy saw a modest increase of 175,000 jobs, marking its slowest growth in six months, notably below market projections of 243,000 and a considerable drop from the robust 315,000 jobs added in March.
So, now we know the NFP data from last Friday, has this changed investors' outlook for fed rate cuts, and subsequently limit the recent strength in the USD? After the NFP, the USD was weakest against the NZD, falling by a little more than 0.75%.
The market might want to see a few more similar NFPs before they really get their hopes up again though.
Consequently, the prevailing sentiment might still be tilted in favor of the NZD/USD sellers. Any bullish sentiment that lingers may need to await the pair's crossing of the 50 and 200-day SMA in the upcoming trading sessions.
The upcoming week is marked by significant speeches from Fed officials, events that could potentially quash the NZD's upward momentum. This limitation on the NZD's upside potential might be reflected across all major currencies.
Import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts direct to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance.
NZDUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaOur analysis of the NZDUSD pair on higher time frames reveals a dominant bearish trend. Currently, the pair is approaching a crucial support level, with a potential retracement setting up a trading range. In the accompanying video, we present a trade idea contingent on favorable price action development. We identify key support and resistance levels, examine chart patterns, and conduct price action analysis to pinpoint a specific price behavior that would justify market entry. Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading carries inherent risks, and it is essential to employ robust risk management strategies at all times.
NZDJPY H4 Bullish In this video, we will be discussing the bullish forecast for the NZDJPY currency pair. We will analyze the current market conditions and trends to provide insights on why we believe NZDJPY is likely to see a bullish movement in the near future. Stay tuned to learn more about potential trading opportunities and strategies for NZDJPY.
If you are interested in forex trading and want to stay ahead of the market, this video is a must-watch for you. Don't miss out on valuable information that could help you make informed trading decisions.
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Remember, trading involves risk and it's important to do your own research before making any investment decisions.
NZDUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity NZDUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
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NZDUSD LONG 100 PIPSThe NZDUSD currency pair is currently hovering within a favorable buying zone, presenting an opportunity for traders to capitalize on potential upward movement. This zone, typically defined as a range of approximately 100 pips, is where market dynamics suggest a higher probability of price bouncing upward. Such zones often coincide with key support levels, technical indicators, or chart patterns, indicating a temporary halt or reversal of a downward trend. Traders eyeing this setup may consider entering long positions, anticipating a bullish momentum that could drive the price towards their profit targets. However, prudent risk management strategies should be employed, including setting stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses in case the market moves against the anticipated direction. Overall, understanding and effectively navigating such buy zones can enhance trading success by aligning with market dynamics and maximizing profit potential in the NZDUSD pair.
NZDUSD BULLISH MOVEThe NZD/USD pair surrenders its intraday gains and turns negative in the early New York session on Thursday. The Kiwi asset falls back as the US Dollar rebounds sharply from its five-day low of 0.6060. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rises strongly to 103.76 as the Federal Reserve (Fed) has revised United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecasts higher for 2024.
Fed’s latest economic projections indicate that the US economy will grow by 2.1% in 2024, upwardly revised from December’s projections of 1.4%. An upbeat economic outlook bodes well for the domestic currency.
New Zealand Dollar Bearish Sentiment and Trade Plan
Based on the latest COT report, non-commercial traders (speculators) have significantly increased theirlong positions in the NZD. This suggests that they are becoming less bearish on the New Zealand dollar and may be anticipating a potential rally.
Open Positions Retail Sentiment data also shows a decrease in short positions and an increase in long positions among retail traders. This is a contrarian indicator, as retail traders are often wrong at market turning points. Therefore, the increase in long positions among retail traders may suggest that the NZDUSD downside has further to go.
The NZDUSD pair is currently trading below a triggered BUY level at 0.6157. An upside move and testing this level could make a fine signal to entry point for a short position.
How much longer can the kiwi sell off? How much longer can the kiwi sell off?
On Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand opted to maintain interest rates, coupling this decision with dovish remarks and forward guidance.
Danske Bank economists anticipate a continued decline in NZD/USD in the upcoming year, setting a 12-month target at 0.5700. They think that the RBNZ contrasts with other G10 central banks which are apparently eyeing the start of their respective rate cutting cycles (which might be news to you, considering most expectations for rate cuts from other central banks are repeatedly being pushed back).
Nevertheless, this sentiment led to a significant decline in the New Zealand dollar over the past two days, although it seems to be trying to find support.
The 100 and 200-day simple moving averages emerge as notable hurdles for bearish sentiment on the daily chart.
On the 4-hour chart, the next support level following these moving averages is at 0.6050, a critical level that previously served as resistance in October last year.
Sustaining levels above 0.6070 could help sustain a positive outlook with the next target possibly around 0.6140, supported by signals from the RSI.
NZDUSD: the odds of a turnaround are on the rise.Hello, Successful Traders! $-) Our analysis of the situation shows that the market is locally overbought and the current upward momentum is losing steam. It seems that any upcoming downward movement will be relatively moderate in size, while a fresh surge of growth will surpass the peak reached on January 31st.
Furthermore, time also points to the possibility of a reversal. The duration of the downward trend matches closely with the average.
We've decided to enter a sell trade at 0.61372 for the entire trade limit. Our plan is to close the position within the next couple of days.
25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is likely to maintain its interest rate at the existing 5.50%, yet there might be a notable 25% probability of a 25-basis points hike.
Why? In part, the RBNZ provided a hawkish signal post its recent meeting.
The RBNZ's forward guidance suggests an inclination towards future hikes, with the March 2024 outlook adjusted to 5.63%, and December 2024 elevated to 5.66%.
ANZ Bank goes a step further, forecasting consecutive rate hikes until April, culminating in a 6.00% OCR. NZ Bank stands alone in predicting a rate hike, the consensus among other market economists leans heavily towards maintaining the status quo.
KiwiBank economists share the consensus view that the RBNZ will likely keep the interest rates unchanged. However, they anticipate a continuation of strong language and a “very forceful, hawkish bias,”
A Reuters survey resulted in 27 out of 28 economists foreseeing no change.
Still, these disparities in predictions highlight the uncertainty surrounding the impending decision and the potential for a significant market reaction depending on the central bank's course of action as well as the language they use to deliver the news.
The RBNZ delivers its decision on Tuesday 9:00 pm (US time, UTC -5).