📌 Potential LONG-TERM SELL setup for: NZD/USD👩🏽💻Technical: NZDUSD is currently undergoing a pullback as it experienced a recent rejection at the 0.60605 level. The presence of multiple rejections at the monthly and weekly moving averages signals significant bearish pressure in the market. Furthermore, the breach of higher time frame support has now transformed it into a resistance level, further reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
🎯 For an ideal entry: For a strong confirmation that the push > exhaustion cycle is completed, a powerful bearish candlestick forming around the resistance zone would be highly desirable. Such a signal could serve as a compelling indication to sell, potentially driving prices back to previous lows and psychological levels.
Nzdusdshort
Bearish Outlook on NZDUSD - 5 AugPrice has been adhering to the observed descending trendline on the H4 timeframe. A pullback to the key resistance zone at 0.6150, which coincides with the 50% fibonacci retracement, could provide the bearish acceleration towards the next support zone at 0.6000, which is in line with the 141.4% fibonacci extension. Price is hovering below ichimoku cloud, supporting our bearish bias.
NZDUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
NZDUSD - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from 1H bearish order block.
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NZDUSD - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and to reject from bullish order block.
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NZDUSD - Risky short ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: After the change of character here we could see price to start bearish price action. As well, we have as confirmations that price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block.
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Chart analysis for NZDUSD D1A symmetrical triangle has been forming on the daily chart since the second half of May as a result of two converging trend lines. Furthermore, bulls should be cautious given the recent repeated failures above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying and sustained strength above the 0.6200 mark before positioning for any further appreciation. In other words, NZD/USD might test the 0.62800-0.6285 supply zone, or May's monthly swing high, once it clears 0.6235.
As for downside protection, the 0.6140-0.6130 area now appears to protect us before 0.6100. 0.6070-0.6065 is currently pegged as good support along the lower end of the triangle. NZD/USD could reach the psychological level of 0.6000 if the pair breaks below. There is potential for further near-term losses if further selling occurs below the YTD low.
Bearish Outlook on NZDUSD - 7 July 2023On H4 timeframe, price has recently rejected off from a key resistance zone at 0.6200 and broke below an ascending trendline. A pullback to resistance zone at 0.6200, which coincides with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, could provide the bearish acceleration towards the next support zone at 0.6080, which is in line with the 241.4% Fibonacci extension.
NZDUSD - The Bears Are Stepping In!Analysis:
As we can see from the charts price is clearly in a downwards trend signalling to us that we want to only be shorting this pair to go with the trend. We can confirm that price is in a downwards trend by the fact that we're forming lower highs and lower lows and the fact that we have a downwards trendline which has been respected multiple times. Price has pulled back to an area that we're very interested in as its held multiple times in the past signifying that it is a strong area and we have other confluence factors at this level too to back up this setup. To add to this idea we've seen the rejection of the 61.8% fib level showing that the sellers have stepped into the markets which helps with our idea. We've also seen the rejection of the downwards trendline just as we expected would happen. This shows that the bears are in control of the market, indicating that there should be more bearish momentum on the horizon which goes with our idea. So technical wise we have a very good reason and bias to the short side but we don't just look at the technicals so taking a look at the fundamentals too, we see that we also have these on our side. Firstly we have the USD which is the 2nd strongest major currency compared to the NZD which is the 4th strongest major currency so this is already pointing to be bearish on NZDUSD but looking further to add more confluence we also see that the USD had a decrease in long positions and a huge decrease in short positions by institutions so overall this is looking bullish for the USD whereas for the NZD we saw a small decrease in short positions but a larger decrease in long positions by institutions which is a bearish indication. Overall we have multiple confluences lining up signalling to us to be shorting the NZDUSD which is why we have a bearish bias on this pair.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
NFP trade on NZDUSDLet’s see how this one plays out. I am expecting the market to push price up to my point of interest, triggering the trade. This is a trade I expect to play out for NFP. You guest it, I’m expecting stronger than projected NFP data. This trading idea is a mix of fundamentals and technical analysis. Please comment and add to your watchlist.