safe-haven play :USD vs. NZDIn several of my previous analyses, I mentioned the state of the Forex market due to geopolitical tensions . As a result, we are witnessing an increase in safe-haven currencies like USD compared to riskier currencies such as AUD and NZD. Therefore, by following proper risk management principles, you can open short positions on this currency pair.
Additionally, from a technical perspective, after breaking down the ascending channel, the price has formed the first wave of Elliott and, after its correction, has completed the second wave. In the most recent candle, it has entered the third impulsive wave.
Target 1: 0.59750
Target 2: 0.58626
Stop Loss: 0.61010
Nzdusdshort
NZD/USD +70 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid After D Closure !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
#NZD/USD 1DAYNZD/USD 1D – Support Turned Resistance
On the daily chart of the NZD/USD pair, a significant **support-turned-resistance** pattern has been identified. This is a bearish continuation signal, suggesting that the price is likely to move lower after retesting a previous support level, which is now acting as resistance.
#Pattern Overview:
-Support Becomes Resistance (SBR): After a breakdown below a key support level, the price has retraced to retest this level. What was once support has now turned into a resistance zone, confirming the bearish outlook.
#Forecast:
-Sell Signal: The forecast indicates a sell opportunity as the price is expected to reject the newly formed resistance level and resume its downward trend. This type of setup often leads to further declines in the price.
### Trading Strategy:
-Entry Point: Enter a sell position when the price fails to break above the resistance level (previous support) and shows signs of rejection (e.g., bearish candlesticks or other technical confirmations).
Targets: The initial target for the downside move would be the next significant support level below the current price. Look for price action lows or Fibonacci extensions for potential target areas.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss above the resistance level to protect against any potential bullish breakout that might invalidate the bearish setup.
This pattern indicates a continuation of the bearish trend in NZD/USD, with selling opportunities emerging as the previous support level now acts as a resistance barrier.
NZD/USD Giving An Amazing Bearish P.A , Short After D Closure ?we have a very good bearish price action but we need a daily closure below our daily support and if we have a closure below we will sell it when the price back to retest the broken support and we will targeting the old buying area and we will buy again from there .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
RBNZ Reinforces Dovish Stance and Delivers 50bp Cut Overnight, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) reduced its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps) and signalled further policy easing is on the table amid softening inflation. This leaves the current OCR at 4.75%.
Cuts Ahead
The accompanying Rate Statement communicated that the current economic landscape provides scope to reduce rates further. However, the central bank emphasised that rate adjustments depend on the ‘evolving assessment of the economy’ and ‘there are still risks that further adjustments might be faster or slower than currently expected’.
The Committee also touched on escalating tensions in the Middle East, noting that it ‘could pose significant risks to both global economic activity and energy prices. Should conflict escalate, oil prices and shipping costs could rise, and adverse investor sentiment could trigger asset price corrections and tighter financial conditions’.
Several desks and money markets (the Overnight Index Swaps market) are currently pricing in another 50bp cut for November’s meeting – this will be the last time the central bank meets in 2024.
New Zealand’s Economy at a Standstill
We must remember that the RBNZ was one of the first G10 central banks to begin rapid policy tightening, and inflation has indeed slowed. However, in the process, demand has weakened, unemployment rose to 4.6% in Q2 24 (the highest rate since early 2021), and the economy has all but reached a standstill over the last two years (real Gross Domestic Product contracted by 0.2% in Q2 24) with a shallow technical recession seen in the second half of 2023.
Markets will receive the latest CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index) data from New Zealand next week – this is released every quarter – with the expectation that CPI inflation will ease back into the RBNZ’s target inflation band of 1-3% in Q3 24 (YoY) from 3.3% in Q2 24. Of note, however, this is tradeable inflation. Domestic inflation (or non-tradeable inflation) is a different story and is proving sticky; the latest release showed that non-tradeable inflation rose 5.4% in Q2 24 (YoY), down from 5.8% in Q1 24.
NZD Lower Across the Board
Today’s decision/forward guidance sent the New Zealand dollar (NZD) tumbling against G10 peers, with losses most notable versus the US dollar (USD) and Swiss franc (CHF) as of writing.
Early London has the NZD trading a whisker north of daily lows versus the USD from NZ$0.6075, propelling the NZD/USD currency pair through a descending resistance-turned-support level (extended from the high of NZ$0.6369).
The decision point zone at NZ$0.6035-NZ$0.6056 calls for attention and may see traders begin locking in some profit if the area is tested, given the sell-stops tripped south of the higher low formed at NZ$0.6106 (11 September). The next major support level beyond the decision point to consider is around NZ$0.5991.
Overall, per the above structure, the pairing demonstrates scope to continue exploring lower levels.
NZDUSD to continue in the selloff?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6120 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6090.
We look to Sell at 0.6160 (stop at 0.6184)
Our profit targets will be 0.6100 and 0.6090
Resistance: 0.6150 / 0.6160 / 0.6175
Support: 0.6120 / 0.6100 / 0.6090
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone
NZDUSD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity NZDUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Further downside is expected.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6200 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 0.6240 (stop at 0.6270)
Our profit targets will be 0.6180 and 0.6175
Resistance: 0.6225 / 0.6240 / 0.6250
Support: 0.6200 / 0.6180 / 0.6175
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD forming a top?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6275 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 0.6300 (stop at 0.6330)
Our profit targets will be 0.6220 and 0.6205
Resistance: 0.6300 / 0.6315 / 0.6325
Support: 0.6275 / 0.6250 / 0.6225
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZD/USD Top-Down Market Analysisvisit fourtrades.com for more
Daily Timeframe:
In the daily chart, NZD/USD is trading within a key resistance zone around 0.6340 to 0.6380. This zone has been tested multiple times, and the price is showing signs of potential rejection, with bearish pressure building up. Traders should watch for a decisive breakout above the resistance to confirm bullish momentum, while a rejection could lead to a downward move towards the support levels around 0.6295 and 0.6252.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 0.6380
Support: 0.6295, 0.6252
4-Hour Timeframe:
In the 4-hour chart, we can see the price has broken below a rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The pair is now retesting a supply zone between 0.6340 and 0.6360. This level could act as a resistance, and if the price fails to break above this zone, we may see a continued downward move towards the next demand zone around 0.6290.
Additionally, the footprint marked around 0.6320 shows an important reaction level. If this area holds, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend.
Key Observations:
Bearish Channel Breakout
Retest of Supply Zone (0.6340 – 0.6360)
Potential targets: 0.6290, and possibly 0.6257
1-Hour Timeframe:
The 1-hour chart shows the pair breaking below a bear flag pattern, a continuation signal of the previous bearish momentum. The price is hovering near the 0.6330 level, and there are two potential scenarios from here:
Bullish Scenario: If the price pushes back above 0.6340, we may see a short-term move towards 0.6360 or higher.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 0.6330 and holds, expect the market to test 0.6300 and then 0.6250.
Traders should keep an eye on these levels, as they represent critical points for potential trade setups in both directions.
Conclusion:
NZD/USD is at a key inflection point. On the higher timeframes, the pair is testing important resistance levels, while on the lower timeframes, the breakdown of the rising channel suggests further downside potential. Traders should be cautious and wait for clear confirmations—either a break above resistance for long positions or a continued rejection for short trades. Keep an eye on the 0.6340 and 0.6290 levels for the next possible move.
NZDUSD STILL BEARISH >The New Zealand Dollar had an explosive rally last week, deeply penetrating and ultimately invalidating the highlighted supply zone, indicating the exhaustion of any remaining unfilled orders.
>We can now observe five invalidated supply zones lined up on the chart.
>Above these zones lies a high-quality, fresh supply zone, where significant stop-loss orders and a large volume of sell orders could potentially accumulate in anticipation of the upcoming FED speech on Thursday, which may act as a catalyst for a sharp drop.
>The US Dollar Index remains undervalued (refer to my USD analysis for more insights).
>Given that the NZD is currently overvalued, the price may soon seek reasons to turn bearish. For this to happen, a considerable volume of sell orders will be needed to trigger a downward move.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
NZDUSD - Potential long !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is a rejection from LZ + trendline + level 0.63000.
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nzdusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
nzdusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZDUSD SELL SIGNAL. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZD/USD "Kiwi" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHola ola My Dear,
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NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
#NZDUSD 4HNZDUSD 4H Sell Opportunity
Sell Level: 0.61750
Target Levels: 0.60900 / 0.60000
Description:
We are currently observing a sell opportunity for the NZDUSD pair on the 4-hour chart. The recommended entry point for this trade is at 0.61750.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Level: The price has encountered resistance around the 0.61750 level, which has been validated by previous price action.
Downtrend Confirmation: The recent price action suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend, with the pair showing signs of bearish momentum.
Target Levels:The initial target for this trade is set at 0.60900, with a secondary target at 0.60000. These levels are based on previous support zones and Fibonacci retracement levels.
Trade Strategy:
1.Entry: Place a sell order at 0.61750.
2.Stop-Loss: Consider setting a stop-loss order slightly above the entry level to manage risk in case the market moves against the position.
3Take Profit: Set the take-profit levels at 0.60900 and 0.60000, adjusting based on market conditions and risk tolerance.
Risk Warning:
As with any trading opportunity, it is crucial to manage risk appropriately. Ensure to use proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and adjusting position sizes according to your trading strategy.
Happy trading!
NZD/USD: Bearish Continuation Confirmed After Key USD DataIn line with our previous analysis, NZD/USD triggered our sell limit order last Friday, signaling a potential bearish move after the release of key U.S. economic data. Initially, the U.S. dollar weakened following the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Claims reports, which delivered softer-than-expected results, raising concerns about the strength of the U.S. labor market. However, the dollar quickly regained its footing due to positive outcomes from the Final Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, and Crude Oil Inventories, all of which reinforced confidence in the U.S. economy.
As a result, the New Zealand dollar, like other major currencies, began a reversal, continuing its bearish trend against the strengthening USD. The recovery in the U.S. dollar has put downward pressure on NZD, confirming our expectations of a bearish continuation for the pair.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report remains consistent with our earlier forecasts. Institutional players are still favoring a bearish outlook on the NZD, while retail traders are likely still holding onto bullish positions, creating a divergence that suggests more downside potential for NZD/USD. With these factors in mind, we are confident in our bearish stance and expect the pair to reach our take profit target in the coming days.
Technically, the price action supports our forecast, with the NZD/USD pair failing to break key resistance levels and continuing to trade within a bearish channel. The reversal we anticipated has materialized, and the pair appears poised to continue its downward movement as the U.S. dollar remains strong in the wake of positive economic data.
In conclusion, our analysis points to further downside for NZD/USD this week, and we remain focused on reaching our take profit target. With both fundamental and technical factors aligned, the outlook for the pair remains bearish, and traders should be prepared for continued weakness in the New Zealand dollar as the U.S. dollar continues to recover.
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