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Nzdusdforecast

NZ Economist's bold call opens opportunity in NZD? NZ Economist's bold call opens opportunity in NZD? Sharon Zollner, chief economist at ANZ (the country’s largest retail bank), says the RBNZ may lift interest rates to 6% at its next meetings in February (27th) and April. Zollner accounts for 25 basis points in each meeting. This could potentially open some targets to the upside in the NZD/USD, including a yearly high for the pair. On its way up, we might want to see little hesitation in the recent consolidation band of 0.62130 and 0.62611 before this eventuates though. Zollner pointed out that a series of "small but unwelcome data surprises" was enough to kickstart the hiking cycle again. She mentioned that it's not uncommon for central banks to resume hiking after a break, citing three instances when the Reserve Bank did so after the 2007 Global Financial Crisis. Obviously Zollner's prediction is only that, a prediction (and perhaps biased at that?). On the flip side, Kelly Eckhold, the chief economist at Westpac (New Zealand's second-largest retail bank), disagreed with the market predictions of another rate hike, countering Zollner's hawkish stance. Eckhold interpreted the new data to suggest a "higher for longer" scenario, expecting rates to stay at 5.50% until 2025. Which might not exactly be bad news for the upside prospects of the NZD/USD too.
by BlackBull_Markets
NZDUSD Bearish Outlook: Technical and Fundamental AnalysisA comprehensive analysis spanning multiple timeframes presents a bearish outlook, augmented by fundamental factors. On the monthly chart, there's a clear rejection at a significant resistance level, indicating strong selling pressure at these price points. Shifting to the weekly timeframe, a notable observation is the breach of a critical support level, which has now turned into resistance. This shift was accompanied by a consolidation phase, highlighting a significant mitigation of positions and the addition of substantial short positions, further validating the bearish sentiment. The daily chart provides a more granular view, showcasing a distinct breakdown in structure towards the downside. This technical breakdown suggests continued bearish momentum in the short term, as lower lows and lower highs form part of a downtrend. From a fundamental perspective, the strength and momentum of the USD are evident, fueled by recent data releases that have kept the dollar "hot." Additionally, there's an observed bullish divergence with bonds, although this doesn't necessarily imply a long-term trend reversal. On the New Zealand side, the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release is anticipated to show a cool off, potentially setting the stage for an upward price correction. However, this expected bullish move should be interpreted with caution, as price action leading up to significant catalysts often respects the prevailing trend, which, in this case, is bearish. In summary, while short-term bullish opportunities may arise from fundamental data releases such as the NZD CPI, the overarching technical analysis across monthly, weekly, and daily charts suggests a bearish trend for NZDUSD. Traders might consider looking for sell opportunities on rallies or breaks of structure, keeping an eye on key support and resistance levels for entry and exit points. Fundamental factors, including the strength of the USD and upcoming economic indicators, should be monitored closely to gauge their impact on the currency pair's direction.
Short
by Wiiso
2
NZDUSD: Another Chance 2 Shot for the Bears!Hey there, folks! Missed us? Ready for some market action? ;-) After a two-week rally that kicked off in mid-December, followed by a corrective phase in the closing days of the past year, it's no surprise that the market has resumed its downward trajectory. Right now, our strategy unmistakably points to a downward impetus. That said, the prevailing trend remains upward. Since the release of American statistics on January 5th caused a volatility surge, the market has locked horns, giving rise to a consolidation pattern in the form of a triangle. Bulls have taken a breather (and our trading strategy clearly reflects this sentiment), gradually easing the oversold. This provides the bears with the perfect opportunity to amass strength and regain their control. Our trading strategy indicates that the minimum target for the decline has been achieved. However, the duration of the downward slide is currently below average. This means the bears haven't exhausted their potential just yet. The juicy piece of the new wave of decline is the closest low in the upward trend, clocking in at 0.60841, dated December 13th, 2023. Let's not forget, we've got an unfilled gap hanging around at 0.61271, ready to be filled. Keep your eyes peeled for signals of resurfacing bearishness, and that will be a drop of the NZD/USD pair to 0.6209 and below during the January 10th trading session. Though, if the low of January 8th at 0.62123 crumbles, that would be a great opportunity to jump into action. We're gearing up to open a short position. Come the January 10th trading session, we'll place a sell-stop order at the level of 0.62122. Stay vibrant, trade smart, and stay tuned for updates! 😊
Short
by ForbesRatingN1
RBNZ Rate Hike Hint vs US Cut Outlook: A 330-Pip OpportunityFrom a fundamental perspective, this pair has aggressively recovered upward. This is attributed to the downward trend shift of the dollar and projections for the NZD, which include talks of a potential interest rate hike in the first quarter of the upcoming year. However, the U.S. economy is showing signs of cooling down, leading to projections of rate cuts starting next year. These two economic factors - weakness versus strength - are likely to continue bolstering this pair's strength. The take profit idea of the set up(330pips) is base on monthly ATR which is 330.
Long
by Wiiso
2
NZDUSD Technical Analysis And Trade Idea The NZDUSD has shown notable upward momentum, reaching a significant resistance point on both daily and weekly charts. This video offers an extensive analysis, carefully scrutinizing price actions and uncovering potential trade prospects through comprehensive assessments across various timeframes, spanning from weekly down to 15-minute intervals. Expect a thorough examination encompassing price fluctuations, market trends, trend assessments, and critical technical analysis elements. It's essential to highlight that the insights shared in this video are purely educational and should not be construed as financial guidance.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
NZDUSD Looking BearishCertainly. Here's a rephrased version along with an explanation: We recently observed a market response following our decision to initiate a sell position at 0.6122 on the 4-hour (H4) chart. This decision was based on identifying a resistance level that overlapped with the current market conditions. In order to set clear risk and reward parameters, we established a profit target at 0.6064. This target aligns with an overlapping support level, indicating our expectation for a downward price movement. To manage potential losses and protect our trade, we strategically placed a stop loss at 0.6189. Notably, this stop loss coincides with another overlapping resistance level. This placement aims to limit losses in case the market moves against our sell position, providing a risk management strategy aligned with the identified chart patterns.
Short
by HUMCRYPTOCLUB
NZDUSD: go, go down $-)Hey, folks! We're witnessing some manipulation with the highs here! The upward momentum that started on October 26 broke through the high of October 23 at 0.60555. This high was the peak of the downtrend that persisted throughout this year. We were expecting a decline last week, but as it turns out, the bears were just hiding their intentions. Right now, the pair is trading near the low of last Friday at 0.61444. A breakthrough of this level today or tomorrow would make the outlook for NZD/USD bearish. We continue to anticipate a decline in the pair. The magnitude and duration of the drop will become clearer in the coming days. If the bears muster the strength to push the exchange rate lower, towards the 0.6070 area, then the decline will likely last for at least a week and appear quite substantial.
Short
by ForbesRatingN1
1
#NZDUSD: 600 PIPS BUYING OPPORTUNITY Hey everyone, NZDUSD is approaching a perfect buying zone, price recently dropped heavily and will continue dropping for another few days. We need to wait for a daily candle to close in a strong bullish behavior once it does, we can enter accordingly. Like our work? Then Like and comment, most importantly follow our page so you never miss out of any big trade setup/ideas. Thanks as always for showing incredible support towards us ;)
Long
by Setupsfx_
48