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Nzdusdlong

NZDUSD break of daily structure .. the week of 02/12/2024A break of structure on the daily chart is a pretty big deal and we see that the kiwi has done that breaking to the upside. After being bearish for the past 2 months, NZDUSD is now bullish. Looking for an entry on the H4 chart, I like to take a fib of the last bullish move and have marked a zone (green) between the 50-61.8% retracement. If I see evidence of bullish price action here, I will be interested in taking a long entry. Stop will be below the recent swing low and will aim for the next resistance at 0.6000. This is not a trade recommendation, it is merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Long
by Trading_Vista
Reserve Bank of New Zealand: 50 or 75?Markets and economists widely anticipate that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will reduce the Overnight Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps) to 4.25% on Wednesday, a move that would push the OCR closer to neutral levels. Markets Fully Pricing in a 50 Basis Point Cut Markets are assigning a 60% chance that the RBNZ will opt for a 50 bp cut (60 bps of easing priced in), with a 40% chance that the central bank may swing for a bulkier 75 bp reduction. A 50 bp cut in the OCR would follow a 50 bp reduction in October and a surprise 25 bp cut in August. I expect the RBNZ to follow through and reduce the OCR by 50 bps this week. Inflation has cooled to 2.2% in Q3 24 and is now within the RBNZ’s target band of 1-3% for the first time since early 2021. Inflation expectations also remain pretty much anchored around the 2.0% mark. Economic activity (GDP – Gross Domestic Product) remains well and truly in the doldrums; Q2 24 data showed economic growth shrank by 0.2%, following a paltry 0.1% expansion in Q1 24. GDP per capita also contracted by 0.5% in Q2 24, coupled with a loosening jobs market. Employment growth showed a contraction of 0.5% in Q3 24, and the unemployment rate rose to its highest level since late 2020 (4.8% in Q3 24). However, on the other side of this fence, some desks – such as Goldman Sachs – highlight the possibility of a 75 bp cut given the economic downturn, increased unemployment, and the long break between now and the next meeting (mid-February next year), which could leave the central bank somewhat behind the curve. Global Risks Remain Uncertain The re-election of Donald Trump and potential tariff changes introduce a degree of unpredictability for New Zealand’s economy, particularly for tradeable inflation. Still, it is merely speculation at this point, and the implications for New Zealand's inflation are unclear. I anticipate that the November statement will reflect confidence in the progress made on inflation, and the central bank will emphasise a gradual approach to policy easing, contingent on incoming data. With that being said, considering the economic backdrop, I imagine the quarterly projections may reveal additional rate cuts next year, with CPI forecasts potentially being revised lower, with limited revisions for GDP growth metrics. NZD/USD in Focus A 75 bp cut would likely trigger enough of a ‘surprise’ and see the New Zealand dollar (NZD) sell off quite extensively, particularly against the US dollar (USD). In contrast, a 50 bp cut, which, as I noted above, is fully priced in, is unlikely to yield that much of a surprise/reaction, especially if dovish language is absent and the OCR projections are only moderately revised lower towards the end of 2025. I will be keeping a close eye on NZD/USD during the rate announcement. An outsized 75 bp cut might trigger a strong downside move in the pair, particularly as investors have pared back US rate-cut bets – markets are now just pricing in 13 bps of easing for December’s meeting – as well as the USD being bolstered by the incoming Trump administration and safe-haven demand. The monthly chart shows that price is trading at range support from N$0.5846, while the daily chart suggests scope to push for nearby support at N$0.5807. Therefore, daily and monthly support provides a ‘floor’ for potential buyers, which could hold if the RBNZ opts for a 50 bp cut. A 75 bp cut, nevertheless, could see the aforementioned support zone challenged. Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Long
by FPMarkets
NZDUSD forming a bottom?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5825. Price action looks to be forming a bottom. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5850 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 0.5825 (stop at 0.5799) Our profit targets will be 0.5885 and 0.5600 Resistance: 0.5850 / 0.5875 / 0.5880 Support: 0.5825 / 0.5815 / 0.5800 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
ICT Long setup session trade, NOT swing trade NZDUSD👋Hello Traders, Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in NZDUSD for session trade (a couple of Hours) Here is a session trade idea (since it is near support surface, we should use small lot size) Please refer to the details Stop loss, Buy Zone,open for take profit. Next Long entry after retracement in any session. For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview. Have a good day! Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
Long
by ICT_Trader_SB
NZDUSD forming a bottom?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart. Pivot support is at 0.5925. We expect a reversal in this move. A move through 0.5950 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6050. We look to Buy at 0.5925 (stop at 0.5885) Our profit targets will be 0.6025 and 0.6050 Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.6000 / 0.6050 Support: 0.5925 / 0.5900 / 0.5875 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
Is the Kiwi Ready to Bounce? Approaching Key Support!The Kiwi took a major hit in October, dropping sharply from the 0.638 resistance level, which has held strong for over two years. Looking at the weekly chart, we can see that the market has formed a clear range between 0.638 and 0.588—the lower level we’re now approaching. On the daily chart, the initial drop was intense, with strong selling momentum evident in large red candles. However, as the price dropped past the halfway point of the range, momentum began to ease. This slowdown is visible in the smaller, mixed red and green candles. This price action indicates that selling momentum is slowing as we approach the 0.588 level. In fact, the market has now started moving sideways, signaling that buyers may be accumulating at the bottom of the range. Given these signals, I’ll be looking for buy setups using my TRFX Indicator, focusing on the 4-hour to 8-hour timeframes. Ideally, I’d like to see another dip toward or even slightly below 0.59 before entering. The target for this setup is the top of the range, with the setup invalidated by a clear weekly break below the 0.588 support. Let me know what you think below! :)
Long
by TheFxAce
9
NZDUSD to turnaround?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5925. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5975 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6025. We look to Buy at 0.5925 (stop at 0.5893) Our profit targets will be 0.6005 and 0.6020 Resistance: 0.5975 / 0.6000 / 0.6025 Support: 0.5925 / 0.5900 / 0.5875 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
NZD/USD Bullish reversal setup and trade planDivergence Setup: The RSI shows bullish divergence, where the price is making lower lows, but the RSI is making higher lows. This suggests a potential reversal to the upside. Trendline Break: A descending trendline has been drawn connecting lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) on the chart. The recent candle seems to be testing or breaking this trendline, which could signal a reversal if it holds above. Entry: A "Buy Limit" order is placed at 0.59820, just below the current price. This suggests waiting for a slight retracement for a better entry point. Stop Loss: The Stop Loss is set at 0.59498, below the recent low, aiming to protect the trade if the price moves against the setup. Take Profit (TP): TP1 at 0.60140, which is a conservative target. TP2 at 0.60460, a higher target. This trade plan is set up for a potential bullish reversal based on RSI divergence, trendline break, and Fibonacci retracement levels. The entry and take profit levels are positioned to capture gains if the price reverses upward, while the stop loss limits downside risk.
Long
by Naqash16046
NZDUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisNZD/USD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity NZDUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
Long
by TheGrove
7
Fresh demand zone in Nzdusd pair.A weekly strong demand zone.Hello everyone, we have identified a fresh demand zone in the NZD/USD pair. The recent move was strong, and the location of this demand zone is quite appealing. You can approach this trade in two ways: either set a buy limit at the weekly demand zone or wait for confirmation before entering. Personally, I use both strategies. Remember, it's crucial to always practice proper money management, and never trade without setting an appropriate stop-loss. Keep in mind that trading is a game of probabilities, and your success should be evaluated over a series of trades, not just one. Thanks!
Long
by UnknownUnicorn89138523
NZDUSD Bullish Week**NZD Dollar Value Correlation to USD >We are now in the Oversold region Signaling for a bullish trend week. Note: Every time we get Oversold Readings (Green Vertical Lines) we always get a Bullish Move **Election Year Seasonality forecast >Bullish until early next Week. Technicals: >Price already tested the Daily Supply Zone last Friday, preparing for a Bullish Week ahead. >Price could reach to the opposing Supply Zone that initiated the bearish imbalance. OTHERS: >Scalpers can ride the bullish trending week >Long term traders can position for a Sell for next week or position a Long trade at Supply for a retest. ***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
CME:6N1!Long
by TradersPod
NZD/USD Top-Down Market Analysisvisit fourtrades.com for more Daily Timeframe: In the daily chart, NZD/USD is trading within a key resistance zone around 0.6340 to 0.6380. This zone has been tested multiple times, and the price is showing signs of potential rejection, with bearish pressure building up. Traders should watch for a decisive breakout above the resistance to confirm bullish momentum, while a rejection could lead to a downward move towards the support levels around 0.6295 and 0.6252. Key Levels: Resistance: 0.6380 Support: 0.6295, 0.6252 4-Hour Timeframe: In the 4-hour chart, we can see the price has broken below a rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The pair is now retesting a supply zone between 0.6340 and 0.6360. This level could act as a resistance, and if the price fails to break above this zone, we may see a continued downward move towards the next demand zone around 0.6290. Additionally, the footprint marked around 0.6320 shows an important reaction level. If this area holds, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend. Key Observations: Bearish Channel Breakout Retest of Supply Zone (0.6340 – 0.6360) Potential targets: 0.6290, and possibly 0.6257 1-Hour Timeframe: The 1-hour chart shows the pair breaking below a bear flag pattern, a continuation signal of the previous bearish momentum. The price is hovering near the 0.6330 level, and there are two potential scenarios from here: Bullish Scenario: If the price pushes back above 0.6340, we may see a short-term move towards 0.6360 or higher. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 0.6330 and holds, expect the market to test 0.6300 and then 0.6250. Traders should keep an eye on these levels, as they represent critical points for potential trade setups in both directions. Conclusion: NZD/USD is at a key inflection point. On the higher timeframes, the pair is testing important resistance levels, while on the lower timeframes, the breakdown of the rising channel suggests further downside potential. Traders should be cautious and wait for clear confirmations—either a break above resistance for long positions or a continued rejection for short trades. Keep an eye on the 0.6340 and 0.6290 levels for the next possible move.
Short
by FourtradesTV