Nzdusdshort
NZDUSD Bearish Pennant Pattern BreakoutVery simple trading pattern forming in the direction of bigger picture trend. We will wait until we see a bullish correction
on the smaller time frames before looking for an entry. Once this correction is complete we will then enter short as long
as we think we can achieve a minimum of 1 to 3 risk reward on this particular trade.
NZDUSD - Short from premium zone ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: We are here in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts from premium zone. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then rejects from bearish order block.
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NZDUSD in a selloff mode.NZDUSD - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 0.6100 (stop at 0.6130)
Previous support located at 0.6025.
Previous resistance located at 0.6075.
There is no indication that the selloff is coming to an end.
A higher correction is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6025 will confirm the bearish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 0.6025 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.6075 / 0.6100 / 0.6125
Support: 0.6025 / 0.6000 / 0.5975
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Market Over-Reacts? NZD tanks more than 2% The New Zealand dollar experienced a significant drop of over 2% on Wednesday, reaching its lowest level in more than three months at $0.6039. This decline followed the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) expected decision to raise cash rates by 25 basis points to 5.5%. However, the central bank also hinted that it might conclude its tightening campaign, which likely contributed to the currency's decline. In more positive news, inflation expectations eased during the first quarter, dropping from 3.30% to 2.79%, potentially solidifying the RBNZ's choice to halt further rate hikes.
Analyzing the 1-hour chart of the NZD/USD pair, it is evident that it broke below the previous swing low at 0.6111. However, the selling momentum may have started to weaken in the past hour, as indicated by the extreme oversold condition of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the pair's inability to close below 0.6100. The next target for a downward movement could be 0.6092, which seems to be the level where current sellers feel comfortable probing further.
One potential explanation for this slowdown could be the release of the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes. The minutes revealed a division among Federal Reserve officials during their previous meeting regarding the future direction of interest rates. Some members believed that further rate increases were necessary, while others anticipated a slowdown in economic growth that would negate the need for additional tightening measures. As a result, the committee decided to remove the phrase "additional policy firming may be appropriate" from its post-meeting statement.
Market expectations currently indicate that the rate increase in May will be the final one in the current cycle. Furthermore, there is speculation that the Federal Reserve may reduce rates by approximately a quarter percentage point before the year's end. If this prediction holds true, it could be argued that the sharp decline in the New Zealand dollar is an overreaction.
NZDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND TECHNICAL BIAS#NZDUSD
- NZDUSD has been going UP very fast in recent days. The reason for that is because the VIX is down and the strength of the dollar is decreasing. Because of that, every NZD BASED CURRENCY PAIR was BUY. AUD, NZD, CAD, CURRENCIES BUY in these few days due to MARKET RISK ON again this week.
For that, the influence of USD was very strong. Fomc update also affected it strongly this time. And RBNZ made a 50 bps RATE HIKE. Therefore, the NZD STRENGTH is increasing very much.
- Thus, COMMODITIES are selling quite fast. It also affects the NZD very strongly.
- Anyway, NZDUSD can continue to BUY until 0.6550 LEVEL..
Before that, you can SELL at 0.6246 LEVEL.
NZDUSD 15M: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 0.6250On the 15M timeframe, price broke below an ascending trendline and is showing strong bearish correction. A pullback to the resistance zone at 0.6290, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, could present an opportunity to play the drop to the support zone at 0.6250. Price is holding below ichimoku clouds, supporting our bearish bias.
NZDUSD showing potential short position On February 2, 2023, the NZDUSD pair embarked on an impulsive move to the downside. Following this strong bearish activity, the pair entered into a consolidation phase that took on the form of a regular flat, which started on March 10, 2023.
As of May 10, we've observed a significant breakdown outside of the flat correction pattern, indicating a likely continuation of the bearish trend. Furthermore, the price action is currently suggesting the formation of a bearish flag pattern, which traditionally signals a potential further downside.
Considering these technical developments, there seems to be a viable short-selling opportunity at hand. If the bearish trend continues, our analysis suggests that the price could descend to at least the support level at 0.61181. However, as with all trades, it's crucial to remain vigilant for any signs of a trend reversal or deviation from the projected path.
NZD trades 61.8% line of major up move. Risk Off Coming? We reversed on Friday. Like AUD, it traded a 50% short level in NY morning session and sold off hard through there. In fact, it is a much more aggressive sell than AUDJPY or AUDUSD. Looking out over a longer time frame, you can see we traded right up the 61.8% line of the entire up move. Target for this downside is 0.61339.
NZDUSD BUYWelcome . The New Zealand dollar pair is in a positive position. The pair is trying to form a head and shoulders pattern. It is a very strong model. This is just a proactive view of the market. and long term business.Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
NZDUSD to see a higher correction?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
We expect a reversal in this move.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
A move through 0.6340 will confirm the bearish momentum.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
The measured move target is 0.6250.
We look to Sell a break of 0.6340 (stop at 0.6370)
Our profit targets will be 0.6270 and 0.6250
Resistance: 0.6360 / 0.6370 / 0.6400
Support: 0.6340 / 0.6300 / 0.6250
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NZDUSD - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: As I expected in my previous analysis, price made the retracement and filled the imbalance, now I expect a rejection from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.63000, as we are in a premium zone.
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