NZDUSD - Short from premium zone ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: We are here in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts from premium zone. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then rejects from bearish order block.
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Nzdusdsell
Market Over-Reacts? NZD tanks more than 2% The New Zealand dollar experienced a significant drop of over 2% on Wednesday, reaching its lowest level in more than three months at $0.6039. This decline followed the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) expected decision to raise cash rates by 25 basis points to 5.5%. However, the central bank also hinted that it might conclude its tightening campaign, which likely contributed to the currency's decline. In more positive news, inflation expectations eased during the first quarter, dropping from 3.30% to 2.79%, potentially solidifying the RBNZ's choice to halt further rate hikes.
Analyzing the 1-hour chart of the NZD/USD pair, it is evident that it broke below the previous swing low at 0.6111. However, the selling momentum may have started to weaken in the past hour, as indicated by the extreme oversold condition of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the pair's inability to close below 0.6100. The next target for a downward movement could be 0.6092, which seems to be the level where current sellers feel comfortable probing further.
One potential explanation for this slowdown could be the release of the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes. The minutes revealed a division among Federal Reserve officials during their previous meeting regarding the future direction of interest rates. Some members believed that further rate increases were necessary, while others anticipated a slowdown in economic growth that would negate the need for additional tightening measures. As a result, the committee decided to remove the phrase "additional policy firming may be appropriate" from its post-meeting statement.
Market expectations currently indicate that the rate increase in May will be the final one in the current cycle. Furthermore, there is speculation that the Federal Reserve may reduce rates by approximately a quarter percentage point before the year's end. If this prediction holds true, it could be argued that the sharp decline in the New Zealand dollar is an overreaction.
NZDUSD BUYWelcome . The New Zealand dollar pair is in a positive position. The pair is trying to form a head and shoulders pattern. It is a very strong model. This is just a proactive view of the market. and long term business.Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
NZDUSD - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: As I expected in my previous analysis, price made the retracement and filled the imbalance, now I expect a rejection from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.63000, as we are in a premium zone.
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NZDUSD - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective after the price changed the character, so I am looking for shorts from premium zone. If price fills the imbalances higher and reject from bearish order block I will consider to open a short position.
Fundamental analysis: Next week will be full of important news on USD, firstly on Wednesday will be released Federal Funds Rate which is expected to increase, as well FOMC Meeting. Also, on Friday we have NFP and Unemployment Rate in USA and on Wednesday will be released Unemployment Rate on NZD. Pay attention to these news, as they are important for the upcoming month and USD bias.
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NZDUSD - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: We can see here that price changed the character and started to form lower highs and lower lows, so I am looking for shorts. For now I expect price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.63000.
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NZDUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
NZDUSD SELLSHello traders we are looking out for NZDUSD sells movement all we wait for is for price to test back our 0.61 fib lvl which is 0.62274 area take profits lvl 0.60972 for about 133 pips and my stop loss lvl is 0.62551 , risking about 24 pips on this trade tell me what you guys think this trade
NZDUSD - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I expect price to continue the retracement to take liquidity below equal lows and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 0.62000.
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NZDUSD Buy NZDUSD advanced to a seven-week high of 0.6378 in the wake of a bolder-than-expected 50bps rate hike by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand early on Wednesday. The pair has been developing northwards within a bullish channel since the drop to 0.6083 on March 10th, having already climbed above its simple moving averages (SMAs). Encouragingly, the RSI and the MACD are sending clear positive signals at the moment, with the former trending up confidently above its 50 neutral mark and the latter gaining ground within the positive region.
The next hassle could be the channel’s upper boundary, which overlaps with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the latest downleg at 0.6392. A successful move higher could retest the 0.6465 constraining zone ahead of the 2023 top of 0.6536. Should the bulls push for new highs, the door would open for the long-term resistance trendline drawn from the 2021 high of 0.7463.
NZDUSD h1 price is in an uptrend. Today it is possible that the pair will move up to the 0.6370 resistance area once again. Recommended buy to current price 0.6320, SL: 0.6280, TP: 0.6370
20 Reasons For Buy NZDUSD🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️
1:✨Eagle eye: after forming a church in 2007, the price is currently in sideways to upside
phase yet grab all bearish liquidity and now ready for a bull move in my point of view based on the 12-month chart
2:📆Monthly: clear downtrend here, but the last low is not all its lower high, so the downtrend is halted here in this tf price is officially sideways
3:📅Weekly: price breach recent OB also breach recent pullback, so probability it may go up to premium area or extreme OB so we can open only buy positions in this pair in coming weeks
4:🕛Daily: Invert head & shoulder taking support at weekly
😇7 Dimension analysis
🟢 analysis time frame: Daily
5: 1 Price Structure: Bullish
6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: Inverse Head & Shoulder
7: 3 Volume: Massive Volumes on Buy Candles good for bulls
8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: sideways to bullish zone
9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: It starts squeezing. Now let's see Which side breakdown occurs, but then a high chance it can be the bull side
10: 6 Strength ADX: bullish DMI in strengths kiss and cross but overall sideways
11: 7 Sentiment ROC: this week, NZD is most vigorous in the central basket, and USD is the weakest
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
12: Entry TF Structure: bullish
13: entry move: wait for fill the Recent FVG overall market is in a proper uptrend in h4 tf
14: Support resistance base: protected lows back to back
15: FIB: waiting
☑️ final comments: wait until the price touches the recent support area when reached here; you need to wait for a trendline breakout and buy
16: 💡decision: Buy
17: 🚀Entry: 0.6234 estimated
18: ✋Stop losel: 0.6199
19: 🎯Take profit: 0.6363
20: 😊Risk to reward Ratio: 1:3.5
🕛 Excepted Duration: 3 days
NZDUSD - Bearish price action here ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: As we can see price took buy stop liquidity and rejected from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.63000 and sterted bearish price action which means I will look for shorts. I expect price could make a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and if price rejects from there I will open a short position.
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NZDUSD | UPSIDE LOOKS PROMISINGNZDUSD is currently standing on horizontal resistance zone of 0.62750 where bulls are trying 4th attempt to breakout from the start of March.
The all previous attempt in March were made when EMA200 was above the price hence bulls were never strong. This time EMA is acting as support in favour of bulls to surpass this resistance.
We can witness upside in Kiwidollar to 63800 level. More than 100 pips from current level. Any dip as long as it is above the EMA is buying opportunity.
Let us know what do you think of the idea.
NZDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND TECHNICAL BIAS#NZDUSD
- NZDUSD has been going UP very fast in recent days. The reason for that is because the VIX is down and the strength of the dollar is decreasing. Because of that, every NZD BASED CURRENCY PAIR was BUY. AUD, NZD, CAD, CURRENCIES BUY in these few days due to MARKET RISK ON again this week.
For that, the influence of USD was very strong. Fomc update also affected it strongly this time. And RBNZ made a 50 bps RATE HIKE. Therefore, the NZD STRENGTH is increasing very much.
- Thus, COMMODITIES are being BUY quite fast. It also affects the NZD very strongly.
- Anyway, NZDUSD can continue to BUY until 0.6700 LEVEL..
Before that, 0.6160 LEVEL can be SELL.
NZDUSD SellNZD/USD picks up bids to pare intraday losses around 0.6175 during early Thursday. Even so, the Kiwi pair remains down for the second consecutive day after reversing from the 200-SMA and one-month-old resistance line the previous day.
The NZD/USD pair’s failure to cross the aforementioned key hurdles joins bearish MACD signals and the downbeat RSI (14) line, not oversold, to keep the sellers hopeful of witnessing the quote’s further downside.
NZDUSD h1 main trend is still down. Currently, the pair is in a short correction span. In today's price, it is possible that the price will recover to 0.6185 area and then continue to go down. Recommended to wait for selling around the price zone of 0.6185, SL: 0.6215, TP: 0.6140-0.6110
NZDUSD SellNZD/USD is keeping its bullish momentum intact after hitting the low near0.6220 level. The NZD/USD advance comes on the back of US Dollar weakness amid falling US Treasury bond yields. The high beta currency was also kicked up by firmer equity complexes from the last three days.
The US Dollar-driven move underpinned the pair, earlier in the week, after the recent fallout of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank. The aforementioned incident made a direct impact on US Treasury yield complexes.
NZDUSD h1 price is still on the upside. Today, it is possible that the pair will go up to the 0.6275 resistance area and then turn down again. Recommend waiting to sell to 0.6275, SL: 0.6310, TP: 0.6200