Buy Market View: NZDUSDBuy Market View: NZDUSD
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We have analyzed the nearest perspectives on the currency pair NZDUSD.
“Market View” is a short breakdown of trading tools about the most important things on the FOREX market.
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Nzdusdlong
NZDUSD - Expect retracement !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, but for now I expect price could make a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish OB.
Fundamental news: This week on Wednesday (GMT+2) we will see results of yearly and monthly CPI on USD, news with high impact on currency.
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NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZDUSD 1000 pipsHello Birdies,
Price is coming into a monthly and weekly block... once we have a market structure shift we can long this beast for 700-1000 pips....
The targets are the supply zone above.. You can scale in the trade as per your own entry model.
Trade Idea:
- Enter on market structure shift
- Stops below most recent lows
- Targets: 0.61 (500pips), 0.65 (1000pips)
NZDUSD Scenario 2.1.2025This analysis is just a clarification of the previous analyses. We are creating an sfp below the low, which could indicate some potential space for a long setup, but I am keeping some space for now. If the sfp is confirmed, I will take a long first tp around the price. If we get above the weekly level, which is at 0.56550, it is around 0.57920.
Tue 7th Jan 2025 Daily Forex Charts: 4x New Trade SetupsGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified 8x new trade setups this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the charts for my thoughts on these setups. The trades being a AUD/USD Buy, EUR/USD Buy, GBP/USD Buy & NZD/USD Buy. I also discuss some trade management. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
NZDUSD - Short from bearish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bearish OB.
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NZDUSD - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!💡 Midterm forecast (Daily Time-frame):
The price is in a Down Trend, but Beginning of Up Trend is forecasted!
0.5799 is Major Resistance.
Take Profits:
0.57500
0.57992
0.58630
0.59164
0.60369
0.61187
0.62591
0.63680
0.65327
0.67156
0.70330
0.72150
0.74650
💡 Short-term forecast (H4 Time-frame):
Bullish Divergence
Correction wave toward the Buy Zone
Another Upward Impulse wave toward Higher TPs
SL: Below 0.5587
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nzdusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NzdUsd will start to move up soon.What I see!
Looking for Impulse Up.
NU will soon begin to reverse. Before entering the trade, we ought to wait for LTF price movement. solely for educational purposes.It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
Update levels on NZDUSD scenario 11.12.24In this market I added levels and in general I partly reworked the entire analysis so far it looks like looking for SFP if the market finds it then it is likely that it will rebound and it will depend on how the market maintains the support if the price breaks through it then there is a long set option up if he keeps it then a short set up is quite possible.
nzdusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZD/USD: Rally Ahead or Downside Risk?Hello Traders,
Trust you had a great weekend.
Take a moment to read my analysis of the NZDUSD currency pair.
Overview
The NZD/USD pair is currently trading at 0.58325, maintaining a clear downtrend on both the H1 and H4 timeframes. The pair remains confined within a bearish channel, reflecting continued selling pressure.
Idea
The price is currently testing a critical support zone, which aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the impulsive move from November 26th to November 29th. The current price action suggests a potential pause at this support level, indicating a possible rally if the zone holds.
In a bullish scenario, the price is expected to advance toward the 0.5890 and 0.59016 resistance levels. However, the high at 0.5929 is not anticipated to be breached under the current outlook. Should the price break above this high, further upward momentum could extend to the 0.59692 zone before a likely reversal.
On the other hand, a decisive break below the 0.57966 support would invalidate this bullish expectation and signal further downside potential.
Conclusion
While NZD/USD remains in a bearish trend, the current support zone presents a key inflection point. A rally is likely if the support holds, with resistance levels at 0.5890 and 0.59016 in focus. However, a breach below 0.57966 would confirm a continuation of the downtrend, nullifying the bullish outlook.
Do let me have your thoughts guys.
Cheers and have a great week.
Scenario on NZDUSDHere I see a quite similar scenario as in the audusd analysis, it is quite possible that we have already established a sfp low after support where the price continues to consolidate, so from my point of view a final triangle is possible from which I would like to look for a long set up on the exit
NZDUSD break of daily structure .. the week of 02/12/2024A break of structure on the daily chart is a pretty big deal and we see that the kiwi has done that breaking to the upside. After being bearish for the past 2 months, NZDUSD is now bullish.
Looking for an entry on the H4 chart, I like to take a fib of the last bullish move and have marked a zone (green) between the 50-61.8% retracement. If I see evidence of bullish price action here, I will be interested in taking a long entry. Stop will be below the recent swing low and will aim for the next resistance at 0.6000.
This is not a trade recommendation, it is merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster.
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It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Reserve Bank of New Zealand: 50 or 75?Markets and economists widely anticipate that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will reduce the Overnight Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps) to 4.25% on Wednesday, a move that would push the OCR closer to neutral levels.
Markets Fully Pricing in a 50 Basis Point Cut
Markets are assigning a 60% chance that the RBNZ will opt for a 50 bp cut (60 bps of easing priced in), with a 40% chance that the central bank may swing for a bulkier 75 bp reduction. A 50 bp cut in the OCR would follow a 50 bp reduction in October and a surprise 25 bp cut in August.
I expect the RBNZ to follow through and reduce the OCR by 50 bps this week. Inflation has cooled to 2.2% in Q3 24 and is now within the RBNZ’s target band of 1-3% for the first time since early 2021. Inflation expectations also remain pretty much anchored around the 2.0% mark.
Economic activity (GDP – Gross Domestic Product) remains well and truly in the doldrums; Q2 24 data showed economic growth shrank by 0.2%, following a paltry 0.1% expansion in Q1 24. GDP per capita also contracted by 0.5% in Q2 24, coupled with a loosening jobs market. Employment growth showed a contraction of 0.5% in Q3 24, and the unemployment rate rose to its highest level since late 2020 (4.8% in Q3 24).
However, on the other side of this fence, some desks – such as Goldman Sachs – highlight the possibility of a 75 bp cut given the economic downturn, increased unemployment, and the long break between now and the next meeting (mid-February next year), which could leave the central bank somewhat behind the curve.
Global Risks Remain Uncertain
The re-election of Donald Trump and potential tariff changes introduce a degree of unpredictability for New Zealand’s economy, particularly for tradeable inflation. Still, it is merely speculation at this point, and the implications for New Zealand's inflation are unclear.
I anticipate that the November statement will reflect confidence in the progress made on inflation, and the central bank will emphasise a gradual approach to policy easing, contingent on incoming data. With that being said, considering the economic backdrop, I imagine the quarterly projections may reveal additional rate cuts next year, with CPI forecasts potentially being revised lower, with limited revisions for GDP growth metrics.
NZD/USD in Focus
A 75 bp cut would likely trigger enough of a ‘surprise’ and see the New Zealand dollar (NZD) sell off quite extensively, particularly against the US dollar (USD). In contrast, a 50 bp cut, which, as I noted above, is fully priced in, is unlikely to yield that much of a surprise/reaction, especially if dovish language is absent and the OCR projections are only moderately revised lower towards the end of 2025.
I will be keeping a close eye on NZD/USD during the rate announcement. An outsized 75 bp cut might trigger a strong downside move in the pair, particularly as investors have pared back US rate-cut bets – markets are now just pricing in 13 bps of easing for December’s meeting – as well as the USD being bolstered by the incoming Trump administration and safe-haven demand.
The monthly chart shows that price is trading at range support from N$0.5846, while the daily chart suggests scope to push for nearby support at N$0.5807. Therefore, daily and monthly support provides a ‘floor’ for potential buyers, which could hold if the RBNZ opts for a 50 bp cut. A 75 bp cut, nevertheless, could see the aforementioned support zone challenged.
Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill